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Thanks man. Hard to wrap my head around SEA actually hitting lately too. I will approach him with caution.
Any thoughts on the Texas schedule? I guess it depends on what SEA is. M. Perez seems like at least a good streaming lefty ROS, and is available in >50% CBS leagues.
Thanks man. Let me say again how much I appreciate all the work you put out there. Totally unrelated, I wouldn't mind a monthly feature on the silly nicknames people have for players.
Thoughts on tinkering with the end of your bench at this point. Drafted last (few days ago) and have top waiver priority. There are no obvious left-overs to pick at, but is it better to grab someone right after the draft or wait to see who other people drop?
Thanks. This roster kinda facinates me with the combination of medium-long term financial risk combined with both health and performance risk.
Mostly because I'm too lazy at the moment to look it up, any thoughts on the B-Jays options if he can't play ?
Most of the other articles I read focus on the money, but this briefly mentions that they could have the best rotation. Seems to me that players like AGon, Hanley, Crawford, and even Beckett are reclamation projects. Is this a 95 win team as the roster stands today? Expensive corpses can't dance.
Where does the 62% come from? Normally(!) 1 sigma includes ~68%.
This is great. I really like that some MLB lines are put in there. Might be useful to break the MiLB and MLB lines into different sections for lazy readers like me.
Congratulations and thank you for the entertainment and for sharing your knowledge with style and class.
Happy to have the graphs back and better than ever. Sweet!
I wonder what this would have looked like if written before the season? Maybe one lists Huff in the OF with Blanco on the bench. Maybe Rowand's salary gets counted. Paints a totally different picture than where we are today. (LAA outfield would also be assigned higher $).
Awesome-what do the colors mean? I see some 0.0's that are green and some are red.
I really like this stuff. It is a sweet diversion from the usual.
I really enjoyed this series and I hope that it periodically pops up again. Since Its about being honest, I feel I can announce to the interwebs that I tried to go to that BBQ, managed to get lost, and never got there. Its my fault for zoning out while driving through the barren west valley and not noticing that I missed a turn till I hit the next highway. Sounds like I missed a good time, but I was getting cranky and took one for the team and headed home. And I was wearing my favorite shandals.
Liked the closing sentences. Stuck the landing. Hope this becomes a year round feature.
Nice article. I would be interested to see how the evolution of the DH 'position' relates to how much teams spend on the position. I would think that a team that knows they aren't going to contend in the immediate future would choose not to overspend on a DH (or a big name closer). If this were true, then the lack of production from the position could be something akin to a selection bias.
Isn't the important question why do they even use those phones? Can't motorola develop some type of headset? Heck, stl calls down there so much they should just keep the line open all the time anyway. How about a text message. Managers should have laptops or tablets anyway.
I saw Jesse Barfield at Hohokam for a Fergie Jenkins sponsored autograph session this spring. He looked like he was in the best shape of his life. Lee Smith and George Foster were there too. Spring training is cool like that.
How about putting their ages next to their names? I like to laugh when someone in my league drafts a 17 year old.
As someone who lives in Phoenix and goes to a handful of games every year, I have another theory which has to do with the ballpark. I've noticed the roof open, and more importantly, outfield shutters open, more often than I seem to remember. I recall Schilling used to demand both be closed when he pitched here. I think when those shutters are open it turns into a wind tunnel in the hitters favor. Perhaps home-road splits in HR/FB could tell us. Just a thought.
Just saw Gammons talking about your projected standings on MLB network. Cool, except they never mentioned 'beta' version, only that the projections can change daily. For the sake of BP's reputation, I'd reconsider the release of beta versions, and make us wait the extra few days for the real thing. As a compromise, its pretty obvious which subscribers are willing and qualified to help with beta testing if that help is needed. Thx for the updates.
What are the uncertainties in the peak values? The numbers are given to the nearest 0.1 years, and its hard to believe that the calculated uncertainties are that small. In fact, the error bars may be more interesting than the peaks themselves.
I think the Dbacks should have given Scherzer another year to prove he can't start. The problem isn't necessarily durability, its efficiency (and hence development), with his pitch counts crossing the magic number before the 7th inning all too often. The weak bullpen was not helped by this last year. The other problem is that the team has no starters, even if they are freely available. Webb is a question mark, and Davis and Garland (and Petit) are all gone. They need arms. Maybe Kennedy impressed them enough in the AFL, and given his former prospect status they liked the 2 for 1 aspect of the deal. As far as the offense, goes, it sounds like they are going to go with 'the kids need to hit' again. To address a question above: Eric Byrnes and Chris Young will play because of their contracts.
In reference to the intro, I read that a certain player violated the "minor league drug prevention and _treatment_ program." What is the treatment? Surely the education part of the program is a failure if MLB's big catch comes out with the 'I didn't kill nobody' line. Claiming he is just 'being Manny' is annoying to anyone with a brain, even if he accidentally broke the rules which is irrelevant.
I think that the numbers for Manny and Teixeira do not include what they did with both teams they played for, though for Jason Bay they do. I'm sure that's just an oversight.
The thing about a team with so many players at or below replacement level in terms of projection is that a couple of shrewd waiver claims and a breakout performance or two and the W-L record can swing the other way. Plus its almost impossible to figure how the back of the rotation will end up looking. Personally, though I believe in the data crunching, its hard to swallow that the differential park effect will drop Holliday down to this level. I don\'t think its that hard to envision this team winning 84-87 games. Any thoughts?
So are Hughes & Kennedy going to be traded during the season for Jake Peavy
or Matt Holliday? Hanging on to these pitchers and re-signing Pettitte gives them a lot of flexibility when/if the injuries become a problem (assuming an infinite budget of course). Just a thought.
What about Christian Guzman? 3rd highest VORP for SS?
Is BJ Upton\'s shoulder issue a cause for his decline in power from last season, or is it just a combination of the league catching up with him, and his improved plate discipline? What does \"chronic shoulder laxity\" mean and will it carry over into next season?