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<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=106744">Austin Riley</a></span> (Double-header), 3B, <span class="teamdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/team_audit.php?team=ATL" target="blank">Atlanta Braves</a></span> (AA, Mississippi): 3/9, 2HR, 2R, 3RBIs, 2Ks.
Some Bowie Baysox outfielders had a good night yesterday too:
Cedric Mullins-- 2-5, R, 2B
Austin Hays-- 3-5, R, 2RBI, 2x2B
<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=101568">Anthony Santander</a></span>, 3-4, R, 2RBI, 2B, <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=HR" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('HR'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">HR</span></a>
3 for 5, 2 HRs, Strikeout, Walk. Hitting .324 in last 10 with 5 bombs.
Side note: <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70917">Trea Turner</a></span> with his first caught steeling of the year, versus 22 successful attempts.
Dilson Herrera-- 4-6, 2HR, 3B, 4 R, 5 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=RBI" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('RBI'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">RBI</span></a>, <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=SB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('SB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">SB</span></a>. Had a good day.
Snell's <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=WHIP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('WHIP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">WHIP</span></a> is 0.98 this year over 3 levels, 0.75 since getting to AAA.
The entire Bulls team had quote a day yesterday, with <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=99880">Richie Shaffer</a></span> going all <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70388">Greg Bird</a></span> on us-- 3-5, 4R, 2HR, <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BB</span></a>, K.
I think <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68091">Max Kepler</a></span> is still in Chattanooga; hasn't been promoted to Rochester yet....
There's a difference, though, in being blocked by <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=46724">Troy Tulowitzki</a></span> (and his contract for 5 more years) versus being blocked by <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Jose+Reyes">Jose Reyes</a></span> (whose contract expires in 2, I believe?). Whereas before the thought was that Story would have to come up at second, that's no longer the case. Plus, all the rumors (perhaps idle talk, but not something that can be completely brushed aside) that Reyes could be flipped soon-- if not by Friday, then perhaps after the deadline or in the off-season.
<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70406">Trevor Story</a></span>, SS, Rockies (Albuquerque, AAA): 3-4,2R, 2HR, <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BB</span></a>. Hitting .310 over his last 10 games.
They've been sitting Difo in favor of Turner now that he's a Nat (or Senator). How do you think this plays out? Difo at second?
Thought <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=99880">Richie Shaffer</a></span> should get a mention, too, from his work on Friday-- 3 for 4, 3HRs, a strikeout and a walk.
The work you do here Jeff is great, and well worth the subscription alone!
<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70271">Blake Snell</a></span>: 7IP, 2H, 2BB, 0R, 5K. 12 Ground outs to 1 fly out. Still hasn't given up a run this year, now spanning 40 innings.
<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=69012">Dilson Herrera</a></span>, 3-5, <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=HR" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('HR'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">HR</span></a>, 2B, <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=SB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('SB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">SB</span></a>. Now hitting .362 as a kid who just turned 21 in triple A. Slashing .392/.511. Does play in a launching pad in Vegas, but most of his games have been away from home this year.
Wonderful job this year!
There is, of course, option 3 as to why a Price-to-the Orioles trade won't happen: with the prospects that Tampa is demanding for Price, it is likely that the O's wouldn't want to trade Gausman, Harvey, and Bundy within the division. I don't think they'd be against moving any of them for an ace starter outside of the division if one were available. (If you squint really hard-- or put your RAJ/Rose-colored glasses on-- you may see one in Hammels?) I could see them making a play for Suzuki from the Twins, though.
Fantastic! Are you going to revive the "Pecota takes on Prospects" series? That would be incredible!
In your original list of prospects not on top 101 lists for this year (at the top of this page), you list Kyle Crick. Is that a mistake? He's #38 on BP's list this year.
What about Hernandez's chances at sticking in center for Philly? Has looked pretty good out there so far.
Kendry Flores had a pretty good start yesterday for Augusta... He's not old for the league, seems to have pretty good stuff, and the numbers look good, too. Can he be something worth keeping an eye on?
Oswaldo also had 2 outfield assists.
I can't find where Aaron Sanchez got sent to. He's not found on the rosters for Dunedin nor Lansing.... Any idea where he is?
I think Toronto piggybacked their Lansing starters last year as well.
Not sure how it's humanly possible for Trout to perform better than he already is now. To me, the questions is whether or not his current performance is sustainable, and if so for how long.
Brandon Allen also sends his regards.
To me, this is almost as interesting. Helms was not hitting (.191/.276/.236) and at 35, wasn't going to figure in to the future plans of the Marlins, but if the team released him because of giving union advice to an employee, this might be an unfair labor practice. Obviously, management cannot interfere with the rights of the union to advise its membership. Of course, it would be harder to prove that this is why Helms was in fact released.....
Green's been playing 2nd with Gamel at third lately. I thought that with Weeks going down, Green surely wold get the call, but no dice. Did he kick Melvin's dog or something?
and to a lesser extent, Taylor Green for Casey McGehee.
I mean, in honor of July 14th, let's storm the AAA bastille and release all of those unjustly imprisoned....
Brandon Allen to the big leagues! Huzzah! Let's free Jason Kipnis next!
But they still had to utilize scouting and player development/analysis of resources to capitalize on Young by trading him and Brendan Harris for Garza (and Bartlett). To use Delmon Young as evidence that the Rays front office has lucked into prominence is highly suspect to me.
If by "every team has a first pick" you mean that every team participates in one way or another in the rule 4 draft, and one of their picks has to be their first in that draft, well, that's like saying "water is wet." But if you mean every team picks in the first round, that's demonstrably false.
"Extended futility makes that first pick higher." Nope. A team's draft position depends upon how they finished the previous year, not "extended futility."
"Higher picks come with higher probabilities of future success." Perhaps, but it's not always as much as you assume, as this article suggests-- http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=4368
What is clear is that teams that do pick higher still have to do work-- scout, develop, etc.-- if they want those picks to eventually become foundations of championship level teams. If it was just as easy as lucking into having the best amateur prospects fall into your lap, explain the Orioles and Pirates.
"extended futility alchemically transformed into first-pick gold."
Will do, boss.
Ah, but you said first-pick gold. And I'm the one letting facts get in the way?
All of those guys-- Zimmerman, Longoria, Baldelli, and Niemann-- were far from slam-dunk sure things when they were drafted. They were all calculated risks that other teams passed on for whatever reason.
No plant, just a guy who should be getting back to his day job. TGIF.
Good article, but I'm not completely comfortable calling what Riggleman did an act of hubris. I agree that, essentially, the situation in which he works (and, in the larger picture, we all work) made him disposable. But should people be disposable? Why should we fault someone for wanting to be more than disposable? If you've given a company a number of good years of your life, I think you have at least some right to claim some semblance job certainty.
W/r/t Rizzo's arguments, I'm a bit skeptical as well. I'm not sure where Riggleman's managerial salary falls when it comes to the salaries of his peers. Perhaps $600K is well below market value, perhaps not. But Rizzo's argument-- that it would unfairly saddle the Nats to extend him for three years-- is a common one GMs (probably rightfully) use in player evaluation and strategic use of a team's limited resources. But applying that argument to managerial evaluation seems like it could be somewhat misleading. Is $600K *that* much to spend on a manager? Will that money/duration really be essentially a sunk cost that unfairly saddles a team when it attempts to acquire the talent it needs to be competitive? Because that is essentially what Rizzo is arguing here.
Interesting comparison to the Rays, though not for the reasons you suggest. To say the Rays have been built upon fumbling their way to the top of the draft is highly misleading and has largely been discredited elsewhere. The only Rays players who were drafted #1 overall were Delmon Young, David Price, and Tim Beckham. Only one of those three has played a significant role on the strong Rays teams of late. Meanwhile astute scouting and player evaluation has lead to the Rays winning ways-- Shields, Hellickson, Joyce, Zobrist are just a few of the names that were finds due to the hard work and expertise of the front office and development personnel; and with a stocked minor league system (that has been largely acquiring players since the team's rise to the top of the AL East), they'll be more than ok for a while.
Likewise, much of the Nats' bright future has been through hard scouting work and deft player analysis. Sure, Stras and Harper give the team a hope for the future that few other teams have; but the two Zimmermen(n), Espinosa, Ramos, Desmond, and some more arms on the way down at the farm have more than a minor role in that future as well, and all are the products of scouting and development, not lucking their way to draft gold.
Is Marte's defense enough to play center in the bigs?
In other Pirate prospect news, Presley and d'Arnaud get callups. Cup of coffee or something more?
was 2 for 3 with a triple, homer, and a walk today, too....
So, is Brandon Allen now blocked by someone one level behind him? Someone please give this guy a break!
erm, prospectdom. A perfectly cromulent word.
And how soon until you think we see Carter and Green embiggening their respective teams' lineups?
Welcome back to prostectdom, Carlos Triunfel?
Great article, but how much of the successes here might be due to the fact that teams spent first-round picks on them, and thus gave them a bit more leeway to succeed? This is probably more true for the pitchers (Storen, Lincecum) who with another team might have been moved off their current roles earlier (Storen to middle relief, for example, with almost any other team if he's drafted in say the third round.....). Just goes to show that perhaps it's not just one player's talent, but also enough guys in the scouting department who believe in him?
Love these, Kevin. Keeps me coming back to BP every day....
EY Jr.'s been ripping the cover off the ball, no? Is he really a CF in the bigs, though? Any idea what the Rockies will do with him? (Man, that team's been getting frustrating for prospects-- Stewart and Nelson in particular....)
Desmond's minor league track record on walks seems very interesting to me, though. 2006 seems like the only year his walk rates fell off the table, and his breakout year of 2009 demonstrates that he can be a bit more selective.
I can't rec this enough. I love the Future Shock Columns (it keeps me coming back and is alone worth the price of a subscription.) But I do miss Nate's regular contributions in stuff like "Pecota Takes on" or "Tufte Takes On...."
What happens in Boston's outfield next year? It seems like it might be really crowded, but I have a hard time seeing where any power will come from. Got to think one of Reddick, Ellsbury, or Kalish will be marketed.
I love the Davenport translations for the minors (renamed "True Averages"?) but for some reason, it started listing leaders regardless of number of plate appearances. Any way to change it back?
I'm interested in seeing how the Angels handle Trout's development this year. It seems like the MWL is not offering too much of a challenge for him, but being so young, a trip to the CAL league might get him into some bad habits. A jump two levels to AA seems too aggressive, so does he stay in the MWL all year, then?
Was Ackley really considered "the greatest college hitter of the last 20 years"? I do remember everyone saying he was the clear number 2 choice behind Strasburg? But that was as the year progressed; at the beginning of last year, the consensus number 2 was Grant Green.
When I try to remember who was considered (leading into the draft) something close to "the greatest college hitter of the last 20 years" I think of names like Teixeira, Alvarez, Wieters, and maybe even Gordon. If all of these guys came out of college at the same time as Ackley, all would have gone higher than Dustin.
Hmmmm. So Managers and coaches are covered by the CBA? Are they allowed to pay dues in and get to vote on MLBPA matters? I always thought they were not unionized, but the language of Rule 20(e) seems to suggest otherwise.... Or is Rule 20(e) not part of the CBA?
What about Daryl Jones getting a shot to lead the Cards top 10? 50-1? 75-1?
Also, I think you probably should have given odds on Logan Forsythe for next year's Friars list.... probably the same odds as Darnell.
Thanks for this, Kevin....
Any thoughts on Tony Thomas? He had an exiting start, but tailed off somewhat.... And Tyler Colvin?
I'm interested in hearing your thoughts on Yamaico Navarro. I can understand why he didn't make this list with an erratic performance, but I've just a feeling that this guy's breaking out next year.
Thanks for this. What about Havens, though? I was kinda looking forward to a "prospect smackdown" between Havens and Weeks. Surely he's worth a mention....
What do you think about another possible sleeper.... also a 3rd round pick from college in 2007 who plays middle infield, but almost a full year younger than Friday: Daniel Descalso? He's been among the leaders on the stats/translations page all year (always loved that feature BP offers, btw).
If you are a subscriber, here is the link to Kevin's top 11 for Philly. Knapp is prospect #10. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=8382
For some of these teams-- Oakland, Texas, and Tampa-- this is going to be quite like throwing spaghetti against the wall. You could have maybe 10 prospects in the Tampa system who could all break out. Even Jeremy Hellickson is a distinct possibility....
Agreed on Allen. He's my pick to breakout this year. He's got I'd say at least a 20-1 shot, but Beckham is the Sox top prospect next year.
Thanks for this, Kevin....
Seems like this is a great format to look at teams and their prospects on the whole, a bit different than the timetable sections from the Top 11 reports. What do you think the Orioles rotation looks like by the end of the year?
This counterpoint is ridiculous, for it has little to nothing to do with the principles of labor/management relations. A collective bargaining agreement is established between the two principles-- management and collective labor-- precisely so that this relationship can be codefied and rationalized, expressly against any \"special deals\" between a worker and management. Either the workers stand united-- under the same rules for everyone--, or they do not stand at all. Do not pit Cruz against Veritek; that\'s precisely what a *collective* bargaining agreement should guard against.
I for one really do hope this compensation method is eliminated or changed, precisely for the reasons you cite, Joe. That, or stop having Bavasi... er... Elias rank free agent compensation. Does the CBA allow the MLBPA to have a say in *how* players are ranked?
Because this is a socialization of risk and a privatization of reward. That is, it takes valuable capital out of the hands of an economically struggling state and community for comparatively very little public return (tourism will only pick up well after the national economy picks up, plus don\'t think too many folks are going to South Florida to see the new Marlins stadium; most of the jobs it would create, besides construction jobs, would be low or no skill jobs).
Only if you consider a new Marlins building \"infrastructure.\" Because, you know, screw rebuilding schools; Loria\'s team needs a new stadium.
Anything on Tazawa?
I\'d love to see an entry for the guy who owned the Reds before Castellini-- Carl Linder, Jr. who was also CEO of Chiquita.... But the \"why\" could take a whole history book....
Thanks for this Kevin.....
Last year, Hu was ranked as a 5-star prospect. While he did disappoint last year, am I totally off my rocker to think he can still be an above average big leaguer in the offense department? Also, did DeWitt do anything to answer questions about his defense at second?
Hey Kevin... Thanks for all this. As former grievance officer and member of the bargaining team, I find this situation and your explanation of it *very* illuminating. The question I have though is about the last option you mention-- the lack of jurisdiction option. Doesn\'t the fact that the grievant here is MLBPA and specifically *not* Alvarez-- i.e. a chapter grievance-- preclude that outcome.
Secondly, what do you think is the likelihood that MLBPA, due to the fact that their grievance is so ambiguously worded when it comes to remedy, really would like to negotiate with MLB on a solution prior to the arbitration ruling? Seems almost like the scenarios could be something akin to a \"poison pill\" that we see so often in CBAs for professional sports.
And yes, I think you deserve that law degree now.