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$180 for closers? I don't think you're going to win with 21 points. :)
It seems that the main reason to eliminate long extra-inning games is to 'save' pitching arms but with the endless churning of the 10-12 relief pitchers that already occurs, why not just let them play it out? Or teams could just pull a Tony LaGenius and give up around the 14th inning and put a position player on the mound and try to lose.
As long as you are experimenting go with some 2 inning relievers. The 6-8 lefty/rightys should be 4 pitchers, two of each. In fact the closer role should be dumped and just throw in your best available reliever into the 8-9 mix. 'Blowout guy', 'extra inning guy' and 'warm-up guy' should be all the same guy and in fact the 5th starter on a skipped rotation can be this guy. So now we are down to 6 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=RP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('RP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">RP</span></a> and 5 SP. Relievers presumably are interchangable on a bad team. So get the AAA train on a roll and you only need 11 pitchers tops.
Diaz's run gave him a Game Score of 78. He allowed 7 hits, a walk and 2 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ER" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ER'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ER</span></a> in those 9 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=IP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('IP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">IP</span></a>.
He didn't say top tier
It was Bark in the Park Day where you could bring your dog so maybe the dogs were included in the attendance. Also it was Alumni Day where you could get autographs from famous former Braves Leo Mazzone, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=17729">Jeff Treadway</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=28974">Craig Skok</a></span>. I'm looking forward to Bobblehead Player To Be Named Later Day on June 23. (Yes, this one is real.)
I contend that <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=SB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('SB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">SB</span></a> are more valuable since they are relatively scarce. Hamilton and Gordon each stole 2.3% of all SB last year. If you translate that to R, <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=HR" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('HR'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">HR</span></a> and <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=RBI" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('RBI'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">RBI</span></a> you need a player that can get 465 runs, 111 HR, and 443 RBI. How many players and dollars would you need to spend to get that?
The schedule could be heavily weighted to divisional games which should occur throughout the season. Then plan any interleague games to be at the 'warmer' climates.
Should I be concerned that I didn't have to look up the Nikki & Paulo reference?
But even if the other teams realized what was happening, would they begin to punt their own drafts and potential prospects just to 'stop' the Cubs? How many blocks would any one team do in order to foil the plan of another team?
The problem with your "win" is presumably you could have drafted the guys you picked up and FAABed the guys you drafted resulting in a net loss. I'd like to know how many teams you have in your league that let Harang and Hammel slide through an entire draft when it was obvious they were going to start at the beginning of the season. Morales (Col.) and Koehler (potentially terrible Florida team) slid through my league's 11-team, 40-man roster draft.
Don't forget that short of some tax shelters they are probably 'only' making half of their listed salaries.
Beltran started on third not second.
Ender's Game spoilers "bug" you? Another coincidence!
I believe typically this works the other way around. Stronger teams loan their players to weaker leagues in order to keep them sharp since they aren't playing. Much like Howard was being kept on the farm when the Phillies were toting Thome around.
Would changing the way they count ballots to 75%/5% (or some similar percentage) of all votes thereby "throwing out" the blank/near-empty ballots and eliminate the grumpy old men factor be better?
A team may have a fourth option year on a player with less than five full seasons of professional experience, provided that both conditions below are met.
1)A player has not spent at least 90 days on an active professional roster in a season. Minor leagues that play below Class A Advanced have seasons that are shorter than 90 days, and as such, any player who spends a full season in a rookie or Class A (short-season) league will receive a fourth option year.
2)A player has not spent at least 60 days on an active professional roster AND then at least 30 days on a disabled list in a season. Only after 60 days have been spent on an active professional roster does time spent on the disabled list count towards the 90-day threshold. As with the prior example, this cannot occur with players who spend a full season in a rookie or Class A (short season) league.
Why does your league use the bane of all Commissioners: contingency bidding? I realize CBS can weed this out for you (sort of) but I think it makes for more thoughtful and strategic bidding than saying $70 for player or else $70 for player B.
Exactly. Not every team is an All-Star team like any mixed league I've played. If I wanted to play a mixed league, I would just buy a pre-season magazine and ignore fine sites like Baseball Prospectus! Do I enjoy picking up Miguel Rojas and Bobby Abreu? No. But if I want to have something besides a zero in a roster spot, come on down!
We care so much BECAUSE THIS ONE COUNTS!
Are White Sox games always so empty?
Could there be column in the graphic of where they were previously? (last week?)
He was obviously distracted trying to get tickets for Hello Kitty Travel Mug Night.
Is Christian Villaneuva just a speed bump for Bryant at this point? Or trade bait?
Took my 12-year-old daughter to this game (20 innings). Didn't leave until the last out. My wife wondered where we were because it was a 3pm start and we were not home by 7pm. She found out when she turned on Fox to watch COPS and the game is of the week was still on. This game. Fox ended up bumping the entire primetime schedule that night because nobody could score. And after, the game was over she still wanted to run the bases (that day's promotion).
You can show all Encarnacion's HR's as long as the parrot is along for the ride. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=22464
I don't think Suzuki was going to homer unless Kelly pulled a Canseco.
The Marlins are (through Friday) 17-5 at home and 3-10 on the road. If they continue with those percentages, they win 81 games. The Rockies splits (13-5 home, 9-10 road) would get them 96 wins.
Also the pitchers have 3 RBI's.
Shuffling deck chairs.
Shouldn't a big league manager have confidence in all his players? I can't believe the Brewers only trust Francisco Rodriguez out of all their bullpen. This is why the lefty-righty thing drives me insane. A big league pitcher who is horrible should get 70% of the batters out.
I always knew when LaRussa wanted to go home and didn't care about winning a game when he would bring in a position player to pitch.
What is the point of a 2-game interleague series? Shouldn't they all be 3 games?
Felix Hernandez isn't the only one close to the all-K short game. Last year Roy Halladay put up 9 K's in 3.1 IP in this game (http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/ATL/ATL201304030.shtml). That only put him one strikeout short of both.
What do you think of the simple formula for holding a player: 1 week for every $1 paid or 1 week for every round (from the bottom. i.e. week 1 for 26th round)?
Could this be placed under the Prospects or Fantasy Tab?
Regarding the SGM button, considering the scarcity of SB and saves shouldn't you pay a little more for the players? I have seen many teams over the years who just punt those categories in order to 'save money'. Wouldn't overpaying for Kimbrel or Hamilton get you at least a few more points in the middle of the category that overpaying on Trout or Miguel Cabrera wouldn't? They aren't going to hit 30 extra homers but Hamilton (should) get 50 SB even if that's all he contributes.
You would want a righty 3b for the same reason you want a lefty 1b: to stretch your glove hand into the field.
Cincinnati chili is bean soup without the beans.
I went to a Tennessee Smokies game 2 years ago. They had an Attention Cam between innings to see how long it would take someone to notice that they were on the Jumbotron (with a timer running) due to the fact that they were staring at their phone. Usually ran 5-10 seconds but one guy would not look up from his 'important' screen and ran the whole between inning, at least 60 seconds, without looking up. The inning began with this guy buried in his phone. I would love to see this a MLB game.
I play in a deep NL-only league. The wins help out all those non-closers have any value which gets thrown out of the QS equation. I don't believe having a 4.50 ERA (which is a potential QS) makes for a 'good' pitcher.
With only my memory, it seemed that LaRussa would give up if the game went more than 12-13 innings. He would just throw whichever scrub/Oquendo that he wasn't planning on playing the next day on to the mound just to get the game over with.
I'm waiting for Hostess or some other fruit pie company to start sponsoring the pie smash.
You might add to your chart by showing the final season values of the players chosen in each round. That would help show the slow reduction of actual value (presumably) as the draft gets into the deeper rounds.
What you didn't factor in is that the basketball and football drafts both occur after the college season and in the respective pro off-seasons. The players are really just keeping in shape while waiting for draft day. MLB should move their draft to July, after the College World Series. How about the day after the All-Star Game in which NOTHING is happening in all of pro sports. That would focus more attention on something that is really overlooked.
I wouldn't call Hanrahan a young, promising player. He is 29 and has been around seemingly forever, previously as a 'failed' Dodgers prospect. To me one of the Pirates saving graces over the last few years is their ability to prove that just about anyone can become a closer. When even recent history has Matt Capps, Jose Mesa, Salomon Torres, and Octavio Dotel as closers, it just goes to show how much some teams get starry-eyed when 20+ saves show up after a guy's name.
I wouldn't blow up a team that in all likelyhood has no real chance of making the playoffs but give the organization, and its fans, a mental boost by making a run at .500 in order to get that monkey off their backs. Look at the Royals 2003 season. How much press was gained when they had their first winning season after 9 years of futility? A break in the losing streak would help the Pirates organization a lot even if by saying "we are at .500 now and our best prospects are still on the way!"
Could you explain the $0 bids? Does that mean that no one else bid on the player?
Even though he has brought success to the Cardinals, as a fan his management style is difficult to watch.
1) The constant lefty-righty switch.
2) His unwillingness to use younger players. Rasmus, Wainwright was at AAA for two years after they traded for him when by all reports he was ready for the big leagues at that point, and Pujols was not even going to make the team in 2000 until Bobby Bonilla hurt himself.
3) Staying with the veterans past the point of effectiveness. Franklin and Isringhausen both were allowed to stay in the closer role when it was plain to see they did not have the stuff anymore.
4) Playing a Sunday lineup 2-3 times a week to keep his regulars 'fresh'.
5)Throwing away any game longer than 12 innings to keep his bullpen and/or rotation intact by pitching the Oquendo of the week. Just bring up some kid from the farm for a few days like every other team in the majors.
The one innovation I really enjoyed from LaRussa was the 3-inning rotation which he used in Oakland where pitchers were assigned three innings no matter what the situation in the game. Then they could pitch about every third day instead of waiting four or five days. I think he only let it go a week but in theory it would save your team from having to carry 12-13 pitchers and give you more options off the bench for defense or hitting as the case may be.
His gruff and near-abusive situation with the press in St. Louis, which is about as marshmallow soft of a media as you will ever find, is ridiculous. And of course you will get yourself banned from any interviews if he even gets a question which makes it look like he made an incorrect decision. Not to mention the civil war that apparently occurred when Jocketty was replaced.
In short, I do not care for Tony LaRussa.
25 baseball players and none of them have an app on their phones for weather? When I first heard this it was ridiculous hearing Baker complain. Even if it is the home team's responsibility, get your own information. I would have thought seeing Miguel Batista warm up for the game for the Cardinals would have been enough information. Surely the Reds could see into the Cardinals bullpen, it is open.
With DH becoming a dumping ground for older players, would having Lawrie just start there and make a career of DHing make sense? He doesn't seem cut out for fielding.
When is next years draft and how can I join?
The depth chart reflects current projections based on spring training performance while PECOTA is more of a pre-season projection if he started the season on the team.
Currently Norris will start the season in the minors. If Pudge, Ramos, and Flores all went down then you could use the PECOTA projection. Each of them has ~400 AB projected to them which obviously can't happen at the catcher spot.
I don't have a handy reference but I believe that for the first month of the season the previous year's final record (in reverse) is the determining factor and then the current record becomes the determining factor for the rest of the season.
I guess I missed it so could someone explain the yellow and green system? Thanks!
The media in my town have Boras pegged: he makes overblown statements about how great his clients are, tries to make everyone think that there are multiple teams interested (even when there aren't), and then makes vague statements about holding out or not signing. I realize that this is what agents do but not many competent reporters buy it any more. They assume he is overhyping his case. Hopefully the Nats (and any other team) would be ready to let him go back to junior college, independent league, or wherever if the kid gets snotty about being the best around. They would get the second pick in next year's draft if he doesn't sign if I'm not mistaken.
What about guys in the low minors who wash out like the guy in "Bull Durham"? I would guess they were low round draft picks to begin with.
I would add how do they join the union when they first arrive. They don't have any choice do they?
Berkman may fight to be called 'Puma' but even Baseball Reference has him nicknamed 'Fat Elvis'.
He may have been all those things in the field but the guy can still hit. Saying a 26-year old who can hit 20 HRs a year will be out of the league in two years is stupid. Toronto should be able to turn him into a DH or 1B and let him hit.
Maybe just put 'Out' instead of the date. Newcomers will begin to ask why so many players are coming back on 10/4.
When I was 13 my dad got some great seats a few rows behind the plate at old Busch Stadium for an afternoon game. The game was OK but it went extra innings and despite the Cardinals having the bases loaded with two outs, my gaze wandered off the field for a second. It was during that exact second that Glenn Brummer, an incredibly slow-footed back up catcher who was on third decides to steal home. I turn back in time to see him halfway down the line and think, "What are you doing?" What he was doing was winning the ballgame because he was safe and no one could believe their eyes. Here is the game log.
I also remember going to a game in Candlestick Park. A game against Atlanta when both teams were horrible. I managed to get a sunburn and freeze (I was wearing shorts) in the same afternoon.
The treatment of Winters just gives me another reason to hate the Yankees. The story sounds like a bad ending to Ryan Howard's wait behind Jim Thome. Didn't any other team offer something for him?
Pseudophedrine can be made into meth. Just try to buy some in Missouri. It's all behind the counter.
Bashing Gold Gloves as a metric should be done because it comes down to voting, not statistics. Who won the 1999 AL first base Gold Glove? Rafael Palmeiro who played 28 games at first. Sure he won in 1997 and 1998 and had roughly the same averages but surely the voters could have given it to someone who played, say, 140-150 games. Why did Yadier Molina not win the Gold Glove in 2007? Because Russell Martin HIT better than Molina. If McLouth doesn't have a hot hitting start in 2008 does he still win the Gold Glove? I don't recall anyone saying he was a defensive whiz before last season.
Jesus...Messiah...the Second Coming,etc.
As Seinfeld said: You're really just cheering for uniforms.
I have a general question. Why do teams place players (like Weeks) on the 15-day DL when they know full well that they are not coming back for the rest of the season? Why don't they at least start them out on the 60-day DL? Weeks isn't going to be back in two months no matter what.
I had two questions after reading the article.
1) Wouldn't second division teams be worse just by using more of their prospects on a trial basis? They know that they are not contending and attempt to evaluate during the season.
2) Since most teams have '30-man' rosters where they can cycle the 5 guys who were cut at the end of camp on to their rosters as needed, doesn't that make the last roster cuts irrelevant? There is always a few players that make a team based on their hot spring training stats even though they have no track record of success in the majors.
This is the only article I read all the way through. As soon as I see a graph and spreadsheet numbers that all look the same, I am gone. A basic, to the point analysis is always appreciated!
Did he say yout?
That makes Zambrano Plan E.
It does get recorded as a hold which is essentially a save opportunity that did not result in a save.