CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com
New! Search comments:
(NOTE: Relevance, Author, and Article are not applicable for comment searches)
This is a very helpful article, Ben. With Espinoza being looked at as a slower mover, where would you guess you'd peg him in a 20 team, 25 man keeper draft in a league that cares nothing about W's and is mostly all about K's <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ERA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ERA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ERA</span></a> and OBPA?
Well, if I were to guess, since Brett decided to not comment, he's skeptical that Diaz will hold the position because Diaz wasn't great defensively. However, most of the errors came in his first few games in the big leagues and he was adequate in the latter half of the season. And he's been working on his defense with a personal coach at the Cards' FL facility. His bat tailed off toward the end of the season but he was playing with a broken thumb. Still, I think only 1 SS in MLB had a higher <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=OPS" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('OPS'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">OPS</span></a>.
Brett, why did you rank him so low?
The low ranking of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=34706">Aledmys Diaz</a></span> confuses me and I'm not even a Cardinals fan.
Thanks for everything, Sam. Will miss you.
This is a sad ending to a pathetic year. F 2016.
someone please do something about the damn autoplay ads on this site...why would you pummel paying subscribers with those?
I watched it. Admittedly I didn't expect much because it's very rare that I like a network tv show. But I liked the first episode. Not great but definitely enjoyable and touching.
Craig, why is the volume level on your mic so much lower than the other 2?
Nick - so whaddya think about <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56563">Junior Lake</a></span>? Being showcased for anyone? Possibility to take over Russell's role if Addison gets sent down?
Mike, what is the publishing schedule planned for updating your auction values? Very much enjoyed this article. Very informative.
Is a transaction analysis about the moves at BP forthcoming? I saw Joe's leaving via twitter but I see nothing about it here. And he's still on the masthead. But then again so is Jason.
The Rays farm system was ranked 26th this year. To what extent do we blame Friedman for that - i.e. bad drafts? Or is he merely a victim of his own success due to graduating prospects?
A sub sandwich is not a sandwich. It's a separate category. Thus the need to define it as a "sub".
Thank you, Doug, as always super informative.
I came to this article looking to read what Mo had written about Bryant so now preach eternal damnation to those who shouted you down. I was especially wondering about Bryant's defense - whether he'd shown much improvement over the season and whether more (or fewer) scouts think he'd make an average or near average defensive 3B.
Now I'm going to have to bookmark Grantland. Congratulations on the new gig, Ben. Thrilled you're still going to do EW. And dammit I just knew that long bus ride to DC to save the company a hundred bucks was going to cause trouble.
The full article should be accessible from the link above.
I also enjoy this feature, Bret. I'm a little surprised Alcantara only made honorable mention given Cubs struggles at 2b. He seems to be playing well at AAA despite the cold weather. Would you elucidate por favor?
What's the most optimistic big league call up timeframe you can see for Harvey?
Big 2nd to that.
Any word on whether cloning rights were addressed in the contract?
Glad you were able to bounce back from surgery so quickly and didn't require any DL time. Did you play Draft Street last year?
Good article. My favorite takeaway from this is the need to better consider value of redundant talent.
Good stuff, Ben.
Enjoyed your first article Craig. Had hoped to see Aaron Hicks in there but I just looked and he's hitting 209/292/233 at AAA so the less said, the better.
According to the "unwritten rules" per Buster Olney, a pitcher only gets one shot to throw a retaliatory pitch aimed at a batter. Greinke took 3 and that's why Kennedy re-retaliated. You'd think hitting Puig in the head would have caused Kennedy to think twice about throwing at Greinke, especially around the head.
I thought "No throwing at the opposing pitcher" was one of the unwritten rules of baseball.
This article was tremendous. Probably too long for me to read on a Friday so I'm glad I came back to BP on Saturday morning. Awesome stuff!
lol Interestingly accurate way to put it.
and I didn't mean to disparage your article...was typing on my phone. I just meant that if Verducci's claims are true about a glistening white substance - and the various uncorroborated claims he makes, that's rather interesting information. It's offset though by what you found in PITCHf/x.
Check out Verducci's take... It's actually pretty convincing in the opposite direction.
FWIW, in my 9 team only AL & NL leagues, one 1 of those guys has been on the wire (Porcello).
Very interesting how quickly and effectively they were able to alter their mechanics and improve. Did you get a chance to look at Lackey at all? Just wondering if he has similar room for improvement (sure he does)and how the ease of making those mechanical changes might compare to Buchholz and Lester.
Is there anyone who believe Mark Ellis mashing NL pitching is for real? I'm thinking of cutting him to pick up Arenado in a NL only league. All advice welcome.
"We are always lamenting the percentage of various minorities in a particular endeavor..." Just a suggestion, you should perhaps be a little introspective about why you would write this or state it as a concern.
MLB is looking at a much bigger picture than simply comparing the racial make-up of the populace as a whole to the population of big league players.
I know where to find k/9 on a player page on BP but where do I find K%?
it's a typo - 41 ABs
Justin Maxwell has a 7 game hitting streak.
Thank you RJ, that explains a lot...Hat tip to you for explaining what nobody else has written about. Really helpful.
Great article, Sam. Eye-opening. Thank you.
I agree. Enjoyed it. Small suggestion for future article - struggles of certain rookies like Hicks and Machado...
Really fun article. Does PITCHf/x make it easy to find out the next lowest pitch classified as a sinker that had been hit for a home run?
In my PFM, Garza is coming up as a RP, not a SP. Maybe that's why he got left off here?
Really awesome tool! Great work BP!
The kid is 17 years old and headed for A ball. Perhaps you'd do better to think about this particular article as the exclamation point to some of Jason's other recent words about Mondesi, such as http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=19043
Jason, I found the piece funny, informative and entertaining. Perfectly done. I'll probably go back to it later today and enjoy it a second time, just to see what I may have missed the first time through.
Thanks. I may end up giving that a try - especially on my NL only side because my potential keepers are basically mediocre or slightly worse. I appreciate the tip.
I'm allocating 30% to pitchers. There seems to be very little in value difference between SPs on PFM, except for the very top tiers, that's my main issue. The problem I gather is that PFM is apparently super conservative with W's with most being assigned between 10 and 12. Therefore PFM doesn't offer much separation between them. I think Paul's bid values would probably be more valuable to me that PFM so I was looking into whether it could be adapted for a 4x4.
Yes, you got it right.
Mike, I play in a league where saves and runs scored aren't counted, 4x4...any thoughts on a strategy for how I might adjust your numbers for a league with those variables? Especially on the pitching side, PECOTA/PFM isn't really doing it for me.
Typo alert - Bryce Harper's "age 29 season" should be 20 ?
Paul, did you see Chapman pitch as a starter last spring?
Would it make sense for me to adjust your prices by a simple multiplication factor based on the size of the league, i.e. 9 player AL?
Thank you, I was really looking forward to reading this article in light of conversations I had this weekend regarding Felix Hernandez. He's lost about 4 mph in the last 5 years, which is a significantly greater loss than an average pitcher over the same period. Did you consider using loss of velocity? Any other info you can share that's Felix-specific would be very welcome.
way cool, thanks!
Very enjoyable article and series. Thank you.
Do they do this for AL and NL only?
What are the scoring categories?
Ha quite a long shot. By "series" I mean Keeper Reaper!
Do you plan to cover Chris Davis in this series?
Do you plan to take a similar look at SD? I'm especially interested in Venable.
Thanks for the follow-up...I hope Burnett repeats those pretty stellar numbers cause I am planning to keep him at $10.
I got Chapman at $7 so even though we only get to keep 10 (NL only) I gather the risk is low since it leaves me with a lot of extra $ to pick up what's available in the draft (20 player rosters, including 8 pitchers.
I just finished my first year in this particular league and am also wondering about how many pitchers to keep. On the NL side, most if not all of the guys seem to be keeping 3 pitchers. But on the AL side, all but 1 or 2 are keeping just 2 pitchers. I don't know how or if to take that into consideration while determining my own keepers.
I have the opposite keeper issue...picked up Chapman for cheap reasoning he was a bargain even if he went back to the bullpen. I thought his third pitch issue had been resolved...
Paul, how about taking a closer look at AJ Burnett? 3 games of 6 or more ERs last season and 180 Ks, 3.51 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Is the improvement mostly from the move from NYY to PIT and can it be sustained?
Re: Dodgers/Yankees payroll. FanGraphs had an interesting article last month where they compared Yankees and Dodgers payrolls adjusted for inflation, and as a percentage of MLB revenue. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/a-different-take-on-the-dodgers-spending-spree
"The last Democrat to get one was JFK." Actually it's (probably) Norman Y. Mineta (San Jose). Also, not directly named, but while Austin Bergstrom is named for the former Air Force Base it inhabits, the terminal is named for Barbara Jordan.
I hate to see a typo on the front page --- "Office of the Oresident of the American League"
A good chuckle in the morning is worth it's weight in coffee.
Really good article, made me take a look at my team again. 9 team AL/NL only, 10 keepers and rosters of 20. We can trade Salary Dollars during the off-season, which brings an additional level of complexity to the "value" decision.
Not a prospect question per se but what was point of giving Wright 134 mil if you're going to be in rebuilding phase during his peak years? Is his contract no-trade? Maybe they wouldn't dare trade him though.
I second the suggestion to expand the list beyond 20, not necessarily by ranking beyond 20 but as someone else suggested, with a "just missed" category.
I also really like the idea of highlighting collapse/breakout potential.