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warpigs
74 comments | 47 total rating | 0.64 average rating
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Baseball Prospectus http://bbp.cx/i/35124
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warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

This is a very helpful article, Ben. With Espinoza being looked at as a slower mover, where would you guess you'd peg him in a 20 team, 25 man keeper draft in a league that cares nothing about W's and is mostly all about K's <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ERA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ERA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ERA</span></a> and OBPA?

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Well, if I were to guess, since Brett decided to not comment, he's skeptical that Diaz will hold the position because Diaz wasn't great defensively. However, most of the errors came in his first few games in the big leagues and he was adequate in the latter half of the season. And he's been working on his defense with a personal coach at the Cards' FL facility. His bat tailed off toward the end of the season but he was playing with a broken thumb. Still, I think only 1 SS in MLB had a higher <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=OPS" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('OPS'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">OPS</span></a>. Brett, why did you rank him so low?

Feb 10, 2017 9:30 AM on The Top 50 Shortstops
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 2

The low ranking of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=34706">Aledmys Diaz</a></span> confuses me and I'm not even a Cardinals fan.

Feb 09, 2017 8:16 AM on The Top 50 Shortstops
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 2

Thanks for everything, Sam. Will miss you. This is a sad ending to a pathetic year. F 2016.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 3

someone please do something about the damn autoplay ads on this site...why would you pummel paying subscribers with those?

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

I watched it. Admittedly I didn't expect much because it's very rare that I like a network tv show. But I liked the first episode. Not great but definitely enjoyable and touching.

Sep 24, 2016 9:08 PM on Episode 1: Pilot
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Craig, why is the volume level on your mic so much lower than the other 2?

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Nick - so whaddya think about <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56563">Junior Lake</a></span>? Being showcased for anyone? Possibility to take over Russell's role if Addison gets sent down?

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 1

Mike, what is the publishing schedule planned for updating your auction values? Very much enjoyed this article. Very informative.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Is a transaction analysis about the moves at BP forthcoming? I saw Joe's leaving via twitter but I see nothing about it here. And he's still on the masthead. But then again so is Jason.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 1

The Rays farm system was ranked 26th this year. To what extent do we blame Friedman for that - i.e. bad drafts? Or is he merely a victim of his own success due to graduating prospects?

Oct 15, 2014 6:35 PM on The Rich Get Smarter
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 1

A sub sandwich is not a sandwich. It's a separate category. Thus the need to define it as a "sub".

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 1

Thank you, Doug, as always super informative.

Aug 30, 2014 4:37 PM on Mis-Priced
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

I came to this article looking to read what Mo had written about Bryant so now preach eternal damnation to those who shouted you down. I was especially wondering about Bryant's defense - whether he'd shown much improvement over the season and whether more (or fewer) scouts think he'd make an average or near average defensive 3B.

Aug 27, 2014 10:13 AM on Third Basemen
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 3

Now I'm going to have to bookmark Grantland. Congratulations on the new gig, Ben. Thrilled you're still going to do EW. And dammit I just knew that long bus ride to DC to save the company a hundred bucks was going to cause trouble.

Jul 11, 2014 6:53 AM on Forever Changes
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

http://www.prosportsdaily.com/Headlines/ExternalArticle?articleId=306253 The full article should be accessible from the link above.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

I also enjoy this feature, Bret. I'm a little surprised Alcantara only made honorable mention given Cubs struggles at 2b. He seems to be playing well at AAA despite the cold weather. Would you elucidate por favor?

Apr 22, 2014 4:20 PM on Second Edition
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

What's the most optimistic big league call up timeframe you can see for Harvey?

Apr 18, 2014 9:21 PM on A-Ball Notes
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 6

Big 2nd to that.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 8

Any word on whether cloning rights were addressed in the contract?

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Glad you were able to bounce back from surgery so quickly and didn't require any DL time. Did you play Draft Street last year?

Mar 25, 2014 8:16 AM on Introduction
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 1

Good article. My favorite takeaway from this is the need to better consider value of redundant talent.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Enjoyed your first article Craig. Had hoped to see Aaron Hicks in there but I just looked and he's hitting 209/292/233 at AAA so the less said, the better.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

According to the "unwritten rules" per Buster Olney, a pitcher only gets one shot to throw a retaliatory pitch aimed at a batter. Greinke took 3 and that's why Kennedy re-retaliated. You'd think hitting Puig in the head would have caused Kennedy to think twice about throwing at Greinke, especially around the head.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: -1

I thought "No throwing at the opposing pitcher" was one of the unwritten rules of baseball.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

This article was tremendous. Probably too long for me to read on a Friday so I'm glad I came back to BP on Saturday morning. Awesome stuff!

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

lol Interestingly accurate way to put it.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

and I didn't mean to disparage your article...was typing on my phone. I just meant that if Verducci's claims are true about a glistening white substance - and the various uncorroborated claims he makes, that's rather interesting information. It's offset though by what you found in PITCHf/x.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: -1

Check out Verducci's take... It's actually pretty convincing in the opposite direction.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

FWIW, in my 9 team only AL & NL leagues, one 1 of those guys has been on the wire (Porcello).

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 1

Very interesting how quickly and effectively they were able to alter their mechanics and improve. Did you get a chance to look at Lackey at all? Just wondering if he has similar room for improvement (sure he does)and how the ease of making those mechanical changes might compare to Buchholz and Lester.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Is there anyone who believe Mark Ellis mashing NL pitching is for real? I'm thinking of cutting him to pick up Arenado in a NL only league. All advice welcome.

Apr 29, 2013 1:17 PM on Nolan Arenado
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

"We are always lamenting the percentage of various minorities in a particular endeavor..." Just a suggestion, you should perhaps be a little introspective about why you would write this or state it as a concern.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

MLB is looking at a much bigger picture than simply comparing the racial make-up of the populace as a whole to the population of big league players.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

lol cliffhanger

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

I know where to find k/9 on a player page on BP but where do I find K%?

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

it's a typo - 41 ABs

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Justin Maxwell has a 7 game hitting streak.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 4

Thank you RJ, that explains a lot...Hat tip to you for explaining what nobody else has written about. Really helpful.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Great article, Sam. Eye-opening. Thank you.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

I agree. Enjoyed it. Small suggestion for future article - struggles of certain rookies like Hicks and Machado...

Apr 08, 2013 8:19 AM on Junk In His Trunk
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Really fun article. Does PITCHf/x make it easy to find out the next lowest pitch classified as a sinker that had been hit for a home run?

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

In my PFM, Garza is coming up as a RP, not a SP. Maybe that's why he got left off here?

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Really awesome tool! Great work BP!

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 6

The kid is 17 years old and headed for A ball. Perhaps you'd do better to think about this particular article as the exclamation point to some of Jason's other recent words about Mondesi, such as http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=19043

Mar 19, 2013 7:54 AM on The Magic of Mondesi
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 1

Jason, I found the piece funny, informative and entertaining. Perfectly done. I'll probably go back to it later today and enjoy it a second time, just to see what I may have missed the first time through.

Mar 19, 2013 7:43 AM on The Magic of Mondesi
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Thanks. I may end up giving that a try - especially on my NL only side because my potential keepers are basically mediocre or slightly worse. I appreciate the tip.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

I'm allocating 30% to pitchers. There seems to be very little in value difference between SPs on PFM, except for the very top tiers, that's my main issue. The problem I gather is that PFM is apparently super conservative with W's with most being assigned between 10 and 12. Therefore PFM doesn't offer much separation between them. I think Paul's bid values would probably be more valuable to me that PFM so I was looking into whether it could be adapted for a 4x4.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Yes, you got it right.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Mike, I play in a league where saves and runs scored aren't counted, 4x4...any thoughts on a strategy for how I might adjust your numbers for a league with those variables? Especially on the pitching side, PECOTA/PFM isn't really doing it for me.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Typo alert - Bryce Harper's "age 29 season" should be 20 ?

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Paul, did you see Chapman pitch as a starter last spring?

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Would it make sense for me to adjust your prices by a simple multiplication factor based on the size of the league, i.e. 9 player AL?

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 1

Thank you, I was really looking forward to reading this article in light of conversations I had this weekend regarding Felix Hernandez. He's lost about 4 mph in the last 5 years, which is a significantly greater loss than an average pitcher over the same period. Did you consider using loss of velocity? Any other info you can share that's Felix-specific would be very welcome.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 1

way cool, thanks!

Feb 15, 2013 10:09 AM on Updated NFBC ADP data
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Very enjoyable article and series. Thank you.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Do they do this for AL and NL only?

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

What are the scoring categories?

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Ha quite a long shot. By "series" I mean Keeper Reaper!

Jan 22, 2013 12:18 PM on Outfielders for 1/18/13
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: -1

Do you plan to cover Chris Davis in this series?

Jan 18, 2013 1:58 PM on Outfielders for 1/18/13
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Do you plan to take a similar look at SD? I'm especially interested in Venable.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Thanks for the follow-up...I hope Burnett repeats those pretty stellar numbers cause I am planning to keep him at $10.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

I got Chapman at $7 so even though we only get to keep 10 (NL only) I gather the risk is low since it leaves me with a lot of extra $ to pick up what's available in the draft (20 player rosters, including 8 pitchers. I just finished my first year in this particular league and am also wondering about how many pitchers to keep. On the NL side, most if not all of the guys seem to be keeping 3 pitchers. But on the AL side, all but 1 or 2 are keeping just 2 pitchers. I don't know how or if to take that into consideration while determining my own keepers.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

I have the opposite keeper issue...picked up Chapman for cheap reasoning he was a bargain even if he went back to the bullpen. I thought his third pitch issue had been resolved... Paul, how about taking a closer look at AJ Burnett? 3 games of 6 or more ERs last season and 180 Ks, 3.51 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Is the improvement mostly from the move from NYY to PIT and can it be sustained?

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Re: Dodgers/Yankees payroll. FanGraphs had an interesting article last month where they compared Yankees and Dodgers payrolls adjusted for inflation, and as a percentage of MLB revenue. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/a-different-take-on-the-dodgers-spending-spree

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 4

"The last Democrat to get one was JFK." Actually it's (probably) Norman Y. Mineta (San Jose). Also, not directly named, but while Austin Bergstrom is named for the former Air Force Base it inhabits, the terminal is named for Barbara Jordan.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 2

I hate to see a typo on the front page --- "Office of the Oresident of the American League"

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

A good chuckle in the morning is worth it's weight in coffee.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

Really good article, made me take a look at my team again. 9 team AL/NL only, 10 keepers and rosters of 20. We can trade Salary Dollars during the off-season, which brings an additional level of complexity to the "value" decision.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 2

Not a prospect question per se but what was point of giving Wright 134 mil if you're going to be in rebuilding phase during his peak years? Is his contract no-trade? Maybe they wouldn't dare trade him though.

 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: -1

beta

Jan 30, 2010 8:28 PM on May 30-June 1, 2002
 
warpigs
(35124)
Comment rating: 0

I second the suggestion to expand the list beyond 20, not necessarily by ranking beyond 20 but as someone else suggested, with a "just missed" category. I also really like the idea of highlighting collapse/breakout potential.