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Tony Bosley
4 comments | -6 total rating | -1.50 average rating
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Baseball Prospectus http://bbp.cx/i/35065
Tony Bosley
(35065)
Comment rating: 1

So you're saying Gonzalez and his contract are more valuable than any set of prospects any team could give up? Of course not. Your argument is basically that you should never trade an established talent with a cheap contract. This is a ridiculous stance. If you can trade him for more value than he carries (which is essentially the production he gives you which is greater than his contract $$$, which I agree is very high) then you can easily make a trade where you are getting the better end of it. Adding to this, SD is obviously in rebuilding mode. They are trying to make the playoffs several years down the road, not hang on and finish a few less games under .500 the next few years.

May 21, 2009 4:02 PM on There They Go Again
 
Tony Bosley
(35065)
Comment rating: -7

You don't understand value.

May 21, 2009 1:29 PM on There They Go Again
 
Tony Bosley
(35065)
Comment rating: 0

Sure it could, but current mlb talent is just one of many factors that should be going into any model trying to value a franchise. In my opinion, the trade would have little overall effect on the franchise's overall value unless it is significantly lopsided one way or the other.

May 21, 2009 9:41 AM on There They Go Again
 
Tony Bosley
(35065)
Comment rating: 0

Just went back and re-read that Rany Jazayerli article and I took away that in fact there is predictive power much earlier in the season than 30 games. The 30 game mark was the sort of magic threshold where a super hot start nearly assures a successful season. However, there seems to be definite evidence that hot starts of much fewer games correlate into an increased likelihood of future success in the season.

Apr 22, 2009 1:07 PM on Reality Therapy