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greenengineer
84 comments | 37 total rating | 0.44 average rating
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Baseball Prospectus http://bbp.cx/i/2923
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 4

Here's an elegant solution. Add two more teams (to 32). Divide each league into two 8 team divisions. Each team plays their division rivals 22 times. No interleague, no interdivision. 154 game schedule. Division winners meet head to head in a 7 game league championship series. League winners meet head to head in a 7 game World Series. No wild cards, no crappy teams sneaking into the playoffs. It's baseball, not the NHL.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Tony Perez to the Expos for Woody Fryman. Thus ended my innocent childhood. Still don't understand what they were thinking.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Deeper please. Almonte, Carp and Maicer were all drafted in my 12 team AL only 4x4 keeper league. Almonte went for $14.

Apr 03, 2014 9:26 AM on Introduction
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Just a note that the writers voted before the playoffs, but we voted after. Not knowing the Red Sox would win it all, a vote for Francona makes more sense.

Nov 13, 2013 6:30 AM on AL Top Manager
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

A single trip to Skyline doesn't do the trick. You need to eat Skyline six days in a row. On the seventh day you will be craving it.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Thanks! I've been in the same 4x4 league since 1990. Part of what I like about fantasy baseball is that it is like baseball, but different. That's even more so in 4x4 - it's not about assembling the best baseball team, it's about predicting performance in the 8 categories and winning the game. Lots of weird things happen, and you are forced to notice them.

Mar 15, 2013 5:33 AM on 4x4 Versus 5x5
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Hokey Smoke -Cloyd was the name of a Moonman (with partner Gidney) on Rocky and Bullwinkle.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Interesting, but I was surprised you looked at individual performance. I think the question is do teams with "chemistry" win more games? The non stats folks (Thomas Boswell) would say that teams without "chemistry" have a bunch of individuals chasing individual stats, at the expense of the team. Perhaps compare pythag vs actual for low turnover vs high turnover teams?

Feb 28, 2013 3:46 PM on Can't Buy Me Chemistry?
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

This is good. Thanks!

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 1

I appreciate that you have taken the time to answer so many questions. Thanks!

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 1

Thanks! Would love to see an article about what the Astros move to the AL does to single league formats. Although the Astros are terrible, that's still one more team to pick from for my AL only league - (1 more closer, etc.) and one less team for NL Leagues. What does that do to player values in single league keeper leagues?

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 1

4x4 would be nice. Please tell us how/why this is different/better than the PFM.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: -2

I think you miss a key point. The chance that Trout plays 162 games and is mediocre is pretty small. But what about the chance that he tears his ACL in April and is out for the year (or similar)? To me, that's the biggest risk of any $30+ player - you've put too much of your eggs in one basket.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 2

Tim Salmon Warp=42.9, zero All-Star Games. We should stop picking All-Stars based on the first 2.5 months of the season.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

I was busy flunking out of college in Boston in the spring of 1986. That night, instead of school work, I spent the evening driving my girlfriend's car around Boston, thinking about my future, while listening to the game. About the 7th inning it occurred to me that I should go over to Fenway and watch the last few innings, as there were certainly seats available. But inertia was too strong and I never made it to the game. I'll always regret that.

Feb 06, 2013 8:38 AM on Clemens' 20 K's
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

I'm confused. How can there be more "value" than there is money available? For every undrafted player who has positive value, there must be an offsetting negative value of some drafted player, yes? What am I missing?

Jan 29, 2013 2:51 PM on Hidden Fantasy Value
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 1

I hope the BP folks recognize sarcasm...

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

*Ken McMullen

Jan 15, 2013 6:20 AM on Zeroes and Ones
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

OK, so what about people who have surgery just to be able to pitch again (or pitch with a bloody sock)? Aren't they also"damaging their health in order to make it in professional sports"?

Jan 09, 2013 6:50 AM on Casting Our Ballots
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 1

Bob Hertzel, how did you get back in the building?

Jan 06, 2013 9:49 AM on The Hall of Fame Ballot
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 1

No on #3. Keep the leagues separate. They need a divorce, not a ring.

Jan 02, 2013 4:58 PM on 8 Baseball Resolutions
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 4

The extended playoffs lead to lower ratings. By the time the WS finally came, many had lost interest. Instead of building to a big finish, it peters out.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

1970 - Brooks Robinson on his belly holding the ball up in the air.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

They only need to win one of two. Why start Latos on short rest?

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 3

"My least favorite fact is that the Miami Marlins have two World Series championships and zero division titles." Agreed. Second place teams have no business playing in the WS.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 1

Hit List Factor: An average of a team's actual winning percentage and the three Pythagenpat winning percentages from our Adjusted Standings Report.Used to determine a team's ranking in the Prospectus Hit List power rankings.

Oct 04, 2012 8:55 AM on Thursday, October 4
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 1

Hit List Factor: An average of a team's actual winning percentage and the three Pythagenpat winning percentages from our Adjusted Standings Report.Used to determine a team's ranking in the Prospectus Hit List power rankings.

Oct 04, 2012 8:55 AM on Thursday, October 4
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Carl Crawford still listed with the Red Sox.

Aug 31, 2012 8:02 AM on Friday, August 31
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Hey - Crawford is now a Dodger.

Aug 29, 2012 8:03 AM on Wednesday, August 29
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

7PM start time for the AS Game, playoffs and WS.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

I know you don't get to embed the video, but we need a similar analysis for radio. The radio guys tend to stick around a lot longer, and have more idiosyncratic calls.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 1

Let's not forget players who make a sentence (subject, verb). Will Rhymes James Shields Tyler Flowers Matt Capps Brad Mills Austin Kearns (as in typography) Michael Fiers Drew Stubbs (his toe)

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 2

It all goes back to little league. Small ball tactics work when the fielders are bad. Putting the ball in play is more reliable than hoping the 14 year old ump calls that close pitch a ball. Steal the base - they'll never get you out, and they might throw it away. Bunt, you'll probably end up on second. It's extreme in little league, and still pretty true in high school. Once you get to professional baseball, the fielders, even the bad ones, are pretty good, and these strategies don't work so well. But 10 years of "education" in small ball is tough to unlearn.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

I look forward to a similar on a small market team. How about the Reds?

Jan 24, 2012 10:01 AM on Winter of Discontent?
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 1

Thank you. I really enjoy this.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 7

BP better not get me pregnant.

Jan 09, 2012 8:56 AM on What's to Come in 2012
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Really great article. Thanks.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 6

Can't begin to understand this. Why pay $3 million to Punto when you could burn the money for heat instead?

Dec 15, 2011 12:22 AM on Melancon for Lowrie Swap
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

BP has been slowly evolving from a baseball site to a fantasy baseball site. Personally, I'm OK with that, but the change is noticeable.

Nov 30, 2011 10:08 AM on BP Holiday Gift Guide
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 1

Perhaps the difference between the Devil Rays and Red Sox is not medical staff but relative roster age?

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 6

Now pinch hitting for Pedro Borbon...Manny Mota...Mota

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Going "strictly on gut instinct" apparently means no math allowed.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 2

"my hands are as cramped as a 12 year-old boy after a very personal shower" - must we?

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

I would agree. Second Place = not the best.

Oct 27, 2011 12:58 PM on Mixed-Up Confusion
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 5

Junior Felix. Key part of "Ken Griffey Junior Felix Jose Canseco"

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: -4

They are a playoff caliber team only if we let too many teams in the playoffs.

Oct 25, 2011 12:37 PM on Mixed-Up Confusion
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: -3

The Cardinals are a second place team and do not deserve to be in the playoffs.

Oct 25, 2011 9:58 AM on Mixed-Up Confusion
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Bobby Tolan missed the 1971 season (age 25) after rupturing his Achilles in a basketball game. 42 Steals in 1972, but never really the same player afterward.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: -7

This is just dumb. I'm Sorry I tried to read it.

Sep 27, 2011 7:09 PM on No Stats Allowed
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: -1

I found this unreadable. Don't confuse cleverness with good writing.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

The fundamental problem is the wild-card. Once we let non-first place teams in, the pennant race becomes the race for the last spot. As we add more playoff teams, the quality of the teams competing for the last spot degrades. Better to have a 100-win team left out once in a while (NL West 1993) then to watch to sub-.500 teams fight for the last playoff spot (like hockey), while the good teams have been resting their regulars for a month.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 1

Anaheim? I still call them California.

May 01, 2011 11:18 AM on Scattershooting
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 3

Adding teams to the playoffs reduces the importance of the regular season, and increases the number of teams resting their regulars as they coast into playoffs. It also robs us of great pennant races between good teams. As in the NBA and NHL, the end of the season becomes a battle for the last playoff spot, between teams barely over .500. Give me 1908 NL, 1951 NL, 1967 AL, 1978 AL East, 1993 NL West, etc. Good teams battling to win. Much more entertaining and memorable than the current scheme.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 5
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

But now Sizemore has been sent down, and Rhymes has been named the starter. So I think the numbers need some adjustment.

Mar 24, 2011 7:58 AM on September 18-25
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

This is great!

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

More of this, less Bob Hertzel please.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 2

I guess I have a special dislike for Hertzel as I grew up in Cincinnati, and had to read him when I was 12. (I even bought his book 35 years ago) Everything he writes reads like one of those old Baseball Digest articles I outgrew a long time ago. I didn't sign up for BP to read back issues of the Cincinnati Enquirer circa 1976. Hertzel would be worth reading for "insight into what's going on in the minds of the people you disagree with" if his perspective was unique, unpredictable, or well reasoned.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 1

That this guy has a vote says everything you need to know about what is wrong with the HOF. That this guy writes for BP says every you need to know about how much BP has changed, and why this the year I don't renew my subscription. Grich, Trammell, Raines not even mentioned.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: -4

Why is this guy the one BP writer with a ballot?

Jan 04, 2011 4:23 PM on One Man's Ballot
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Why not us BP cards and stats? Or will they not be ready until June.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: -3

Facts are not Bob's friend.

Oct 19, 2010 4:54 PM on Kirk Gibson's Homer
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: -3

What! Now Will Carroll is gone too? And we're left with just Bob Hertzel, John Perratto and the guy from Baseball America? I think it's time for me to move on as well.

Sep 29, 2010 4:28 AM on Fade To Black Album
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 1

The entire problem with the HOF can be summarized by the fact that this guy has a vote.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 4

I grew up in Cincinnati in the 1960's and 1970's. Pete was my hero. He was every kid's hero. We all ran to first base when we drew a walk. We all batted with a weird crouch. I even had his haircut. When the accusations came out, I gave Pete the benefit of the doubt. I believed his story. This country is a forgiving place - I figured if he was gambling, he could just claim "addiction" and beg for forgiveness - since he wasn't begging, I thought he must be telling the truth. (I still wonder what might have happened if he took that path 25 years ago.) 20+ years later we find out he has been lying all along. Foolish me for ever believing him. You reap what you sow. Pete had everything, and wanted more, wanted to get away with it. Well, too bad. To hell with him. Keep him out of baseball, out of the HOF forever. He still has his money, and his fame. Its not really a harsh punishment, he leads a nice live I'm sure. But he earned his banishment, his infamy. I have no sympathy. And I grew up reading Bob Hertzel in the Cincinnati. These rambles down memory lane show just how far BP has strayed from its original mission.

Sep 14, 2010 6:50 PM on Reconsidering Pete Rose
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: -1

exactly - 30 teams instead of 16 mean there is roughly twice the number of eligible players.

Jul 24, 2010 7:47 AM on King Without a Crown
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Yes, let's try something novel - like a season without interleague play!

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: -2

I agree. I think I read this article in 1974 in "Baseball Digest". (Although I have to give props for the Angel Bravo reference.)

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Gotta fix the home team blackout. Otherwise I'll find it somewhere else (Justin.TV, etc), for free.

Feb 23, 2010 4:40 AM on Non-traditional viewing
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Shorter, and more.

Feb 05, 2010 3:43 AM on PAP^3 FAQ
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 2

Best of luck - I hope we read you again soon.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: -1

This is why I subscribe to BP. More of this and less "sportswriters" explaining why they are not voting for Tim Raines, please.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

I subscribed to BP to read something other than the ignorant ramblings of sportswriters. When they hand out the BWAA cards do they take away your ability for critical thinking? Raines! No Parker! No Mattingly! This is not even close.

Dec 28, 2009 5:17 AM on Weekend Update
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: -2

Glad someone noticed. BP better not be running "best of decade" again next year!

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: -6

Decade starts in 2011!

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: -1

Trammell, Blyleven and Raines need to be in the Hall. Now that Rice is in there, we can expect Dawson this year. Dave Parker is saying if Rice is in there, he should be too. http://tinyurl.com/ykveqfh The floodgates have opened.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 3

"Regular" fantasy stats, and more than 20 players. I'm in a deep AL only league - the fun starts in the players ranked 20-30 at their positions.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 3

John Sterling is unbelievably boring and unlistenable. Every game is Yankee party line, without anything approaching humor or levity.

 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

Kotsay was the closer for Cal State Fullerton. I saw him play against UCLA. 8 innings in CF, in the ninth he closed.

Nov 07, 2009 3:30 AM on April 14-15, 2002
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

It's time to dump the wild card - as long as the wild card exists there is really only one pennant race each year, and the race is always between 2nd place teams. 2nd place teams don't deserve a shot at the WS.

Sep 18, 2009 1:35 PM on Pointlessness
 
greenengineer
(2923)
Comment rating: 0

1) I was also at the two 5-4-3 triple play game - July 17, 1990, Twins vs. Red Sox. Been to several hundred other games, never have seen a triple play. That night, two. Section 36, Row 7. 2) I had a thing for Junior Felix CalRipkenGriffeyJrFelixJoseCansecodibbeMcDowell - say it all at once

Jun 12, 2009 12:11 PM on More Revenue