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Is Kershaw really starting game 2? If the Dodgers win game 1, I would suspect they'd go with Stripling, with Urias and Wood available to relieve.
Whose stock has fallen the most since the pre-season rankings? Anyone jump out?
<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70776">Roman Quinn</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=106720">Cornelius Randolph</a></span> appeared higher than <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70348">Mark Appel</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68062">Jorge Alfaro</a></span> on the Phillies team specific list, and yet the latter two cracked the top 100 here. I know the top 10 lists are made using different methodology, but were Randolph / Quinn close on the 101, or just a case of an individual writer being particularly high on them (or low on Appel and Alfaro).
Is there anyone on this list (or in this system) that has the right assortment of pitches/profile to replace <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70354">Ken Giles</a></span>, or are their prospects' profiles more likely to stick in the rotation / end up as swing men?
Pat Venditte is one I'm excited to see, if only for the pure spectacle of it.
The Halladay deal was so team friendly (under 20M AAV counting the year before the extension kicked in) that it's justifiable. I give Amaro a pass on it, even if the results of the last two years were not pretty. The price per win was reasonable.
However, there's not much else nice to say about the other contract extensions / free agent signings Amaro has handed out. Amaro's specialty seems to be adding unwanted back-ends of deals, whether it's vesting options or just an extra year for the hell of it. Hopefully it's also his undoing and the Phillies find a more progressive thinker to right the ship.
One thing that might be being overstated throughout the coverage of the Aiken/Nix debacle is how this hurts the Astros in the future. After the Phillies reported two 2013 draft picks to the NCAA for illegally using agents, all of the news reports indicated how hard it would be for the Phillies to do business in the future, but once the 2014 draft rolled around, it was business as usual. I suspect most players and agents/advisers will have short memories.
The trade that first caught my attention as a young Phillies fan was the Von Hayes deal, where the they sent Manny Trillo, George Vukovich, Jay Baller, Jerry Willard, and Julio Franco to the Indians for one young prospect. It seemed crazy then, and feels like the sort of trade that would never happen now. Interestingly, the only players that had any real value out of these deal were Franco and Hayes, and although Franco's career WAR is significantly higher than Hayes, until 1992 (Hayes's final year with the Phillies), the two had similar output. It was a totally wild trade, that probably worked out better than it seemed, given the number of players involved and Franco's longevity.
The Cardinals could also make it interesting by including cost-controlled Wong and the Rays sending back Zobrist. I could also see the Dodgers finding a way to take Zobrist as well, because, you can never have too much.
How close is Ogando to being ready? Age-wise, seems like needs to be soon.
Is there a leader board for umpires with the most overturned calls? It would be a fun one to watch.
Great perk, but MLB.tv auto-renews subscribers in early March, so I bet a lot of BP/MLB.tv subscribers won't enjoy the discount.
Serious question. (Because what this article begs for is a "serious question). If the Rays could trade Price for cash considerations and Selig would approve it, how much money could get get for Price? Could be it be enough to make it worth it?
I love the Bobby Abreu coverage, but I just discovered that his teammate is ex-con Ugueth Urbina. It feels like he deserves some coverage as well, right? Maybe an all-washed-out winter league feature is in order?
This is fun and all, but there is a missed opportunity by not centering one of these around the blimp sized ego of Ruben Amaro, that ends in a tragically misguided trade.
What is the * indicate after a few name above? Am I skimming past a definition or it is something obvious I'm not getting?
Do you think Austin Wright is more likely to contribute at the major league level than some recent Phillies debuts, like Jonathan Pettibone and Tyler Cloyd?
This is Eddie Gamboa's first year throwing a knuckleball, at age 28, correct?
I keep wondering when some team will get aggressive with cultivating knuckleballers. It seems like such a low risk / high reward approach to try with minor league depth that otherwise has a less than zero chance of contributing to a major league club. Are there any clubs who attempt conversions on pitchers with any regularity?
Most to least plate appearances at 3B for the 2014 Phillies? Kevin Frandsen, Freddy Galvis, Cody Asche, Maikel Franco, someone else?
Remember when the debate was Harper / Moore / Trout for #1 prospect in the game. They don't all turn to gold.
As someone who follows the Phillies, the Gelb article makes me want to bang my head against the wall. I count myself as a fan of their approach to development (high ceiling, tools-first draft methodology), but the notion that they're not using advanced metrics in decision-making, to supplement their scouting is absolutely maddening. The crazy thing is that Amaro probably actually believes that his scouting department is better than the rest. Watch or read any interview with him and he comes across as the most arrogant, least humble, over-confident, bordering on pompous GM out there. And then there's the Ryan Howard extension.
If you were to rank Bryce Harper, Matt Moore and Mike Trout going into the 2012 season (forgetting what you know about their performance last season) alongside Oscar Tavaras and Jurickson Profar 1-5 now, how would they stack up?
With so many prospects likely losing their prospect status this year due to service time, do you expect the Rangers to have a top system in 2014, or will they be hurt by lower draft positions, the new CBA and multiple graduations?
Is it fair to say that on days that Darin Ruf is in LF, D. Young in RF, M. Young at 3B and Howard at 1B, they have four players in the field who would actually be below average at DH?
Jim Thome seems like such an obvious fit for the Yankees. His salary fits the new cost-conscious team, he's opposite handed from Jeter, A-Rod and Youklis, and he should not play every day. Plus, his LH bat would play very well at home in Yankee stadium. He could put up some impressive #s in 350 PA.
I would imagine someone has asked the Twins front office about this. What do they say?
Clay Davis is the single best animated .gif caption of all time.
Do you think that Happ and Hochevar would provide significantly more value as relievers, given that they could theoretically lean more heavily on there strongest pitch, rather than their weaker secondary offerings?
I'd be very curious to see this sort of analysis on Cliff Lee as well. He's been unlucky and injured this year, but I wonder if his decline is similar (going from elite to very good) or if the decline is more significant. Jason Parks and Kevin Goldstein always mused about the rarity of true #1 starters in baseball, saying there were not more than 10 or so in all of baseball. I wonder if the Phillies have more than one of them anymore?
Is Wood's skill set the kind that might translate well to baseball in Japan, where he could put up big numbers? Or are the kind of pitchers you typically see in Japan likely to give Wood fits?
Congrats Kevin and Jason, on both of your new roles. The podcast and your writing (and tweets) has been a huge part of my baseball consumption in recent years. I look forward to more from Jason on BP, before he inevitably gets snatched up by a major league team.
I really enjoyed the interview a few episodes back with Jeff Luhnow, and one of the interesting points he made was how one of his strengths as an executive with the Cardinals was hiring talented people. Looks like he practices what he preaches.