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Or to put it yet another way on Giolito, <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/column/TINSTAAPP/">TINSTAAPP</a>...
I'll be surprised if Liriano is even allowed to start in the Texas series, so using Liriano (their 5 best starter) in relief last night does not hurt them for the Texas series. If Liriano were to be used to start a game it should have been last night given how Baltimore has struggled vs. lefties.
The top three starters are clearly Happ, Sanchez and Estrada. Stroman likely starts game 4, with Liriano being a multiple inning reliever available out of the pen.
Except in this case Stroman has been consistently improving since a June swoon, rather than performing worse due to alleged fatigue.
Stroman as he averaged just over 96 pitches per start with a high of 109, 34th in the league (Tillman was 27th with a high of 112). If anything, there will be a quick hook for him if he struggle, with Liriano waiting in the wings to try to take advantage if the Orioles' weakness vs. LHP.
With respect to innings jumps specifically, I think that theory, e.g. "Verducci effect" has largely been discredited, no? http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=19497
Stroman was also terrible in June, his worst month of the season, before improving his <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ERA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ERA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ERA</span></a> in July and August (September was his second best month in terms of ERA over the entire season), which does not fit the narrative of a young pitcher wilting under a new workload threshold. If anything, he has been getting stronger as the season has gone on.
Donaldson is a third baseman, and a pretty good one too.
Morrow is equally qualified for the DL arm slot as Johnson ;-)
Just curious where Devin Travis would have ranked on this list if not traded for Gose?
IIRC, he developed chronic hip problems at the end of his career with at least a couple of surgeries and some setbacks.
If the names changed this could be an article about the Blue Jays even if the contracts taken on in Toronto are less awful, if only by comparison (Mark Buerhle anyone?), as the Jays mortgaged the farm team in the Marlins and Mets deals as opposed to overspending in free agency like the LAA. As a Jays fan, I feel a biazarre mix of schadenfreude and the need to commiserate...
Richard Griffin is the beat writer for the Toronto Star, not the Sun.
Congratulations on your wedding!
Oklahoma actually has more talent than any Team Canada I can recall.
Traditional knuckleballer or not, the number of pitchers who have won a Cy Young award at 36 and older is a pretty short list, and generally they have all done well in their subsequent seasons.
Randy Johnson, Roger Clemens, Steve Carlton, Gaylord Perry, Early Wynn, Warren Spahn, and R.A Dickey. Dickey's remaining history has yet to be written, but he has been improving every year as a knuckleballer.
D'Arnaud and Syndergaard are a steep price, but another starter is exactly what the Jays need. If this deal goes through it would allow Happ to be a swingman and move Romero to the 5 slot in the rotation. You're always going to have injuries, and their top pitching prospects weren't likely to contribute in the bigs this coming season. At the very least Dickey gives them serious depth and 200 innings; however, at this price I would hope he gives them something closer to last season.
He was used exclusively as a reliever during his A and AA ball stints after signing, averaging just over an inning per appearance (15 games).
Funny how the predictions degraded from there. The 2001 book noted: "Without improvement, he’ll be a mix of Garret Anderson’s and Devon White’s better skills. But he’s going to improve".
No love for Mickey Tettleton?!?!
I was hoping for an agreement that Daddy has to live on a deserted island in the pacific...without internet access...
I approve of this article ;-)
Then what does this mean about Rios?: "His defense in left is both consistently good and better than his defense in center.."
"and in the fourth we learn that Cecil has left the game, presumably because the bus back to Triple-A was departing", and some other jokes had me laughing out loud, but agree with the comments above.
Also, there is a need to edit and proof read, e.g. Brian mistakenly suggests that ALex Rios is a left fielder, "His defence in left...".
Tim, enjoyed the article, but really like the fact that you are responding to comments with thoughtful responses. Keep it up!
In my opinion, this was best article in the entire BP Idol series so far. Original, thoughtful, well-written, and entertaining.
Matt Wieters' tears cure cancer, too bad he never cries.
The main question posed by the article (i.e. why do TTO hitters always have a low B.A), has a pretty obvious answer for any regular BP reader. It may be good for new readers as an intro, but usually I expect a little more from BP authors than rehashing basic concepts without a new slant. JMO
I was waiting for an article on this topic from BP. I\'m not sure the error strengthens the case for BP writers getting votes (I think that case is already pretty strong), but the three who voted for Volquez should definitely lose their votes.
Holliday has never slugged .500 or above on the road over a whole season. To suggest that he will do so in Oakland, a notorious pitchers park, and against a stronger league seems a bit of stretch, considering the road numbers are the only indicator we have on how he hits outside of Colorado\'s thin air, while he has a career .669 slugging percentage at Coors that has clearly inflated his season non-split numbers.
His career slugging numbers at non-Coors parks with the most career at bats (in brackets) are as follows:
AT&T .404 (98), Dodger\'s Stadium .459 (98), Petco .406 (96), and Chase Field .438 (96).
Plus, I have never heard anyone question Crosby\'s toughness before. He puts up with a lot of physical abuse on a nightly basis.
Will, Crosby was not a rookie last season. This is his 4th year in the league. Patrick Kane won last season.
I am surprised that there wasn\'t a question about Gaston\'s ten year absence from the game as a manager, and what he felt the reason for that was.
After winning back-to-back world series, you would think there would have been a team interested in giving him a chance as a manager. Perhaps there was a perception that those Toronto teams that won could have won with anyone at the helm? It would have been nice to Gaston\'s thoughts on the matter.