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I think my numbers is pretty high actually. But congrats to all.
More creative writing from Jason please and always.
Is Houston in the works?
I couldn't be happier about this news, and some of the news that is still coming.
Never . . .
Hey folks. There's not way I could respond to all the fantastic notes here without developing carpal tunnel syndrome, so I hope a collective thank you will do. The outpouring of support here, on Twitter, and on Facebook has been really touching. I'm really excited about this new challenge, but I'm really going to miss my old life as well.
He's a crazy great athlete. Projecting him at this point is nearly impossible. He could end up a great minor leaguer, and he could hit .210 in Beloit next year.
And he's played those three positions in the last three days. That's pretty much the only thing to call him.
Yeah. On my notes I had Singleton listed in the NL for a long time before I started putting it together.
I would think Brinson will be at Low-A next year.
Those are reports from scouts, so I feel good about them.
Stroman has been pretty much as expected. Davis as well. Their stock isn't up based on what they've done.
It's tough. 20 run and bad defense. If there's a definition of a bat only guy, it's Vogelbach.
Exactly. Not nearly as much stuff as Crick, actually.
He has a changeup. It needs work. It's not awful, but it's not up to snuff yet. Quite common at this level where even an average changeup is rare.
It's a valuation question that somebody who gets fantasy more than I should answer. How much as an 80 SB guy worth in today's game?
He was seen as more of a 3rd-5th talent, but teams knew that they would have to pay more than value to get him to sign. He was heavily committed to Ohio State.
Right. The midrange is a 3, but one who can go 200 innings. HUGE value in that.
Always a chance for the bullpen. You don't see his kind of location often at any level, including the majors. It's amazing.
Yeah, it's all about taking his trump card out of his back pocket and forcing the other stuff to develop. Quite common.
He wasn't tasted, and when you talk to scouts it seems the jury is still out.
Sure, but he's especially up there. Way up on his toes almost.
I think you are really underrating the fact that he's running EVERY TIME.
Despite the huge numbers, I have a hard time seeing him as more than a good 4th outfielder.
Want to have some fun. Go look up what Jeff Stone did in 1984. He looked like he could be amazing.
Thanks for the kind words. I totally agree with you on the inflation, but to be honest, I don't think we're really sure what that inflation is going to be.
I totally should have put him in there.
I was genuinely curious, just because I really liked it. Clearly, not everyone's cup o' tea.
Thanks so much. That was the goal of the piece.
Why didn't you like it? It was a little creative, but I certainly hope you walked away with a good feeling for Austin Wood, a little bit about Kyle Zimmer and an appreciation for how tough it can be for scouts to predict the future. I had a 15 minute talk with a scout about Austin Wood because of this, and he seemed to like it. Just genuinely wondering what you found so offensive about this.
That's also betting on a lot of guys in the lower levels who haven't proven anything, so it could be pretty awful next year as well. They have some stuff to dream on. But it's not a very good system right now.
Just more tools and more projection.
We'll see. All sorts of scenarios can play out in one's head.
I wouldn't read into that. Corner OF profile.
I totally understand that opinion. Again, this is an industry thing, and publishers are dipping their toes into unknown territory. To get a printed version of this out would have been a whole other ball of wax.
I'm a huge fan of Kolten Wong, but there is some limit to his upside.
Hanson and Polanco both very close. I prefer Polanco.
Position plays a role in everyone's rankings.
The advanced hit tool and that age. He barrels everything.
A bit. I haven't killed him, just not top 50 for me.
I'll buy that for a dollar.
I understand, but understand where the publisher comes from too. Yes, there is hacking with Kindle products, but just a plain PDF invites piracy.
Approach is a big issue, but athletic shortstop with power is a bigger one.
Adams is a bad 1B, Olt is a wonderful 3B. HUGE different. Massive. I like Rosario, but not that much, and yes, there is a paragraph for each guy in the book.
He's back into Top 100 consideration certainly.
Age and stuff. Think about all the pitching prospects exciting people at the lower levels, or even rookie ball who are older than Walker. He's a special talent.
Not sure on the number, but Correa was my top draft prospect, so he'd be the highest ranking on here.
He wouldn't be in my Top 100.
I don't. Pitch efficiency was always a concern, and it still is. His approach to pitching frankly kind of annoys me. He tries to hard to be cute and clever when he could just blow guys away.
No question that the list would be different today, and different a month from now.
Just outside the 50. I'm still a big fan.
Not for me. I think he's a 3B in the end.
He's the guy who generates the most questions, which is funny, because I swear to you all that he was 51. My biggest concern is that he's not only not a SS, but maybe not even a 3B. He could still move up if he keep it up in the second half.
I'm not sure how a 3.86 ERA in July with 17 Ks in 30.1 innings = on a roll. I'm not being snarky, but we were told that this is the year that the reigns come off and he dominates and he just hasn't done that.
Public statements should pretty much never be taken into account. Are they really going to make a statement to the opposite?
More 18-20. That's a great league to hit for power, and he's way too good for this level.
There's an updated Top 50 in our mid-season e-book.
And my understanding is the list will be here soon.
The age is definitely an issue, as he's behind the curve, and all of a sudden his power isn't as projectable in a corner. That's going to be the big question going forward, because he can hit.
Will definitely get you more stuff on Morgan. There's a pretty big gap between the stuff and the numbers, but he's not a total finesses guy, as there is some stuff there, it's just not great. He's a prospect for sure, but not a huge one.
I've known Dan for a very, very long time. He's a good friend and I'm thrilled to see him here at BP. I also can't read his articles without hearing every word in his voice, which is a bit strange.
Well, he went deep twice last night . . . Every player slumps and gets hot.
It's certainly similar. It's the difference between a thrower and a pitcher. Some guys just let it fly and still need to learn the craft.
To force him to work on his other pitches. It's a common occurrence, and another reason you need to be careful with minor league pitching stats.
I think Straily could be a good three, maybe a bit more.
You're right. What they need is not what's available. They'll have to get creative.
The complete lack of a need to promote him.
I've heard worse theories.
I know they're not thrilled with his glove, and that's understandable on some level, but the bat is being wasted. Turley is more than a 50th round pick as he got 150K. Decent fastball curve combo, some relief possibilities.
A. Cabrera isn't bad. B. Where do you put Cabrera?
Ceiling is huge, and there really is no realistic upside right now. He could never get past Double-A. Better that he's hitting than not.
I think he could work at 3rd, but nothing wrong with giving him some flexibility.
Head is listed at 6-0, 215. He's shorter than that, and heavier.
Good every day corner OF.
It's one of those permanent for now things, and that's definitely what's going on.
He's pretty interesting. HUGE individual and plus velo with a pretty nice slider. Throwing strikes is an issue and he might end up a power reliever when all is said and done.
Good chance he ends the year there.
PCL is a big factor there, and the question is what does he do other than hit for average, as he's not a power guy, not a walk guy, not a big speed guy and probably fits better in a corner.
There's a doghouse factor, but also a reward to Gose for a job well done as well has giving the manager some options because Gose can play CF.
I wouldn't rule it out, but I wouldn't count on it either, as it would take adding him to the 40-man.
Because I'm getting not stop Twitter questions about him and lots of emails, and it's from people asking where he ranks in a Top 50 or is he the new No. 1 Rangers prospect or does this mean Texas should move Beltre to first. In other words, people getting too excited. So I addressed it.
It's the Arizona League, so it's hard to say. Which is the point I'm trying to make. He has a truckload of power, and we'll see how it's really playing next year at Hickory.
Their numbers real similar. Vitters has a much better feel for contact and a smoother swing, while Baez is far more explosive . They're different.
Per the Stanford media guide: "majoring in management, science & engineering"
I agree with this. Boras is an agent. Remember Jered Weaver. Weaver wanted to stay in LA, and Boras worked out a deal. He would have made more money in free agency, but he told Boras where he wanted to stay and Boras did a deal for him.
Every suggestion for draft changes came from the owners. EVERY one. And of course that's where the players will make concessions.
To be clear, I'm a big fan of taking chances. I'm just trying to see I'm not a big fan of rushing to judgement.
Tried to get him on, but just wasn't room.
Again, omissions are not insults. I needed Zunino, and I needed a Canadian, and thus, no Walker.
Both played a factor.
This really did take several hours. It's tough, but fun.
There will be a mid-season Top 50 as part of a bigger e-book thingy. Details VERY soon.
Hitters don't take a year.
I do. 1.81, 1.83, 1.86 in my notes.
I can't call him an outfielder as much as I can't call myself a lefty reliever. I like Sanchez plenty, but I needed Campos and wanted Williams and that's my two.
Folks, like I said in the intro. This is hard. Try doing it yourself with those limitations. No matter how you arrange it all, you are forced to make some tough sacrifices. I needed more world pitchers, so I took Portillo instead of Liriano. He's not a better prospect, but I needed him. You only get two players per team and have to fill every spot.
Fixed. Jays, Rays, Michael Bays.
This might be the best thing I've read all year.
I like the concept of using him all over the field quite a bit.
This. Tough to read. He's a very talented kid and he's playing in a VERY friendly environment.
Hamels and Harden were both younger and had promising breaking balls. Hardly non-existent. I've had nobody put more than a 4 on Cingrani's.
Check today's update . . .
A little, but he's still quite age appropriate.
I actually think he could be closer to A, and be quite valuable.
Bad news, this show . . . I don't really see the difference.
Easy future 60, but the defense is the big debate.
Personally, I'd like to see them just DH him and not worry about him defensively anywhere.
I was focusing on the super-young, guys in Low-A and below.
Noting to apologize for. Rodriguez is a big, strong kid. If hits at baseball, it's going to go a long way. Last year, he was muscling up his swing and trying to crush everything. This year, he's just trusting his strength more.
I think he'll be a solid big league starter somewhere in the 3-4-5 range.
Hah! nice catch. 13th voter came in while I was writing and intro was done. I should of caught that.
Jason did a great write up on him in his recent What Could Go Wrong Giants piece.
My understanding is Late June. I don't have an exact date for you, and I'd hate to see people fixating on an exact date.
No thoughts there, just seems like a weird little thing. I'm hoping to see him tomorrow, actually.
I can't imagine how anyone wouldn't be rooting for him.
More likely right (even better)
Anti-trust exemption says hi.
It's in the CBA. The entirety of the CBA is not available to the public.
Also took a pass on Where Is My Mind? in the end.
1. Exceed the signing budget less than 5%: 75 percent tax on money over the budget.
2. Exceed by 5-10%: 75 percent tax on money over and loss of first-round pick in the next year's draft.
3. Exceed by 10-15%: 100 percent tax and loss of first and second-round pick.
4. Exceed by more than 15%: 100 percent tax and loss of first-round picks in the next TWO drafts.
Everyone is curious how it's going to work out. You are seeing today that a lot of teams are balancing their picks and finding signability guys later to save some money here and there.
I have every reason to believe that Baltimore had Gausman as their No. 1 pitcher on the board.
Like I said, shenanigans. Figure what those will be? Good luck.
For me, Hawkins.
That's anything but a hidden gem. Draft eligible next year, and sure-fire first round pick.
I think the percentage of 1st round picks signing will be in line with previous years. The later rounds might be more interesting.
Might be able to say that about the 8th pick too.
I try to be realistic about players, so as much as I like to tell people not to assume they're stars, I don't think people should assume they'll suck, either.
Really? You just assume that a first round pick is going to stink. Where am I going wrong in the communication process? Serious question.
He hasn't even been drafted yet, and you want to know about fallback options. What if he's really good?
Jake is managing at High-A Fort Myers, and is very well respected in that department.
Yes, and a very real chance. He's considered a very very difficult sign if he gets past 15.
There's not a power bat that makes sense there, and teams don't draft for need in the first round generally.
Um, The Alou family? Tons of them.
It is protected. That was an error, and I apologize.
Nobody is going to take Giolito without due diligence and plenty of conversations before hand about what it will take to sign.
I promised this to someone, so here it is:
I always feel bad for fans of teams that don't have a first-round pick, so lets have some fun and project players for those teams' first selections. Sure these are shots in the dark on some level, but remember in 2007 that I projected the Astros to select outfielder Colin DeLome with their first pick at 111 overall. They didn't select him there, but they did two rounds later.
40. Philadelphia Phillies ($1.29125M): Shane Robinson, RHP, Lakewood HS (CA)
The Phillies tend to focus on high school kids high on tools, but the pitching class could end up looking much more impressive than the hitting class in the supplemental first round. Robinson has the size and projectability the Phillies could be looking for.
91. Detroit Tigers ($531,800): Tony Renda, 2B, California
The Tigers drafted very conservatively in 2011, so let's continue that trend here. There are precious few middle infielders in the Detroit system, and Renda is one of those little second basemen who just flat-out hits.
114. Los Angeles Angeles ($416,300): Trey Williams, SS, Valencia HS (CA)
The Angels will be firmly in best available player mode. Williams' father Eddie played for two southern California teams in the Padres and Dodgers, and like his father, Trey projects as a big third baseman who can hit.
Fried is a really good kid. I don't think he'll be there, and I don't think it would matter to Colorado.
Yes. With his defense, he just needs to hit a little bit.
He's just starting to figure things out. Still projects for average power down the road.
Weickel and Trevieso would both be in the 31-40 range. Hensley's age is a minor concern for me, but not a huge one.
A little more stuff and a little less command for Heaney.
Stryker Trahan was the very last cut actually. No. 31.
Wrist injuries w/ hitters are never a good thing. He's in a list of about 15 guys who just missed the 30.
I don't think Hamilton is a shortstop long term. Would like to see him in center.
His own performance.
This is my board, this is not anyone else's, and the talent is VERY compressed. You could jumble them in all sorts of orders and I'd shake my head with understanding.
Don't think it's going to hurt him too much.
Very very good.
Maybe September, but no rush, and he's not on the 40 man.
No. You only become a free agent by not getting drafted. If you are NOT a college senior and your are drafted, you are just draft eligible next year, or in three years if you are a high school senior and attend a four-year school.
Absolutely. Changed have been made to a CBA during a CBA's term many times, especially when it comes to the draft. That just have to be collectively bargained.
As Eric B and Rakim once said, "It's not where your from it's where you're at."
Just repeat those last three words over and over....
That's being selective isn't it? Can't talk about the good without talking about the bad. He's definitely picked it up, but I still don't see a star.
I think the fact that we also have so very few big hitting prospect is making it look that way as well.
Delivery and durability.
71 IP, 20 H, 5 BB, 158 K
Skaggs had WAY more.
No no. MUCH MUCH MUCH MUCH more projection.
He's fantastically awesome. We'll see. So much amazing pitching . . .
He needs to stay in center because his bat doesn't play especially well in a corner, thus . . .
I really don't mind the WATGs. For some of those guys, I'm waiting for a big run, especially Marte, because I want to talk about him. However, I've done Ortega, I think twice in the last few days.
I think he's a potential 3, and a 3 is awesome.
Calixte is becoming interesting because he's always been an impressive physical specimen.
No. Was just talking about the bat, not about anything else.
Also forced errors, bad pickoff throws, etc.
It's still the time of game that shocked me.
There was a scouting notebook early where I had a scout who saw him in spring and noted some minor progress.
It's pure location issues.
Really good defensive catcher but not much of a hitter. Could have a nice backup career.
Late-inning reliever for me.
He's just not an up the middle infielder, sorry.
This is exactly it. Increased versatility, especially at a harder position, is never a bad thing.
His start caught me eye last night, so I'm trying to get more info.
I'm going to go with 4th or 5th, but that's a compliment.
I don't think the Yankees believe either is ready, nor a this-year solution, and then there is the issue they have with trusting their own. I do imagine that if they do decide Betances can help, they'll move him in the minors, first.
You have to give Viciedo the chance to figure things out.
He's always going to strike out a lot, but he's going to do so much around them that it's not going to matter.
I picked these six guys for a reason. There are lots of guys putting up numbers, but these are guys that I got good scouting reports for as well. I think that helps them.
I think he's played a month of Low-A baseball, and it's not time to start thinking in those terms.
Slight edge to Thames, as he's done it in the big leagues.
Great game by fringy prospect. Lefty with strikes and a changeup.
Some leagues track them, and some don't. All Double and Triple-A do.
He's one of those guys who makes the plays he gets to, but at short, you wonder if he's going to get to enough of them.
He's on a pitch count, not an inning count.
Like it never happened . . .
I think Adieny is ahead. He's a fantastic defender who has definitely improved w/ the bat.
A lot of guys don't have Iglesias' one skill. Iglesias defense at SS is unmatched and not something you can always find in the minors. It's really special, and for me he's a story, and I'm not ready to write him off.
Again, a longer hot streak than we had all of last year. He's a very interesting player, I'm not saying he's going to be a star, but he's interesting. You could be doing this will all sorts of players in today's article. You could ask why I'm writing about Crick when he's walking the ballpark, you could be asking about Tropeano when he has so-so velo and not much of a breaking ball. I'm looking for ten narratives, and Iglesias has that.
Not really. Certainly not while he's hitting like this. This may sound counter-intuitive, but higher walk rates are not ALWAYS good, and lower walk rates are not ALWAYS bad.
He's also riding a hot streak the likes of which we never saw last year. He's also coming off a spring in which some scouts said he made some progress with the bat. I'll I'm saying is this bears watching, and it does.
I wrote a big thing about Lindor in last week's Midwest League Notebook. Short answer: Yes.
Call-Up just got posted.
Fastest I've ever seen Trout from the RH side is 3.95.
I'd be surprised.
His defense is bad at a variety of pitches, but he's always hit.
You're telling me....
Sure, I did. It was in last week's scouting notebook.
Routinely got to 93-4 in his prime.
By a mile.
You CAN, but it's way way way harder to do it.
I had him as the No. 1 guy in the draft that year.
If I thought it was a meaningless concept, I wouldn't have written about it.
No. I wrote something last year at some point about how of all the No. 1s, he's the only one who did not project as one.
You're right he's not that bad behind the plate, but I do think the Giants are hedging their bets here.
I have no idea how to answer that. Depends on what the scouts say.
I'm not optimistic about it.
I'm saying he's 19 and Even AA to AAA this year would have been WAY ahead of schedule and the overall rush job has cost them a year.
I have not seen them yet.
It was great, but he's not generally considered much of a prospect.
He's 20 years old. He's young for the level.
Ks in more than 1/3 of at-bats isn't excessive?
Well, as you know, I wasn't nearly as high as many others on him to begin the season . . .
It's quite common.
I think so, actually. I'm a believer.
I still have some optimism. Right-handed power often takes a long time to develop.
They've been encouraging. He's not Ozzie Smith there, but he could be average.
Anytime you have a guy with his size (he's like 6-7, 230) doing something good, you are going to be interested. as far as your question as to when it's a true advancement, I'd be more excited by the end of May or so.
Yes. Many scouts go 2-to-8.
He's interesting. He's wiry and athletic, but inconsistent in a lot of way, but at the plate and in the field, where he certainly has the tools to be a third baseman but not the skills yet. Worth keeping an eye on.
Not similar. When Hamels was a year younger than Nicolino, he was having one of the better 1/2 seasons in recent memory at Low-A: 74.2 IP, 32 H, 25 BB, 115 K.
It's both, but he's definitely hitting balls harder.
I'm not convinced that he'll be any different yet, no.
Way more power from Adams, but significantly less OBP.
It's fluky as all get out. But nine of his 19 hits going for extra bases is encouraging in that he's not getting the bat knocked out of his hands.
For information on the Matt Dominguez fan club, contact our good friend Bradley, one of our finer additions this year.
He definitely can stay in center, and he's plus there. I don't expect much power at all, and he's not a speed guy, so he has to keep getting on base, as that's where his value will come from.
I think that's very wishful thinking. Very thick, very slow.
I totally agree. They are very high standards.
I wouldn't necessarily go with a pure statisitical measure, as consistency and the ability to eat up innings play a big role as well. That said, I would also be reticent at throwing a one label on many of those guy, and that's hardly an insult.
I'm sure there are more, but Daniel Norris, Dillon Maples and Jorge Lopez all come to mind as high upside longshots.
I highly doubt it. He's just a teenager, the Mariners are going nowhere this year, and Hultzen is more polished and already on the 40 man.
.565 BABIP? Alex Speier noted that he's been great the first time through the order and then struggles, which is good to note before getting too excited about Bundy's three-inning stints.
Indeed he is.
He's not very patient, unfortunately. That said, he's like 5-9, skinny as a rail and wears his socks high, so there are few players in the game who LOOK more like a Scooter.
You can get a bit excited, but keep in mind that he's 23 years old, in Low-A and whiffing in a quarter of his at-bats.
a. Yes. b. Unknown. c. Middlebrooks is obviously more of the moment when it comes to big league stuff.
Hamilton is faster than anyone in baseball.
He's not on the 40-man, so doubtful.
They are not disappointing as much as they are just meh. He's a fantastic baseball player, but doesn't have a tool to get excited about.
Not yet, but like a said, he remains a big athlete, and I hate writing guys like that off.
I'd make no assumptions from it yet.
He has a partial fracture, which actually sounds much worse than it is. He's getting reexamined.
"He's yet to draw a walk." The walk was intentional.
He's not going anywhere for quite a while, probably all year.
Hi folks. I did add a paragraph at the beginning to let everyone know that this is just the beginning of a series that will run all year.
It's both. Their innings will be limited this season, but their per start pitch counts will increase as we get into the season more.
He's at the right one. Let him succeed.
I think he could be an above-average every day 1B.
Not sure where he'd go with Berkman at first.
He's lefty, and that's fixed.
Wow. BP does turn down many advertisers. We have nothing that pops up or goes over the content or creates interstitials thank make you click again to go to the actual page you want. The content is always right there for you. The New ERA ads were fine with us. I actually liked them.
Everything is a wild card. Could depend on who is hot, and it could depend on whose turn it is in the rotation and who just went.
Your ideas intrigue me, and I'd like to subscribe to your newsletter.
He's a plus runner. He's behind as far as level goes, but a better prospect than Galvez.
I think Arenado is pretty much that certain, yes.
You should have went. Here in the Midwest League I get one stadium next to a pet food factory, and another next to the Hormel chili plant. Suck it up. For baseball.
That's about right. He's average velo but with some wiggle and great control. The changeup is good. He's all about hitting his spots and changing speeds.
That makes me happy.
I'm confused by this. He's listed up there.
No he is not!
Can he pitch and succeed there before we make that decision?
Depth of a draft has nothing to do with anything when you are talking about the No. 1 overall pick in the draft. Very few scenarios where one of those players is a better prospect that the No. 1 overall pick.
As far as Martinez goes, your scenario really wouldn't shock you, but for me, neither would one where he still struggles.
On Paxton, it's the strength of the pick. I like Paxton plenty, but the 3rd overall pick in the draft is likely to be a better prospect. As for Hultzen, it's more about a significant chance of his getting 50 big league innings.
I have no problem with liking Hector Sanchez, but we're talking about minor league player of the year candidates. You really think he's going to belong in that discussion?
Gilgamesh nailed it. The chances that D'Arnaud might not be a prospect anymore is what brought him down a speck.
In September of 2013, Lindor will be 19 years old. So, no.
They actually do add up pretty well. 60-1 means anything but giving up on Hicks. Says there's still a chance something works out in a huge way for him, no?
I think he'll likely be held be in expended spring for a little bit longer, and then join Kane County in May or so. I expect there to be tons of flashes of greatness, as well as tons of strikeouts.
I think he'll get 50 innings in the big leagues.
This X 1,000,000.
Depends on what happens above him more than anything probably.
It was an interesting exercise. Even as a so-called prospect guy, there were obviously plenty of guys I did not recognize, and it was really fascinating to watch for a while then put together who is who.
One guy isn't going to move the needle THAT much. See the Angels.
No. This is just the raw talent. This has nothing to do with any judgement of development efficacy.
It's hard to keep people that don't want to stay.
The guy basically hasn't played for two years. Hard to rank players like that. He's still a burner.
That's an error, and has been fixed.
I don't even understand this. We've played techno, country, indie rock, death metal, dissonant punk, folk. It surely can't all sound the same to you.
Or put it this way, he's three months younger than Bryce Harper, and in the same league, he had more home runs in fewer at-bats.
Guys with this kind of in game power at this age are very, very rare commodities. The bat could be special.
I bet yes. He looks so much like his dad that it's scary.
I mentioned his suspensions, and I said he was lackadaisical defensively. Not sure what else you want there.
He's looking like a 1B-only player, so he still has a lot to prove, and maybe even more so as a RH 1B.
I think Warren is just as big league ready and better, and I think Mitchell is more likely to have a career.
No, but he'd be four.
The stuff was pretty solid, nothing crazy, and he was really monitored closely. He's still a risk, and probably a reliever.
Sierra is a long way from being anything. Beras question is a fun one. He'd make the Top 20 for sure, probably the early teens.
His rehab has had no bumps, so I'm optimistic, but you never know until he pitches.
I think that's a pretty fun debate RIGHT now actually. I'd give the edge to the Texas pair.
Gut says 3 stars through 16.
Not really. Still a tremendous athlete, but lots of Ks, didn't really drive many balls w/ authority and instincts in center are rough.
Boy, if I thought Luke Jackson was going to be a No. 2, he would have been way up the list, no? Good stuff, hardly great, and control issues. Certainly has potential.
Buscones are many, many things. What they are not is stupid. Guzman is a major player in the DR and knows the entire system inside and out.
Like most DR players he has a buscone, Carlos Guzman.
Yeah, a breach of protocol is different that falsified paperwork. One of the things that fascinates me about this story is the fact that is really is quite unique in many ways.
I can as well, but for now, just like the new draft spending caps, it could take a few years to figure out the best practices under these new restrictions.
I totally agree with this statement.
Just going off what I know, I'd me more surprised at this point if he was 16 than not, but I don't think that's going to enter into any decision. I think it's going to completely come down to the paperwork submitted to MLB.
I just want to make a general comment so I don't come off as too cranky. There are a lot of assumptions in the comments, and most of them are wrong. However, when I read them, I take responsibility for that. It's funny, when I'm doing all of these calls and talking to people about this situation, we're speaking a certain language and there is a lot of shorthand and a lot of assumed understanding. It's my responsibility to bring the reader up to speed with us, and I hope to do that better for you in future pieces about this situation.
There are people who believe the Rangers knew something others did not.
To believe it implies it 'wasn't a big deal' is not true. Players submitted paperwork to play in the event, but these investigations take a long time, and there was no way they could be completed before the event. MLB absolutely cares at every moment about a player's true identity, and this situation shows why.
Your suspect is also wrong. While I stated that rule, it's hardly the only time false identities are mentioned in the rules. If he submitted a false birth certificate, the situation is trouble.
I think this year's situation adds a uniqueness to the situation to the point where the past doesn't necessarily come into play.
I don't think the rule I cited will come into player either, but it's out there, and I wanted to share. I could have written 3,000 words on this, but there are plenty of aspects that I have heard, and in many cases believe, but I do not have enough confirmation or sources to responsibly report.
There is not. If MLB rules the contract is not value, the Rangers really have no recourse.
You make a lot of assumptions here, and I don't know where to begin. The biggest holes is your assumptions about previous instances. MLB sources say they have a birth certificate that says 12/25/95. There is a penalty for that. Also, never assume the kid wanted to be a Rangers or a Yankee or a Red Sox or an Astro or anything. The kid wants the best deal.
Well, they can't all be stars. I think Peralta will be a good big leaguer.
Nelson looked great in the second half and had a big instructs. Could take off in 2012.
I think he'll hit for average, but I don't know what he's going to do around that ability in terms of secondary skills.
It's not like the curveball is his only pitch . . .
Certainly still an athlete, but it's looking like a longshot.
I do think he's going to regress, and will Bauer and Skaggs, he's not long for the Arizona rotation.
I don't think he's going to be THAT extreme a K guy, but that name crossed my mind, certainly.
C'mon. I said I omitted Hutchinson so I could make a point, that's all.
Low 90s! I actually think he's worth watching this year. Still like his talent. Not a high ceiling guy though.
Arizona Top 11 up tomorrow.
And he did not live up to expectations. Period. It's a tough racket.
There were a lot of teams that just missed the cut, including the Dodgers and the Cardinals. Believe me, I looked at them all.
There are TONS of quarterbacks who don't have great baseball arms. It's a different mechanic. Adam Dunn, Seth Smith, the list goes on.
Very minor. Kind of an older, small, non-tools guy who needs to prove it at the upper levels.
If I can't project anyone as a Cy Young candidate who still has much to prove against big league hitters, then in 10 years we have no more Cy Young candidates, right?
Low Ks are more concerning than low GB%, and I like the Ks increasing.
Looks like a fluky one year thing. Previous years splits in this category were normal.
1. Not that far. Choke point happens somewhere in the mid-teens.
2. That's something that also stood out for me, but I don't think it's systemic. Just a case of some big arms having trouble transitioning from thrower to pitcher.
3. You have to give him credit, because I think he's going to get there at least, which seemed like a longshot when he moved to the mound. Also, I wondered if he served as almost a cautionary tale for Beckham last year.
His combination of raw power and defense will give him more chances than most to figure things out at the plate, but I'm obviously not optimistic.
Why isn't he the aberration, and I'm the norm? Just askin'.
I'm confused as to why they would need an English-friendly website. They're in Korea.
It is the only change, and online is right. Bundy 6, Machado 8.
I'd throw RF and 3B as even.
Far. Well into the teens. Choke point is 16 or so? It's a deep system.
You have to understand that there is a massive difference in the amount of input into a mid-season list and a Top 101. Far more voices come in during that time, and many more in-depth discussions. Mid-season list is very much a quick snapshot in time.
He's passed his MLB investigation, and those are very thorough.
Basically, he hasn't been crazy good since the first half of the 2010 season. That's a real concern for me.
I didn't go to college.
I say that in the mirror every morning.
Like I said in the chat, there are so few prospects with even a CHANCE at being a No. 1 starter. Heredia is one of them.
I'm not convinced he's a shortstop. I'm not convinced he's that good a hitter. I like Franklin very much. I like a lot of players not on the Top 101 very much.
I don't have some exact formula for this kind of thing. It's loosely a combination of upside and chances of reaching it, but everything in between counts as well. I know this might upset some people, but it's very much a gut thing for me.
I talked to a team official (not with the Cards) who thought he belonged in the Top 20. Quite raw, but nice projectable frame and a pure power arm.
It's a tough question. We're all going to see players different and we're all going to use different sources, and we're all going to have our biases. It's what actually makes the rankings from the three of us all valuable. I've been the low guy on Cox since before he was drafted, and it looks like I remain so.
He's closer to 260-270 (that's a guess), but he definitely was in better shape than he was in 2010 here in the Midwest League.
I'd also favor Cruz, but think they're both backups at best.
I'm sure I've used wiggle a few times in these pieces. It's got some horizontal aspect to it is all I'm saying.
He is toolsy, and h was also pretty awful in 2011.
You just said it all.
None. Hasn't played for 2+ years, first base only guy. Pass.
Your gut is wrong, at least for the lists I do. I make a point to NOT get talent evaluations from the team I am ranking. I talk to scouts outside the organization.
I love both, but Trout's in a league of his own when it comes to up the middle prospects.
Tommy Joseph just played in High-A. No reason to even think about that decision right now.
Just a little.
Barely three. Such a nice shortstop, and it's weird, because he looks like he should hit more, but just doesn't.
Correct. No sure he'll hit 25, but like him to hit .300 if the Giants just stop jerking him around.
He's a slap hitter? Career .452 slugging in the minors and should continue to hit 10-15 home runs annually.
I wish I could never see TINSTAAPP again. But yes, this system is way down, and Eddie Bane ain't there anymore. That's certainly a possible factor.
Really fun question. Such a combination of good and bad. My gut says 4 or 5.
He certainly COULD be, but obviously there is risk there. It's so hard to pitch effectively when you are that huge.
It's nothing I would count on. As amazing as Pujols is, I don't know of a lot of tales of him helping young hitters.
Yes. As much as I really dig him, lost years are lost years.
I wouldn't even guarantee him reaching the bigs, and pretty doubtful considering that rotation.
Obviously I'll never tell, but I will say that I really respect that guy's knowledge of the game. The funny thing is that the guy who took him over all five I'd say the exact same thing about. Fun to get so many different opinions.
Well, the purpose of these pieces is to poll the actual decision makers, not me. My opinions are basically formed by talked to people like this and others, and I'm pretty much with the vote.
I'm pretty comfortable having the more big league-ready guy at two, especially concerning Webster's Double-A struggles.
I got emails too, worded much more . . . strongly, than your comment. I don't know what it is with Garcia.
Last year I got yelled at about Garcia and having Silverio too low. This year, I still get yelled at about Garcia. Garcia got off to a great start in April, and then the league quickly recognized that if you throw him even the most rudimentary of breaking balls, he's going to miss it. He was very real raw power but got worse as the season wore on and fastball rarely showed up, hitting just .196/.275/.335 after the All-Star break. He also has very little tools wise after the power, so he has to hit. Pederson is the better hitter AND the better athlete.
I almost made Santana the sleeper, as I do like the frame and tools.
It would be bad. Certainly not the worst, but bad.
I didn't push him up based on a hope he can play 2B. He was up there on scout talks before I was told of the move.
Definitely like Crouse the most of the three.
Really not much support for him at all. You know the rule for 1B only guys.
Hamilton is faster than Gose.
He has pretty much no value besides the power. He's just the sleeper, and no guarantee. Cust was a much better pure hitter at the same age.
I think 5 is the best bet. Relief more likely.
Not very. Not saying he can't get there, but still a very very long way to go.
Nice problem to have. These things figure themselves out.
I had a guy with him up to 94, so it doesn't change anything for me.
I'd throw three all the way down to 20.
Well, how bright is that light? I don't think anyone thought he'd be a GOOD hitter.
Alvarez would be a four, but mostly because he's there already. I see little star potential. Some with Thames, who just missed the under 25 list. Second division starter at best.
It's the latter. Making a point about his athleticism.
I think he would have been below them, but not by much. I think he has a real chance for a Brian Daubach like career.
That's a far more difficult piece and it speaks to the way players are seen. Good stuff can move a guy up, but teams and scouts are willing to give some leeway to bad stuff in the offseason leagues. Whether that's right or wrong is an interesting discussion point.
Desmond is a much, much better defensive shortstop than Espinosa, for me.
Nope. No Ryan Perry either. Both just missed. Rodriguez can be remarkable, but the control is still a huge red flag.
Like I wrote, many don't think so. I don't think so either, but can always be proven wrong.
This was my first thought.
He did, just didn't get drafted out of high school.
It's a great question. We discussed the logic behind this list briefly on the new podcast and will do so more next week. I almost considered writing a separate piece about the making of this list, but I talk better than I write.
That's the thing about Profar, he's so good right NOW at such a young age. Gotta give him the edge.
Combination of small sample size and the fact that talented players who can play up the middle go for a premium.
Sounds about right to me. I'd give Ackley a SB edge as well.
That's one of the reasons he went where he went, considering his arm strength.
I've always been on the Kipnis train. He was No. 28 on my Top 101 last year, which I think was higher than most.
The athleticism is certainly intriguing, as he nearly went 20/20 in the Midwest League last year with a good number of walks and a really good arm (no surprise), but the hit tool is still in the development stages as he strikes out a TON. He was almost the sleeper.
Bat-only prospect who stopped hitting last year. He could bounce back, but bat-only guys who don't hit are nothing.
I think Lindor is the far superior talent.
He's thrown 28.1 innings in the last two years, and he's a raw arm who needs innings. That's not the best of combinations.
I think Kipnis can be a star, but there is going to be some challenges for him in 2012. He's no longer a surprise, and he's going to get advanced and he's going to get tested and need to make adjustments, but I believe in the talent. He's going to be an average defender, nothing more. Chisenhall needs to improve his approach in order for the bat to work, they are related issues. Right now he's a good hitter swinging at bad pitches, and you see the results. That said, he's no Moose. Santana is one of the best catchers offensively, but I still think that he's their answer at first base.
As for the triple shock, that's on me. These are written in fits. You talk to someone, you make sentences out of it, you talk to someone else, you make some more and change other, then you assemble it all together. Editors should have caught it, I should have caught it, and the onus is on me to read better for flow. I'll wear it. These are a ton of work, and I hope the info is good enough to overcome that.
Chris Manno has put up some insane numbers in the minors, but he's a trick pitcher. He's all deception as he doesn't get out of the 80s. I do think he's good enough at what he does to have some future LOOGY possibilities.
I think the most likely final destinations for him are CF, 2B, SS, in that order.
Huge power, huge arm, horrible approach, bad defense. Perfect formula for 4A guy?
No. Error, and fixed. Not saying that he won't end up at 2B or CF.
Lots of comments on this one. I went back and forth a lot. I think Hamilton's speed makes a big difference, and they way in which he uses it. I do think he'll end up in center or at second, but I also think he'll get on base enough to be a good lead off hitter.
He didn't regressed, but he did get frustrated by the fact that he was still in Triple-A. It was a definite issue, and it was addressed. That said, as much as I'm with you on extrapolating from 69 PAs, I think extrapolating from minor league numbers that might seem like large sample is just as dangerous.
Didn't consider him for obvious reasons, but five seconds of thinking and gut says ninth.
No. You rank/rate in a vacuum. I don't care what system he's in.
That someone was a professional baseball player. That's the thing. When I talk to people inside the game, they'll all tell you it exists and it matters. Not just the dinosaurs. People who come from the numbers side as well. I've had more than one tell me how much how they saw the game changed once they got closer to it.
Santiago got a lot of middle relief projections.
Further away, basically the same age, and Escobar a better defensive player.
The podcast is so much better than the Tree of Life.
I think LaHair could hit right around that next year.
Unathletic, slow bat.
I would say that it varies wildly based on abilities.
There are plenty of good 3s starting on Opening Day for teams. I was just trying to give an accurate description of the range. It's very hard to say any player is going to be a star in this game.
Went over 130 ABs last year.
For me, the 3 stars ends right at 11.
Not in the Top 50.
Still tons of potential, but so many new players . . .
Beat up on far more accurate, yes.
Milone is 84-88 mph and won't miss bats in the big leagues. His ceiling is a fringy reliever.
Krol had a forearm problem early in the year, and yes, Stassi will be catching.
Personally, I'd go with Barton at first and Carter at DH.
He wasn't good at any infield position.
It's a semantic discussion. The question is how advanced you can be with such a limited ceiling like Milone. We probably just have different definitions.
Parker was in the 20s, so a late cut. Not good at third base, better suited for first, and not enough pop.
I like doing it, so it's not going anywhere.
I get a lot of crap from some readers about the ephemera, so you just made my day.
Not in my mind.
He still has potential, but there has been so little progress in turnng the tools into production.
I like Reddick as a solid every day player. Think he could hit 20 home runs and have real defensive value.
Weeks is really that great if he stays healthy.
Fringy, fringy stuff.
I feel better about it than I did 12 months ago.
Yes in pro ball. Plate discipline is not a tool and does not get graded, though it is certainly mentioned in every report. Plate discipline plays a big role in a hit tool playing, but is not part of the tool itself. As far as Norris goes, obviously his is below average, and you hope he can be a future 35-40 hitter, or around .250.
And no, no way he should start again.
Too much service time, so not eligible. I didn't discover this until late, so he would have ranked No. 11.
He was on the spreadsheet, but there's no way I can rank a guy who has thrown nine innings in three seasons. His surgery was a success and he should be healthy this year.
He was considered, and was a late cut. Just never found a defensive home, and offensively, he's a player with a good batting average and limited secondary skills.
I would have considered him for No. 1. I'm very bullish on him.
Rosario has more raw power and a stronger arm, but Mesoraco has the much better all-around game. Rosario is going to struggle if he doesn't clean up his approach, and still needs to improve his receiving.
No. 3B and SS are very VERY different skill sets. SS is a range and athleticism position. 3B is a read and react position. Brooks Robinson would have been a horrible shortstop.
Plate discipline/recognition could also cripple him before he gets to the big leagues. There's risk there. He was almost a four-star guy though. I do the list next week and maybe he would be. Very close.
Get him a changeup. If only it was that easy.
There will be something, yes.
It just might be 11.
Well, I haven't ranked the Blue Jays or put out my Top 101 yet, so we don't know if I've seperated them at all.
Hand pitched 60 big league innings, thus was ineligible. I'm not convinced his ceiling is more than a No. 5 or even middle relief.
Hermida and Ben Grieve in the AL, right?
Marlins up tomorrow. Break neck pace from there.
I still like Reddick as a solid every day outfielder. I think it's a good trade for Oakland and a nice return for a closer with injury risks.
Wow. Good point. I was just picking guy off last year's Top 101. Never realized no west coast players. Shows you how those kind of things just happen.
Super fun question. Montgomery for pitchers, Brown for hitters.
The exec who said he'd take Hicks in a second was not a Twins guy. I just want to point out that I would NEVER do that to you. Ever. While I like talking to teams about their own players to discuss development cycles, areas of concentration and things like that, for a piece like this I would never ask someone for a evaluation on a player they have an investment in. Also, that exec is hardly the only one still in on Hicks.
I will repeat: Games Started and Innings Pitched are the two most underrated stats when it comes to pitching.
Zack Greinke: 126 GS, 823.1 IP
Justin Verlander: 135 GS, 916.1 IP
That's 90 more Justin Verlander innings, and that's a lot.
Four-seam is straight, and that's because of the drop-and-drive like a discribed yesterday. But 4-seam is just part of the aresenal, as he has that 2-seam with bite and the cutter that some scouts throw a 70 on.
I'm not offended. We do Christmas here.
Neither. Doesn't lean especially either way, but his ability to work low in the zone and the 2-seamer help.
NPB standardized the ball in 2011. MUCH more similar in size/weight/density to MLB balls, and Darvish, as the stats show, was just fine with it.
I certainly don't feel like I've painted in that way, but I think it's silly the think that Wilson signing with the Angels had zero effect on the Rangers' decision making.
Personally, I'd rather have Darvish for 110m, than Wilson for 77m.
I could be of some value, especially in learning the American strike zone.
Counting pitches is a weird thing, as it's hard to tell which are variations on a pitch, and which are distinct. That curveball Darvish throws would get destroyed in the big leagues. Everyone thinks so, including his teammate, Bobby Keppel, who joined us on the podcast last week. It's a different game over there.
What he said. It's also an extremely ugly move that is entirely unfair to the player who wants to come here. Teams are not going to be jerks like that.
It's been pushed to Wednesday. ESPN liked it a lot and wanted to give it greater play, and we wanted to make sure our readers still got timely and good Darvish info, thus, what you just read.
Darvish pitched on five days quite often in 2011, and because of his size and mechanics, it's less of a factor. It's certainly still a non-zero issue. But there is reason to believe it works out.
He's good friends with Chris Wray, who is training Cespedes, and he's getting ready to open a facility of his own.
The same Peter Gammons who is the reason I have a career? The Hall of Fame writer? That guy?
I actually love Magnolia. Sprawling is the best word for it, but it definitely needed an editor. As for Rushmore, it's actually my least favorite of Wes Anderson's films.
Depends on your taste for risk, really. Cole has the higher ceiling, Bauer offer more certainty.
Bauer is WAY more polished. Not the same ceiling certainly, but WAY more ready.
If I thought Tony Sanchez was a bust, he wouldn't have made the Top 20, no? As for Bell goes, it's always difficult with the kids, but ceiling plays a big role. and what player in the 2011 draft has a better chance to fit in the middle of a 1st division lineup?
Or the Rangers. Or the Rays. Oh wait, there IS such a thing as a pitching prospect.
Yes, He had more speed and was seen as a guy who could play center.
That's always the risk of trading for prospects. Kelly just hasn't taken the big step forward that people keep waiting for.
He is more enticing, but also further away.
It depends on the kid, I think it might be a really good lesson for Erlin.
I never saw these numbers, I was going off scouts, but good to see stuff match.
I do rank systems once these are all done.
Hey folks. A quick note to say that Hedges' ephemera has changed, as I had the wrong high school.
Seriously! Probably a 1B only, not the youngest guy in the world and low on tools.
I think that's about right.
At first glance, 3 star could arguably go through late teens. Very impressive depth.
Fun question. We've talked about this kind of thing on the podcast, and I go back and forth.
Lollis just didn't get much support from scouts. Good not great stuff, and can get sloppy with the delivery. I admit I might be too low on him, and he has a shot at moving up.
I'm going to go with Alpha Floater.
He was one of the last cuts. His upside back-end starter or middle relief.
More of an organizational soldier type.
I think a healthy version would have been in the teens, maybe even the bottom part of the 11.
So I'm just supposed to ignore the entire year and pretend everything is great? I'm just confused now. I'm well aware of the health issues.
He's still very very raw. Unthawed at best.
Jackson certainly does.
There's still upside there, but every year he doesn't break through lessens his chances of getting there.
Wouldn't center field have a wide range with Trout and any other CF? I can't make him the only one.
So he gets a total mulligan for sitting in the upper 80s, losing his command and never showing signs of anything all year? I'll pass on that.
I do like Doug's answer. It's a good scouting exercise when watching a pitcher to isoloate the arm at times. Forget about the leg kick and the drop and drive and just look at the arm. Look at where his hand goes, look at how his shoulder turns, look at the path coming forward. Many pitchers might have an ugly delivery, but you get a better sense of it by only looking at the arm.
Neither would make another team's Top 11, as both have slipped significantly. Hernandez isn't even 17 years old yet, so setting a timetable would be a bit silly. 2016 would have him in the big leagues at 21, which would be quick.
Like you say, it's probably a bit of everything, but he really hasn't pitched very well since getting shutdown in 2010 with some minor arm problems, so that's a concern.
Complicated delivery. Not the most physical arm out there, either.
Younger, more velo, no ugly injury history, potential for plus breaking ball with refinement, outside shot at starting.
There is a chance, yes. As for Duffy, I think with more consistency, he's a good No. 3, and maybe even a bit more if he takes off.
No sure of what you mean by "Where would have", as he's a Royal, so he's eligible. He'd make several other team's top 20, but there are questions about the hitting ability and he's not a for-sure SS. Talented kid, though.
I'd probably throw at 3-star on Brickhouse. So 14.
I think that's way less that these deal.
They have neither Andrus nor Kinsler locked down.
I might have. Would have been close, but definitely more likely to.
I went back and forth between Hunter and Tillman with that final spot, but Hunter has proven it more.
People are allowed to have their opinions at BP, and I think your assessment of what Steven wrote misses the depth and subtely, where he was saying more about the hype, much of it created here, than the player himself.
I think you'll see a looser hand than the Pirates had with Taillon, but he'll still be on a strict innings count.
I don't think Weiters will ever hit for a high average, but I could see the secondary skills growing.
It's a good question. I don't think there is some obvious thing to point at and say they can't develop pitchers.
I hope I wrote that.
Isn't any team's player development folks going to say that on the record? What good does it do to say he hasn't been as good as expected, or is even not good? He has a fantastic arm but is not a shortstop, and there's just not enough bat for elsewhere.
I struggled with a lot of guys on that under 25 list and would have had Seager as high as 11.
The video has been removed by the user, who I'm assuming is Mercedes. Sorry folks, hope you saw it.
Emailer points out the cows coming onto the field at the 15-minute mark.
People certainly play fantasy games where they are making decisions about players like Sano right now...
Tools have always been there.
In 2011, he had a 750 OPS vs LHP, 708 vs RHP. Much more dramatic splits in 2010.
I-39 here I come.
No. Many teams will have 3 stars to 11.
I was as surprised as you when looking at the roster of how few candidates there were.
You win comment of the day. Very Davidson like, Borchering is/was a bit of a different animal.
Thanks for all the kind word, except for the Mexico thing which I just don't get, but hey, I'm old. Also, many words could describe me, but I'm not sure energetic is one of 'em.
No. 1 two years ago. No. 10 last year.
The difference is those guys had scouts telling me they were 4A hitters, and LaHair has people telling me he's the goods.
Signability issues, he got $550K.
He has front of the rotation potential, but I would never compare him to Moore.
We'll see. I honestly don't have all 30 rankings in front of me. I do them in groups of three as we go. So I know what the Twins look like, and have a solid idea on the Mariners.
It really is a significant improvement. There are many teams that would love to have that 1-2-3.
I also liked the pick. And Houston is not the only team still following slots, they're just in the minority.
Yes that is the draft order. Previous year is the tie breaker.
That was just an error in the size parameter, and it's fixed.
That's a fun question. Generally, I would not, unless I had a whole lot of feel that it wasn't a small sample thing. I would probably prefer the not hot guy with a better track record.
Yeah, he certainly wasn't going to be a big league shortstop, so this hopefully keeps him up the middle. Reports have been good so far, but this is not news, he started playing there the second half of the regular season. Progress is solid.
Epstein earns out a $3.5 million balloon payment at the end of his current contract. There are also some other bonuses that earn out.
I honestly don't know. I really just don't have a good feel for it. But as we are seeing, the Red Sox think it's significant.
There is absolutely no indication of this whatsoever.
I think it's dragged on because the Red Sox keep asking for a ton.
That's like saying WHATEVER pitcher the Rays decide to try to move this off-season to open a spot for Matt Moore is "dead weight."
It's a fair statement, but like a previous commenter said, I think there is an order of operation issue here with the Cubs.
I spoke to many people close to the situation, who chose not to go on the record. I wouldn't call it conjecture.
It's somewhere around 7 million, and to stress, I STILL VERY MUCH THINK THIS WILL GET DONE, I wouldn't put letting Theo twist in the wind past Boston.
He wants a chance next spring. Don't be shocked if he at least gets an invite.
He's young and he can hit. Power and patience need to come, but I think he's a good prospect.
Both cheat heavily on fastballs, starting the bat early.
Every team sends players to the AFL. Houston sent Jay Austin, Jake Goebbert, Kody Hinze, Roberto Pena, Chris Hicks, Dallas Keuchel, Jason Stoffel and Josh Zeid. Not a great group.
No. He was a third baseman first off, and a very good one, one who would have been an early pick, but by the end of his senior year, it was clear that pitching was the much brighter future.
That was the very real industry reaction. You think Prince is big now, he's downright svelte compared to high school, when he weighed as much as 330 at times.
Those aren't as fun, no?
Craig Grebeck looking for work?
So were the Rangers taking an undue risk when there were other known, experienced and proven GMs around when they hired Jon Daniels?
Fixed. Never deny the Scooter.
I was imagine that he'd have no problem there, but it's a bit of a waste of value, as he's a plus defender at third. Really good there.
I thought I did, kinda.
No, that's just where he played yesterday.
I think it's also fair to say that he worked harder as he matured.
I could reel off a few lings (ok, a laundry list) but I don't want to be mr. spoiler. So maybe this is a heads up that it's coming.
Bobby Brownlie signed.
I look forward to our Wikipedia page with all of this info.
Is it? It's kind of groundbreaking in a lot of ways, but it's still a band figuring things out.
'ATOMIZER' was an OK record. Having listened to most of that stuff for the first time in seven years yesterday, most of it is pretty embarrassing. I was sort of trying to figure out a way to weasel out of re-releasing it.
I think he'll struggle in the Midwest League, but he's one of those kinds of players with some kind of non-zero chance of clicking.
Top 101 list is out in early '12. I really hate ranking off the cuff, but I do like Springer.
Eaten alive is a good way to put it.
It's hard for the pros to figure out as well. There's some deception and very good location, but hard to see it really working in a big way at the next level.
You guys realize that's all Kyle Gibson was (pre-TJ) as well, right?
It's Sano, no question, and I'm a big Rosario fan.
Not anywhere close to what it was, but he can hit.
I like him quite a bit, but I have a thing for athletic catchers. Potential every day guy.
Yes he could.
Not really, no.
Tools are outstanding, well above-average runner with a bit of pop.
A fine choice that I would not argue strenuously.
CF. He's in Low-A, so no rush, Late '13 would be the earliest with zero hurdles (i.e. rare).
60-70, depending on who you talk to. The question is how well he'll tap into it down the road.
I actually don't think it's going to happen, but it's been discussed.
It's not good. Viciedo went deep but has been slumping big time.
There were plenty of debates about Wallace's power coming out of the draft.
Low-90s, flashes plus breaking ball and developing change, but is inconsistent with them.
People are keeping track of this?
He can be a reasonable starter. Just talked to a scout who believes so.
1. Hopefully none; I think he's up in some eyes, but not in a crazy way.
2. It's not good.
I think the majority of teams are doing a job I'd endorse, actually.
Potential closer. Could be up in a week.
This question amazes and baffles me, so I have to think about it.
I still utterly adore him.
Frankly, he hasn't lived up to expectations for me. More Low-90s than crazy velo, and sloppy location.
I could, but he'll need to actually HAVE that one healthy (and good, obviously) season.
Plus FB with plus command and good frame/delivery. Secondary stuff needs to develop, but very good.
Two pitchers, a shortstop, and an outfielder? I never know how to answer these.
Not really. Joe Panik?
What about Francisco Martinez? That was a big part of that deal as well.
Legitimate worries, but man do I like watching him play. Lots of tools there, but huge holes in his swing.
Would bet on seeing them all in 2012.
I have not seen him, but I've talked to scouts about him, and I have a scout seeing them this week. The stuff is fantastic, the command is shocking and he could be fast tracked in 2012.
Just an org guy. You realize he's 32 years old, right?
I wish I knew; I really like him quite a bit. Average or better every day CF for me.
I would not apply that to the minors. There are plenty of skills and/or traits than can allow one to succeed in the minors either at the plate or on the mound, yet do not work up the ladder.
It would have to be Drabek, no? I'm so glad who went over 50 innings so I don't have to worry about what to do with him.
That's a wait and see. I can't just pull a Top 101 out of thin air.
Talked to a scout who saw his last start. Up to 93, some feel for the secondary stuff. He's very raw, but there's real talent there.
Is it a miss if nobody had him there? If so, I missed, and he'll definitely be on this year's list somewhere.
This IS my life. Thon is a good athlete with the tools to stay at shortstop, but he still needs work there (like anyone in the GCL). The bat gets mixed reviews, but it's hard to evaluate guys like that until they play outside a complex league.
If I knew what the Pirates could do to get him back on track, I'd be wealthy. I certainly thought he'd be a cog in that lineup by now, yet here we are, and it is troubling.
Montgomery and Dwyer are certainly down, but not in any crazy way. As far as Bubba pitching, he hasn't even played a game yet, so let's not worry about it yet.
I like all of them. I'm not crazy about ranking questions because I hate to rank on the fly. I rank based on really in-depth research, which starts at the end of the season.
I don't hate that order there, might count more on Webster as he's more advanced than the others.
I think what's important in reference to your question is that THEY like Cox better.
I don't think any of them are being rushed, and the Jays are doing an excellent job of being very individualistic with their pitchers as opposed to developing them by template. They all have starter potential, and the Jays are LOADED with young arms.
He was seen as a solid Top 11 type early, and then more of an org guy, I don't see any reason to think what's happening now is for real, but nothing wrong with riding it out, either.
Bullpen arm, but a damn good one.
The Triple-A park makes him look way better than he is, but I still believe in him as a good every day first baseman with power and patience.
Yeah, there are tons of 20 speed guys, they're all over the place. A few 20 arms, certainly some 20 powers.
Very good, but I doubt he'll begin the year there.
That's the million dollar question, and the reason he's more intriguing than a big prospect at this time.
He SHOULD be. That doesn't mean he will be.
Um . . . he's not even playing SS this year. 2B and 3B.
I don't think I'd go Top 50 yet, but I could see him giving the Brewers a Top 100 guy.
Fun question. The network is triple digits, but there are people I talk to literally every day, and there are people I talk to once or twice a year and everything in between. I'm absolutely nothing without them.
I think the hope was always that he could be a plus-plus defender who hits ninth. No need to change that.
Really just hasn't been healthy much of the year.
Well, Rosario is potentially better, no?
Somewhere between 0 and 5.
Rosario is a better athlete than Arcia, but probably still not a CF in the end.
He didn't look like a SS heading into the year; and that's still the case. Could be 3B, could be RF.
There is no indication that he's moving to the 'pen anytime soon.
Top 50? No way. Top 100? Maybe. They are very close.
There was definitely some progress being made before he go hurt, but the approach is still a mess.
Solid two sounds about right, but I'm not as sure as I was heading into the year. As for Top 100 questions, we'll have to wait and see.
I don't like your assumption, as I think Castro is not going to last at shortstop for very long. Hell, he shouldn't be there now (Barney is the better defender there). Castro has more offensive upside than Profar, but Profar will stay at the position at least.
It's really, really bad.
Absolutely and completely. I think Marisnick is the best position prospect I've seen in the Midwest League this year.
Has played in the Dominican this summer and the bat has impressed.
Castro's struggles are real and troubling, as his secondary pitches have regressed. Mejia is only three months removed from surgery, so nothing to report there.
Yes. Ray has good stuff, Cole has tremendous stuff. Big upside difference because of it.
I'm not sure he'll ever be more than an up and down guy, and as a reliever.
Has scuffled with mechanics, throws everything with 100% effort, stuff is still good, but there are a lot of concerns.
Great frame, very projectable, very smooth with plus command, good stuff that should get better over time.
1. Too early. 2013 at the earliest, and while it's certainly nowhere close to a time to move him yet, I still think there's a good chance he's a closer in the end.
2. No, but it's close.
3. My faith is dwindling, but I do wonder if he's a good change of scenery candidate.
There's a chance, but I wouldn't call it an especially high one. Still expectations for a fifth starter these days aren't exactly much.
Fun question. I'd bet it's somewhere around 50/50 long term, but I think for the short term, most would shut him down this year at least.
He definitely can at least hit, and him carving out some sort of 4th OF career wouldn't shock me . . . but I wouldn't guarantee it either.
I think everyone expected him to hit much more than he has this year. Nobody expected greatness, but more of an empty .270 as opposed to an empty .220.
It's certainly possible. I don't ever think he'll be a masher, but he can really hit, and the higher of an average he can do that at, the less the power matters. Some have projected average power (15-20 per year) down the road for him.
I still like the Mickey Tettleton comps. He really can do some things, it's just that hit for average is not one of them.
That he has far more development in front of him than initially expected. More troubling is just how little progress he's made. The holes in his game that scouts saw in April are still there.
He's not a toolsy guy, but he is a huge makeup kid who gets the most out of what he has. That said, he really can hit, with a excellent sense for contact. He's not the kind of fast-twitch athlete you want at short, but could end up as a solid every day 2B with average, some walks, but little power.
He is climbing the ladder and scouts have been very impressed with him. I think his ceiling is a three starter, and to re-iterate, that is VERY strong praise.
Jared Head, Miles Head or Stephen Head.
I think he can hit for average, the power is much debated, and he doesn't have a position he's good at yet, which is most troubling.
Yes, and fixed.
That is an amusing thought exercise. I'm going to go think about it more. I wouldn't want either manning their respective position in the bigs.
You don't want to hear about my young years. I make Parks look like a boy scout.
There won't be one tomorrow either, as I'm flying to NYC in the morning, so no MLU.
I agree. They should not be mandated. Notice how fewer top pitchers come out of Rice lately? There's a reason for that.
A solid No. 3 is a fantastic pitcher.
Brain farts happen. Looking at Vermont, typing Vancouver. Agree with you on the swing. Very slappy.
I could see him up next year, but it would have to be in a corner, as McCutch isn't going anywhere.
I think he ceiling (and hope) is to be an every day shortstop who hits ninth in the Toronto lineup.
something around that.
Yeah, just a thought, but can AA win something before we start engraving trophies and what not?
He is. Sorry about that. Kind of a wacky time here.
Players just want whatever angle gets them maximum value; can't blame them.
Yeah, AA has had a great year, no doubt, but Toronto needs to calm down on the worship thing.
He doesn't rep Hultzen. That's the key to that one.
I don't know. I liked the thought of him going 4-for-5 with two strikeouts.
Burn that bridge what you get to it, but that decision is looming on the horizon.
I was certainly not one of those critics, I was a big fan of Wong before the draft, and remain so.
Is Jackson/Ha/Szczur really an outfield to dream on? Which one is the star?
Aumont has the best stuff for sure.
I agree with everything he said, and some time will be thrilled they got Carpenter.
Overall I agree with you, and will have more on this Wednesday.
Best part was after the game, when Strasburg said he was disappointed with his velocity.
Mostly 1, 2 and 4.
I'd be surprised, since it would required a 40-man move.
Depends on the gun, but good ones can be (and often are) pretty deep back.
I totally agree with you on Carter, and I think Erlin's stuff is No. 3 worthy based on just how good he is with that stuff..
Either way we shouldn't go nuts about them good or bad.
Sounds like you got him nailed.
He has very real power, but he still hasn't convinced everyone that the pure hit tool is enough for him to be some kind of blocked future star or anything.
Was that the final count?
Something around there.
I find the concept that Colby Rasmus is suddenly going to be awesome now that he's out of St. Louis a strange one.
Don't you think 'excellent' is a little strong? .285/.340/.449 is good certainly, but he has a bad approach, does most of his damage vs. LHP, and struggles defensively. Marginal guy.
He's actually starting, and just going one inning. Just taking it easy with him.
We'll have Jason on at some point, I promise.
Thanks for calling in oh kowloonwc.
When I said all-in, I meant in terms of they are done as far as any other help coming from the system.
Never left the country. Still a star in Cuba, but did get bigger and slower and is now a third baseman.
Transformers: War of the Twilight Vampires.
I wish I knew.
You are valuing Wheeler too low. I don't think the Pirates have anything close to him other than the elite ceiling arms.
I like him as a starter. I think he can do it.
Agreed. Only 25%?
I'm not moving anyone anywhere, if anything, I want to point out that we have to stay realistic, and none of these guys are perfect.
I think the most interesting thing here is that you think I'm down on Wheeler. I'm not, not at all. I love him, but I'm realistic.
2nd choice for show title was, "My Brother Is Dr. Million As Well"
He's going to be a corner guy in the end most likely.
25 games credit for undergoing substance abuse counselling.
He's legitimately going low-to-mid 90s. It's surprising and exciting.
Minor is the guy they want.
It never happens. It was a scoring error when they missed a reliever. He threw 77.
So now I'm biased?
I know Noel, personally, and he is among the best humans on the planet.
Can't see him ready at the start of 2012.
I wouldn't rule out September, but I would call it doubtful.
He got pulled after five, but there was no injury. Could be a slow-down start, which happens a lot with prospects late in the year.
Can the good Adam Dunn even exist without the walks?
I have an article, a podcast, a minor league update and a transaction analysis today. That's not enough?
I disagree. Hopefully Giovatella will means less Getz. Still baffled as to why he's in Omaha.
I hear you.
That was from somebody in the industry. I have NO sense of what the Dodgers are asking, as it's kind of weird over there right now.
Far more B. than A.
I wasn't being defensive at all, I'm just saying he's still making a lot of errors and reviews of his infield defense have been dreadful.
I think he's a 15-20 HR guy in the big leagues. Albuquerque is a launching pad.
He can hit, but that's the sum of his skills, so he'll have to do it all the way up.
Keep in mind that Tulsa is a great place to hit. I'm not trying to take anything away from the season, and he's been amazing, but it is a factor.
Not sure how four errors in his last eight games (two at each position) equals ceased.
If he can put it together, he's a 3, but it's a huge, and unlikely if.
You'd almost thing that, other than he's nothing like Bautistia. He almost made the ten pack, but also didn't even play yesterday, so I'm not sure he needed the shout out.
I think everyone thought he could hit, as in, he's going to hit for average, but the power and the defense does not get good reviews.
I'd calm down a bit there, but I do love Cuthbert.
He's definitely risen, but I don't think he's great.
Yes, Yes, Maybe, Doubtful, Doubtful.
If the age is of note (like Odor), I note it in the text. I'm sorry you find the article utterly valueless without this information.
Better hitter, better catcher.
It was an ugly infection, and it's definitely affected him, as he's just not driving balls this year.
I wish I liked him at third base, but he's definitely way up and was on the spreadsheet for consideration.
I love Trayvon, but that's Albuquerque. See Sands, Jerry.
Just coca-cola. Ask me in the last hour.
Jon Daniels up next!
Because he doesn't really have a position yet, and I got more support from Brentz from scouts.
More B than A. He was certainly considered.
I'm not a big Gose fan, but Hutchinson earned consideration.
Not sure he's a center fielder long term, and he was one of the last cuts.
He was the very LAST cut. So there's your 51.
Actually, he's a 3 upside guy, not a 4/5. I like him, but don't love him.
I think Schoop will likely stay at 2B, but wouldn't rule out 3B. He's not a SS, and that has nothing to do with Machado. I like Bundy, but not for a list like this, same for Bridwell.
Fell free to.
Made the spreadsheet certainly, but missed the list.
Probably somewhere in between. I have nothing but respect for Keith, and I think the reverse applies, but we're going to differ on guys.
Certainly would be in a top 75, but don't forget this guy hit .256 in Double-A.
More like drawers, which I have.
Somewhere in the 30s.
He would definitely be in my Top 100, easily. He almost made this list, in fact.
He's been pitching very well of late, but reports are very mixed overall. He'd certainly make a 100, but I wasn't comfortable with him in the 50.
Yes he does.
That's a classic projection vs. assuredness argument. I'll have a ton of discussions with people before the Top 101, so I'm as interested as you are in how that will turn out.
He's nothing special, but he's servicable offensively and defensively.
He actually just missed. Would have made a 60.
I've never claimed to be a beer expert nor a snob, I just like what I like. Also, Guinness is HORRIBLE.
Cozart is up.
Progress in both the swing and the approach, so real cause for some optimism there.
It's very good news, but he has to keep doing it, as he's absolutely a bat only guy.
Good point. Taijuan Walker was amazing, retiring the last 19 guys he faced, and he's a total stud.
He's an average runner.
That's just not going to be the case. The show will be on their channel, at that time. We're just co-hosting. I understand you want it, but it's not part of their business model. That said, they do offer 30-day free trials, and I think you'd find it's worth it. I'm not just saying that, I've been a customer for five years.
Podcast is NOT going anyway. As you know, if you are a listener, the podcast is a VERY VERY different thing.
Yes, it's bad to use Guerrero. Period. That's a historic 80 hitter, and Adams is not that.
We've talked about him a lot on the podcast. He's among the most difficult prospects in the game to evaluate, as the numbers are so good while the approach and the body are so bad.
20/20 might be realistic, but I'm not convinced he's a .300 hitter yet.
No need to rush him, obviously.
Absolutely. Not monster power, but there is strength in his swing.
That's up to him, no?
There are times when the BP version has MORE, but it's never less.
I think that's a HUGE assumption that could apply to many players.
Just a LITTLE bit more.
Tim McCarver has his job for a reason folks, he's VERY good at it, he's just not for us.
Moore did touch 98, but remember, he knows going in that it's just one inning, so he can really let it fly. He's still crazy outstandingly great.
Miller seemed to be going at about 80% or so, so that was not a great opportunity to judge his stuff. I'd put Moore, Cosart and Arodys all ahead of Martinez based solely on yesterday.
Yeah, me too. My money was on Trout first at the begging of the year, but I didn't think we'd see either this year.
And he's 18.
Michael Choice also in full High Desert mode, where his last three games have been played.
Both 3B and SS. Still think he's a RF in the end.
I could see them trying to get a one-year deal with someone and hoping Pastornicky would be ready for '13.
September and that's only a maybe.
I wouldn't say that yet.
Pimentel's ceiling is through the roof, but keep in mind he's a teenager in the Appy League, and he still has a ton to work on.
He has some legit tools, with gap power, plus speed and a decent bat, but he's way too aggressive a hitter,and he's not good enough defensively to project for the left side in the big leagues. He's a mixed bag, but certainly a prospect.
Yes, but Murphy was a fantastic CF.
I was trying to make a point of where his value comes from. If he's not a CF long term, and I think that's probably the case. Greg Vaughn might make a lot of sense.
That's exactly why he's at Low-A.
I think Beachy's ability to locate is what makes all of his pitches play up. He puts stuff where he wants it, and while it's not something we can measure on a statistical level, he also has HUGE you know what and pitches with utterly no fear, and that makes a difference.
It's a bit straight and he doesn't have a good breaking ball yet, so he's having problems missing bats.
I think he's a RF in the end.
We actually tried to tighten it up a little, as 55 was just out of control. We failed.
A fine third assumption.
Two assumptions can be made from that.
1. He's coming up to play 1B soon, as Rizzo has not been good.
2. He's not working out in the OF, so he's stuck at 1B.
Thanks for the email!
Yeah, that's was bad, and I apologize. Goal is to get all of this info to you folks as quickly as possible, and with a podcast to get up and a article to write for us and ESPN, it's a bit of a day.
Beyond just the names, the short-season leagues (NY-Penn and Northwest) tend to be older leagues, with mostly college-based draftees and guys in their second pro year. Nobody told the Rangers that, but that's how most of the league works.
He did something very very stupid.
It was nice. I have 16 leagues to go through, and nice doesn't always make the list. Good to see him throwing more strikes.
I think you'd live Cutch in center, if only because he's the star.
Higher average . . .
That's getting a little too excited, a little too early for me, but both have excellent upside.
Yeah, I think they're just getting him a change of scenery. He's a reliever for now.
It's totally up in the air. Nobody has a good sense of what Bell wants or what the Pirates will pay.
It's adequate, and that's against minor league base stealers.
Even though he played in just 20 games for Beloit, it was clear he was good enough for a new challenge. Guy can really hit.
I got rid of that Goldstein, he's a jerk.
I think Gorkys' future is as a fourth outfielder, as opposed to somebody pushing someone aside.
It's just you. I go through the box scores by minor league, so no way that can enter into it.
Fixed. Podcast is coming today, though.
0-for-4 with 3 Ks last Saturday.
I'll stick with what I said.
Just get a feel for him really, what the delivery looks like, what kind of feel. You don't make a judgement.
Had Tommy John surgery last May, and the rehab has been a slow one due to some scar tissue problems.
Still looks like a future 2B.
I don't look for ANYTHING. I'm just noting that he pitched.
Yeah, you can wonder in your head, but not aloud yet. Darnell and Gyorko have yet to prove themselves at the position, and I think a Darnell in LF scenario would be more likely.
Fun question. For now, you have to say Altuve, just because of where he's getting it done, if anything.
His workload is going to be VERY limited in the Gulf Coast League. He certainly has a shot at Low-A next year, but another year of short-season ball is the more likely scenario.
Defense remains outstanding.
Why is he not capable of it?
Yes, he is on the GCL Jays roster.
I'm as baffled as you are.
I'm not answering that, as I'm more concerned with the fact that your are counting this stuff.
Or somebody is out all day today . . .
I'm saying again, that I don't think it's going to get forced.
And again, we can't all get along? I think Thames could be a solid average every day corner guy. That's quite a bit, really.
1. It's a real concern, but yes guys sort it out. They don't suddenly turn into walkers, but they do make enough adjustments often (not always).
2. You can get excited as long as you have scouting info to go with the numbers.
too much too soon.
I like Castellanos upside considerably more, and I like Martinez plenty. I wouldn't worry too much about the glove yet.
Again, no rush. For now, there is no need to combine them if it's going to force a positional move.
Big writeup in Monday's ten pack.
And with all of that, I'm still not a Triunfel fan.
He's that always difficult to assess combination where the TOOLS are there for him to be a good 3B, but he's not.
1-for-4 w/ 2 Ks. Gotta have a good day to make the list!
Great question, and one I've been trying to figure out. I think we might see Kipnis soon, but there's some chance they just punt it and save him for '12.
Yes, Schoop is a 3B or 2B in the end, just not good enough for short, but few are. We're not even sure Machado will stay there.
I think speculating on Miller's upside right now is a total dart throw. He's been good for a month.
It's actually NOT possible. It's HTML and we don't have the kind of kerning fliexibility you'd like.
Bichette will sign, no question about it.
The arm has never been an issue, it's always been the receiving. He's pretty rough back there, but I could see him becoming kind of borderline acceptable. Is Eli some kind of Yale thing?
I still have no idea where he fits with the Yankees, so barring a trade, not until September.
I think it's easy to forget that Singleton has basically had one really big hot streak and that's it, he hit just .244/.356/.372 last year after the All-Star break.
It's up considerably, with more and more believing he can remain a starter.
I appreciate the time and effort here, but we're just going to differ on Robinson.
Actually, I'm a believer in Giavotella.
Some guys were just meant to be relievers . . .
That's very kind of you.
You're going to hate my answer. That's the range, some see him as a good 4th, some see him as a second-division starter.
You can force and update . . .
Well, they do have the DH rule, but I don't think he's going anywhere for now.
I want to scream No to this, but he's been so good I'll simply say no politely.
Well, are we still TOTALLY sure Machado is a SS long term?
He's hardly the only one who does it, just the one who gets the most attention for it.
He has excellent defensive TOOLS than need to get refined. Has a tendency to rush things
No. The team AS A TEAM is hitting .322/.412/.548 at home, and the average game at Reno features 14.6 runs.
Never be a power hitter. Just the high average is a surprise, and probably the highest expectation. It's all gravy with the defense as good as it is.
Janish is a better defensive SS. Cozart combines average range with excellent fundamentals.
It's just progression, he's looking more like the player we thought he could be.
Scouts are projecting 15-20+ HR per year.
It ends technically, but than they'll just say they're "in camp" Camp never ends.
You have not escaped nihilism.
Yes. Pay attention. Reviews from scouts are wide ranging, but those that like him see big leaguer.
It's pretty bad. I would say there is a shot at "acceptable."
He's having maintained success in one place, there's just no reason to do it as anything more than a very late season reward.
All over the place. Sometimes it's the scouting director, sometimes it changes, sometimes in the late rounds you let an intern do it for giggles.
Last year they didn't have people assigned from MLB sniffing around their books. They have to go slot.
Well, they don't think they can pay the price for Bell, and Cron is an EXTREME bat only guy, so there is no ideal solution here.
Might be the biggest wild card in the draft, but he's not going in the first, it looks.
Only guarantee is Tommy Lasorda announcing picks in an entertaining way.
Yes, there's a console they're all logged into with an ID system. Still, at some point, just like in your fantasy draft, when it gets late somebody will take someone already taken. It's happened.
Also, DURING the draft, I'll be chatting over at ESPN.
Sorry Josh Bell. It's all becoming a blur!
The best HS masher is C.J. Cron. He'll be in tomorrow's mock.
Still trying to figure out what Detroit is doing in the 32nd round.
The Barnes issue is more philosophical. He's often good, but rarely dominates and I have a really hard time going firs t round on a guy who can't strike out a batter per inning in college.
Better pure stuff for sure, probably not as polished.
Yes. MLB Network.
I'm fading away!
He's definitely rough defensively, but getting better. The base running has been a big issue. He's been picked off a ton.
You ever buy a car? Did you have to drive it just one more time before you were sure? Did that drive REALLY change anything about the car?
I tend to save that until after the draft, but you'll get it.
They are such a wild card right now. One of the teams I'm really digging on and I'll hopefully have more for you by tomorrow there.
Stuff is really, but once below average command and control is now downright poor.
I'll take the over.
It could end up that way, yes.
Around there, yes.
Lawrie is up this weekend. Ackley sometime this month. No guarantee on Chisenhall, Goldschmidt likely no more than September.
Means this year. I don't think he'll keep the speed for long.
Correct. 20 runner, lawn ornament defensively.
Plenty of concern. He's so far away, that it's not a good time for projecting MLB roles.
There is. It's a really nice arm, but a lot of scouts still wonder if he has the frame to start.
More of a second-division type/4th. Not starting ability. He's in High-A because he was in Low-A last year. If he keeps hitting, they'll move him up around mid-season.
Vlad was 1434x the hitter as well. 80 bat coming up through the Expos system. Adams is definitely a difficult guy to wrap ones head around, and those are exactly the type of players who have to keep doing it.
I was as well. He has the potential to be a good shortstop, but still makes a lot of young player mistakes.
They've always wondered why it didn't show up in games more.
Not true. If you have the athleticism (and Harper does, for now), CF can be an easier transition to the outfield because you don't have to read the hooks and slices as much.
I like to think he'd go lower, but I'm not convinced he'd go considerably lower.
WATGs are welcome, nothing to apologize for. Still could be up weekend, no serious injury.
You haven't heard? I'm fading away!
Too many worries about the performance vs. the money. Not even first round is a sure thing right now.
Not talk yet. Maybe an August thing. No need to rush.
Obviously a LF that does what Ackley does is way less valuable than a 2B, but I think Ackley can play CF, which is where a lot of teams wanted to put him out of the draft. As for Sizemore, I broke down the trade on Friday, and yes, I think he'll be at 3B for them.
Before I say what I'm about to say, I want to make one thing very clear.
I AM NOT COMPARING JAMES DARNELL TO RYAN BRUAN.
Now, with that out of the way, he is like Braun in that all of the tools and athletic ability to be a good third baseman are there, but he's just not.
Are you really that sure? If he's so good, why isn't he in the big leagues, where he hasn't been able to stick for three years now? That's going to be the question teams ask before acquiring him. I think there is some value, but not a lot for a guy that has gotten nearly 1,000 big league PA without establishing himself.
Maybe, but towards the bottom.
I think he can ultimately be below average but acceptable there.
Just a bad timing thing. Yesterday was a holiday, and with the draft next week you won't get one. They'll return the week after.
Alderson says they will spend, and even with their financial issues, draft bonuses are just a drop in the bucket of a larger baseball economy.
It's a real thing, but he's generally seen as signable for those willing to buy him away from football.
I'm not fading, but I have been dealing with some things that have nothing to do with my job. I wanted to take care of those things as much as possible before the draft stuff began. It's one week, and things happen. I'm not fading. I'd burn out anything, because that's what Neil Young told me to do.
Not out of the realm of possibilities, but would be a surprise.
He's always had solid tools across the board. There's definitely something good happening here, but I do want more data before making any sort of proclamation.
He's catching, it was a mistype.
Optimistic, but not crazy.
When he does it at Double-A.
I think Goldschmidt has the edge in baseball talent, but when it comes to BMI, few can beat Adams. I know what he's listed at, but I'm guess he's more like 280.
It's a great series of questions my good friend, and I don't have a series of good answers. I get the feeling they're going to mess around with a lot of guys this year and give Goldschmidt the real look in 2012.
I think picking him up in your fantasy league to see if he's the real deal is a good idea.
C'mon. . .
Welcome to the minors!
Yes. As is the body.
I think he's going to hit 40+ home runs one day . . . in Japan.
Never been a big believer in either LaMahieu or Flaherty, but think the latter has a chance at a utility career.
Man, where were all of you folks when I was getting crap for liking Gary Brown out of college?
As a basic rule, the better you are, the more you get away with. The re-state, there's no question about his work ethic, which is absolutely outstanding. It's just that he plays with this intensity that can only be classified as unproductive.
Yes, and later today.
Ah yes! Good to meet you as well. You should of asked me then as I had one in my bag.
Accusplit AX725. Accept no substitute. Comes in many colors even for matching with your outfit of the day. Between Jason and I, I think we have five.
Huge, wide-bodied guy, almost a Hector Villanueva kind of body. Bad receiver, but good arm. A mixed bag, really.
I actually thought they would as well. He's not some future stud, but he certainly could be a capable fill in.
That's a really fun question. I could take either side on that debate.
It was not.