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mattseward
116 comments | 163 total rating | 1.41 average rating
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mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

Thanks Benandsam, ESPN corporate policy that employees can't appear on other podcasts I'm guessing is the reason.

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

The Lauer comment has a miss in editing, see the last sentence

May 31, 2016 3:16 AM on May 31, 2016
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

Steve, I'm guessing you meant top 5 in the Yankees system and not all baseball for Clarkin?

Apr 11, 2016 8:10 AM on Impressive Starts
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

I'm guessing since the article is now attributed to Mau, that it was erroneously posted in Jeff's name

Oct 19, 2015 7:09 AM on Games of October 16-18
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

Posted before I saw mblthd's comments above

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 5

Umm I think it's a comedy piece, to test people who read the headline and not the article. As far as I can tell it is poking fun at analysts for stating that Arietta is a guaranteed win, hence why the Mets have lost game 6

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Chris, is Bickford's Marujana suspension factored into this ranking? Do you see him dropping to the supplemental rounds?

Jun 08, 2015 6:25 AM on Top 125 Draft Prospects
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

One is Blake Perkman, different guy, probably just early morning eyes on it

Jun 08, 2015 6:23 AM on Top 125 Draft Prospects
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

Best all time name non baseball related: Neville Neville, father of former England soccer players Gary and Phil Neville Just can't top that unless someone is called Granville Granville

Jun 06, 2015 2:50 PM on The Name Game
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Very interesting. Russell, do you think it's likely genetics we are looking at here? It could also be they work hard and have good mechanics but this seems like something you would expect to be affected by age

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Brett, great list, I found last year's list really helpful in my draft prep so I'm very glad it's been brought back this year. I know Yoan Moncada, Hector Olivera and Andy Ibanez haven't signed yet but can you tell us whereabouts you would rank them if you could?

Jan 06, 2015 3:27 AM on 2014 Draft Class
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 4

Hey guys, it's the holidays and they get us this list for Christmas Eve. Relax and enjoy it rather than nitpicking

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Lewis, I would say a key element here as well is the hiring person's own opinions, if they think they could be a couple of players away from contending they will likely hedge towards the person who agrees with them and this would be the same if that person thought the organisation needed to be rebuilt. Another factor is the business side, the Padres want more fans and the network wants more viewers, winning brings both.

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: -1

Russell, your analysis if I am reading it correct sugests that certain personality types do not handle losing well and thus become busts where in other circumstances they are a success. Perhaps rather than losing we are looking into the effect of makeup on a prospect?

Sep 09, 2014 3:27 PM on Poisoned by Losing?
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

One question if I may: what are the plans for the top 11s? Will there be one voice on each, with contributions from others or will they be the BP prospect staff's lists?

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Very good stuff Jordan thanks for sharing. One thing I wondered was being a baseball player at a high level requires a lot of confidence and determination and a certain degree of ignoring the critics and focusing on what you do. How difficult is it to get out of that mindset and get into being able to focus on the game around you? I can see you have the same determination to be good at scouting but I would think habits like that must be tough to break

Aug 06, 2014 9:32 AM on How I Learned to Scout
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

Great article Nick, thought I had read everything I could about this situation but having your perspective as an evaluator and legal mind is really helpful. I agree with all you have said but I would say to people belittling the pick is that most of the top college players were in the same situations as Marshall and Nix in that they believed themselves to be 1st round talents and were happy to prove that in college. Sometimes that works out great; cole, price, teixeira,Harvey, rodon, pedro Alvarez were all offered substantial sums of money to go pro and chose the college route. Other times it's a disaster see whitson and covey from the 2010 draft. These players have talent and it could be 3 years from now you are all sitting there in June hoping your team gets a Mac Marshall or a Jacob Nix at the top of the draft or they could be but a footnote in the draft. We simply don't know right now If Aiken is worth $30 million as a free agent I don't see why you don't just sign him and trade him if you don't like him. Beane notoriously wasn't happy with Bonderman and traded him away a year later. I just struggle to realise why the Astros didn't just cave and agree to the original deals. While that might have looked weak it would look a whole lot better than this does now and all sides win. As far as I can see here everyone loses

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Draft rules changed in 2012. The 2011 class is widely acknowledged as being the best since either 2007 or 2005 depending on your view of the 2007 draft. I think the better players meant fewer reaches to get role players taken in the last round

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

Trust in the process Shaun

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

Really, Alex Guerrero makes this list questionable, you obviously haven't read much about him, particularly the questions on defence

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Surprised not to see Hoffman in the mix for consideration in the 101 next season. If Hoffman were to return to his best next season (not a given I appreciate) where would he rank?

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

To those who picked, how far down would it be before you would consider Hultzen and Starling?

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

One thing I would like to know for the hitter's is whether the scout sat in on a series or a game? I know that is addressed in the scouting reports if they are published but it would be good to know whether it was one game or a series

Jun 30, 2014 9:37 AM on June 30, 2014
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Great work Joe, though I am a bit bemused as to how Dan isn't working for a major league organisation though!

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 2

Great article Jason. One way you can look into fortitude is in the statline. What happens when things go wrong? when he gives up 3er in the 1st, doesn't have his best stuff. Whilst the line can't give us everything it may point to an issue you may not see in one look. I know you prefer to get fresh eyes where possible but would you go back through the game logs and look at when he gave up runs and how he reacted and fought through it as that to me is fortitude. I'm just thankful that there is a team in place at baseball prospectus to give the background behind the numbers. I really like what jeff Moore had done with the minor league update this year which helps a lot to make sense of things as you see them

Apr 30, 2014 7:09 AM on Scouting Fortitude
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Would be great if the same study was done on velo for pitchers and is that corollated with injuries. I have heard some talk on velo spikes being an indicator, albeit anecdotally

Apr 30, 2014 12:17 AM on Do Innings Limits Work?
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 3

Would be great if we could do a follow up article on this by someone like Russell Carlton into the relative value of the players in warp at different positions so is a 45 Baez at SS better than a 60 Baez at 2b or 3b? How does that compare to Lindor who might be a 60-65 defender at SS? Maybe if we ask Russell nicely and promise to put sprinkles on I he might look into it. Would be good to know where the values met

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

For those asking who could make big moves, Jason has put on twitter that he plans a follow up article later in the week giving guys he sees taking a big step forward

Jan 27, 2014 4:18 AM on Top 101 Prospects
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 9

Great stuff Sam, I hope you will continue to do this in future years. Any plans of a similar article looking at the worst farm system as you did last year?

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 2

General comment but would it be possible to show the season line below the current sample so we have an idea of the context of the numbers?

Oct 01, 2013 10:15 AM on Jay Bruce
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

I think the Pirates get the benefit of the doubt at the moment with scouting. It took a while but they seem to be getting the system together nicely. Yes, high school catchers are risky but you have to trust your scouting. The big thing in McGuire's favour is that all reports I have seen love his defence. Biggest risk with high school catchers is that they simply can't field the position and then given the lack of athleticism means the bat has to be special and few bats are. With shortstops you have 2B, 3B and CF but C is the weird position where you go from the top to the bottom of the defensive spectrum (Biggio being an honourable exception). That leads to a high bust rate as the defence has to carry

Aug 30, 2013 2:00 PM on August 30, 2013
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 2

Great article again Gabe. Totally agree, I think unfortunately this isn't limited just to baseball. In the premier league many of the managers are ex players with a high pedigree but you look at the best managers and often they were journeymen or had no careers at all. Unfortunately I think a lot of it comes down to how decisions are perceived, no one will praise a team hiring Matt Martin but a former player will get them credit with the fans. As a Met fan I hear constantly about the players in 1986 being involved in coaching. Whilst I cannot tell whether they are the best people for the job, common sense would suggest they probably aren't

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

I agree with Scheidt above that you need to try and get superstars into your system early in the draft. Every pick has risk and even the supposedly "are what they are guys" have a good degree of flameout. I think go best player available in the early rounds based on a balance of risk and upside switching more to high floor guys in the mid rounds (college seniors) and then picking up some riskier over slot guys in rounds 11-13

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 2

Jason, I assume Bryant was left off the list as he hasn't signed yet. Where would he fit in if he had already signed?

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

I have a question for Zach and Jason on Zimmer. The fastball grade is very different 60 vs 70. I can see Zach has questions about the life at higher velocities. Normally fastball grades seem to me to be more consistent with breaking balls and changeups more subject to projection and opinion. Would you say this is correct? Had Jason seen Zach's report before he went to see Zimmer? Did they speak after seeing him and what would they be looking for if they were to see him again?

May 16, 2013 10:17 AM on May 16, 2013
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Thanks Nick, appreciate the detailed response. I would agree that it has to be Frazier there if that scenario unfolded Your articles are making me think about the draft from a scouting directors shoes and I am really enjoying it.

May 11, 2013 2:04 AM on Due Diligence
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Nick, Jim Callis' mock has Frazier going at #7. If he's there do you definitely take him even if he requires more than slot? If he requires above slot, how does that affect your strategy for later picks?

May 10, 2013 7:56 AM on Due Diligence
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 3

Congrats to the professor and the prospect team, you've clearly put a lot of effort and thought into these articles and it really shows. You guys havereally done an excellent job! So well done Chris, Nick, Mark, Jason et all!

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 6

Great article, Eric. One of the most balanced and insightful pieces I have read on the subject

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Jason, reading your reports this system seems to have a very high variance factor with so many guys with major skills but also major question marks. Which system out of the ones you have done so far would you say has the potential to be either way better or way worse than where you have ranked them?

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

Russell, any chance you could hook up with Doug Thorburn and Corey Dawkins to look at some of the cases in point, it would definitely be fascinating to read about. Perhaps looking at a guy who did get hurt against one with comparable size/profile that didn't would be really interesting to see. The other point I would make is perhaps we are looking at the wrong era for this. Keith Law mentioned the High School pitchers and termed the Pulsipher effect where a young, immature arm gets a very heavy workload and breaks down. Looking at an earlier era would give us more data but I am guessing we wouldn't have as accurate injury data then

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 6

Great article Dan. I really appreciate the inside view. One question I did want to ask is how owners are involved in the meetings. Do any of them attend or send representatives?

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

I think the High School argument is the most important here. People have egos and the reason why the jocks pick on the smart kids is because they feel inferior to them in learning so they want to feel superior to them in something else. To me this article appears to be exactly the same thing, Mitch could have wrote about what a wonderful player Cabrera is and how important he was to Detroit without denegrating other people with a different opinion to his own. I have learnt in life that one of the most important way to learn things is to look at someone that has a different point of view from you. Often my views have changed on things as a result, other times I still think i'm right but I feel better for understanding. There's nothing wrong with someone wanting to enjoy the game simply by watching it and there's a place for writers who do that. What's wrong is making sweeping statements about people you don't know, who's motivations you don't know, who's love of the game you don't know and presenting it as fact.

Nov 17, 2012 2:47 AM on Why Mike Trout Matters
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 13

Seems to be a lot of comments about star ratings, funny thing is I can remember in the comments of KG articles lots of people wanting gradings of the tools etc which we now have and is great. This is the thing folks, life changes and the stars were KG's thing. When someone new comes in they will want to do their own thing and have their own opinions. That's one of the things I loved about KG was that he did things the way he wanted to. That's what I love about Jason is that he will do his own thing. For a fantasy guy who wanted a heads up on the opposition and the top 100 the stars are a loss but as a person who wants to understand more about prospects I think this is far better as it makes you think more about the player, what they can and can't do and the risk. Big thumbs up from me

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 13

You know it's a good day when you wake up and sitting there waiting for you is a new article from one of your favourite ever writers at BP! Welcome back Russell, great to have you back on board!

Jul 09, 2012 3:06 AM on Hire Joe Morgan
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 4

Anyone else think that Martin Perez saw Jason's article and said i'll show him!

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Hey Jason, I think an age according to league prospect would be very informative. A couple of names spring to mind with that: Wilmer Flores Aaron Hicks (especially pertinent as people think the ability to walk automatically equals the ability to hit) Then going back a bit: Joel Guzman (body develops, and not in a good way) Andy Marte

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Wasn't Tim Beckham's brother drafted in the same year by the Rays and played early on the same teams, Bryce Harper's brother was as well if I recall. I would guess it is much more common than you'd think. The difference is where they are legitimate prospects as those guys were org guys really so why not draft them to help your high priced #1 pick settle in

Jun 04, 2012 7:17 AM on 2012 Mock Draft
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

I agree with Kevin, I think the move is low risk. If he goes there and dominates for 5 starts they can move him up. If he goes to High A and struggles then people will question the moves and fans say they can't handle prospects etc I think it's right to test him there and then let him make his own timetable

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

I think the Magic Johnson thing won't necessarily get players in there but his importance to them is that he can heal some of the social rifts within the area and get people coming back in. Listen to Dylan Hernandez on the Up and In Podcast last year (can't recall which episode) I'd also expect him to be active in the RBI initiatives and encouraging African Americans to play baseball which I think Selig is alluding to in his statement. If I remember correctly MLB has a big inner city academy in LA which no doubt Magic will be involved in publicising

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

In all fairness to Goldschmidt, Loney only really showed power in the PCL in 2006 and in the majors in 2006 and 2007. If you look at his minor league numbers other than that they are eerily similar to his major league performance. Goldschmidt has shown legit power all the way through his minor league career and also superior walk rates. That said he also strikes out a ton more which is never a good sign.

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

Congrats Ben and John, very sad to see Steven go but it's fair to say the changes BP have made recently have all been great. To quote the immortal Dayton Moore "trust in the process"

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 3

How about both?

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Hi Derek, Looking at your roster I agree about the lack of a superstar which would make a good draft a very good one. Your tactics seem similar to Jason Grey in that you maximise playing time in a league where the replacement level is tiny has obviously given him a lot of success. Looking at the list the elite guys didn't go as big as I thought around $38-39 but there were lots of players, particularly Brett Gardner at $28 and BJ Upton at $30. If you had the draft to do over again who is the guy you would have targeted in that elite tier? Would you have changed the makeup of your team at all or are you happy with your decisions tactically?

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

Derek, very good article as the age 27 thing always annoys me every year. There's just so little evidence to back it up and yet people go crazy for it. I think the best way to get breakout guys is to look at players, who historically underperformed their norms and buy low on them. This approach would have yielded James Shields and Lance Berkman for instance at minimal cost. One thing I would say is there is strong evidence Jose Tabata is at least 3 years older than his given age so perhaps its best to temper expectations on him given pretty much the entire hype on him is being young for his league...

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Sorry Jason, I must have a first week back to work brain freeze, my apologies

Jan 06, 2012 10:20 AM on Mock Draft Update
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Derek, having been on Mock Draft Central, i'd take those figures with a pinch of salt as most drafts I have seen only have a handful of real players in meaning that the MDC rankings play a big part in draft position. That would explain Ryan Braun's high ranking

Jan 06, 2012 10:18 AM on Mock Draft Update
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Relax I plused you, you are now neutral Happy to help!

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Fabulous, the insulting the bosses wife bit made me laugh out loud. I think in all seriousness it also brings into focus just how much is down to personal opinion and how much can change. The makeup comments in particular seem to be almost the complete opposite of what we know now. This does bring to mind a question when scouting a players make up with a draftee. Obviously they are going to say they love baseball and work hard, their parents too want to see their son getting the $$$. How do scouts know what is genuine and what is an act? Are their people who would know this? Are teammates honest? Opposition players? I know there probably isn't a great answer for this as it would depend onn the individual but it does interest me hown one would go about scouting makeup when signing amateur talent

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Derek, I think consistency is important when judging pitchers but not on a start by start basis but on a seasonal basis. I always like to balance risk and reward when selecting a fantasy team and I think guys like Haren, CC etc have value. Similarly guys like Ted Lilly, Hiroki Kuroda etc outperform the upside guys but consistently go below where they are drafted. Has anyone looked at this on a seasonal basis? Are some pitchers more consistent than others over a number of seasons?

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 3

which in turn conjours the image of Val Kilmer riding said bison while eating a bag of donuts

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 3

This is the best explanation of Jeff Mathis ever: Jeff Mathis creates 27 outs with his glove. He only makes three outs with his bat. Stupid. Now it all makes sense....

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 13

I personally don't have a problem with politics being mentioned in an article as to me, the best writing is always honest and unafraid to speak out against something they feel strongly about. To me expressing an educated opinion on a political issue where there is a real life baseball situation is entirely appropriate and not doing so because it might offend those whose politics lean towards the right of centre is just silly. When BP writers start actively campaigning for political parties and person's I will be the first to complain but I don't believe this is the case here. Writers that are expressing their opinions eloquently and from the heart is the very reason I subscribe to BP. Well done Steven!

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Kevin, there is a Baseball HQ saying that once a player has shown a skill, he owns it. Does that apply at all to prospects? Can a guy hit for average in the low minors, struggle in the high minors and hit for average in the majors. The example I would give is Derek Norris who hit for .286 in Low A but is now struggling at higher levels. Is it simply that he is now facing better quality breaking balls and will never hit for a good average or is it something some guys can correct with the right adjustments?

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Hi Kevin, from the outside Gary Sanchez seems to have a mixed year, on the one hand he's an 18 year old with a .240 ISO and his walk rate has ticked up. On the other hand he's striking out more, hitting for a low average and has had really awful reports on his defence and attitude. Has this season put his stock up or down in your estimation? PS I don't suppose Verducci was ever in the running to be the co-host?

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Hi Jason, where would you have placed Ackley before the call up?

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 4

What's the projection on this Zito dude?

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 11

The irony in Harry's post is the ALL CAPS are probably bigger than Altuve himself....

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Awesome the new Bear Coat. Can't wait to download and listen

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

I think people overstate BABIP as Tony Gwynn can hit almost 400 so his BABIP is bound to be high. Look at Hosmer's control of the strike zone his K rate is 13.4% his walk rate is 16.1% this is a guy who is well in control of his ABs by all accounts. BABIP is important if the guy is striking out a lot but for a guy like Hosmer it has little evaluative merit to me. Scouting reports and his control of the strikezone tell you this guy can rake. Is he a .400 hitter, heck no but is he a .300 hitter in the majors who could contend for a batting title one day, evidence points to yes

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Bodhizefa,just an FYI but people were saying the exact things about Elijah Dukes 3 years ago and look how that turned out.... Now maybe some people do genuinely change but colour me skeptical on Lueke... Maybe he's a changed man but until I see evidence of this I will continue to root for horrible injuries to occur to him

Apr 18, 2011 5:30 AM on Monday Morning Ten Pack
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 4

Right as if we didn't have enough confusion between Goldman and Goldstein we now find out Steven Goldman is moonlighting as a prospect analyst too!! Given that it still reads as a Kevin Goldstein piece I assume the error will be corrected and this post will make me look like an idiot!

Apr 18, 2011 4:36 AM on Monday Morning Ten Pack
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 7

Velo whore

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Thanks for sharing your ballet John, a brave thing to do with such opinionated commentators! I'll echo Dianagram's comments on people being rude, if you disagree just be respectful as the HOF discussions are supposed to be fun. I think John's ballet shows someone that has thought about the process, considered each candidate on their merits and voted accordingly. It would have been the easiest thing for him to take the JAWS analysis and put his ballet in as a group think of BP. John clearly is his own man but is prepared to listen to reasoned arguement. Isn't that what you want in a HOF voter?

Jan 04, 2011 10:23 AM on One Man's Ballot
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 2

Perhaps we could just re-name it Bloomquist after everyone's favorite replacement player :)

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Kevin, are there any prospects you can recall that were as erratic as Martin and turned it around? It seems like Oliver Perez redux though that may be the Met fan in me talking...

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 8

Damn, Russell was my favourite of the new writers that came in. Good luck Russell!

May 03, 2010 5:53 AM on Why Are Games So Long?
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

I don't know how it is being collated but reading the comments got me thinking that pieces could be themed into broad chapter headings like: Joe on bullpen management Joe on pitching to the score and other urban myths etc It seems having read Joe's work for a couple of years that themes could be identified and pieces linked by Joe's narrative May I also humbly suggest a title: The 12 Commandments of Joe Sheehan: 12 ways to make baseball a better game Something along those lines would be cool in my opinion

Mar 08, 2010 10:08 AM on Welcome
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

good things happening to good people Nice to see

Mar 01, 2010 1:05 PM on Planning the Miracle
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 2

Now THAT's a team I'd like to own :-)

Feb 09, 2010 4:20 PM on Meet the Press
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

It's like an audition for Revenge of the Nerds 4. I don't think Anthony Edwards is doing much these days so maybe you could get him involved...

Jan 09, 2010 9:37 AM on Ken Cloude
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

Excellent article Matt, I thoroughly enjoyed it. I'm sure it won't make Scott Boras' statistical profile!!

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Umm actually player evaluation works on the comparative valuation model. Player's salaries are compared to free agents and other salaried players which is the height of the market most mistakes are made when clubs wrongly ascribe values to players based on superior players or outlying salaried players. For instance the Kris Benson deal inflated salaries as he could then be used as a comp for lots of inferior pitchers to claim higher salaries. Essentially, the valuation method in arbitration is used by agents to dictate free agent contracts. Essentially my view is the top FAs are valuation based but economics and supply and demand come in more fully when the market gets close towards clearance and places and funds are limited

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

Yeah Happy Holidays to all BP Staff and contributers

Dec 24, 2009 10:18 AM on Rally Killers
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 3

Marc, tiers is pretty much how I draft so I am all for that. Really I think the problem with straight rankings is people pretty much read the comments rather than use them pro actively so if you are looking at strategy I would say perhaps it may be a good idea to compare the tiers to ADP at a site like mock draft central and comment e.g. the next tier don't take until round 8 or something of that ilk. You could put in a rough guide next to them e.g. 4th round (37th-48th overall)

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

I think that as with any prospect we are looking as outsiders at the possibilities of what he could become. He could be a minor league slugger, a Japanese All Star, a bench player, an every day regular or a star you really could point to evidence of any of them with him based on what he's done. Do I think he'll be a star? Not likely based on his skillset but would I be surprised after this performance? No

Nov 11, 2009 10:59 AM on November 11
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: -2

I read all 3 pieces and after Brian's piece wanted to vote for him then read Tim's piece and wanted to vote for him and then Ken's piece and wanted to vote for him so after deciding that the only thing I could decide, was that I couldn't decide, I voted for all 3 as all of them would be worthy winners

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Some criticism As far as I can tell much of the comparison between Wright and Branyan was based on at bats which resulted in much of the difference as clearly in a daily league a replacement level player even in those spots for 200 ABs would have greatly boosted the rate stats. Secondly I do have a problem with using this value as the only tool as first of all you do not necessarily maximise the value of your team by taking the best ranked player and it would be better to use this system to tier the players and look where the drop off from one player to another is which isn't necessarily the same as the one with the highest score. Overall though I thought the stats were fine and followed through well but I did feel that perhaps more effort could have gone into what happens if you take say Josh Hamilton over Ian Kinsler say for the rest of the draft to give people a flavour of how it was used in practice. So some critisicm but I enjoyed the article and voted it up

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

I don't often read fantasy columns by many writers despite the fact I love fantasy because essentially I find i'm often being told the same things. This article while perhaps a little bit too stat heavy in the middle makes some excellent points and taught me something new so like the others a big thumbs up.

 
mattseward
(30445)
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Why Koufax let's see them clone Nolan Ryan's elbow that way we'll see all pitchers retire at 45/46 ;-)

May 04, 2009 3:41 PM on Showing Aces
 
mattseward
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don't fall in love with one or two guys that you have to have treat players as number producing entities Be flexible if players are going above your market value and you need them don't be afraid to overpay if you have to Be aware of marginal value of players and the replacement level in the league don't pay $8 for a player when a similar player may go for $2 later In an experts league it's tough to predict but BJ Upton has been going much lower than he should (I already know what you think about him being a 411 listener :) ) Delmon Young. Has the world of talent a lot to prove and a lot of experts seem to hate him

Mar 26, 2009 11:44 AM on Looking Back
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 5

it's on the THR matrix dude up on the fantasy page Santana was yellow

 
mattseward
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Comment rating: 0

He has just signed http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090213&content_id=3827028&vkey=news_sea&fext=.jsp&c_id=sea&partnerId=rss_sea No further details as of yet

Feb 14, 2009 4:05 AM on The Best of the Best
 
mattseward
(30445)
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Derek, you didn\'t mention Offerman charging the mound to attack the pitcher with a bat. I think that pretty much trumps any other active player http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYqlIfErZQw&feature=related

Feb 06, 2009 3:43 AM on Paul Wilson. Again.
 
mattseward
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Alex has posted part 2 at his Bronxbanter site http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2009/01/12/waiting-for-the-halls-call/ if you want to hear part 2

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 4

In my mind amongst rational baseball fans the veteran\'s commitee exists for one thing \"putting Ron Santo into the hall of fame\" the fact that various iterations of this committee continually fail to do this only really points out how inepet and clueless they are. I mean honestly who needs another marginal player who put up stats during a period of low competition and not a player who was one of the best EVER at his position... It reminds me of the Negro Leagues vote that put in EVERYONE who had virtually ever played in the leagues other than Buck O\'Neil who to myself and many others represented the spirit and passion of the players that played in that league more than any other. We criticise voters for voting for stories but in effect I think that gives them far too much credit. What they actually have is a an ill informed knowledge of baseball and irrational prejudices that fail to overcome even simple concepts. My solution would be is that the veterans have proven they know practically nothing about who should be in the hall of fame the sooner the hall recognises this and allows for rational and informed debate to enlighten these choices the better

Dec 08, 2008 12:53 PM on Rolling into Town
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

I always look at GMs in terms of fantasy managers you have in your league. Pretty much every team has super smart guys in the front office working on this stuff but if the GM (or owner...) has a \"man crush\" on a player and believes in them no matter the evidence or rational sense they are going to do it same as the other guys in your league. The smarter ones listen more and get it right more often than not but like any fantasy manager can tell you no matter how smart you are it can all go horribly wrong

Dec 05, 2008 10:20 AM on The Burroughs Hypothesis
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: -1

Hi Kevin, Do you Chris Withrow regaining his stuff and moving back up the list?

Dec 04, 2008 11:27 AM on Dodgers Top 11 Prospects
 
mattseward
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Right now I cannot but wholeheartedly agree with what Joe has said. That said I do have to say that most of these FA offices are populated by very smart and savvy GMs; Cashman, Dombrowski, Byrnes and given we haven\'t seen any real FA signing of note unless you count Dempster\'s re-upping with the Cubs I have a nagging feeling the longer this goes on the smarter these guys may look for those decisions. We do have to remember that even draft picks have a value in mind as teams are still free to get comparable talents particularly around the compensation round later in the draft if they want or invest in latin FAs

Dec 03, 2008 2:44 PM on July 9-15
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

I\'m sorry to hear that you\'re quitting Will and would just like to say I did really enjoy reading the BP rumour mill while it was up. I do have to say you did pick a good year to quit... good grief Ken Rosenthal wrote a column about how Scott Boras may get Texeira to sign quickly with Boston to force Manny and Lowe to NY...

Dec 01, 2008 3:55 PM on Sharing the Dais
 
mattseward
(30445)
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God, oh but for a Will Carroll in the 1950\'s!! Sound\'s like Score would have been a joy to watch. Hearing that makes me think a little of Liriano when hearing the description and thinking of the domination he had in his rookie year

Nov 18, 2008 10:56 AM on Herb Score
 
mattseward
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I think you also have to factor some non baseball factors here like the crisis in the automotive industry and the fact that they just raised ticket prices selling taking on another team\'s salary dump would be a very hard sell to the fan base although I do think in isolation it isn\'t that bad of an idea But if i\'m the Tigers taking on Johjima I\'d want to be getting prospects as well as Putz not giving them up!!

Nov 17, 2008 2:58 PM on AL Central
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

I would say Fowler would be the guy they look to long term. I don\'t think I read a scouting report of EY that didn\'t say 4th OF

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Ok thanks Kevin. I was a little curious as Keith Law had him pegged last year as a potentially elite closer but he looked pretty terrible in 08 for a good part of the season

 
mattseward
(30445)
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Kevin, you didn\'t mention Corpas on the under 25\'s. Do you think he is a closer or a set up guy in the future?

Nov 17, 2008 11:59 AM on Rockies Top 11 Prospects
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Angels 6/125 11/29

Nov 10, 2008 11:22 AM on July 2-8
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 1

I think this is essentially a stuff vs polish debate. Jackson was a David Price type prospect back in 04 so he obviously still to some degree has that upside but he is also very, very erratic and has run out of options. So you would HAVE to keep him on your roster or lose him in a waiver claim. I tend to approach these things in terms of who I would rather have for my favourite team and I would rather have Sonnanstine. Sure, he\'ll look horrible but you put him on say the Mets and tell me if he doesn\'t put up a better season than Oliver Perez a pitcher with #1 stuff but not the pitching intelligence to go with it...

Nov 03, 2008 3:08 PM on July 1-2, 2001
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Steven, great story as always. Had to laugh at Landis\' rather pompous response after he received the public backlash after the posponement. Reminds me of a certain Alan H Selig\'s response to the steroid controversy...

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

I agree with Will here assuming you wish the award to actual mean overcoming some adversity in order to succeed. I think few are more poignant than a guy who could not at the start of the season even recover from simple exercises for him to come back and produce *anything* at all is far more important than Cliff Lee discovering how to pitch. After all I don\'t see how you can win a comeback player of the year award when you NEVER were actually at anything close to that level before. I think comeback shouldn\'t be statistically driven but primarily narrative driven with statistics used to differentiate between candidates if needed

Oct 15, 2008 2:50 AM on Out at the Bell
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

I think they\'re pretty much as good as they can get without trying to be too precise as this is prognosticating and as well as Kevin does it (as good if not better than anyone) I think too precise a ranking or a detailed breakout of what they will turn into is misleading as lets be honest Kevin could do these rankings monthly and they\'d always be different. I have a simple one how about adding last years number with a link to the scouting report for the previous year so people can see who has moved up or down and how they were thought of last year?

Oct 08, 2008 8:52 AM on It's Monday
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Hi Kevin, have you tried looking at the data in relation to the fastball velocity data on gameday? I think it would be interesting to note which guys thrown harder and whether the tall guys do get more downward movement on their pitches

Sep 26, 2008 9:43 AM on Does Size Matter?
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Hi Will, I know the question part has finished but I just thought i\'d comment on a couple of the things you\'ve said. Firstly on the interactive bit, yeah I like it a lot it\'s very fun and very gracious of you to answer everyone\'s questions. Only problem might be if you get 500 questions to respond to but if it\'s manageable I would love to see a repeat. On the UTK Wrap thing I think people that have been subscribers for a while forget that some things are open to non-subscribers and help to encourage new people to sample the site before subscribing. I think most subscribers skim read and pick up the new bits and have a look at the injury cost stats On that note I have no idea how people can read this site regularly and not subscribe I think I lasted about 3 days before signing up when I first visited. I\'d gladly skip a few meals to pay for a subscription if I was broke enough!!

Sep 24, 2008 3:13 AM on UTK Interactive
 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Ok my bad I just misread the piece. Thanks for clearing it up Kevin and Brian :-)

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Hi Kevin, forgive me if i\'m wrong but reading Dejan\'s details of the contract it seems to me the big issue is that it entitles Alvarez to an early FA if I read it rightly. \"The Pirates retain the right to tender Alvarez a contract worth $1.63 million in the fifth year if he is in the majors. But the player can void that if he is arbitration-eligible, which happens after three full seasons in the majors, and pursue what surely would be a much bigger salary.\" Surely the chance to be a FA after 4 years would be the real prize putting Alvarez on the market in his mid 20\'s could put him in line for a 10 year deal if he lives up to expectations but I see little focus on this in the coverage. I was wondering what you thought

 
mattseward
(30445)
Comment rating: 0

Hi Will, just wondering whether you have heard anything about Rocco Baldelli\'s recovery from the mitochondrial disorder. I know he\'s playing (and doing well) but I was wondering whether his future is limited as a part time player or is it simply a case of wait and see? Thanks Matt

Sep 23, 2008 9:28 AM on UTK Interactive