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Daniel Rathman
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Baseball Prospectus http://bbp.cx/i/31349
Daniel Rathman
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Whoa, that is an awesome coincidence!

Sep 02, 2016 2:41 PM on The Ryan Schimpf Story
 
Daniel Rathman
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Great question... luckily MLB.com's highlight archives go back years, so I just had to locate the rare game(s) in which Barajas hit a home run. Since I never experienced him being on the team I root for, I kind of miss watching Barajas try to launch everything at the moon hanging over left field.

Sep 02, 2016 8:27 AM on The Ryan Schimpf Story
 
Daniel Rathman
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It was probably more related to taking it easy on him after a long time away with a hamstring strain, but yes, they certainly have a nice group of defensive outfielders up in Boston.

Aug 23, 2016 9:59 AM on Homer Story
 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep. One quick correction, though: <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=103263">Luis Alejandro Basabe</a></span> was traded to the Diamondbacks in the Ziegler deal.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for pointing that out -- the relief appearances must've prevented the Play Index from catching Young's streak.

Jul 05, 2016 11:52 AM on Oh, That Fernando Rodney
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Jul 05, 2016 10:29 AM on Oh, That Fernando Rodney
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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That's a good point--it wouldn't surprise me if it were padding velos by a couple of mph. Nonetheless, even 98-99 would represent a substantial bump for Paxton.

Jun 07, 2016 8:04 AM on James Paxton's 101s
 
Daniel Rathman
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Sure thing... 8/21/2014: Keuchel, Ross, Price, McCarthy 8/12/2013: <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45534">Cole Hamels</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=65751">Chris Sale</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=60655">Garrett Richards</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=52617">Andrew Albers</a></span> 6/15/2011: <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=523">Carl Pavano</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=31534">Gavin Floyd</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=489">Josh Beckett</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=450">Livan Hernandez</a></span> 5/18/2011: <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=638">Jake Peavy</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=49766">Justin Masterson</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Charlie+Morton">Charlie Morton</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=31714">Jorge De La Rosa</a></span> 5/16/2010 (5): <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=702">Bronson Arroyo</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1173">Joel Pineiro</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=677">Brett Myers</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1130">Jake Westbrook</a></span>, Cliff Lee

May 31, 2016 8:36 PM on So This Is Matt Harvey!
 
Daniel Rathman
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At the risk of questioning whether Meadows is superhuman, this is now fixed. Thanks.

May 31, 2016 9:39 AM on Games of May 27-30
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for pointing that out. Based on a quick Play Index run, it appears the answer is August 21, 2014. The four starters that day were <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=60448">Dallas Keuchel</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=58617">Tyson Ross</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=David+Price">David Price</a></span>, and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45558">Brandon McCarthy</a></span>. Now, the last time four starters so unlikely to throw a <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=CG" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('CG'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">CG</span></a> came together and did it on the same day... I'm sure it's been a while.

May 31, 2016 8:49 AM on So This Is Matt Harvey!
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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That's quite a string of left-handers the Mets will run into on back to back to back days.

 
Daniel Rathman
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And there we go, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep, forgot to go back and account for that rainout, but we'll see if the White Sox end up pushing everyone back. Thanks for the heads up.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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You sure are.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Bad luck appears to be part of it. Our advanced stats (81 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=cFIP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('cFIP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">cFIP</span></a>, actually lower than his 84 last year) like him just fine going forward.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Good point -- watching the ball is not the 1B ump (Mike DiMuro's) responsibility on that play.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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That is the typical strike zone. But even with the soft corners in that one, there are at least a handful of calls that went Locke's way, likely thanks to Cervelli.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Good catch - thanks!

Apr 19, 2016 12:08 PM on Let's Roll It Up
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fair enough, and yep... good luck with that one :)

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Thanks for reading.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Thanks for reading.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Parsing the legalese there, yes, it means the runner has to maintain contact through the end of the slide. The latter portion of that seems much more salient to me, as I'm not sure how a runner could be able to maintain contact without attempting to; if someone wants to explain that, I'm all ears. Thanks for reading.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Considering he only threw around 89 last year, between Double-A and the majors, I probably wouldn't expect much more than 120.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

Mar 22, 2016 2:21 PM on National League West
 
Daniel Rathman
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He's another possibility, but would seem to be more of a candidate for time in a corner (https://twitter.com/Haudricourt/status/707257299908202496), with the possibility of playing CF in a pinch. I'd expect him to make the team, though, given -- as you pointed out -- that he's out of options.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Waiting definitely seems like the prudent strategy there. That said, they would lose their highest available draft pick -- which most likely would be the comp. pick for <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=51985">Justin Upton</a></span>.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Certainly could end up that way, especially if Cespedes ends up with a long-term commitment despite the slow-developing market.

Dec 29, 2015 10:50 PM on Yo Back to Motown?
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

Dec 15, 2015 4:49 PM on WHIP: A Deeper Dive
 
Daniel Rathman
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That's a fair point. It's worth noting, though, that the Sox seem to have some depth beyond the projected five -- Price, Buchholz, Porcello, E-Rod, Miley Kelly -- in <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Henry+Owens">Henry Owens</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Steven+Wright">Steven Wright</a></span>. I think there's enough depth here to move a back-end starter, but you're certainly right that teams often need more than five or six to get through a year.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed.

 
Daniel Rathman
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This is why the B-Ref Play Index is the best thing ever: http://bbref.com/pi/shareit/7Q0WB

Oct 05, 2015 11:03 PM on Fin
 
Daniel Rathman
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Tweaked the wording a bit to clarify—the point was that when that game was rained out, almost all the playoff-relevant action was in the West.

Sep 30, 2015 10:06 AM on The Chaos Chase
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fair enough. And drawing that walk as a pinch-hitter was probably even more challenging.

Sep 16, 2015 10:13 AM on September 16, 2015
 
Daniel Rathman
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Lol. Fixed, thanks.

Sep 02, 2015 8:00 AM on September 2, 2015
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

Sep 02, 2015 8:00 AM on September 2, 2015
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

Aug 28, 2015 12:07 PM on August 28, 2015
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Haha—fixed the wording that jumbled this. Thanks for the heads up.

Aug 26, 2015 10:22 AM on August 26, 2015
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

Aug 26, 2015 7:18 AM on August 26, 2015
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

Aug 11, 2015 8:55 AM on August 11, 2015
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

Jul 17, 2015 10:07 AM on July 17, 2015
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

Jun 19, 2015 9:22 AM on June 19, 2015
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

Jun 16, 2015 7:35 AM on June 16, 2015
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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The second GIF should be of a catcher's interference. I will update the post with the correct one shortly. Thanks for the heads up.

Jun 12, 2015 9:18 AM on June 12, 2015
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
Comment rating: -

Fixed, thanks!

Apr 29, 2015 7:37 AM on HIS NAME IS... !
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks!

Apr 29, 2015 7:36 AM on HIS NAME IS... !
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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For those who want to check this one out, here's a link to the highlight: atmlb.com/1G53YZX

Apr 22, 2015 9:52 AM on Ike!
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

Apr 22, 2015 9:51 AM on Ike!
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Thanks, Zach—glad you enjoyed it.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Certainly worthy of mention. One little nugget from that game—Gray threw two fastballs over 98 mph, the first time he's reached that velocity in the majors: http://www.brooksbaseball.net/velo.php?player=543243&b_hand=-1&time=month&minmax=ci&var=maxmph&s_type=2&startDate=03/30/2007&endDate=04/07/2015&gFilt=&pFilt=FA

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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That too. A defensive-oriented platoon probably replaces Pence with comparable value.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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It's possible, I guess, but I really can't see the fit here. The Giants aren't going to pick up $28-plus million on Ethier's contract to give them a Pence replacement for a month and a half.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Updated the post to better reflect that he spent most of the year in Double-A. That's a fair point, jardinero, but adding in the 6-to-37 BB:K ratio and the .226 TAv, it was a sharp decline from his minor-league numbers. Definitely not a reason to give up, though, considering his limited upper-minors experience, as you pointed out. Thanks for reading.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Thanks for clarifying that, CRP13. It's fixed above.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks

Feb 24, 2015 8:01 AM on Baseball Player Fatter
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Same. Kind of crazy that a 34th-round pick debuted at age 20.

Feb 17, 2015 9:00 AM on Bradley Fielding Advice
 
Daniel Rathman
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Legit LOL'd at that while editing this article.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Sorry about the delay in replying to this, fawcettb. My guess is they'll go Andrus at SS, Odor at 2B, and Profar in Triple-A to continue his development but also to see whether he still has the arm to play SS or is limited to 2B. The secondary benefit of this is it gives them another shot to see if Andrus can progress offensively or get himself into better shape than he was in for 2014 (http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2014/10/17/elvis-andrus-has-lost-10-pounds-plans-to-lose-10-more/). It seems like a perennial question, but this might be an issue they'd be most apt to decide in a year, especially having already traded Luis Sardinas, who would've been a nice utility option. Profar's value seems likelier to go up than down, so I can't say I see any rush to move either him or Odor at this point. They should also have a better idea of what Michael de Leon can contribute a year from now.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed a typo that was contributing to the confusion. These are rounds 3-4. There is a link at the top to see rounds 1-2 from earlier this week.

Jan 29, 2015 6:42 AM on Rounds 3-4
 
Daniel Rathman
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Whoops, major brain-lock there. Fixed the references to Dickerson—and to clarify, the report was indeed about Blackmon, with no mention of Dickerson currently being on the trade block.

Jan 19, 2015 12:08 PM on Big Yields Shields
 
Daniel Rathman
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Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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It seems a bit strange to me that a team that's still a couple of years off from serious contention would invest significant money into a reliever. Robertson hasn't really shown any signs of volatility, but it just strikes me as a curious allocation of funds. We'll see if they actually put they money where their mouth is on this one.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Daniel Rathman
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Thursday is the deadline for teams to add Rule 5 draft eligible players to their 40-man rosters to "protect" them from the draft.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Nothing empirical, at least not yet, but there is anecdotal evidence that they were willing to go to 5 years on Martin (https://twitter.com/CSNMooney/status/534446143980470273), albeit presumably not to $82 million over that term.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Haha figured that one would get people a little riled up.

Nov 17, 2014 11:46 AM on Will Cubs Rustle Martin?
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Huh, not sure why the Play Index (http://bbref.com/pi/shareit/fxa62) didn't turn that up, but the game log checks out. Thanks for the heads up!

Sep 30, 2014 12:53 AM on September 29, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed

Sep 15, 2014 10:22 AM on September 8-14
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Disagreeing here. Just kraut for me.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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That's a good point. If that's the case, and Joe Torre kind of confirmed that today—https://twitter.com/Ken_Rosenthal/status/509773897798254592—then it seems there's a distinct advantage to hitting the ball to CF or RF in, say, a sac-fly situation.

Sep 10, 2014 11:52 AM on September 10, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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There was a late entry on Fielder that's been added above.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Knew this was coming. Make your case. I'll listen/read.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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An excellent outing, to be sure. Found it very interesting that he dominated with the hard stuff: 13 whiffs with the fastball and sinker, none on any of his secondary pitches. Full breakdown here: http://tinyurl.com/degrom8 It probably gets more attention on most days, but fell victim to my not covering every game this time around. Thanks for pointing it out.

Sep 10, 2014 10:31 AM on September 10, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Cosign. I'm also siding with you on the hot dog debate.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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D'oh! Fixed, thanks.

Sep 09, 2014 6:30 AM on September 9, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed. I've developed an annoying habit of forgetting about the Thursday games when writing weekend recaps. Thanks for catching that.

Sep 08, 2014 10:25 AM on Sept. 8, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed. Also added an updated link with his diagnosis—rotator-cuff inflammation, but no structural damage. Thanks!

Sep 08, 2014 10:24 AM on Sept. 8, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Should be fixed. You can also find it here: http://www.chron.com/sports/astros/article/Gallery-Furniture-s-Mattress-Mack-could-be-5736221.php Thanks for the heads up.

Sep 08, 2014 8:18 AM on Sept. 8, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Thanks—glad you enjoy them!

Sep 05, 2014 12:51 PM on September 5, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks!

Sep 03, 2014 9:27 AM on September 3, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Definitely 1929. Thanks for catching that!

Aug 25, 2014 9:11 AM on August 25, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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It wasn't a great batch, so I gave Hunter the nod for an impressive play by his standards in a key situation. If I remember correctly, Jake Marisnick was the runner-up for a play in the Astros-Red Sox game.

Aug 15, 2014 10:23 AM on August 15, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
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I had that thought, too, and I believe the rule as worded would apply up the line. However, it also looks to me like Amarista veers from the dirt path before Pierzynski blocks it, and so the runner had created his own lane around where Pierzynski ended up. The other aspect is Pierzynski—likely by good fortune—doesn't fully block the lane until the ball comes into his possession. Then again, given the way reviews of Rule 7.13 have played it, this one might've been worth another look.

Aug 15, 2014 8:36 AM on August 15, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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I think there's absolutely a case to be made that 3B coaches should be more aggressive in sending runners until this is resolved.

Aug 14, 2014 1:07 PM on August 14, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Yup.

Jul 29, 2014 12:50 PM on July 29, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
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Derp, thanks—fixing.

Jul 28, 2014 10:50 AM on July 28, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
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The Rizzo deal certainly looks great these days. I wrote about him back in May http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=23484), and he's kept it up since then. He's definitely in the top 5-7 MVP candidates if the season ended today.

Jul 23, 2014 11:29 AM on July 23, 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
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I could've worded that better. What I meant to say is that he was part of the group that allowed nothing but singles.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Well, after he just took Felix yard on an 0-2 pitch... you might be on to something.

Jul 11, 2014 7:15 PM on Alcantara Can Stay
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks!

Jul 07, 2014 2:22 PM on Weekend Wrap-Up, 7/7
 
Daniel Rathman
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Also, I wrote the What to Watch segment before Taijuan Walker's return to the majors was announced, but that's certainly worth noting. He goes up against the Astros at Minute Maid at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Jun 30, 2014 3:13 PM on Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/30
 
Daniel Rathman
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Hm, if you're referring to what I think you are, it looks like that's something MLB.com does on embedded videos. I'll see if there's something that can be done about it, but that might not be something we can address. Thanks for the feedback.

Jun 30, 2014 3:09 PM on Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/30
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed.

Jun 30, 2014 11:57 AM on Week 14
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Yup, that's another one.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed to reflect that the nature of the injury and the timetable have yet to be announced.

Jun 24, 2014 12:19 AM on Games of June 20-22
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Arenado was absolutely another injury worth mentioning--thanks for noting that.

Jun 23, 2014 12:34 PM on Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/23
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for adding that insight about the steals.

Jun 19, 2014 8:20 AM on Another No-No
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

Jun 17, 2014 7:44 AM on The Royals Roll On
 
Daniel Rathman
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The table shows Rizzo's numbers against left-handed sliders in 2013-14. Sorry about the confusion.

Jun 11, 2014 11:13 AM on A Wild One at Coors
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Good point--I was thinking the same thing. He could've gone another 3 steps without any chance of getting picked off.

Jun 09, 2014 11:04 AM on Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/9
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed

Jun 03, 2014 9:03 AM on Games of Monday, June 2
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Sure is—fixed, thanks.

May 21, 2014 7:49 AM on Chris Davis Going Deep
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Great point—the Play Index did not include that game under the search I used.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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I'm with you on this one, and that was exactly my problem with it. If anything it's a delayed walkoff.

May 07, 2014 7:07 AM on Kershaw Comes Back
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Interesting—I saw a couple of their writers (one is linked) tweet that, but you may be right. Thanks for clarifying.

May 05, 2014 10:28 AM on Weekend Wrap-Up, 5/5
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed.

May 05, 2014 7:03 AM on Weekend Wrap-Up, 5/5
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed.

May 05, 2014 7:02 AM on Weekend Wrap-Up, 5/5
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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I haven't seen a "leaderboard," but this website appears to track each reviewed/overturned call and lists the umpire who made it: http://www.closecallsports.com/search/label/Instant%20Replay The samples are almost certainly too small, at this point, to render any judgment about umpire quality based on overturned calls, but it would be nice to keep track.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Thanks, guys!

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Yep, that's actually why I worded it that way. It'll be interesting to see if he can be as efficient in the majors and sustain his stuff closer to 100.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fixed

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Durr, yeah—that wording doesn't work for him. Fixed, thanks.

Apr 29, 2014 6:16 AM on Gray Matters
 
Daniel Rathman
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I vaguely remembered a BP interview with Yost, and having Google helps :)

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Thanks!

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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You bet—thanks for reading!

Apr 25, 2014 1:53 PM on Kluber Completes a Game
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Same here!

Apr 25, 2014 10:34 AM on Kluber Completes a Game
 
Daniel Rathman
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If you want to watch the play John H. is referring to, here is a link to the video: http://m.mlb.com/video/v32316119/texoak-rios-called-out-at-home-after-review-in-1st?partnerId=as_mlb_20140423_22535954

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed.

Apr 17, 2014 10:25 AM on Cueto in Control
 
Daniel Rathman
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Yikes, that's a rough day.

Apr 17, 2014 9:47 AM on Cueto in Control
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks. The Bedard bit will reappear in tomorrow's WYNTK.

Apr 17, 2014 9:44 AM on Cueto in Control
 
Daniel Rathman
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I think it's replay-related, but not in the way that you're suggesting. Replay—and the ability to subject most things to slow-motion-video review—forces strict interpretations of rules that weren't interpreted strictly before. Otherwise, managers would challenge them. I think MLB tried to cover itself by telling umpires to rule it "no catch," and then go to replay for indisputable evidence otherwise; we'll see if that changes this offseason.

Apr 15, 2014 8:36 AM on Back-and-Forth Baseball
 
Daniel Rathman
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Glad you're enjoying it.

Apr 15, 2014 8:34 AM on Back-and-Forth Baseball
 
Daniel Rathman
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If that had happened about 20 minutes earlier, it would've made this article. Thanks for pointing it out!

Apr 15, 2014 8:31 AM on Back-and-Forth Baseball
 
Daniel Rathman
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The rule has a built-in clause to prevent this: "In establishing the validity of the catch, the fielder shall hold the ball long enough to prove that he has complete control of the ball and that his release of the ball is voluntary and intentional." If the outfielder intentionally drops the ball, in the umpire's view, my understanding is that it'll be a catch—or at least it should be based on the wording of the rule.

Apr 14, 2014 1:31 PM on Weekend Wrap-Up, 4/14
 
Daniel Rathman
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It sure was. Thanks, it's fixed.

Apr 14, 2014 1:29 PM on Weekend Wrap-Up, 4/14
 
Daniel Rathman
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Clarified, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Good catch—I looked for pitchers who struck out 10 in 4 or 9 in 3, but in hindsight, my Play Index searches would have excluded 9 in 3 1/3. Thanks.

Apr 11, 2014 8:31 PM on A Play at the Plate
 
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Yeah, given the way that calls have "stood" on review this year, I can't see that call being changed. We can't see the inside of Sanchez's glove, or where exactly the ball is at the time of the tag, so I strongly doubt that could've been overturned.

Apr 11, 2014 11:00 AM on A Play at the Plate
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for the comments, everyone. The umpire indicated after the game that his ruling was that the catcher did not have possession, not that he illegally blocked the plate. The Takeaway portion will be revised to indicate that shortly. Sorry about the confusion.

Apr 11, 2014 7:34 AM on A Play at the Plate
 
Daniel Rathman
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No argument from me on the silliness of the interpretation.

Apr 10, 2014 12:03 PM on Ervin Arrives
 
Daniel Rathman
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Demotion may not have been the right word, but I believe it's the first time that Harper has hit that low in the order since June 2012. You're right to point out that Matt Williams has shuffled up the order a lot more than Davey Johnson did, though; thanks for mentioning it.

Apr 10, 2014 11:46 AM on Ervin Arrives
 
Daniel Rathman
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Heh, I think we're stretching the definition here. It'd be tough to prove an "involuntary" release in that case.

Apr 10, 2014 10:25 AM on Ervin Arrives
 
Daniel Rathman
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Take a look at the play in the Indians/Padres game right now. The confusion grows.

Apr 09, 2014 12:23 PM on You Must Learn Control
 
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Travis, I go back and forth on the significance of head-to-head plate appearance data, as I think there are matchups in which it is significant. However, I agree that it generally is overused by announcers who need to come up with facts on the fly, and I try to avoid leaning on it in WYNTK unless there is a long-standing, eye-popping trend. This probably did not meet that standard, and it's fair for you to call me on it. Thanks for the feedback.

 
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Thanks—glad you're enjoying them.

Apr 09, 2014 11:25 AM on You Must Learn Control
 
Daniel Rathman
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Absolutely—the line is murky and seems to be at the replay umpires' discretion.

Apr 09, 2014 11:13 AM on You Must Learn Control
 
Daniel Rathman
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The Hamilton play was different in that he caught the ball and went directly to his glove to remove it, at which point the ball popped out. Gordon clearly established possession: He hit the wall, fell to the ground, took inventory, and got up, all with the ball in his glove. Then, when he went to remove it, the ball squirted away. There's a much shorter timeframe between when the ball hit Hamilton's glove and when he removed it, which appears to be the distinction, invoking the "voluntary and intentional" clause of in the catch rule. It's also worth noting that, based on the statement from MLB in the Dallas Morning News post, Buckminster should probably not have made the "out" call, because MLB wants indisputable evidence from replay to justify a catch. By making that call, Buckminster prevented Smoak from going to third base, which I think is what McClendon argued after the call was overturned. Umpires are sort of stuck between a rock and a hard place on that one, in terms of getting the runner hung up between bases, but it seems like MLB wants them to err on the side of no catch. By the way, the Gordon play is now embedded so that they can be compared more easily.

Apr 09, 2014 10:04 AM on You Must Learn Control
 
Daniel Rathman
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Sabathia's 08 was on my shortlist before I went with Stanton.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Yeah, while it's hard to say what actually happened, I think that the league made an effort during the offseason to identify every possible gray area in the rules and decide how it would address it. With the neighborhood play, they preferred player safety; with transfers, they put the burden on the receiver. I'd imagine many of these things will be revisited next offseason once the league has a full year of replay—and all of its byproducts—under its belt.

Apr 09, 2014 9:29 AM on You Must Learn Control
 
Daniel Rathman
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I'm not sure this is a rule change as much as it is an emphasis on enforcing the rule by the letter of the book. The definition of a catch appears to place the burden on the player to prove that his release of the ball is voluntary, and any evidence to the contrary negates the catch. I may be wrong, but I think this is more of an effect of replay forcing stricter interpretation than it is a rule change.

Apr 09, 2014 7:47 AM on You Must Learn Control
 
Daniel Rathman
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Heh, an interesting observation from that highlight. But if you look at the official definition of a catch, here is the money line: "In establishing the validity of the catch, the fielder shall *hold the ball long enough* to prove that he has complete control of the ball and that his release of the ball is voluntary and intentional." It would appear that Gordon satisfied that criterion, since he dropped the ball during a "voluntary and intentional" attempt to remove it from his glove, after holding on to it through the collision.

Apr 09, 2014 7:13 AM on You Must Learn Control
 
Daniel Rathman
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It's funny that you mention that, because the Yankees' color guy, David Cone, mentioned that on the broadcast yesterday. I'd imagine the adjustment will become easier to make if/when FIELDf/x data become available.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Heh, unfortunate wording there. Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Critical distinction there, which I failed to note in the sentence. Fixed, thanks.

Apr 07, 2014 5:04 PM on Weekend Wrap-Up
 
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Thanks, MaineSkin. It looks like the command issues returned today for Cosart, and it's hard to say if he'll ever get over them to the point at which he'd be able to maximize his fastball-curveball tandem and become a top-notch starter. For what it's worth, before 2013, Jason Parks projected him as a late-inning reliever because he thought Cosart's mechanics would always impede his command: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=18831.

Apr 07, 2014 12:33 PM on Weekend Wrap-Up
 
Daniel Rathman
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Whoops, fixed. Thanks.

Apr 07, 2014 11:44 AM on Games of April 4-6
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Apr 05, 2014 4:14 PM on The Importance of Pagan
 
Daniel Rathman
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Sadly, yep.

 
Daniel Rathman
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I didn't see much of that game, unfortunately. Anyone else get a good look at Anderson?

 
Daniel Rathman
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He sure was! It would've come down to him or the Cubs/Pirates game if I'd included one more Quick Hit.

 
Daniel Rathman
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That one was a close second to Tulowitzki's when I decided which of the two to use.

Apr 02, 2014 7:31 AM on Revere Does Not Go Deep
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for pointing out that distinction—I'll make the change above.

Apr 01, 2014 10:02 AM on Aces of the NL Central
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks!

Apr 01, 2014 10:02 AM on Aces of the NL Central
 
Daniel Rathman
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Whoops, definitely an omission there. Added a note on Samardzija and the Cubs staff. Thanks.

Apr 01, 2014 7:19 AM on Aces of the NL Central
 
Daniel Rathman
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Actually, looking at his B-Ref player page, it looks like he had nine major-league starts in 1998.

Mar 31, 2014 6:10 PM on Opening Night Action
 
Daniel Rathman
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Interesting—I'd based that on a handful of tweets and a quick B-Ref Play Index search, but I don't see what disqualifies Roque's start from the group, even though it didn't pop up. Thanks for pointing that out.

Mar 31, 2014 6:09 PM on Opening Night Action
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks—good to be back!

Mar 31, 2014 6:57 AM on Opening Night Action
 
Daniel Rathman
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Heh, well, they're back!

Mar 31, 2014 6:56 AM on Opening Night Action
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Mar 26, 2014 7:23 AM on WHIP
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Mar 22, 2014 9:58 AM on Staff Picks for 2014
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks

Mar 19, 2014 8:53 AM on Filling First Base
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Daniel Rathman
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Ah, that disappeared when I changed the title. They're added now. Thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep—that's in today's Roundup. :)

Mar 11, 2014 6:22 AM on Santana Signing Soon?
 
Daniel Rathman
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What I meant was that he was an amateur free agent when he signed the four-year major-league deal in 2008.

Mar 10, 2014 9:19 AM on Santana Signing Soon?
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Mar 10, 2014 9:18 AM on Santana Signing Soon?
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed

 
Daniel Rathman
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The post is now updated—he should have been listed as high risk. Thanks.

Mar 04, 2014 6:11 AM on Part Two: 51-101
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Yeah, it's certainly not the greatest of fits. But the Rogers Centre wouldn't seem to be, either.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Feb 24, 2014 5:32 AM on Starting Pitchers
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks

Feb 20, 2014 7:48 AM on Top 120 Outfielders
 
Daniel Rathman
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Drabek was an oversight; just added him to the list in the article. Thanks.

Feb 20, 2014 7:30 AM on Whither Santana?
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Added, thanks for pointing that out.

Feb 13, 2014 8:26 AM on Third Base Prospects
 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep, the numbers were a little startling when I saw them yesterday, even knowing that he wasn't good back there.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Daniel Rathman
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The rankings should show up in an embedded spreadsheet, but if you're unable to see them, you can also see it by following this link: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AuspDfJO_tIedENrajFLTzhlRUJXTl9UXzRKX0tFaVE#gid=15

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Feb 06, 2014 11:11 AM on Examining the Market
 
Daniel Rathman
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You're right about that—and I don't see them doing it unless it's a good value. A three-year deal between Arroyo and the Diamondbacks would shock me. My guess is that they're "kicking the tires" in case the price comes down to one year, but in that case, there would be needier suitors.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Espinosa is definitely the underdog here, but it depends how much the Nationals emphasize wanting to improve defensively. They were 21st in park-adjusted defensive efficiency last year, and Espinosa would have a large edge over Rendon at 2B. That may not make up for the gap between them at the plate—and the need to get Rendon into the lineup with both corner-infield spots occupied—but it could be a factor.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Both fair points. Home runs (17 in 658 vs. 3 in 167) likely would have been a better comparison on the offensive side. And, in either case, he's likely to have a significant defensive advantage over Rendon, if that plays into the Nationals' decision making this spring.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed.

Jan 24, 2014 11:17 AM on First Basemen
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Jan 24, 2014 8:23 AM on First Base Prospects
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed.

Jan 22, 2014 10:47 AM on Rounds 1-2
 
Daniel Rathman
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Good catch, thanks. It's fixed above.

 
Daniel Rathman
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I think Baker is a very useful bat-first bench player, because he has a distinct strength (hitting left-handed pitching) and can provide it to the team from multiple positions. That said, I think he'd be exposed versus right-handed pitching—his career OPS is some 230 points lower with a virtually equal number of plate appearances (826 vs. RH, 827 vs. LH). If he could find a way to improve in that regard, I could see him becoming a playable regular, but I see him as more of a corner utility man or platoon type right now.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching that; everything is now updated with one vote removed.

Jan 08, 2014 7:11 AM on The 2014 Results
 
Daniel Rathman
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I think you'd have to evaluate the player for what he is, without letting history color your opinion too much, though I think it's fair to say that NPB pitchers who have transitioned well have laid the path for more to come. With that said, it seems unfair to label Tanaka as either Darvish 2.0 or Dice-K 2.0. From that standpoint, teams have to determine how well his particular skillset will translate to the majors and base their value almost entirely on that. There have been reports that the Cubs are as high on Tanaka as any club, so the roller-coaster experience with Matsuzaka appears irrelevant to Theo Epstein and co.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Daniel Rathman
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Daniel Rathman
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I believe that is not allowed: https://twitter.com/timdierkes/status/283972095120121856.

Dec 19, 2013 12:07 PM on Who Likes Ike?
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed. Thanks, guys.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for pointing that out. It's fixed above.

Nov 14, 2013 8:07 AM on Oakland Athletics
 
Daniel Rathman
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Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep--it's fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Like I said, I think that's a good point. From McCann's perspective, it was probably a case of prioritizing Uribe's weakness—swinging at sliders below the zone and away—rather than Carpenter's strength, which was the wrong decision. That said, I think the same applies to the cliché of getting beat with your best pitcher on the mound, and I would rather have had Kimbrel on the mound with the tying run on second and the go-ahead run at the plate than Carpenter.

 
Daniel Rathman
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There might be a case here, as hard as Carpenter throws, but it's worth noting that Uribe was 16-for-92 (.174) with 26 strikeouts versus right-handers' sliders coming into the game: http://www.brooksbaseball.net/h_tabs.php?player=346874&gFilt=&time=month&minmax=ci&var=ra&s_type=2&startDate=01/01/2013&endDate=10/06/2013&balls=-1&strikes=-1&b_hand=R.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Daniel Rathman
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Replaced with a different photo.

 
Daniel Rathman
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This goes back a point someone made in my preview of the series. With the Braves' bench being heavily oriented on speed and defense, Gonzalez's key decision in each game will be figuring out the right time to deploy the reserves. In this case, as you point out, he got away with using them too early, in part because Mattingly made one or two more-egregious mistakes. We'll see how this continues to play out in Game Three.

 
Daniel Rathman
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All of these are valid points, too, and they do get swept under the rug by the Braves winning. The one other thing I'd point out, though, is that Laird is a better throwing catcher than McCann, and Gordon may well have stolen second in the ninth inning if Gonzalez hadn't made the move. Whether that would've made any difference, given the way the rest of the inning unfolded, is debatable.

 
Daniel Rathman
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@canpredictball. That being said, he did make a nice play ranging deep into the left-center field gap later in the game (I think off the bat of Hanley Ramirez). That one shocked me.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks for the correction.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Note: This is now updated to reflect the Braves' official roster. On: RHP David Hale, OF Jose Constanza Off: LHP Scott Downs, RHP Anthony Varvaro So, 11 pitchers and six outfielders.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Completely agree with your point about the bench. If the games are close, the timing of those substitutions could prove pivotal.

 
Daniel Rathman
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As you pointed out with Teheran, there definitely were similar decisions made by the Braves down the stretch. Certainly did not mean to present it as a stark contrast, even though I can see it being read that way.

 
Daniel Rathman
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I didn't intend to pitch that quite so disparately, but the Dodgers placed some emphasis on resting players to keep them healthy for the playoffs over going full throttle during the last couple of weeks. For example, Hanley Ramirez only started 15 of 27 games in September due to lower-back discomfort they wanted to manage leading up to October and Clayton Kershaw got a week between starts (Sept. 13-21) at the expense of one more regular season outing. Nonetheless, it's fair to say that the Dodgers weren't the juggernaut in September that they were in July and August.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Oops, poor synonym choice. It's fixed above. Thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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He is not eligible due to service time accrued in 2012.

 
Daniel Rathman
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I think Freeman would have been worth down-ballot recognition in the MVP vote, but couldn't justify putting him in my top three. Paul Goldschmidt had a better offensive year and is at least as proficient defensively.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Aww—well, if it's any consolation, I'll miss writing them :)

Sep 26, 2013 8:25 AM on Cleveland Socks
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Sep 19, 2013 7:03 AM on Weirdest Baseball
 
Daniel Rathman
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Daniel Rathman
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#TeamEntropy

 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks, orlandoca7. Glad you're enjoying them.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Thought I fixed that this morning, but I guess it didn't go through. Thanks for the heads up; it's now corrected.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Interesting, a late change. Thanks for noting that and his pitch count. I suppose it makes more sense, with the expanded rosters, to take a chance on Ogando than Tepesch.

Sep 17, 2013 7:28 AM on Almost Perfect
 
Daniel Rathman
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The trajectory is difficult to discern from the replay, but I think it might've just gotten over the wall had Gomez not caught it.

Sep 16, 2013 10:14 AM on The A's Sweep Away Texas
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Sep 13, 2013 10:44 AM on Meltdown Madness
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed. Wrote that earlier and forgot to adjust, thanks for catching it.

Sep 13, 2013 10:44 AM on Meltdown Madness
 
Daniel Rathman
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It's a sad story, but it sure seems that way. Hopefully he'll salvage enough of what he once was to carve out some sort of role.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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He seems to prefer the slider and fastball to the splitter in two-strike counts (http://www.brooksbaseball.net/tabs.php?player=518813&balls=-1&strikes=-1&b_hand=-1&time=month&minmax=ci&var=usage&s_type=2&gFilt=&startDate=01/01/2013&endDate=01/01/2014), but that would have been an alternative, too.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching that; it's fixed above.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep—nice effort by Phil Cuzzi to get over there in foul territory, considering it was a rather long run for him, too.

 
Daniel Rathman
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It shall stay. Thanks, R.A.

Aug 29, 2013 12:46 PM on An Ugly Outing for Felix
 
Daniel Rathman
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Glad you're enjoying it. Thanks!

 
Daniel Rathman
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This should be fixed. Thanks for the heads-up.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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That is a good point. Looking forward to seeing how Wright's success in the minors translates to the majors.

Aug 06, 2013 10:09 AM on Atlanta All Alone
 
Daniel Rathman
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Good catch - thanks.

Jul 31, 2013 7:02 PM on The First-Place Pirates
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Jul 29, 2013 12:54 AM on Filling the Void
 
Daniel Rathman
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Both are fixed. Thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed. Thanks, Sam.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for pointing that out, Russ. Sale's outing did essentially take the decision out of the scorer's hands; I should have worded that more clearly.

Jul 17, 2013 2:46 PM on The AL Comes Up Aces
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, sorry about that. Thanks for pointing it out.

Jul 16, 2013 12:57 PM on Games of Monday, July 15
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Jul 09, 2013 1:13 PM on Tigers Back on Top
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks

 
Daniel Rathman
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Here's the replay: http://wapc.mlb.com/play?content_id=28534157. Oddly enough, both of those descriptions fit the batted ball. Nice 0-2 pitch by Bailey, under Posey's hands, too.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Hey DNicholas, I have, actually, and I will start doing it for the previous day's Matchup next week. Thanks for reading!

 
Daniel Rathman
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Soriano could, in theory, be an option if the Giants go shopping for outfielders, but he has rejected a trade to San Francisco in the past (http://articles.latimes.com/2012/aug/05/sports/la-sp-0805-baseball-rumors-20120805). His no-trade clause would almost definitely be a hurdle.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Updated the second-to-last paragraph of the Takeaway to reflect news about Garza's trade market that surfaced this morning.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching that, R.A. I was looking at a box score that was older than I thought when I wrote that; it looks like he has started 37 games in the two-hole and 30 in the three-hole. And I'm with you in endorsing the notion of a team's best hitter batting second.

Jun 24, 2013 2:34 PM on Power Anchors
 
Daniel Rathman
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Only time will tell, but there were definitely signs of promise in the outing, the 7.20 ERA notwithstanding. Let's see what happens at Fenway his next time out.

 
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Doesn't quite qualify in OPS, but he's getting there, and he would almost certainly be my NL MVP choice at this point in the season.

 
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SNIP = Strikes Not In Play (so, the sum of called strikes, swinging strikes, and foul balls).

Jun 20, 2013 3:46 PM on Wheeling and Dealing
 
Daniel Rathman
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Guilty. It's fixed above. Thanks for catching that.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for the feedback, pobothecat — I'll throw them in a bit more often.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep, that's essentially the point. Choosing Kirkman to go first seems to be a product of the idea that you might eventually need Nathan for a save situation, so you can't use him in a tie game with the other team's top hitters coming up.

Jun 07, 2013 7:31 AM on The Great Closer Debate
 
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It should—and looking back at the play-by-play of that game, I think Hurdle handled it correctly, even though it didn't work out.

Jun 07, 2013 7:28 AM on The Great Closer Debate
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Jun 03, 2013 2:39 PM on Powering Up in Philly
 
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Absolutely!

May 30, 2013 11:09 AM on Triple Threat
 
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

May 10, 2013 12:02 PM on Four Hot Hitters
 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep, thanks for catching that. It's fixed above.

 
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Interesting stuff. The strike rate on his offspeed pitches yesterday certainly caught my eye, too.

May 09, 2013 1:26 PM on King of the Hill
 
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I believe he signed with the Yakult Swallows in Japan: https://twitter.com/tokyoswallows/status/329868295803117568.

 
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auricursine, I actually did not mention the Orioles in that sentence mainly because they are playing well at 19-13, whereas the other three teams are either underperforming or have significant concerns. Your point is fair; what I wanted to show was how the AL East landscape has favored the Red Sox in the early going, both from a divisional standpoint and in the wild-card race, but I should have mentioned the Orioles as a possible threat. Thanks.

May 06, 2013 7:37 AM on The Hot Starters
 
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Yes, they played a doubleheader against the Dodgers on April 20. Sorry if that was unclear.

May 02, 2013 10:05 AM on Rocking Their Sox Off
 
Daniel Rathman
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Hah—thanks for catching that. Fixed.

May 01, 2013 9:05 AM on Hooray for Hanleywood
 
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Yep, that would've made things far less eventful (and hurtful) for both sides. It was interesting, too, because none of the angles really showed what happened until the A's telecast pulled up one that had the "O" sign about 10 feet beyond the wall.

 
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Another good one to watch—thanks for pointing it out.

 
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That's an interesting point, Lou—and something that might be worth exploring. Price mentioned in a recent interview with John Fay of the Cincinnati Enquirer that he preaches pitching aggressively and getting ahead in the count—http://news.cincinnati.com/article/20130420/SPT04/304200078/Price-mind-behind-Reds-arms—which may be related to the decrease in walks on their pitching staff.

Apr 25, 2013 9:53 AM on Red-Hot Potential
 
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Ack — I didn't update that to reflect the postponement. It's corrected above, and I'll move the note on Verlander to tomorrow's WYNTK. Thanks for pointing out the error, timber.

Apr 24, 2013 9:27 AM on Bash Brothers
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching that; it's fixed above.

Apr 24, 2013 8:19 AM on Bash Brothers
 
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I think the Brewers will do reasonably well in the run-scoring department, especially as their position players—Corey Hart, Aramis Ramirez—get healthy, so the depth and effectiveness of the starting rotation would probably be my biggest concern.

Apr 23, 2013 9:10 AM on A Hot Cup of Brew Crew
 
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No worries, boatman44. Maybe I'll make those clearer in the future by separating Friday, Saturday, Sunday with headers.

Apr 19, 2013 9:54 AM on Waking Sleeping Giants
 
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Thanks, Gweedoh565. Glad you enjoyed it.

Apr 16, 2013 4:16 PM on Hammerin' Halos
 
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Fixed.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Ack, I wrote that section a few days ago and forgot to double check the probables after the rainout earlier this week. Thanks for catching it. I kept the note on Samardzija, but revised it to reflect Saturday's game.

Apr 12, 2013 11:18 AM on Thursday Night Fight
 
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Thanks for pointing that out; PITCHf/x has it as an 89 mph four-seamer, so I've changed that sentence to just read "fastball."

Apr 12, 2013 9:55 AM on Thursday Night Fight
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed — thanks!

 
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harry, I'll have something on Halladay if he struggles again in his next outing. Thanks for reading.

Apr 09, 2013 7:45 AM on Cuckoo for Coco (Crisp)
 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep, that will be interesting to see. My guess is that Hector Sanchez will get the duties tonight, since the Giants have a day game after this night game, unless Bochy prefers to move Posey to first base tomorrow with the Rockies throwing a lefty (Jeff Francis).

Apr 09, 2013 7:43 AM on Cuckoo for Coco (Crisp)
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Apr 09, 2013 6:37 AM on Cuckoo for Coco (Crisp)
 
Daniel Rathman
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That is outstanding.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Yikes!

Apr 01, 2013 9:31 AM on Opening Day Madness
 
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That's correct — nice catch. More on that here: http://sports.nationalpost.com/2012/05/25/blue-jays-using-piggybacking-method-to-protect-pitching-prospects/.

Mar 30, 2013 6:32 AM on Setting the Stage
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Mar 28, 2013 8:31 AM on Relief Pitchers
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed.

Mar 26, 2013 6:03 AM on Sixth Edition, March 26
 
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Thanks for posting the text of the rule, Chucko. I hope that clarifies the Super Two threshold, which is, as Sean said, independent of performance (except to the extent that performance dictates whether a team keeps the player on its major-league roster).

Mar 25, 2013 11:24 PM on Center of the Fold
 
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That could be an option, but Rosenthal mentioned in his post that the Royals are looking for a more potent bat. If the Royals fail to acquire a better hitter by Opening Day, though, they'll need to decide between Dyson and Lough as short-term fixes.

Mar 19, 2013 10:43 AM on The Hole in the Plan
 
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Lough has had a nice spring, but he had a 737 OPS in Triple-A last year, so the Royals would likely look elsewhere if they want more thump. He could be a solid placeholder until Moore makes a deal or a longer-term solution if the Royals choose to emphasize defense and team speed, as you suggested.

Mar 18, 2013 1:13 PM on The Hole in the Plan
 
Daniel Rathman
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That's true, timber — I'd say it's more like 2.5/3 for DeJesus, because his range is definitely adequate in right.

Mar 18, 2013 8:44 AM on The Hole in the Plan
 
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That's an interesting point, Eric. It'll be interesting to track, assuming that he gets the job, stays healthy, and we're able to get regular PITCHf/x data.

 
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Fixed. Thanks, Eddie.

Mar 14, 2013 10:29 AM on Royally Flushed
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks, guys — probably not the best word choice there. Just meant to say that they are his first and only professional organization, and stretched it too far.

Mar 14, 2013 8:21 AM on Royally Flushed
 
Daniel Rathman
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McDonald's best asset definitely is his glove; what I meant to say is that if you trust the small sample from last year, then it's possible that he might not be a zero at the plate. Thanks for pointing this out. I've edited that sentence to reflect that.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep, thanks for providing that update.

 
Daniel Rathman
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He would certainly be one viable possibility, in a market where there aren't many of them.

Mar 07, 2013 7:44 AM on Setting Sail with Sale
 
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Regarding the signs of fatigue, I was referring specifically to September, when his walk rate increased to 8.0 percent, after sitting between 5.6-6.0 percent from June-August. And I did not mean to say that the White Sox babied Sale in the same way that the Nationals babied Strasburg coming off of elbow surgery. The only thing i wanted to point out in that sentence was the 12-day break in July, which ultimately cost him a start or two and, thus, probably 12-14 innings.

Mar 07, 2013 7:43 AM on Setting Sail with Sale
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching that; I was looking a specific span of starts on his B-Ref page, and forgot to readjust it back to the full-season ERA. It's fixed above.

Mar 06, 2013 10:33 AM on Setting Sail with Sale
 
Daniel Rathman
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This is fixed. Thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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It's an interesting idea, Randy, but one possible problem is Porcello's poor numbers against left-handed hitters. Their TAv against him, for his career, is over .300.

Mar 05, 2013 12:14 PM on Not Run Down on Rondon
 
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Michael, There are a few different ways to compile them, but the easiest is via the pitching splits from Baseball Reference: http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/split.cgi?t=p&lg=MLB&year=2012. Scroll down to "Hit Trajectory" and click on batted balls.

Mar 05, 2013 12:13 PM on Not Run Down on Rondon
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching that; I've fixed the date to have the skid running from April 11 through April 24.

 
Daniel Rathman
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This is fixed.

 
Daniel Rathman
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That's correct — it expires after the draft, which means on or after June 9.

 
Daniel Rathman
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After the First-Year Player Draft, which I believe means on or after June 9.

Mar 01, 2013 9:06 AM on A Pain in the Arm
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Heh — Boras was willing to wait until early February with Bourn, but what I meant is that the draft-pick saga might have carried over until close to Opening Day. It's possible that Bourn indicated a preference, above all, to be in camp with his new teammates ASAP, which in turn would have put the pressure on Boras to nail things down. Advantage Indians, even if Bourn, ceteris paribus, preferred the Mets.

Feb 26, 2013 12:26 PM on The Mets' Outfield Blues
 
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Harper does say in his article that the Diamondbacks were holding out for Wheeler, but it's possible that they would have settled for a Murphy- and/or Tejada-led package if Alderson had offered to include a lower-level pitching prospect (such as Noah Syndergaard, who came over from the Blue Jays, or Rafael Montero).

 
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The Marlins certainly will need to contend with their reputation in any extension talks or free-agent negotiations, but if they are the high bidder, some players may overlook the drawbacks that come with signing there. That said, if you couple that with Loria's comments about the payroll staying well below $100 million for the foreseeable future, big-ticket additions seem doubtful.

 
Daniel Rathman
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That is great.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Not many specifics, but a lot of thought that he'll settle for a one-year deal to reenter the market next winter. Jim Bowden thinks the Brewers, Padres and Rangers make the most sense: https://twitter.com/JimBowdenESPNxm/status/302504299651551233. We'll see if Shelby Miller's shoulder trouble gets the Cardinals active, though it doesn't sound serious, and they have other options.

Feb 20, 2013 12:51 PM on Fishing for Carp
 
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Thanks for mentioning that; I've revised the sentence to reflect what Fish and Quinn wrote more directly, which is that all five were at one point ACES clients, and a couple remain under their representation.

Feb 20, 2013 11:24 AM on Fishing for Carp
 
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He certainly could, Nacho999, I was more or less assuming that he would win a regular role, with Ryan Doumit serving as the primary DH and perhaps doing some catching. It just seems tough, given MIN's roster outlook, to envision a scenario in which Parmelee wouldn't at least serve as the lion's share of a platoon.

Feb 20, 2013 8:40 AM on Fishing for Carp
 
Daniel Rathman
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Basically had to happen today or tomorrow. It'll be interesting to see, now, what happens with Lyle Overbay, if he doesn't win the backup first-base job. He could again become an option for the Brewers, who were interested previously, per Tom Haudricourt: https://twitter.com/Haudricourt/status/304267242726637568.

Feb 20, 2013 8:38 AM on Fishing for Carp
 
Daniel Rathman
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Dave, Thanks for the advice. I'll see if there's a way to have that happen by default; for now, though, you can just right-click (or control-click) on the links and have them open in a new tab/window.

Feb 19, 2013 12:50 PM on Tuesday, February 19
 
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It could be, but I guess what I'm saying is that the number of at-bats for which it would matter this year is minimal.

Feb 19, 2013 11:10 AM on Tuesday, February 19
 
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Rosario can share his tale with Chad Gaudin, who signed a minor-league deal with the Giants earlier in the offseason. The Giants are Gaudin's ninth professional organization.

 
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That's one of many possibilities, should they turn to the trade market, mbithd. However, it's hard to say whether Evans is enough of an upgrade over, say, Bobby Crosby to merit making a trade for a righty who would get the short end of the platoon stick for a couple of weeks.

Feb 19, 2013 10:05 AM on Tuesday, February 19
 
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That could be a match, jfranco77, but as you said, the gap between any of those players and Morris probably isn't large enough to warrant the trouble.

Feb 19, 2013 10:03 AM on Tuesday, February 19
 
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Definitely, in theory, but tell that to the Brewers... More on that situation in tomorrow's Roundup.

Feb 18, 2013 9:25 PM on Monday, February 18
 
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I certainly wouldn't put it past Billy Beane to go hunting for in-season help again, though the Josh Donaldson transition was forced by Scott Sizemore's late-February knee injury. It'll be interesting to see if Donaldson can sustain his late-season improvements.

Feb 18, 2013 8:58 PM on Monday, February 18
 
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Thanks for reading, guys, and I think doublesteel hit the nail on the head here. The A's may need Lowrie's bat at 2B and SS, and they'd be better off finding a different platoon option for the corners. The other element, as I mentioned, is that the outfield is very crowded, and they need to find playing time for guys like Smith, who are currently limited defensively and won't play over regulars like Cespedes or Reddick.

Feb 18, 2013 4:58 PM on Monday, February 18
 
Daniel Rathman
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This was my mistake during editing. I apologize for the confusion.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching that, GoTribe06. It's fixed above.

Feb 13, 2013 9:13 AM on Wednesday, February 13
 
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Thanks for reading, FrankL. I think you're looking at the argument a bit differently than the Mets and Boras are intending to present it. What they are saying is that the rule was put in place in order to ensure that the 10 teams who finished with the poorest records the previous season could sign free agents without giving up their first-round picks. The Mets had the 10th-worst record, and therefore, they should be able to retain the pick, even though the Pirates failed to sign Mark Appel. It's possible, as you said, that the pick could be much deeper into the teens, if multiple teams fail to sign top-10 selections from the previous draft. But whether it's number 11 or 18, the pick that is in limbo would be the one belonging to the team with the 10th-worst record the previous year.

Feb 07, 2013 8:37 AM on Thursday, February 7
 
Daniel Rathman
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Of course!

Feb 05, 2013 8:58 AM on Tuesday, February 5
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed — thanks for catching those.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep, R.A., there are quite a few more events to come once the dates are sorted out.

Feb 04, 2013 8:12 PM on Ballpark Events List
 
Daniel Rathman
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Every chance I get...

Feb 01, 2013 9:45 AM on Friday, February 1
 
Daniel Rathman
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You're absolutely right — thanks for catching that. I went off of last year's stats and forgot about that change. It's fixed above.

Jan 30, 2013 8:01 PM on Wednesday, January 30
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks, Christina. For some reason, the free-agent tracker that I was looking at last night did not have that deal listed. I've updated the article to reflect it.

Jan 28, 2013 10:56 AM on Monday, January 28
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for finding that, timber.

Jan 28, 2013 8:10 AM on Monday, January 28
 
Daniel Rathman
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D'oh — completely forgot about that last night. Thanks for mentioning it; it's fixed above.

Jan 28, 2013 8:04 AM on Monday, January 28
 
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Thanks for reading, saint09. I've seen about half a dozen teams mentioned regarding Porcello, but — although they do have Iglesias — I don't think the Red Sox are one of them. That said, it's entirely possible that they are flying under the radar. If something surfaces on that front, it'll definitely be in a future Roundup.

Jan 27, 2013 10:03 PM on Friday, January 25
 
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Glad you're enjoying them, nolansdad, and thanks for reading. My guess is that if the Mariners signed Bourn, then some of the other teams that dabbled in that market would become possible trade partners. The Mets could be one possibility, since their only right-handed-hitting outfielder right now is Collin Cowgill. Gutierrez's contract (which guarantees him $7.5 million — $7 million in 2013 and a $500,000 buyout for a $7.5 million 2014 option), combined with his injury history, will certainly temper the return that the Mariners can get, but when healthy, he is at least a very good platoon outfielder with excellent defense. That should be enough fetch some team's top-10 prospect.

Jan 25, 2013 12:09 PM on Friday, January 25
 
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Thanks for reading, Lindemann. Desmond's defense has been difficult for the metrics to figure out. UZR had him as a positive defender in 2012, the first time in his career that he came out of the red, but both FRAA and Plus-Minus rated him as well below average. It's possible that, given that his improvements are still relatively recent, we'll need another year or two for them to show up in the metrics. For what it's worth, Plus-Minus had Desmond as a positive defender on balls hit right at him and to his left, but rated him very negatively on balls hit to his right. (More here if you have a subscription to BJO: http://www.billjamesonline.com/stats/fielding_bible_plus_minus/?PlayerId=6885.)

Jan 22, 2013 10:39 AM on Tuesday, January 22
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for reading, Lindemann and BYODER. That is definitely a fair point — it's hard to say how firm Rizzo's payroll constraint is, and he may well be willing to stretch it.

Jan 16, 2013 9:45 AM on Wednesday, January 16
 
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My guess was that Soriano might be the likeliest to do that, since teams could then view him as a midseason bullpen reinforcement without a prospect cost. Now that he has signed with the Nationals, I suspect Boras will find homes for Bourn and Lohse.

Jan 15, 2013 12:29 PM on Tuesday, January 15
 
Daniel Rathman
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And the lesson once again is never doubt Scott Boras.

Jan 15, 2013 12:28 PM on Tuesday, January 15
 
Daniel Rathman
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No worries, elsrbueno — I actually had that same thought while writing it last night, then remembered the midseason-trade element. Thanks for reading.

Jan 15, 2013 10:07 AM on Tuesday, January 15
 
Daniel Rathman
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The trouble is, surfdent48, he also hasn't shown any improvement, despite plenty of time and the change of scenery from Miami to Chicago. He still has the big frame and the sinker, but it's difficult to foresee a breakout barring a sudden, significant improvement in secondary skills.

Jan 14, 2013 11:43 AM on Monday, January 14
 
Daniel Rathman
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Haha, jfranco77. I just meant that in terms of 2013 plans, adding a proven closer isn't imperative.

Jan 14, 2013 11:40 AM on Monday, January 14
 
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They may not, gtgator, but I think that, as part of the deal, the Diamondbacks might offer to include Gregorius to extract Simmons.

Jan 11, 2013 10:13 AM on Friday, January 11
 
Daniel Rathman
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Matthew, That likely depends on how the Diamondbacks view Teheran. If they like Walker significantly more, then the secondary pieces wouldn't bridge the gap.

Jan 11, 2013 10:12 AM on Friday, January 11
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for reading, tweicheld. We should probably give Boras the benefit of the doubt until we see where and for how much Bourn and Soriano sign, but he does seem to be scrambling right now. Also, it's difficult to say if other agents would have given similar advice to their players regarding the qualifying offers.

Jan 08, 2013 4:44 PM on Tuesday, January 8
 
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Thanks for clarifying that, FredOwens. I haven't seen a specific date listed, but it seems like it couldn't be any later than day one of the amateur draft, since the compensatory round will have passed.

Jan 07, 2013 4:37 PM on Monday, January 7
 
Daniel Rathman
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I'm as baffled as anyone. But for all of his weaknesses as a GM, Sabean's done a very nice job of covering up his mistakes.

Jan 07, 2013 11:50 AM on Monday, January 7
 
Daniel Rathman
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It is a longshot, considering that his 2010 to 2011 decline has signs of being age-related, but Huff probably merits a spring-training invitation nonetheless. I agree with you that a major-league offer is unlikely.

Jan 07, 2013 9:26 AM on Monday, January 7
 
Daniel Rathman
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The other thing to keep in mind here is that MLBTR's Tim Dierkes heard a couple of weeks ago that MLB would view sign-and-trade deals to avoid draft-pick compensation as "collusion": https://twitter.com/timdierkes/status/283972095120121856. Buster Olney replied to Dierkes that there might be a loophole (https://twitter.com/Buster_ESPN/status/283983920255619073), so we'll see what happens.

Jan 07, 2013 9:23 AM on Monday, January 7
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for noting that, bozarowski. I must have missed the report while searching last night.

Jan 03, 2013 11:50 AM on Thursday, January 3
 
Daniel Rathman
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Just as an addendum, under the new CBA, not only does the pick go away, but the team also loses the associated allotment from its bonus pool.

Dec 28, 2012 12:41 PM on Friday, December 28
 
Daniel Rathman
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Lots of good points, JoshC77, and thanks for reading. In the context of that sentence, what I meant is that the Mariners don't have an Andrus or a Profar, and that Towers has suggested he would still make a trade for one of them, even after acquiring Gregorius. I could see the Diamondbacks trying to add one more starting pitcher for depth, especially given McCarthy's shoulder-injury history. That said, I'm not sure that would put the Mariners back into play; the Vargas-for-Morales trade left Seattle with question marks toward the rear of the rotation, too, and Zduriencik might need to put Taijuan Walker on the table as a starting point. That could well be a nonstarter. The Cubs might be a more likely destination, and they definitely could use an impact outfielder after adding Nate Schierholtz earlier this offseason. Once Edwin Jackson's deal becomes official, a Garza-led package is a possibility, though given that he is set to become a free agent after the 2013 season, Towers would almost certainly ask for a strong secondary piece (either in addition to, or along with Vitters).

Dec 28, 2012 9:24 AM on Friday, December 28
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for reading, JoshC77. For now, there are a few teams being connected with Bourn, but none of them seem especially likely to give him a long-term deal. The Rangers might be his best bet, and the Mariners and Mets have also been mentioned in recent days. And, I agree — that market does seem to be heeding the red-flags with Lohse, so we'll see what happens there over the coming weeks. I think he's a solid number-four starter, but remain skeptical of his BIP numbers. There's certainly value in a pitcher who barely walks anyone, but I doubt he'll ever match the 2.86 ERA.

Dec 22, 2012 10:04 AM on Friday, December 21
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for reading and for pointing this out, Dave. http://newyork.mets.mlb.com/nym/ballpark/information/index.jsp?content=new_outfield I was partly referring to the "415" area just to the right of center field, which got easier to cover when they moved in the walls. "Alleyways" probably wasn't the right way to describe the shape of this particular outfield, and in general, what I meant was just whether Sizemore still has the range to play an acceptable CF.

Dec 21, 2012 9:59 AM on Friday, December 21
 
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No worries, PeterCollery, my mistake. And I do think there's some merit to the theory that the diminished velocity gap contributed to his issues, although he did generate more whiffs with the slider last year than in 2011.

Dec 20, 2012 1:35 PM on Thursday, December 20
 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep, you can throw him into that mix as well, although I think that McPherson might be the safer bet. Oliver's control issues in Triple-A are a red flag.

Dec 20, 2012 12:10 PM on Thursday, December 20
 
Daniel Rathman
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Yes, thanks for catching that; I revised that sentence several times and chose a syntax that makes no sense. It's fixed above.

Dec 20, 2012 12:09 PM on Thursday, December 20
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for reading, jfranco77. That could be an option, although the Marlins seem to have a more pressing need in center field than they do at first base, where the hope is that Logan Morrison will rediscover his earlier form. The other thing is, Morales' is entering his final year of arbitration eligibility, and I don't think the Marlins would be inclined to trade Nolasco for a one-year rental.

Dec 18, 2012 9:45 AM on Tuesday, December 18
 
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I had a feeling he would sign by the time I woke up on the West Coast, which was part of why I tried to hedge my bets by covering both sides. But, as I just added in the "update," I think that this may eventually help at least one of the lower-budget teams to grab a proven starter.

Dec 14, 2012 9:14 AM on Friday, December 14
 
Daniel Rathman
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That's a good point, jfranco77, and that has been discussed as a possibility if his defense at third is inadequate. The flipside is that he'd lose some value moving to a corner OF spot, and the Rays most likely would have preferred Myers' power ceiling anyway.

Dec 12, 2012 1:41 PM on Wednesday, December 12
 
Daniel Rathman
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And, it sounds like they have: https://twitter.com/Ken_Rosenthal/status/278896261015412737.

Dec 12, 2012 11:51 AM on Wednesday, December 12
 
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Thanks for reading, and good points, DetroitDale. Given how close the AL Central was during the last few weeks of the season, I think having Sanchez helped (the Tigers won three of his last four starts), but the lack of depth in the farm system is definitely a concern at this. It's also exacerbated by something that Knobler mentioned in the post that I linked to — specifically, that they gave away their first-round draft picks to sign Fielder and Martinez the last two years.

Dec 12, 2012 10:59 AM on Wednesday, December 12
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks, dREaDS Fan —it certainly seems like an ideal fit if they can make the years/dollars match.

Dec 12, 2012 10:56 AM on Wednesday, December 12
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for reading, MikeMcD. This is sort of a new situation for Colletti, where he has a surplus of major-league pieces and needs to ship them off for prospects. The questionable trades he has made—dating back to the Carlos Santana-for-Casey Blake deal—were essentially all made to plug holes at the big-league level. He hasn't, as you said, shown an ability to restock the farm via trade yet, but I'd give him an opportunity to do so here before indicting him on those grounds.

Dec 10, 2012 9:26 AM on Monday, December 10
 
Daniel Rathman
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Now they just need to acquire Rays minor-league lefty Frank De Los Santos and they'll have a complete monopoly.

Dec 06, 2012 4:02 PM on Thursday, December 6
 
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Thanks for reading, misterjohnny. And I agree with you, which means that the question is whether Alderson will choose to hold on to Dickey, or if he will lower his asking price, knowing that he could leave at the end of the 2013 season.

Dec 04, 2012 10:11 AM on Tuesday, December 4
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching that, timber — it should've said "within his last three seasons." I just counted the rows on his player card and forgot to subtract one because of the midseason trade. It's now fixed above.

Dec 04, 2012 8:29 AM on Tuesday, December 4
 
Daniel Rathman
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same thought*

Dec 03, 2012 11:32 AM on Monday, December 3
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for reading, nolansdad — and I actually had that same though late last night. If, for example, Pagan goes to the Phillies and Victorino goes to the Giants, there doesn't seem to be an obvious landing spot for Bourn, at least among teams with large budgets. The Reds could be one possibility, if they trade Drew Stubbs, but even they probably wouldn't offer the sort of deal Bourn is seeking. It's unwise to doubt Scott Boras, but if at his asking price, Bourn is teams' third choice behind Pagan and Victorino, it may take a long time for his market to develop. Based on what we know right now, I think you're right about Bourn being a late sign. Whether he's a bargain at that point, only time will tell.

Dec 03, 2012 11:32 AM on Monday, December 3
 
Daniel Rathman
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As it turned out, yep.

Dec 01, 2012 12:57 AM on Wednesday, November 28
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for reading, ofMontreal — I agree with you. That said, if the opportunity to land a frontline starter presents itself, and Moore needs to unload Chen's contract ASAP to ensure that it doesn't slip away, Chen could probably be had for less than his market value.

Nov 29, 2012 4:36 PM on Thursday, November 29
 
Daniel Rathman
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Sharky, that's essentially what I was getting at in the last paragraph. At this point, it's hard to know what to believe; Wright has said all of the right things as far as loyalty goes, but until pen hits paper, his true preferences will remain a mystery.

Nov 28, 2012 5:18 PM on Wednesday, November 28
 
Daniel Rathman
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The ulnar collateral ligament injury we most often hear about involves the elbow, and results in Tommy John surgery, but there is more than one ulnar collateral ligament, including one in the thumb. You can find the gory details on it here: http://www.orthogate.org/patient-education/hand/ulnar-collateral-ligament-injuries-of-the-thumb.html. For more on Bailey's specific injury, go here: http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20120403&content_id=27869780&vkey=news_mlb&c_id=mlb. Bailey now has the rare distinction of having torn the UCL both in his right elbow and in his right thumb. Keep his wrist in your prayers.

Nov 28, 2012 5:13 PM on Wednesday, November 28
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for reading, Dave. Glad you're enjoying them, and if you have any feedback on how to improve it, definitely let me know.

Nov 28, 2012 5:07 PM on Wednesday, November 28
 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep, as I wrote, Minnesota seems like a logical backup plan.

Nov 27, 2012 5:57 PM on Monday, November 26
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for reading, ofMontreal — and, I agree with you, Seattle is another potential fit for Matsuzaka.

Nov 26, 2012 1:08 PM on Monday, November 26
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for reading, fatted. We don't have many indications as to who the third team might be, but the Nationals, Rangers, and Reds are among those that have previously been tied to him this fall.

Nov 26, 2012 9:00 AM on Monday, November 26
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for reading, sclem21. Davidson had a solid year in Double-A in 2012, so he's probably not far off and could be in the mix before the end of next season. I think that's why the Diamondbacks are looking for a one-year stopgap, like Peralta, rather than a long-term solution.

Nov 21, 2012 10:51 AM on Wednesday, November 21
 
Daniel Rathman
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Of course. That said, it's hard to foresee Redmond exercising poor judgment and offending Miamians in the way that Ozzie Guillen did, and I would imagine that Loria and Beinfest will have more patience with him given the state of the roster. We'll see.

Nov 19, 2012 3:37 PM on Monday, November 19
 
Daniel Rathman
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Reports last week indicated that Redmond was indeed aware that the Marlins intended to blow up the roster. According to Jim Bowden (https://twitter.com/JimBowdenESPNxm/status/268541831602655234), that's why he was able to negotiate a three-year deal with no prior major-league coaching experience.

Nov 19, 2012 10:32 AM on Monday, November 19
 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep — a veritable game of musical chairs.

Nov 19, 2012 10:31 AM on Monday, November 19
 
Daniel Rathman
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yankee, Thanks for reading. My guess is that the Cano talks will be drawn out, with both sides playing "hard ball" considering Boras' history of advising clients to test the market. But ultimately, he's the best position player on the team, and the Yankees don't have anything resembling an in-house replacement if he were to sign somewhere else. I don't expect Cashman to let Boras have his way without putting up a fight—and if other big-market teams (like the Dodgers) have openings at second base, Boras could likewise turn them into leverage—but I think the sides recognize that a new deal with the Yankees is both in their best interests and the most likely outcome.

Nov 16, 2012 10:47 PM on Friday, November 16
 
Daniel Rathman
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Amazingly ... yes — thanks for bringing Dirks up! Hunter in right, and Dirks/Garcia in left would be the most likely arrangement, if Torii goes to Detroit. Against right-handed pitchers, Dirks might be the best option in the two-hole, so alternating in that spot, as Leyland did with Berry/Infante this year, could make sense again in 2013.

Nov 13, 2012 11:27 AM on Tuesday, November 13
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for commenting, Jon KK — I didn't think of that! All yours if you'd like to use it.

Nov 13, 2012 9:32 AM on Tuesday, November 13
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for commenting. I didn't catch the segment on MLB Network, so if you'd like to explain it in more detail or make a case for Berry, I'd be happy to debate it.

Nov 13, 2012 9:30 AM on Tuesday, November 13
 
Daniel Rathman
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T. Kiefer, I did not necessarily mean that Hunter would be supplanting Quintin Berry in left field; I'd expect him to stay in right, and I'm guessing that the Tigers will use some sort of platoon between Berry/Boesch and Avisail Garcia in left. I do think, though, that Hunter could be an upgrade over Berry in the two-hole, even if his walk rate remains at its 2012 level. Berry has some value as a patient hitter, good base stealer, and strong outfielder, but I'm not sure he's a starter, and after hitting well out of the gate when he was promoted in late May, he scuffled throughout the second half. I don't see either Berry or Hunter as an ideal solution in the two-hole, but unless the .293/.389/.402 Berry from last June returns, I'd prefer Hunter there.

Nov 13, 2012 9:28 AM on Tuesday, November 13
 
Daniel Rathman
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Richard, Thanks for the comment, which I hope will allow me to clarify what I meant. The point I was trying to make is that both of those seasons, given how disparate they are, probably are not sufficient to evaluate Cabrera's defensive skills in left field, and each on its own represents too small a sample size. He's probably neither as good as he was in 2012, nor as poor as he was in 2011, and thus his long-term FRAA -- for the purposes of contract valuation -- lies somewhere in between. I was not trying to say that 2011 is an adequate sample, while 2012 is not. I apologize if that was unclear from the wording I used.

Nov 12, 2012 10:21 PM on Monday, November 12
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching that — that would have assumed a 180-game season, which certainly qualifies as shaky math. Exceeding Miguel Montero's 3.9 WARP, which ranked fourth in the league, would have been a more realistic projection. I've edited the post to reflect that.

Nov 08, 2012 1:03 PM on Thursday, November 8
 
Daniel Rathman
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That's from his Brooks Baseball pitcher card: http://brooksbaseball.net/player_cards/player_card.php?player=545333. I apologize for not linking to it directly in the post.

Nov 08, 2012 9:39 AM on Thursday, November 8
 
Daniel Rathman
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Ask and ye shall receive. And as I wrote in the intro, definitely let me know if you have any specific feedback on how to improve it. Thanks.

Nov 05, 2012 6:51 PM on Monday, November 5
 
Daniel Rathman
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Glad you enjoyed it.

Nov 05, 2012 6:50 PM on Monday, November 5
 
Daniel Rathman
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We're having some technical difficulties with the sim. Hoping to take care of them ASAP and get the odds up before game time. Sorry about that.

 
Daniel Rathman
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My sense is that it likes Cain and, as I wrote, is not at all fond of Lohse. That gap, plus the Giants being the home team, explains the 2-to-1 odds. But I'm with you in thinking this is much closer to a toss-up than a 2-to-1 game either way.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks, glad you're enjoying the previews.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Oddly, I'm seeing it listed differently at different places ... Yahoo has it as 619, ESPN 653. B-Ref sides with ESPN, so that's probably accurate. Thanks for pointing that out.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Daniel Rathman
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The win probabilities are now updated, reflecting the actual lineups.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for the update — I'm going to re-run the sim based on the actual lineups momentarily.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Sorry about the delayed response to this, and thanks for the feedback. The reasoning behind including the matchups in these previews is primarily to show how the new Matchup Tool can be used. While the small sample size involved in analyzing batter/pitcher matchups makes the results data dubious, the micro data on how pitchers have approached batters over time may shed light on more useful information. That's why, when possible, I've tried to limit the matchups to scenarios where there is either a large bundle of plate appearances to work with, and/or where pitchers have evolved over time, like Hughes in this case.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Daniel Rathman
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The shadows probably played a role, but I don't think they tell the whole story. Gonzalez, who also typically has a plus curveball, threw 19 of them in the game and did not get a single whiff. Some of that may be the Cardinals hitters being more disciplined and his command/control being worse, but I think it reinforces the point that Wainwright's curve is one of the best in the league when it's on.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Everything was updated, just forgot to switch the name in the table. Thanks for catching that. It's fixed.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Whoa, meant to make that sentence about home runs and somehow conflated a bunch of different things. Big thanks for catching that. It's fixed above.

 
Daniel Rathman
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I think the logic would have been to go for the kill, knowing that the Giants are starting Zito and have Cain waiting in the wings for Game Five. But, as you're suggesting, burning Latos in Game Four would certainly have been a gamble, too.

 
Daniel Rathman
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It's interesting that two playoff teams (the Reds, Zack Cozart) have number-two hitters with sub-.300 OBPs.

 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks, R.A. Wagman. I hope to keep that going!

 
Daniel Rathman
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The Division Series are using 2-3 format this year, with the lower-seeded team hosting the first two games and the higher-seeded team hosting the last three (if all three are necessary).

Oct 05, 2012 7:39 PM on Thursday, October 4
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks, Ric Size. Glad you enjoyed it.

Oct 04, 2012 10:38 PM on Thursday, October 4
 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep, the relievers absolutely deserve more credit than they've received. Especially Grant Balfour, who worked an inning on five consecutive days without allowing a hit or a walk.

Oct 04, 2012 12:52 PM on Thursday, October 4
 
Daniel Rathman
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Haha -- thanks for catching that. It's fixed.

Oct 04, 2012 9:04 AM on Thursday, October 4
 
Daniel Rathman
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Wow, looking at the timestamp, you posted that comment at the exact same time I posted the update

Oct 02, 2012 10:21 AM on Tuesday, October 2
 
Daniel Rathman
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A quick update: The Nationals shut Gio Gonzalez down for the regular season today, so Tom Gorzelanny will get the start instead.

Oct 02, 2012 9:54 AM on Tuesday, October 2
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks to GBSimons for pointing out via email that the A's opponent in the one-game playoff won't necessarily be the Orioles, since the AL East is still up for grabs. That's now fixed in the post.

Oct 01, 2012 9:19 AM on Monday, October 1
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks, RaysProf.

Sep 28, 2012 8:59 AM on Friday, September 28
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching that. Between the takeaway and the what to watch for, I managed to have them playing in both Anaheim and Arlington. It's fixed.

Sep 28, 2012 8:59 AM on Friday, September 28
 
Daniel Rathman
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The reason I've been inclined to think it's mechanical (as opposed to mental) is that this is similar to bouts of wildness/ineffectiveness he has dealt with and come out of before. Of course, those (most notably Aug. 2010) didn't last nearly as long as this one. For what it's worth, Mike Krukow has often said on the telecasts that Lincecum is "fighting himself" with his mechanics, too. It seems extremely unlikely that he'll ever throw as hard as he did when he came up, but if that's what's keeping him from hitting 92-94 consistently and attacking the strike zone, I think mechanics are a reasonable explanation.

Sep 26, 2012 8:23 AM on Wednesday, September 26
 
Daniel Rathman
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Nice catch — he's 15-for-49, but with only three extra-base hits (all doubles).

Sep 25, 2012 9:10 AM on Tuesday, September 25
 
Daniel Rathman
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Definitely worth watching. Thanks for adding that.

Sep 25, 2012 6:50 AM on Tuesday, September 25
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching that. It should have said they've won two of the first three. Just fixed it.

Sep 24, 2012 10:31 AM on Monday, September 24
 
Daniel Rathman
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They're _thisclose_ to falling off the radar screen. I mostly decided to mention them because of the series against the Reds, which could have implications for both the wild-card race and the Nats/Reds battle for the number-one seed. Thanks for reading.

Sep 21, 2012 9:55 AM on Friday, September 21
 
Daniel Rathman
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Borbon had a respectable year in Triple-A, hitting .304/.349/.433, but was essentially buried when Craig Gentry and Leonys Martin passed him on the Rangers' depth chart. I think he'll resurface as a reserve outfielder, whether in Texas or elsewhere, at some point.

Sep 20, 2012 10:36 AM on Thursday, September 20
 
Daniel Rathman
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Good point — as you suspected, Taylor Teagarden will get the start behind the plate tonight.

Sep 19, 2012 4:20 PM on Wednesday, September 19
 
Daniel Rathman
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Oy. I wrote two versions of that bullet point around the 14th inning and ran with the wrong one. Thanks for catching that; it's now fixed above.

Sep 19, 2012 7:35 AM on Wednesday, September 19
 
Daniel Rathman
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You're right; thanks for catching that. It's fixed in the post. Enjoy the game!

Sep 13, 2012 8:38 AM on Thursday, September 13
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks, ceadie. Glad you've enjoyed them.

Sep 12, 2012 8:45 AM on Wednesday, September 12
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching that. They had Gonzalez listed when I originally wrote that part. It's fixed above.

Sep 11, 2012 2:08 PM on Tuesday, September 11
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for the advice!

Sep 07, 2012 2:37 PM on Friday, September 7
 
Daniel Rathman
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A quick update: The Rays have scratched David Price from Saturday's start with a sore shoulder. Chris Archer will pitch against Yu Darvish instead.

Sep 07, 2012 12:55 PM on Friday, September 7
 
Daniel Rathman
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Yikes, I'll heed that advice then. Still would like to visit those two ballparks sometime in the near future.

Sep 07, 2012 12:44 PM on Friday, September 7
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for clarifying that. I'll have to visit and make that drive at some point.

Sep 07, 2012 8:08 AM on Friday, September 7
 
Daniel Rathman
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Durr, that should've been Cardinals, Dodgers, and Pirates. Thanks for catching it — just fixed it in the post.

Sep 05, 2012 10:22 AM on Wednesday, September 5
 
Daniel Rathman
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Haha

Aug 30, 2012 11:01 AM on Thursday, August 30
 
Daniel Rathman
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A quick update: That 25-game streak of A's starters issuing no more than two walks is over, as the Indians have drawn three off of Jarrod Parker through three innings in today's game.

Aug 30, 2012 10:02 AM on Thursday, August 30
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks, RaysProf. Glad you're enjoying them!

Aug 24, 2012 9:29 PM on
 
Daniel Rathman
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It's a shame this one hasn't been used yet.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Thanks for catching that. It's fixed.

Aug 24, 2012 9:33 AM on Friday, August 24
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks for catching the typo.

Aug 21, 2012 8:21 AM on Tuesday, August 21
 
Daniel Rathman
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Admittedly an inane joke, and certainly no offense taken from anyone who doesn't find it funny. For some reason, every time I see his tweets on my timeline, I think "Mark Zuckerberg," even though that's not his name.

Aug 20, 2012 10:55 AM on Monday, August 20
 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep, that's one no-hitter every 19 games. Incredible.

Aug 16, 2012 2:35 PM on Thursday, August 16
 
Daniel Rathman
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I meant to say "first-year starters" and swapped that out for "rookies," which obviously in Sale's case is not the same. Thanks for catching that; it's now fixed.

Aug 10, 2012 11:05 AM on Friday, August 10
 
Daniel Rathman
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Certainly deserves to be mentioned among them. Thanks.

Aug 08, 2012 12:40 AM on Monday, August 6
 
Daniel Rathman
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Great catch there—an even more fitting parallel. Thanks for mentioning it. To stretch that one out to the All-Star break, when the Pirates were tied for the NL Central lead, they went 7-16 over 24 days to end up 10 games back in the division on Aug. 7.

Aug 07, 2012 11:25 AM on Tuesday, August 7
 
Daniel Rathman
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I was just going from 1915, though the franchise never moved, so I'm not sure why I stopped there. Thanks for catching that.

Aug 07, 2012 9:07 AM on Tuesday, August 7
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching that. Fixed.

Jul 30, 2012 8:18 AM on Monday, July 30
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks to meyerm for catching an error with Matt Harvey's draft history. He was the seventh overall pick in the 2010 draft, after being taken in the third round by the Angels out of high school in 2007. It's now fixed in the post.

Jul 27, 2012 9:56 AM on Friday, July 27
 
Daniel Rathman
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That's true, although Zito's peripherals would suggest that he is actually pitching worse than he ever has with the Giants. More walks, fewer strikeouts possibly masked by a .248 BABIP.

 
Daniel Rathman
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I cringed while writing that sentence.

 
Daniel Rathman
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I'm biased, as a Giants fan, but it's the best.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Thanks for catching that. No idea how that happened.

Jul 23, 2012 8:07 AM on Monday, July 23
 
Daniel Rathman
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Haha, glad that provided the opportunity.

Jul 23, 2012 8:07 AM on Monday, July 23
 
Daniel Rathman
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I meant to say "rookie slugger," but certainly fair to say that they have two young ones. Thanks for pointing that out.

Jul 20, 2012 8:09 AM on Friday, July 20
 
Daniel Rathman
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You are. Some of that is probably unsustainable, but just having watched their series against the Giants two weeks ago, virtually everything he hit was hard.

Jul 18, 2012 9:52 AM on Wednesday, July 18
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Right—that's where all those home runs came from. Thanks for catching that; it's now fixed.

Jul 18, 2012 6:25 AM on Wednesday, July 18
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching those. I must've been drunk while looking at that game log last night. The last paragraph is revised.

Jul 17, 2012 12:29 PM on Tuesday, July 17
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Thanks for catching that. Fixed.

Jul 17, 2012 11:41 AM on Tuesday, July 17
 
Daniel Rathman
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This is neither here nor there, but if Cano had been required to take a Royal, I think a strong argument could have been made for Mike Moustakas over Billy Butler.

Jul 10, 2012 11:56 AM on Tuesday, July 10
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Fair point on Miller Park; I should've thought of that before just going back 10 years. Thanks.

Jul 10, 2012 6:52 AM on Tuesday, July 10
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Thanks for reading!

Jun 29, 2012 12:44 PM on Friday, June 29
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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I had a feeling I missed something when I was looking at the gamelog. Thanks for catching that. It's now fixed.

Jun 28, 2012 2:18 AM on Tuesday, June 26
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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I'll second the props for the use of "cynosure." Nicely done.

Jun 26, 2012 4:33 AM on Monday, June 25
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Promptly jinxed him ;)

Jun 16, 2012 3:32 PM on Friday, June 15
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Thanks for reading.

Jun 15, 2012 7:30 AM on Wednesday, June 13
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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I think Blanco's was definitely the defensive play of the game. I meant Arias was Dewayne Wise in the sense that he was a defensive replacement at 3B who made a key play in the ninth inning.

Jun 14, 2012 12:27 PM on Thursday, June 14
 
Daniel Rathman
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My favorite part of this may actually be the umpire running away as if the ball was about to explode.

 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Thanks for catching that. Fixed.

Jun 08, 2012 7:18 AM on Friday, June 8
 
Daniel Rathman
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In case anyone is wondering, according to Adam Rubin of ESPNNY (https://twitter.com/AdamRubinESPN/status/209704262857531393), the Mets have decided not to have R.A. Dickey pitch on short rest. Instead, it will be Chris Young on Tuesday, Jeremy Hefner on Wednesday, R.A. Dickey on Thursday, and Johan Santana -- with two extra days of rest -- on Friday.

Jun 04, 2012 11:24 AM on Monday, June 4
 
Daniel Rathman
(31349)
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Of course. Thanks for catching that.

Jun 04, 2012 8:49 AM on Monday, June 4
 
Daniel Rathman
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Chucko: I definitely understand where you're coming from. My intention there was just to put something behind the story of the Orioles playing the Rays with first place potentially on the line, not really to intimate that Price's history with the O's is especially surprising or noteworthy. Thanks for the feedback; I'll keep it in mind in future WYNTKs.

Jun 03, 2012 10:11 PM on Friday, June 1
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching that! Fixed.

May 29, 2012 9:16 AM on Tuesday, May 29
 
Daniel Rathman
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I've tried and failed to curse Tommy Milone, though. He seems immune.

May 25, 2012 11:27 AM on Friday, May 25
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for noting that one. Should be fun.

May 23, 2012 6:55 AM on Wednesday, May 23
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks!

May 22, 2012 4:05 PM on Tuesday, May 22
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks!

May 22, 2012 1:16 PM on Tuesday, May 22
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks! Pretty sure that comma is not grammatically incorrect, actually.

May 22, 2012 10:17 AM on Tuesday, May 22
 
Daniel Rathman
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Haha, never fails.

May 22, 2012 8:59 AM on Tuesday, May 22
 
Daniel Rathman
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I think he's more of a sell-high candidate from a fantasy perspective than a real-life one. Jason Collette discussed his fantasy potential a bit more in his piece today (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=17070). The forearm strain isn't of huge concern to me, because I wouldn't necessarily associate that with future elbow trouble, and there hasn't been much data to show that throwing lots of sliders leads to elbow injuries for big leaguers, even if that's true for youth pitchers. That said, in order to become a true frontline starter, Paulino will probably need to develop either his curveball or changeup into a reliable out pitch to reduce his reliance on the slider.

May 22, 2012 7:33 AM on Tuesday, May 22
 
Daniel Rathman
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Not as long a while as the one between shutouts in New York; what I meant to say is that between Danny Duffy's injury and the rough going for many of their top prospects, they could use a surprise like Paulino. I certainly could have worded that better.

May 22, 2012 6:20 AM on Tuesday, May 22
 
Daniel Rathman
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The Nationals seemed poised to improve, but certainly no one saw the Orioles jumping out to this good a start. Curious to see if Jake Arrieta can turn things around tonight after a couple of rough starts. One quick note: The Nats are actually half a game behind the Braves entering play today.

May 18, 2012 11:03 AM on Friday, May 18
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for mentioning the fan. If you haven't seen that yet, here it is in GIF form: http://gif.mocksession.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/UMP-ABUSE.gif

May 16, 2012 9:08 AM on Wednesday, May 16
 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep, this pretty much sealed it.

May 16, 2012 7:42 AM on Wednesday, May 16
 
Daniel Rathman
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I included the Young incident simply to suggest a ceiling for MLB's punishment of Lawrie, depending on how the league perceives it. I personally don't think Lawrie deserves close to what Young got, but if the punishment for intentionally throwing equipment at an umpire is 50 games, then if that's what MLB believes Lawrie did, it seems a valid precedent.

May 16, 2012 7:20 AM on Wednesday, May 16
 
Daniel Rathman
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Trying to spread the wealth around different teams, and I've mentioned the Angels and Rangers a bunch this week. That's certainly a series to watch this weekend, though, especially with the spring training encounters between Yu and Albert (http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ti-brown_albert_pujols_angels_spring_training_022012).

May 11, 2012 7:58 AM on Friday, May 11
 
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Between the Orioles-Red Sox insanity and Bryce Harper stealing home, lots of things were buried. I was actually watching that Twins-Mariners game and, around the seventh inning, I forgot all about Denard Span's single and thought Felix still had a no-hitter going. Didn't realize until I looked up the box score when Eric Wedge pulled him.

May 07, 2012 11:16 AM on Monday, May 7
 
Daniel Rathman
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Good point :)

May 01, 2012 6:43 AM on Tuesday, May 1
 
Daniel Rathman
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The soft stuff has certainly served him well so far, but he's going to need to generate more than one swing-and-miss per 25 fastballs to succeed in a ballpark like Fenway.

Apr 30, 2012 2:21 PM on Monday, April 30
 
Daniel Rathman
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An interesting point, particularly because the bullpen was relatively rested and only Randy Choate had been used in the eighth inning. Ozzie certainly could have pulled the plug on Bell early if he'd wanted to.

Apr 27, 2012 12:36 PM on Friday, April 27
 
Daniel Rathman
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By the way, it'll be interesting to see if converted catcher Chris Hatcher becomes a bullpen option for the Marlins soon. He's got a 15-to-3 K/BB over 12 2/3 innings for Triple-A New Orleans.

Apr 27, 2012 12:35 PM on Friday, April 27
 
Daniel Rathman
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I was just looking to give a couple of examples. Mujica might be the best choice long-term, but he has pitched almost as poorly as Bell to date and probably isn't a good bet to take over right now. Cishek has the numbers, but he's a right-handed sidearmer who might be exposed if forced to face tough lefties. The overall point here is that I'm not sure the Marlins have a replacement for Bell, even a temporary one, on their current roster.

Apr 27, 2012 12:19 PM on Friday, April 27
 
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Wasn't looking good after the two walks in the first inning, but he turned it around.

Apr 25, 2012 11:11 PM on Wednesday, April 25
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed.

Apr 25, 2012 9:33 AM on Wednesday, April 25
 
Daniel Rathman
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I could certainly go for the former.

Apr 25, 2012 9:26 AM on Wednesday, April 25
 
Daniel Rathman
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My mistake. He's day-to-day with the sore hamstring, not a bruised knee. Thanks for catching that.

Apr 25, 2012 9:25 AM on Wednesday, April 25
 
Daniel Rathman
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Whoops -- that should have said Ed Halicki in 1979. Thanks for catching the error!

Apr 19, 2012 10:52 PM on Thursday, April 19
 
Daniel Rathman
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He's not a starter, but I believe we can coin Mark Melancon's line from last night "The Mark Melancon." 0/4/6/6/2/0/3 Unless my Play Index-ing is failing me, no one had ever produced that particular atrocity before.

Apr 18, 2012 6:48 AM on Doing Lines
 
Daniel Rathman
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Both it is!

Apr 10, 2012 1:15 PM on Tuesday, April 10
 
Daniel Rathman
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A more immediate comparison might be the Reds' extension with Brandon Phillips, which Jim Bowden seems to think is imminent. Bowden floated six years, $72.5 million. That would either reinforce Kinsler as a considerable bargain or imply a poor decision by the Reds. https://twitter.com/#!/JimBowdenESPNxm/status/189749055809789952

Apr 10, 2012 9:36 AM on Tuesday, April 10
 
Daniel Rathman
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For reference, here's the link to Calcaterra's take: http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2012/04/10/mlb-is-looking-into-ozzies-comments-how-intellectually-inconsistent-of-them/ Definitely a worthwhile read.

Apr 10, 2012 8:53 AM on Tuesday, April 10
 
Daniel Rathman
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Nah, Giants only. I'm taking full credit for that shutout.

Apr 09, 2012 8:07 PM on Monday, April 9
 
Daniel Rathman
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Being wrong is an integral part of making predictions—and you're more than welcome to let me know! I just hope I'm right often enough to keep it entertaining. And, to anyone who picked Pujols and is now a game behind in Beat the Streak because of me, feel free to vent here.

Apr 06, 2012 11:56 PM on Friday, April 6
 
Daniel Rathman
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Meanwhile, Jake Arrieta throws seven shutout innings for the Orioles. Yep.

Apr 06, 2012 2:11 PM on Friday, April 6
 
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Baker does like to play matchups, but the problem with that in this case is that neither Ludwick nor Heisey has ever faced Buehrle. Hard to say what he's judging the Heisey vs. Buehrle matchup on. We'll see what happens going forward...

Apr 05, 2012 9:51 AM on Thursday, April 5
 
Daniel Rathman
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Cain has had an outstanding spring and showed he has nothing left to prove in the minors last year. What I meant to say there is that he still has to establish himself in the majors to be viewed as the Royals' long-term CF. From a position battle standpoint, as you said, CF is not nearly as big a question mark as C and 2B.

Mar 26, 2012 12:39 PM on Monday, March 26
 
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Not envisioning a 1-for-1 deal here, but I think that given the needs on both sides, there might be a prospect or some other quality piece to even out the deal from the Phillies' perspective. I agree that a utility man for Blanton, 1-for-1, would not make sense for the Phils.

Mar 21, 2012 11:24 AM on Wednesday, March 21
 
Daniel Rathman
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Based on this, it sounds as though the Phillies might need a short-term backup for their backup: https://twitter.com/#!/ToddZolecki/status/182195555202629633

Mar 20, 2012 1:04 PM on Tuesday, March 20
 
Daniel Rathman
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Replacing Utley will definitely be much harder than replacing Howard. But it's not entirely clear to me that the Phillies have the pieces to replace Howard without hurting themselves at other positions. It's hard to say if Thome can stay healthy if pressed into regular duty there. Mayberry could probably do it, but unless they commit to Brown in left field, that position becomes a black hole (Nix, Pierre) if Mayberry plays first full-time. Wigginton is essentially useless at this point, apart from his ability to hit left-handed pitching. So, yes, a Mayberry/Wigginton/Thome carousel should at least approximate Howard's value at 1B—but probably at the expense of making other positions even worse and, as you said, making Utley even harder to replace.

Mar 20, 2012 12:55 PM on Tuesday, March 20
 
Daniel Rathman
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Yeah, I really can't see Alonso winding up out there.

Mar 19, 2012 6:34 PM on Monday, March 12
 
Daniel Rathman
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That's an alternative, but with his Padres' career at a crossroads, I'm not sure why that would be preferable to giving Blanks a chance. First base is Alonso's long-term defensive home (ideally, it would be Blanks' too), so I think it makes more sense to develop him there from day one. Guzman certainly has a promising bat, but he's defensively limited to first base, too, so his long-term future with the Padres is some sort of platoon role.

Mar 19, 2012 12:22 PM on Monday, March 12
 
Daniel Rathman
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We'll see what happens with Quentin. He doesn't have the greatest history when it comes to beating injury timelines, so only time will tell.

Mar 19, 2012 12:18 PM on Monday, March 12
 
Daniel Rathman
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The only reason I omitted Parra from that list is that he's no longer assured of a starting job. Certainly makes Kubel to the Diamondbacks one of the weirder moves of the offseason.

Mar 02, 2012 8:17 AM on Friday, March 2
 
Daniel Rathman
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That's an interesting idea. Definitely a possible trade match there if the Diamondbacks grow increasingly concerned about Drew's timetable.

Mar 02, 2012 8:16 AM on Friday, March 2
 
Daniel Rathman
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In an ideal world, people would obviously withhold conclusions until all the evidence is out. I argued for that very thing back on December 12 (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=15660). The problem is, given the nature of baseball media today, it's unrealistic to expect pundits and columnists around the country to all agree to say "I'm not sure yet." Once something like this comes out, the influence is there and it's unavoidable.

Feb 25, 2012 12:20 PM on Friday, February 24
 
Daniel Rathman
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We'll have to agree to disagree on this one, but I want to point out one more thing. If Quinn and Fainaru-Wada don't do what they did, we're not having this debate right now. In the process of (fairly or unfairly) exposing Braun, they also exposed the fact that MLB's testing process has a confidentiality problem. If this now results in additional steps by MLB to ensure that leaks do not occur in the future, Quinn and Fainaru-Wada deserve credit for bring that problem to light.

Feb 25, 2012 12:17 PM on Friday, February 24
 
Daniel Rathman
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If that's the case, we need to reconsider entirely what is and is not within the scope of an investigative reporter. There is no question that any damage done to Braun's reputation -- whether you think it's fair or unfair -- cannot really be undone. But that's also the case in virtually any leak where the reporter is told of actions that are inappropriate, runs with the story, and the person accused is eventually found innocent by the law. Should the scope of investigative reporting in sports be limited to what writers like Ken Rosenthal and Buster Olney do in breaking signings and trades? And if not, then where do we draw the line? To me, the problem here is entirely with the breach of confidentiality itself, not the subsequent fallout from it. You could choose to view Quinn and Fainaru-Wada as enablers, but had they not run with the story, chances are it would have been leaked to someone else. If they do not report the story first, then from ESPN's perspective they are not doing their jobs as well as whoever does. So if you think there's something that has to be done about this beyond further ensuring that confidential information is not leaked, you'd have to (if you'll accept the analogy) hate the game of investigative reporting, not the players involved here.

Feb 24, 2012 10:12 PM on Friday, February 24
 
Daniel Rathman
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Absolutely. Had a lot of fun with him last night.

Feb 24, 2012 2:23 PM on Friday, February 24
 
Daniel Rathman
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I'm curious if MLB will actually be able to determine (or if it already knows) who the sources were. If not, then one flaw may be that too many people are involved in a confidential process.

Feb 24, 2012 11:07 AM on Friday, February 24
 
Daniel Rathman
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Peter: I absolutely think the leakers need to be found and punished. The point I was trying to make is that the leakers are the cause of the mess that this became. I was not trying to exonerate them at all. Blaming Quinn and Fainaru-Wada, though, is problematic. They were given (or found) a scoop that was corroborated by a second source. At the time, they had every reason to believe their story was accurate, and they also qualified it in the very first paragraph with, "Braun ... faces a 50-game suspension **if the initial finding is upheld**, two sources familiar with the case told "Outside the Lines." It's hard to expect two investigative reporters to sit on that kind of story, and that's why the onus is on the leakers to grasp the impact their information would have if it goes public. Quinn and Fainaru-Wada did their jobs; the leakers went completely against theirs. As it stands, I believe Braun has to be considered clean, and that the leakers are exclusively at fault for the lingering doubts.

Feb 24, 2012 8:16 AM on Friday, February 24
 
Daniel Rathman
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I think the Tebow/Lin comparison only exists because their breakouts came so close together.

Feb 13, 2012 8:16 PM on Monday, February 13
 
Daniel Rathman
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Yep, nice one. Hopefully Lin avoids the overzealous MSG fans, though...

Feb 13, 2012 12:36 PM on Monday, February 13
 
Daniel Rathman
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Steve mentioned Fidrych as I chatted with him about candidates last night as well. Good call.

Feb 13, 2012 9:36 AM on Monday, February 13
 
Daniel Rathman
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Duquette should absolutely sign the best talent he can find -- and there's a process by which he could have sought permission to sign Kim. Clearly, that did not happen.

Feb 10, 2012 3:04 PM on Friday, February 10
 
Daniel Rathman
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It will be interesting to see what, if any, resolution is reached. But I completely agree with your general point -- that the real loser here, whichever way it turns out, is a 17-year-old who just wants to make a living playing baseball, saw an opportunity, and took it.

Feb 10, 2012 1:13 PM on Friday, February 10
 
Daniel Rathman
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One thing to note here is that Kim's contract with the Orioles is likely to stand, so the KBA is not exactly preventing him from choosing to "work for" the Orioles. If playing professionally in South Korea as a citizen requires some level of education and two years of military service, then from that standpoint, the KBO is within its rights to ban Kim from playing in that league. They can't stop him from playing in the United States, but can certainly hold him to the consequences.

Feb 10, 2012 1:11 PM on Friday, February 10
 
Daniel Rathman
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I think part of Beane's problem in recent years has been trying to do too much. Very rarely can a general manager string together several beneficial trades in a row. Mark Mulder brought in Dan Haren and Daric Barton pre-2005 Dan Haren brought in Carlos Gonzalez and Brett Anderson pre-2008 Carlos Gonzalez brought in Matt Holliday pre-2009 And then came the ill-fated Holliday for Brett Wallace swap mid-2009, followed by the Wallace/Michael Taylor deal pre-2010. It seems as though Beane simply took the chain one or two links too far.

Feb 08, 2012 9:13 AM on Wednesday, February 8
 
Daniel Rathman
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All of your points are valid, and McGehee may well not have the makeup to bounce back. That said, consider Pablo Sandoval in 2010, when the Giants were contending for the division title and (arguably) his conditioning let him down. Sandoval came back fitter in 2011 and had his best season as a pro, suddenly becoming a very good defensive 3B in addition to regaining his stroke at the plate. McGehee may not have the same sort of resurgence, but there is precedent for it.

Feb 03, 2012 10:52 AM on Friday, February 3
 
Daniel Rathman
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That's true. Of course, unless they go with Bernadina or Cameron, there also isn't anyone to play center field.

Feb 01, 2012 9:55 AM on Wednesday, February 1
 
Daniel Rathman
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Heh, I know. But it was quite a shock at the time.

Feb 01, 2012 9:54 AM on Wednesday, February 1
 
Daniel Rathman
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I've written some interesting things in essays at 2 a.m. the night before they're due, that's for sure.

Jan 26, 2012 1:10 PM on Thursday, January 26
 
Daniel Rathman
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There is, as Rob Manfred expressed in this quote: “All I’m going to say - because I think drawing public lines in the sand as to what reasonable cause is probably doesn’t help me over the long haul - reasonable cause is a fact-based inquiry. It depends on the facts and circumstances,” said Rob Manfred, MLB’s executive VP of labor relations. “(MLB and the union) really have not had a lot of trouble getting to an agreement as to what constitutes reasonable cause.” (http://tinyurl.com/7nw2wwk) But, and it seems you might feel the same way, if this isn't clearly defined, it amounts to a witch hunt. Explicitly defining "reasonable cause" would be a good place to start, and I think being open about the precise definition, if union and league have indeed reached one, would be beneficial.

Jan 26, 2012 10:00 AM on Thursday, January 26
 
Daniel Rathman
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That's a worthwhile point, and I do agree that the gap between Madson and Rodriguez isn't especially large. However, context also matters here. The Reds spent this offseason finding ways to take advantage of the Cardinals losing Pujols and the Brewers losing Fielder; by adding Latos, Marshall, and Madson, they may have become NL Central favorites. If the Brewers didn't have much financial wiggle room in their efforts to overcome losing Fielder (and to some extent, the possibility of being without Braun for 50 games), they should've been looking to make moves with a greater potential impact than giving $8 million to a reliever. Aramis Ramirez helps a bit, but not enough.

Jan 20, 2012 7:19 PM on Friday, January 20
 
Daniel Rathman
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A great point -- and one reason why potentially needing two players to supplant V-Mart is the most challenging part of the situation for Dombrowski.

Jan 18, 2012 1:43 PM on Wednesday, January 18
 
Daniel Rathman
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I think that would be a viable option, assuming Cabrera isn't hellbent on playing first base. In that case, Pena would replace more of Martinez's value, though starting him at first against lefties is still seemingly unproductive.

Jan 18, 2012 12:08 PM on Wednesday, January 18
 
Daniel Rathman
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That's true. However, some of that value was tied to Pena's defense, which he wouldn't contribute in Detroit unless he bumped Miguel Cabrera to DH and took over for him at first base. Pena is also coming off a year during which he hit .133/.260/.333 against lefties, and while that might be below what he's actually capable of, I'm not sure he's someone you'd want in your lineup at 1B or DH when a southpaw's pitching.

Jan 18, 2012 8:47 AM on Wednesday, January 18
 
Daniel Rathman
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Completely agree that the one way this makes sense for the A's is if they flip Seth Smith for more than they gave up. But if that's the case, it becomes even more confusing from Colorado's end.

Jan 17, 2012 11:53 AM on Tuesday, January 17
 
Daniel Rathman
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Admittedly, not a large age difference with Kershaw. But I'd bet the Yankees will be rather pleased with the deal if Pineda turns out anything like Kershaw has.

Jan 16, 2012 2:21 PM on Monday, January 16
 
Daniel Rathman
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There's something to be said for the security that Amaro gained by locking up Papelbon early, but $41.5 million in guaranteed salary seems a steep price to pay for it.

Jan 12, 2012 10:18 PM on Thursday, January 12
 
Daniel Rathman
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I could see the case for Francisco over Madson, given their relative contracts. That said, I think Madson's 47.7% career ground ball rate is a much better fit for Great American Ballpark.

Jan 12, 2012 10:14 PM on Thursday, January 12
 
Daniel Rathman
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I meant it less as a harsh criticism of the Rockies, and more musing about the impact of a single decision in the draft, but I understand if it came off that way. The Rockies certainly weren't the only team to err in that first round, with Brad Lincoln, Andrew Miller, and Billy Rowell also picked in the top 10.

Jan 06, 2012 10:02 AM on Friday, December 6
 
Daniel Rathman
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I believe you're referring to this story in the USA Today (http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/nl/rockies/2006-05-30-rockies-cover_x.htm), though I'm not sure if that directly affected their decision in the draft.

Jan 06, 2012 9:59 AM on Friday, December 6
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for catching that. Meant to say that Reynolds had not contributed to a division title/playoff run for them, but that was definitely an oversight.

Jan 06, 2012 9:00 AM on Friday, December 6
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks, guys -- I appreciate the kind words. And I completely agree about Stanton, Lloyd. Hopefully, this won't be a bad influence on him.

Jan 05, 2012 11:02 AM on Thursday, January 5
 
Daniel Rathman
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There's definitely a parallel between the two scenarios, but there are also two exceptions that could make it more palatable to Fielder: 1) The risk of injury is significantly lower for Fielder than for, say, Matt Barkley given the difference in their positions and the sports. 2) Fielder would be getting $20-25 million to forgo the longer contract, whereas Barkley would essentially be getting nothing in the meantime.

Dec 27, 2011 11:01 AM on Tuesday, December 27
 
Daniel Rathman
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I'd love to see Prince return to Milwaukee, but a 4-5 year deal would seem to be a poor outcome for him if in fact he's looking to cash-in. He'd be far less attractive hitting the market again at age 32-33 than at 29-30. I could see him returning to Milwaukee for 1-2 years but, unless the AAV is higher, I don't think a 4-5 year hitch makes sense for the player.

Dec 27, 2011 10:58 AM on Tuesday, December 27
 
Daniel Rathman
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Thanks for the comments, guys. @ScottyB: I agree that $50 million would have been a very large bluff, but it's not really a bluff in that the Jays would not have lost $50 million had they not been able to sign Darvish. @bigjonempire: A couple of thing. First, with the changes in the conversion rate, $51.1 million now is less than it was when Matsuzaka came over. Second, I think it's likely that the Blue Jays were seriously interested, but given the symbolism of the Matsuzaka figure, if they were willing to go to $50 million, they should have gone over $51.1. @Jay Taylor That's essentially my point -- that knowing they bid over $50 million doesn't tell us much. If they indeed bid over $51.1 million, that would clarify their intent.

Dec 21, 2011 10:45 AM on Wednesday, December 21
 
Daniel Rathman
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Fixed, thanks.

Dec 14, 2011 9:51 AM on Wednesday, December 14
 
Daniel Rathman
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I was talking mostly about body type--kind of what was referenced in articles like this one: http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ap-braun-positivedrugtest

Dec 12, 2011 7:17 PM on Monday, December 12
 
Daniel Rathman
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Richard: That's a good point, though given his history, there's a nonzero chance that Reyes will miss a considerable portion of 2012 or a future season during the deal. Also, my point on Reyes vs. Tejada still stands: $16.67 million for Reyes vs. roughly the league minimum for Tejada is shrewd from the Mets' perspective, even if Reyes outperforms him by 1-2 wins more than the diminished average suggests.

Dec 05, 2011 1:41 PM on Monday, December 5
 
Daniel Rathman
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@Timber: The Astros also indicated that Gottfried is not a candidate to be GM of the team long-term. He's a placeholder, and not someone who should be making decisions for whoever they ultimately choose. None of the other 29 GMs have an "interim" tag attached to their title.

Nov 28, 2011 12:30 PM on Monday, November 28
 
Daniel Rathman
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I don't believe the Giants would have ended up non-tendering Sanchez, but it was considered a possibility at the end of the season. Given that they seem determined to not raise payroll, saving $6 million might have become a consideration, especially given that they were able to strike gold with Vogelsong last offseason. Lots of veteran RHPs that AT&T could make look good on the market as alternatives to Zito.