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<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45536">Felix Hernandez</a></span> should be on here as well, first half <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ERA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ERA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ERA</span></a> 2.84, second half 6.26. Still though, his K/BB ratio has been better in the second half so I'm guessing his <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=FIP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('FIP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">FIP</span></a> is still pretty good, but oh man his <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BABIP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BABIP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BABIP</span></a>.
How about <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=65756">Tom Wilhelmsen</a></span>, now apparently the Mariners' closer?
Also, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70306">Sonny Gray</a></span> may be a 2-start pitcher this week if he comes back Monday or Tuesday, but he's safely in the auto-start category.
Yes, that's correct. After they sent Moore down, they've explicitly stated they're going with a four-man given their off days until the week after next when they expect <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68688">Drew Smyly</a></span> back from his rehab.
As a Rays fan, I enjoyed reading this article on my GrizzylPhone while riding in my self-driving car. It sure beat reading the umpteenth article on how President Trump's Game of Thrones-style wall along our Southern border is bankrupting the treasury.
Neither Gallo nor Franco is <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=28104">Brooks Robinson</a></span> at 3B. One of them would move to 1B as <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=37145">Ryan Howard</a></span> would surely be shipped somewhere as well.
Given his inability to even credibly play 1B, Vogelbach is blocked by the National League. I don't think the Phillies would have use for him either.
In the time it took you to ask that question, he tore his ACL again.
Nice piece, and as a Stroman owner I've watched most of his starts and have enjoyed watching him pitch.
One correction, though: "This tenant of pitching" should be "This tenet of pitching".
A league I played in used a "salary trade cap" or "team-to-team cap"; that is, it limited the amount of salary one team could pick up from another. Inevitably in every keeper league there's going to a group of contenders and a group of non-contenders. What rankles everyone and causes the most hurt feelings is the "dump everyone to one team and get it over with" trade, and the salary trade cap solves this problem by essentially forcing a dumping team to deal with more than one contender. It thereby allows non-contenders to rebuild and contenders to acquire help while spreading things around.
The league also had no long-term contracts, but required any player being kept to have his salary bumped up $4 each year. This kept down draft inflation pretty well, by increasing the amount of salary kept and by throwing more marginal keepers back in the draft (someone at $21 might be a keeper but at $25 they're not).
He mostly uses it when discussing a pitcher's ball/strike ratio, and usually that comes up when a pitcher is throwing an inordinate number of balls (er, non-strikes). He won't say "three non-strikes and two strikes on Loney" for example, but when the discussion goes beyond the count on the batter he uses it quite a bit.
Agree with this on Krukow, he comes off as the smarmy SoCal/Marin County fifty-something type you come across in navel-gazing Hollywood films like Grand Canyon.
I always think of him as "Kookrow", which is how then-manager Preston Gomez pronounced his name when Krukow came up with the Cubs in the late 70s.
Growing up listening to and watching Yankee games in the 70s, my primary memory of the Bill White-Phil Rizutto byplay was that Rizutto always called him "White", never "Bill".
Agree with RJ that Staats is a great, understated announcer who is kind of the Pat Summerall of baseball.
But Staats does have one weird quirk: he doesn't like to use the word "balls" when it comes to discussing balls and strikes; instead he calls them "non-strikes", something I don't think I've ever heard another baseball announcer do on a regular basis. It's not like he never says "balls", but he clearly prefers the term "non-strikes". No idea if he's being prudish or what the motivation is here.
Missing from the list is Tampa Bay at the Cubs this weekend. Expect a few less AB for Matt Joyce, Brandon Guyer, Logan Forsythe and (maybe) Sean Rodriguez this week.
Some of the fantasy stuff regarding the Rays is right, but for the wrong reason. As long as the Rays remain in contention, Franklin will stay at AAA and not impact any current Rays hitters. What will cost Guyer and Forsythe at-bats is the return of Wil Myers in a couple of weeks. Myers or Kiermaier will be shifted to left, as the latter has proven too valuable to sit.
There likely has to be a Ben Zobrist trade somewhere down the line as well for Franklin to get at-bats; next year's OF will likely be Myers-Jennings-Kiermaier, unless Kiermaier reverts to his pre-2014 self (good glove, no hit), and Zobrist would stay at 2B if no deal is made. That would leave DH, which right now is Joyce vs RHP and either Forsythe or S.Rodriguez against LHP.
The optimal solution for the Rays could be to cut ties with Yunel Escobar, whom they unfortunately extended for 2 more years this spring, and move Zobrist to SS. After a great 2013, Escobar has seemingly lost all range (his UZR numbers are terrible and as one who watches the Rays daily, the eye test backs this up) and has reverted to the immaturity that drove him out of Atlanta and Toronto (see a pair of recent ejections at the plate for ball/strike calls). It's no coincidence the Rays hot streak really went into gear when Escobar went on the DL for a few weeks and Zobrist filled in at SS. Perhaps the Rays can get something for him instead of dealing Zobrist.
Yu did a great job here, Sam.
Andrew Friedman took over as GM after the 2005 season, so his best deadline deal as a seller came in July 2006 when he dealt Aubrey Huff to the Astros for Mitch Talbot and Ben Zobrist, the latter having accumulated approximately 34 WAR since becoming a full-time player in 2009.
"Underwhelming" is a kind way to describe the Clearwater Threshers, my hometown minor league team. After a win yesterday, they improved to 13-49. They're clearly the worst team in MiLB.
Hopefully the Phils will sign Aaron Nola soon and he'll be taking the mound at Bright House Field, to give us something worth watching (aside from Quinn).
Unless he's signed to an extension, David Price won't be signing with anyone this winter, he's not a FA until after the 2015 season.
Fine article, Ben, but one little nit: when rules are ignored or broken, they're "flouted", not "flaunted", which means to show off.
I'm holding out for the Mega Super Platinum Subscription in which a BP writer of your choice will be your butler for a year.
Cleveland Receives Master's Degree in Pitching
Josh Outman wasn't homegrown, he came over from the Phillies in the Joe Blanton trade a few years back.
With the Soto trade, Wellington Castillo becomes an intriguing pickup for NL-only leagues, being a catcher with some pop (not unlike Soto, but hopefully without the wide performance variances).
Let me second that request on Adam Morgan. He was utterly dominant in a game I was at last week, striking out 13 in 7 innings, and he took a no-hitter into the 7th or 8th in his last start.
Is his velo up this year or is it just an experience vs. league thing? I know he wasn't highly regarded coming into this season.
The A's made it easy for the official scorer to give the win to Blevins by scoring 6 times in the top of the 9th. Had they only scored 4 and gone in with a 12-9 lead, I'm sure Cook would have received the win and Blevins the save.
In fact, I'm not even sure if the scorer would have discretion here to award a win by taking away a save, since the save rule is cut and dried.
Ozzie went to Dunn the other night because Cishek was seasick. Or something like that (he was apparently vomiting quite a bit and had some sort of illness).
What I'd really be interested in is a study to see whether drafting has become more efficient in the 90s/00s as opposed to the 60s/70s/80s, given the better information available through the rise of the internet and sabermetrics. I suppose part of that would be problematic in that the 90s/00s draftees are still playing, but I'm sure adjustments could be made with PECOTA projections, etc.
"Despite relatively poor seasons from Rollins (.232/.282/.291) and Pence (.248/.298/.488) they are at .500 in the toughest division in baseball."
Toughest division in baseball? The AL East and all 5 of their teams with a positive run differential say "hi".
"On March 31 if you had said that Cliff Lee and Roy Halladay would be a combined 3-4 in 13 starts and the Phillies would be .500, most people would have taken that."
The reason why Lee & Halladay are a combined 3-4 isn't because they've pitched terribly, it's because the Phillies don't score runs with this lineup.
"All of the NL East teams have flaws."
That they do, which is why it's not the toughest division in baseball.
Citing examples of how other teams turned it around has about a 0% relevancy to how things will go this year for the Phillies.
"Ruben Amaro has fleeced multiple GMs in the last few seasons, grabbing above average big leaguers for prospects that no one cared about 6 months prior."
Unfortunately for Amaro, Ed Wade is no longer the Astros' GM, so Carlos Lee and Wandy Rodriguez aren't walking through that door in exchange for Anthony Hewitt and a bucket of balls.
So who are the true #1s in MLB if there are only about 10?
Verlander, Lee, Halladay, Sabathia, Felix Hernandez and Kershaw seem like no-brainers, and I'd guess we could add Weaver, Lincecum to that list, but there are some tweeners that seems like they could be 1s or 2s: Hamels, Greinke, Price, Shields, Lester, Haren, Cain, and then you have a potential #1 in Strasburg.
As a Gordon owner, I noted with chagrin that he hit fly balls his first three times up last night. That's something he needs to get over - fast.
I guess six-run leads join helpless women as things not safe in the hands of Josh Lueke.
His continued presence on the roster is a black mark for the Rays.
And do well really expect Ruben Amaro Jr. (a/k/a Ruin Tomorrow Jr.) to spend that money wisely? Money alone is not a path to dominance - there are only so many impact free agents available in a given year. And the Yankees have had a strong farm system to use in trade to supplement their free agent signings, enabling them to deal for Granderson, Swisher, Pineda, etc. while they also had the homegrown Jeter, Cano & Gardner.
I'd say it's more likely they end up approximating the pre-Madoff Mets than the Yankees here.
Chad Fox will always be the answer to a trivia question: Who was the winning pitcher in Game 6 of the 2003 NLCS (a/k/a the "Bartman" game)?
Tune in to FX at 10PM Eastern on Thursday. You'll thank me later.
I guess Archer's command and control has entered the danger zone.
I think Sale's ineffectiveness yesterday can be partially explained by the fact he pitched two innings late the night before in extra innings. I was surprised to see him coming out for the 9th yesterday.
Hmmm..what this transaction analysis needs is more 19th century military history and use of the word "tasty".
but didn't J.P. Ricciardi say that Dunn didn't like baseball, had no passion for the game? I'm confused.
So unfortunately this isn't an April Fools' joke. But in the spirit of the day, it should have been coupled with an announcement that BP was hiring Joe Morgan (or worse yet, Murray Chass) as a new columnist.
For every moron that rails on about the 4.50 quality start in defense of wins, answer him with this pitcher "win":
One strategy I cannot recommend enough from nearly 25 years of auction drafting in keeper leagues is to remember that your goal is to maximize the value of your team, not just to maximize profit.
Gauging inflation, both pre-draft, and in-draft, in the most important thing you can do assuming your valuations are sound. And the first key moment in this is to project who the other teams in your league are going to keep, and then calculate inflation. If inflation is significant enough (say 15% or more), you may want to consider keeping reliable at-value or slightly above value keepers in order to 1) add value to your roster and 2) go into the draft with fewer $ that will be eaten by inflation. And inflation WILL be allocated to the top-tier players.
So if you have a $35 player at $40, keep him, especially if your league allows a large or "unlimited" number of keepers. If you don't have one of these players, try and trade for him if you think the other owner won't keep him (he'll probably want little in return since he doesn't view him as a keeper). In a high-inflation draft, the best bet is to lock in as much value as you can and go into the draft with as little money to spend and few spots as possible to fill; if you go in with $200 to spend, you WILL feel the effect of inflation.
The worst thing you can do and surest path to a low-value team is to be one of the guys sitting on too much money after the top-tier players go, and ending up paying $32 for a $17 player. I've seen it happen too many times to too many teams.
My Baseball Prospectus code
Or a Yes album name?
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Especially this morning,
Welcome break from Sheen
And Tony Sanchez's development as a player will proceed in the same fashion whether Kevin ranks him 1st, 50th or 100th (or leaves him off the list entirely), so no ranking on here is worth getting too up in arms over.
Youkilis only played two games at 3B last season with some guy named Beltre manning the position, so he doesn't belong in the 3B rankings by just about any league's definition.
Whatever happened to Wendell Fairly?
Where was this comment on the Ferris Bueller piece? There wasn't any performance analysis there.
By the way, I wonder where this book by my nicknamed namesake would fit into the picture here:
I have to say that when I subscribed to BP for fantasy baseball information, this isn't exactly what I had in mind.
Just tell me that there isn't any slash fic devoted to Don Mossi.
We need to get a campaign going to get Julio Teheran nicknamed "The Shah". It's a lot cooler-sounding than "Ayatollah".
Plus, when he makes the majors he'll double the number of MLBers named after Middle Eastern capitols (Miguel Cairo).
My favorite old-time minor league memory is seeing Dave Stieb play for Dunedin in the FSL in 1978 - as a center fielder. They moved him to the mound later that season and the rest, as they say, is history.
Nice Kotsay analysis, but do you happen to know for a fact that Kotsay is bored or jaded with being a major leaguer? I ask because "blase" doesn't mean the same thing as "blah", even though they sound similar. You may be blase about the Kotsay signing (although writing an article about it would speak to the contrary), but I think Kotsay is probably pretty happy to be extending his major league career.
Which turned out to be the Yankees' 1st rounder. Nothing like 9 picks before the second round starts.
The odds are about zero now that it's reported Qualls signed for San Diego. Balfour is the most likely to return to Tampa Bay, probably on a 1-year deal where the Rays agree to not offer him arbitration next year.
The Rays are really stockpiling draft picks with the ones acquired for Pena, Crawford, Wheeler and now a couple of more picked up for guys they got off the scrapheap last year, Qualls and Brad Hawpe. Not to mention the one they'll get for Soriano.
Shields' problems seem to be exacerbated (or are the result of) when John Jaso is catching vs either Kelly Shoppach or Dioner Navarro.
In the 14 of 29 starts that Jaso caught, Shields sports a 6.86 ERA and opponent OPS of .956 including 20 HR in 81 IP, and with a .366 BABIP.
With Shoppach or Navarro, his ERA is 3.15, a "normal" BABIP right around .300, and only 10 HR yielded in 94 IP.
I know "Catcher's ERA)-type stats are overblown, but the difference here is stark, and given that Jaso is a rookie catcher known for his bat and not his glove (or presumably, game-calling skills), I'm surprised Joe Maddon has gone with Jaso as Shields' catcher as often as he has, especially given that Maddon likes to mix-and-match lineups.
They've gone the commercials route before on mlb.tv, and unless they get dozens of advertisers willing to run different ads, you'll end up with what we had before - the same old Dick's Sporting Goods or Umpire Training School ads running over and over again until they drive you up the wall.
Was any consideration given to the quality of the pitchers that followed the knuckleballers in the rotation, or was that simply considered to be a wash over the years?
As for Leake, another explanation for his recent poor performance is regression to the mean, especially if his "velocity and mechanics held up". His peripherals never supported his ERA. See also Jaime Garcia.
"Sheehan Things My Way: 15 Years of Iconoclastic Bsaeball Commentary"
or "Sheehan Is Believin'" with the same subhead.
Beckham "showing some sings of home"? I can see where sings was a typo of "signs" but "signs of home" makes no sense either. Guess you meant "signs of life".
Don't know if this has been alluded to elsewhere, but the trade of Cristian Guzman opens up 2B again for Adam Kennedy and his 12 SB, so those in need of cheap speed might want to pick him up.
Of course his 4 for 5 with a SB last night against Oswalt and the Phillies might have already gotten him picked up in some leagues.
Gallardo is only starting once this week, on Thursday vs. Pittsburgh.
I think we can cross Boston off the list. Acquiring Oswalt would trigger the luxury tax for the Red Sox, meaning there would be a 30% premium on top of what they'd have to pay Oswalt.
It's entirely fitting that someone named Billy Hamilton would be a plus-plus runner. Please refer to him as "Sliding" Billy Hamilton from here on.
I have no data to back this up (presumably only BP has it), but my guess is that the "hidden", -5 comments get more views than most regular comments, especially in a thread with quite a few.
The thought of "let's see what this guy said that was so bad" gets me to click on them, and I'm sure I'm not alone. It seems that having them "hidden" calls more attention to them than they'd receive otherwise.
Seemingly out-of-left-field diatribes like that usually have some kind of history behind them. The nature of this one makes it pretty obvious Tango's been under Sheehan's skin for quite a while and this comment was the final straw for him.
Thought you'd slip in a mention that Chance Ruffin is the son of former Phillie/Brewer/Rockie Bruce Ruffin.
Another reason AL offense has dropped significantly while the NL has remained flat is that outside of Vlad Guerrero (and since May 1 or so, David Ortiz) DH production has been abysmal this year.
Shouldn't Gose's team be listed as High-A Clearwater?
This may not be a good week to cut bait on Thome. The Twins only face one lefty all week (Bruce Chen), and their interleague games are at home against Atlanta, so they still have the DH.
Next week on the other hand, Minnesota plays 3 at home against Colorado and then goes to Philly, so Thome will be pretty useless then (esp. if one of those COL games has Francis starting).
Calling him up for the Rays series would make sense (and for a few days defer the decisions discussed above) since the Marlins will need to play a DH in St. Petersburg.
Nice story, but the Mets have been no-hit several times in their history (most recently by Darryl Kile in 1993), so I'm sure Noble's covered some no-hitters - just none pitched by the Mets.
Jacob's Ladder? Not for the six seasons on the island and the first five seasons off the island. They made it pretty clear that all of that was real. It was only the flash-sideways in Season 6 that might hold up to the comparison, but even that was explicitly referred to as being a kind of after-life purgatory for all of them as opposed to a "flashes before your eyes as you die" deal like in Jacob's Ladder and, say, An Occurrence at Owl Creek Bridge.
And whaddya know, Joe Maddon puts a righty shift on Thames tonight (maybe he's reading the BP comments). Pena, the 1B, played about 40% of the way to 2nd, while Brignac the 2B played just on the 3B side of the bag with the Bartlett in the hole and Longoria almost hugging the line at third.
The Rays broadcast crew remarked they hadn't seen a righty shift before.
The shifts we see now have the 3B barely on his own side of 2B, with the SS closer to the normal 2B position and the 2B in shallow RF. The problem with righties is that the 1B can't be as close to the 2B bag as the 3B can against lefties.
Beyond that, there really aren't many extreme pull hitters among RHBs as there are the Thomes, Penas, Branyans, and D.Ortiz's of the world. Maybe someone like Marcus Thames?
And you can't move the first baseman too far off first or there will be a lot of infield hits.
Because we already have a shortstop between second and third, I guess.
About A.Cabrera's injury: the collision with Peralta came when they were playing the shift and in positions neither would normally be occupying on the field. I know that you've always touted that switching to a new position increases the likelihood of injury, and with shifts being more frequently used against extreme lefty pull-hitters I wonder if we're not going to lose a few more infielders along the way.
Another bullet point in Baltimore's prospect/young player regression that was worth a mention is Nolan Reimold. While nobody expected superstardom, he profiled as a decent to solid corner outfielder, and now he's back in AAA.
Ashley was also quite impressive in the Grapefruit League this year with the Rays. With the lack of a solid solution at the position (anyone think the Rays should have taken Buster Posey over Tim Beckham?), the door is open for Ashley perhaps as early as next year.
Milledge must have heard you, or read your mind yesterday, as he had a big game last night driving in 4 runs.
It's good to know Columbia University will still be around in 20007, or should that have been Colombia, the country?
On an unrelated note, is there any way to display the comment times with the proper time zone? They all seem to be PT, and there doesn't seem to be a time zone option under "manage your profile".
Think he's referring to Carlos Gonzalez of the Rockies, who's injured, as opposed to Carlos Gomez of the Brewers.
These shortened names have gotten out of hand.
Sean Rodriguez isn't eligible for Rookie of the Year, he has 192 career AB. Edinson Volquez anybody?
"Also, Hinske’s delivered a .741 OPS in his only other NL experience with Pittsburgh in 2009, which doesn’t bode well."
Are you saying that while Hinske has been productive playing in the AL East, he can't handle the NL? This doesn't make any sense, and his .741 OPS is from part-time play in half a season, the very definition of small sample size in comparison to his 2 1/2 seasons with the Red Sox, Rays and Yankees.
NBC/Rotoworld did a 30-article series on this very topic last fall titled "Restoring the Rosters". Each day they counted down from the worst to the best team under this scenario, and went into detail about what their rotation would look like, what kind of lineup they'd have, and how the bullpen would shape up.
Here's a link to the #1 team (Seattle, which dovetails nicely with the ranking above) which contains links to the other 29 pieces:
I've always wanted to see Chris Snelling show up on one of these THRs. I wonder if Will would use one of Drudge's flashing red sirens instead of a simple "red light" in his case.
Think he was referring to Pan Am 103/Lockerbie.
Yeah, I'd like to see SIERA applied to 2008 numbers to see how well it predicted 2009 vis-a-vis FIP, QERA, etc.
To further bolster Hunsicker's credentials, he's been integrally involved in the Rays front office since 2007 as a VP, and look where they've gone since.
Like Dionne Warwick.
And that's *before* they add Johnny Damon. OK, that's the Rays fan in me speaking.
A pitcher named Chris Carpenter who has "A power arm with very long injury history." What are the odds?
Baseball personals. Interesting.
Maybe they could be compiled and called Roger Craigslist.
Perhaps the O's were influenced by the fact that the Dodgers overpaid them in the trade market for Sherrill by giving them Josh Bell, a top-notch 3B prospect. They could be thinking "We got Bell for Sherrill, imagine what we could get for Gonzalez, who is better!"
But unless the Dodgers (who seem to overpay in prospect deals - aside from Bell for Sherrill, they got crap from the Rays for Navarro and E.Jackson, gave up Carlos Santana for Casey Blake) suddenly need *another* reliever next year, they're going to be disappointed in what they're offered.
Cf. Jeremy Giambi.
Permission granted. Ruth Buzzi's still alive - she can present it.
Yes we ARE old, rcmiller.
They get the Dan Rowan Award.
And does adding the word "point" after "price" connote any additional meaning? It seems like writers these days use "price point" when "price" will do just fine (not unlike my all-time favorite, "relic of the past").
I had this job on a part-time basis for the FSL Clearwater Threshers in 2007 and 2008, although the minor league equivalent was decidedly low-tech.
I kept score and the phoned into MiLB each half-inning with a play-by-play. No computers involved. Also ended up being the official scorer for a few games, including a Lakeland visit that featured Rick Porcello pitching.
By the way, re: the Jack Wilson analysis, there's no "c" in "supersede".
I enjoyed the style, too - although in my head, I couldn't help but hear the italicized portions in that "other voice" that Jim Gaffigan uses.
Threshers, that is.
Four is a golden sombrero. Five is a platinum sombrero.
When I did some work a few years back for the Clearwater Treshers and they had the strikeout-prone Greg Golson on the roster, I used to refer to many of his evenings as a "Golson Sombrero".
What makes it worse is that AT NO POINT did McClelland look at Swisher while the ball was in the air, while Hunter made the catch, or after the catch was made. Nor did, in the one wide-angle shot Fox showed, any of the other umpires look at Swisher when the ball was caught.
It reeked of a make-up for the earlier blown call in the inning on the pickoff play, but I'll chalk it up to just general incompetence.
Thinking about it, I have the perfect solution for both of baseball's glaring PR disasters: STEROIDS FOR UMPS!
The key *blown call*. I was surprised that Joe cited two bad ball-strike calls in the sixth without citing this one. And short of a bad call on a 3-ball count, the difference between 3-1 and 2-2 is the most pronounced of all counts.
And as for the bad calls being "part of the game", well I think the "human element" argument has been pretty much discredited beyond reproach. I tuned in to watch the Phillies vs. Dodgers, not Ted Barrett vs. the strike zone.
Here's a screengrab of that pitch:
I thought the 2-1 pitch to Howard in the bottom of the first was the key blown call in the game. It was clearly a strike (practically in the middle of the TBS box), and instead of 2-2 the count was 3-1, and Howard hammered the next pitch out. You could see Wolf have a nice discussion with Barrett while Howard circled the bases.
There was one last night, although it wasn't formal and it took place on Twitter. Just follow Will (@injuryexpert), Joe (@joe_sheehan), Marc (@Marc_Normandin), Kevin (@kingclip), and Shawn (@shawndhoffman). And make sure to throw in non-BPers @robneyer and @keithlaw for good measure.
One could say that Twitter almost makes the roundtables obsolete.
Now all we need is a kiss 'em goodbye article without a comment about Max Stassi, and we'll be set.
Shouldn't Jeremy Hellickson be the Rays' great leap forward? Although I guess his numbers didn't take a huge leap forward so much as his stuff did, going from the next Sonnanstine to "Grienke-lite".
Is there some kind of "diminishing returns" adjustment that can be made to blowouts, given that managers will tend to pull regulars, let field players pitch, leave struggling pitchers in to "take one for the team", and the natural human tendency to let up, especially if one is on the losing end of such a game?
And if by implementing such an adjustment, would it result in actual W-L records correlating more strongly with expected W-L records?
Someone somewhere has to have taken a stab at this.
Oh well, a doubleheader loss to the Yankees (with another bullpen implosion) and the loss of Carlos Pena for the season made this column's conclusion outdated faster than the Macarena.
It should also be kept in mind that the best player the Rays get in this deal is to PTBNL, who can't be dealt right now because he's on the 40-man and would have to clear waivers. The informed speculation right now is that it's Sean Rodriguez.
Thole sounds like the second coming of Paul LoDuca.
I went and read the analysis at Volokh.com and I'd recommend anyone else interested in this topic do likewise. It's a fascinating rundown of the "plain view" exception to search warrants and how it applies in the virtual world of computer searches. Especially make sure to read his original analysis of the case from December 2008.
As jrmayne states, it does look like the Ninth really went out on a limb here, rewriting Fourth Amendment law in the process.
Any thoughts on Aaron Cook? His shoulder injury screams "cascade" from the original toe injury.
Looks like this year the Philly fans on the BP boards are celebrating their team's first place status by freely pouring the whine.
Hmm..I never really read the newsletter but instead have used its appearance in my mailbox to indicate when BP was done posting articles for the day, so I knew better than to go back and look for new ones until the next day.
Now I guess it won't be good for that purpose.
Yeah, but is Boston really going to sit him more than once or twice a week?
There was also value for the Red Sox acquiring Martinez in that they kept him from going to Tampa Bay, although how serious the Rays were about acquiring him is an open question.
MLB players have 72 hours to report to their new team after a trade, so even though Sanchez stayed in San Francisco after the Pirates left, he hasn't officially "reported" to the Giants.
I'm not sure I understand why the Phillies needed Charlie Kerfeld to scout Roy Halladay. They weren't sure if he was good? He needed to impress them Friday night?
DXL with the begin date only would be great, especially for players injured earlier in the year (i.e., did that guy go down April 20 or May 5?, hard to remember); it's not that hard to do the math from there, and by not explicitly listing the return date, it furthers the idea that the return is an estimate, not an exact date.
It seems as though the bulk of the teams listed above have allowed fewer runs than anticipated, so it is a case of you overestimating the run-scoring environment this year? Or does traditionally the second half of the season feature more run-scoring than the first?
Technically, Brown never left Clearwater - he'll just walk across the parking lot, as the GCL team plays in a field adjacent to Bright House Field, where the Clearwater Threshers play.
Well McCain did carry Missouri, the only one of the swing states he won.
Assuming he were to get traded back to Colorado.
If you're fortunate enough to have access to ESPN360, you can replay it on demand.
The only reason (tongue-in-cheek) that makes sense for Maddon selecting Wakefield is to have someone to go multiple innings in case the game goes to extras. We just better not see him come on in the 6th.
Unrelated to anything above, I have a question about genetics and injuries given that Jemile Weeks graces the front page of BP today. Given the serious, chronic wrist problems that brother Rickie has had throughout his career, is there any likelihood that Jemile will suffer them as well? Is there any way the A's could test for it, be it a weakness or something in the bone structure?
that should read "faced to date"
Toronto pitchers are conspicuous by their absence on this list, no doubt due to the weak schedule they've faced to death and the fact they've seen next to nothing of the Yanks, Rays & Red Sox. If you want a group to sell high on, they would be it.
I'm curious about this as well, especially in the case of Carmona - he's made everyone look like an 800+ OPS guy.
Wasn't Clint Hurdle about as hyped as Hartung when he came up? The first time I had heard of Hartung was when Hurdle didn't live up to the hype (cover of SI and all) in his rookie season.
Low-A to the majors? Highly unlikely no matter how many injuries they get. I think they'd bring back Gary Scott before they mess up Vitters' developmental timetable.
Jay, it was Carl Crawford who hit the first of back-to-back HRs last night with Longoria to lead the Rays over the Yanks, not Pena.
Pena did go deep earlier in the game, however.
It's interesting in the latter list that the two names which are prominent are Victor Zambrano and Daniel Cabrera, two pitchers with great stuff whom baseball people thought were a good pitching coach away from becoming stars; we have Zambrano, whom the Mets famously gave up Scott Kazmir for and thought Rick Peterson could "fix", and Cabrera, for whom the Orioles brought in Leo Mazzone with no ultimate success.
Ironically, Kazmir at times lately has looked quite Zambranoesque or Cabrereqsue, especially in his start at Minnesota the other night.
That's because Castro never played professional baseball, minor league or otherwise. Apparently he was once scouted by the Pirates while pitching at university in Cuba, but that was as close as he got.
Clement did not play SS. That was an erroneous wire report of the lineup, it was actually Calix Crabbe who started at SS the other day.
When our family moved from Long Island to Clearwater, Florida in 1976, it was tough on the teen baseball fan I was back then. I went from cable TV to no cable TV (Clearwater didn't get wired until 1981) and from having 2 MLB teams in the area with extensive local TV coverage to none. Other than getting to go to spring training games and a handful of Braves games on a local affiliate, it was something of a baseball wasteland*.
With the Phillies training in Clearwater, a local AM station decided to join their radio network, and suddenly I had baseball to listen to every day. It was the voices of Harry Kalas, Richie Ashburn (RIP also) and Chris Wheeler that provided an oasis for me and kept my interest in MLB going. Even though I was a Yankees fan, I almost never missed a Phillies broadcast in those late 70s days.
*OK, we did have the FSL, and I'll always remember seeing the loaded Dunedin Blue Jays outfield of Lloyd Moseby, Jesse Barfield - and Dave Stieb, who played CF in his first pro season before a successful conversion to the mound.
Harry Kalas RIP. Collapsed and died in the booth while getting ready for today's game in Washington.
"in an attempt to diffuse the mainstream obsession with Lee's success"
Hate to be a grammar pedant, but I think you meant "defuse" instead of "diffuse". It seems as if I come across this about as often as "benefactor" is wrongly used in place of "beneficiary".
because there's no MLB stadium in Tampa?
Tropicana Field is in St. Petersburg.
Tampa Bay geography aside, it doesn't make sense. The Rays contacted MLB last year before the schedule was made about opening at home, but the best and brightest at MLB said thanks but no thanks.
And although he's bounced around quite a bit, I'd hardly call Eric Hinske "veteran detritus"; he had an OPS+ of 107 last year in nearly 400 AB and 114 in nearly 300 AB in 2006. Despite sharing a platoon, Hinske doesn't deserve to be lumped in with Craig Monroe in the "veteran detritus" category.
Guess it's down to Wise/Anderson, as Owens was released by the White Sox today.
It was due to balls being fouled off. I don't have the exact information at my fingertips, but I'm pretty sure Kazmir led the league in either pitches fouled off, or pitchers fouled off per plate appearance.
The preview hinted at all games - *including* local games, not just local games.
I\'ll gladly pay $20 for audio of all games, as I can drop my $15/month XM subscription (MLB being the only reason I still have it).
I thought the plan was to play Atkins at 1st and Stewart at 3rd when Helton was out of the lineup.
\"Utilising\"? Did you write this shortly after composing a report to one of your EPL clients? Next thing you know you\'ll be referring to a player as being \"in hospital\". :)
As a Newcastle fan, I\'ve come to the conclusion that Michael Owen is the Nick Johnson of the EPL. Can\'t stay on the field (er, pitch) for more than a few games at a time.
If Selig did attempt to get Aaron restored as the official all-time HR leader, he would be out of his Frick-in\' mind.
Jay: In the Rockies section, you wrote \"As for Smith and Street..\". Any self-respecting baseball fan would have to refer to them as \"Street and Smith\".
He\'s Code Orange, as in prison jumpsuit.
The answer to Porcello\'s relative lack of Ks is in the comment above.
Except for the fact that their GM famously bad-mouthed him last year.
TARP bailout kind of money.
Good NY Times article on Wright and his 1-game MLB career:
He was yet another Brave farmhand traded by Schuerholz that failed to pan out, although the PTBNL in that deal (for Denny Neagle) going to Pittsburgh was Jason Schmidt, perhaps the only one who ever really did.
Speaking of penurious owners, I just saw that Carl Pohlad passed away at the age of 93. I wonder if he\'s going to have his $3.8 billion buried with him, for all the good it did the Twins.
\"Our season\"? Do you play for the Phillies or are otherwise employed by them?
Yankees 6/145, 12/9 (day 2 of winter meetings)
I think the Phillies need to send a bouquet of roses or some champagne over to the Boston Red Sox. Sure you can put this down to random variation, regression to the mean or the pitching of Jamie Moyer and Joe Blanton, but the basic fact is that the Rays have not been the same team since Boston came back on them in Game 5 of the ALCS. Although the Rays did eke out a Game 7 win (thanks primarily to Garza carrying them on his back), since the 7th inning of Game 5, the Rays have performed considerably more poorly by just about every metric you can think of - their power numbers are down, defensively they come nowhere near resembling the team that finished first in Defensive Efficiency, the pitchers have nibbled, etc. Only in the speed department (which is the most purely athletic and requires the least mental exertion) have they looked like the Rays of 2008 through October 16. Even their WS Game 2 win was pretty ugly - if the Phillies could have plated a couple of the 9 baserunners they put on in less than 6 innings against Shields, the series would be over now,
I think the Phillies need to send a bouquet of roses or some champagne over to the Boston Red Sox. Sure you can put this down to random variation or the pitching of Jamie Moyer and Joe Blanton, but the basic fact is that the Rays have not been the same team since Boston came back on them in Game 5 of the ALCS. Although the Rays did eke out a Game 7 win (thanks primarily to Garza carrying them on his back), since the 7th inning of Game 5, the Rays have performed considerably more poorly by just about every metric you can think of - their power numbers are down, defensively they come nowhere near resembling the team that finished first in Defensive Efficiency, the pitchers have nibbled, etc. Only in the speed department (which is the most purely athletic and requires the least mental exertion) have they looked like the Rays of 2008 through October 16. Even their WS Game 2 win was pretty ugly, and they were hanging on at the end.
They do that for the LCS so as to maximize the number of games shown in prime time since there are 2 LCSs going on at once.
Official NWS forecast for Philly:
RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. CHANCE OF RAIN
Somebody up there likes the Phillies.
By the way, tomorrow night\'s Game 5 matchup is Kazmir vs. Matsuzaka. If you plan on watching, it would be a good idea to call in sick for Friday ahead of time - it\'s quite possible that come 11PM Eastern the game will be in the bottom of the fourth inning.
Until baseball exhausts its current generation of announcers and sportswriters, this canard will continue; after all, the Marlins\' runs in 1997 and 2003 did nothing to extinguish it so I doubt the Rays will kill it.
And Maddon has announced that Kazmir will pitch Game 5 with Shields being held back for Game 6 if necessary.
Shouldn\'t this be titled \"Notes on ALCS Game Four\"?
This may be the first analysis I\'ve read that prefers the Boston middle relief corps to Tampa Bay\'s. It seems to be that Boston\'s achilles heel has been the \"bridge\" from the starter to Papelbon (who himself has been shaky down the stretch), while the Howell-Balfour-Wheeler trifecta has been near-untouchable.
Is Cain\'s arm about to fall off? That\'s the only way SF would make this deal.