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joel3green
43 comments | 9 total rating | 0.21 average rating
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Baseball Prospectus http://bbp.cx/i/19524
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

Thanks for the reply. Cogent points all. Speaking of O'Day, that is my fear: a trade wherein a high price is paid for more O'Days... not that having one or two isn't good, but... you know?

 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

It is Arizona, so stats don't always cover the story. Why was Lowe getting hit? I didn't see it. Was his speed down? Location on his fastball bad? Working on mechanics? I hope the Rangers have the fortitude to at least break camp without a panic induced/inducing trade.

 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

Max Ramirez not only can't catch and throw, he can't even stand still. I don't know how the Rangers pitched with him on the field-- he danced, bobbed, weaved, set-up all over the place, shook his head, waved his glove, and yet refused to move after balls in the dirt. He has to hit a lot better than most to be average.

Jul 07, 2010 1:04 PM on Western Horizons
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

Second on the Eric Nadel nomination... probably not reaching the largest of audiences. Every game is on TV of some kind, and who outside of the Metroplex wants to listen to the Rangers radio?

Jul 06, 2010 4:27 PM on MLB Radio Broadcasters
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

I think I'd change P to T Will [Carroll's] Health [and] Injury Tracking System WHITS... or WHITTS W's Health and Injury Team Tracking System.... WHIPS sounds like another stat.

Jan 29, 2010 1:19 PM on Padre Problems
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: -1

I believe that under EBWilliams the Orioles never went to arbitration, although if I remember correctly they weren't above offering it to buy time if a settlement was expected. Management said that the process forced them to undercut the player's reputation and attack his own self-worth, while forcing the player to discount his team-mates contributions to winning. I agree. I would never go to arbitration with a player I wanted to keep, and there is no reason for offering to one you don't want.

 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 2

How about a 'hide Will Carroll's articles' button? just kidding. keep up the good work.

Nov 21, 2009 10:53 PM on April 15-28, 2002
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

You know.... If I had my subscription renewed for free, I am sure I wouldn't say any thing about this site that I wouldn't say anyway, just more of it... in fact... well.. better if that is all that is said, right? Is there really anyone who doesn't know that the 'media' receive 'media' freebies? It is silly to 'disclose' it. The 'freebies' are not benefits. We usually think of benefits as things that enhance our leisure and we think of 'bribes' as benefits that make us alter our professional behavior. How can a stack of 'product' freely given make one item in the stack more attractive than the other? How can more work to be done (see the big stack of freebies in the in-tray?) increase an author's leisure? Law-ridden society. feh.

Oct 07, 2009 12:06 AM on July 22-25, 2002
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 1

He's under his innings load from 2008, but he's pitched "more" in terms of outings and had "less" in terms of rest days. At this stage of the season, it's better to err on the side of caution, even if Nolan Ryan's pitching plan involves pushing for more. I think since he already has more, it should be "especially if NR's pitching..". The idea, I think, is to pitch more to become stronger, to delay the onset of dead/tired arm. Fatigued athletes are more likely to injure themselves on any given day of fatigue. I believe the theory with NR is that there is a long term stamina as well as a daily stamina in play. Once the athlete gets a 'dead arm' it would be time, not just to rest it, but rest it enough to start the next building-up process. Of course you'd have to ask Nolan Ryan or Ron Washington if that's the idea.

Sep 25, 2009 4:16 PM on Doubts and Quandaries
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

"The true future of the Pirates lies in the draft and their own player development effort." I think that is true, but without the 'garage sale' that future was never going to happen. To lose for two decades is evidence of a failure of unknown depth. Taking control of the Pirates it would be impossible to know where the faults were. Was every scouting report deficient? Was every level of player development deficient or unrelated with the next? Was major league scouting too inept to evaluate the distance the Pirates had to make up? Was coaching failing? Was in-game management failing? Or was the talent singularly unlucky? Bringing in a raft of talent from across the spectrum of pro ball allows the Pirates to see how deficient the organization is at multiple levels. To use the house-rehab metaphor, it allows the owner to check all his tools and materials to see if they really are spec, it allows him to compare his 'straight' and 'level' to somebody else's 'straight' and 'level'. And if it gets any value for the questionable work product on hand, that is just a bonus, the true gain is getting other people's product to use as a comparison.

Sep 08, 2009 9:53 AM on Pirates Adrift
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: -1

Move the A's to Baltimore and send Angelos to North Jersey. Have MLB take over all the cable rights for NY-NY-NJ and redistribute them. Let Ted Lerner and John Henry over-see the whole thing. As a bonus maybe Wilpon would sell in anger.

Sep 07, 2009 10:10 AM on Setting the Roster
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

They may have agreed already on the players but declined to announce them. Sometimes they agree on a sheet of names from which one team will pick the correct number. Other times, like CC Sabathia's trade, they agree that one player will be picked from a list of two or three by one or the other team based on a future occurrence, like making the playoffs or the traded player's performance in the new home, etc. I believe they can convert any PTBNL to anyone not on the 25 man roster at the time of the trade with mutual consent.

 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

How can you doubt it is Reed? Look at the mayhem in Seattle, it is obvious he snapped about three or four years ago and has been increasing both his intensity and rate since then.

Aug 29, 2009 5:24 PM on Junior Circuit Jumble
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

Overall I agree with thenamestsam, but wasn't there a rule about being worked inside, really close inside, by the pitcher next time he sees you if swing at his 3-0 pitch? There should be.

Aug 05, 2009 4:01 PM on Hack or Hold Up?
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: -1

Without doing any math, I would guess that Washburn would be the player that most increased his new team's chances of winning the series. Is that even remotely accurate?

 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 5

Union College of Louisiana? Never heard of it. There are too many small baseball programs!

 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

I can't see ranking Atlanta's move below the Reds. LaRoche has had some success both in second halves of seasons and in Atlanta. Maybe the hope is that environment and attitude have something to do with his better performances previously. Knowing Kotchman is not the answer, and then getting rid of him for anybody with just a chance to be better (even not a good chance) is a good idea, if only to avoid "Don Wert" syndrome were someone become a fixture where he is nearly good enough. Picking up Rolen is a head scratcher, maybe a personal favor more than a strategic move, but if the Reds are paying as much salary as they seem to be, it is a monkey-wrench for the next year's budget as well, that makes it worse than LaRoche, at least to my thinking.

Aug 01, 2009 1:09 PM on Deadline Day Recap
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: -1

*"without" should have been struck.

Jul 31, 2009 7:02 PM on Deadline Day Action
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

Absolutely. Without Christina's style is what makes Transaction Analysis required reading. It isn't the data, it is the byline and what comes from that.

Jul 31, 2009 7:01 PM on Deadline Day Action
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

My memory is really fouled up, but hasn't Mr.Rubin been accused of being a little bit shaky on the reporter's ethics front before now, and by somebody else? Reporter Prospectus? Tom Shales is probably too busy.

 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 3

Great job on the new format. Question: On season ending injuries, did you give consideration to using the first day of next year's spring training as the return date (or Feb1 or Mar1) instead of the end of the season? I was also wondering if it would be better to split up season ending injuries. As an example an injury in the last half of the season that would allow a player to return in the post-season or return after less than 90 days if the season were to continue because of some seligious whim could be posted as Oct.4, but an injury that required surgery and rehab that would typically take 180 days (or whatever number would be more useful) could be listed as Mar.1.

Jul 27, 2009 10:04 AM on Metastrophe?
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

So, this isn't about deals that turned around a franchise, but your introduction made me think of something else. " it's fair to suggest that the sheer quantity of quality added in the deal has made a significant difference for the Rangers" "Quantity has a quality all its own." I always thought that if your minor leagues featured one or two big prospects they might not develop because they would be treated like the Carolina league version of Barry Bonds, where every plate appearance would become an exercise in watching high and outside pitches sail by. (One of my teachers was a high school baseball coach in Maryland who faced Harold Baines' team, and he threatened to kick anyone who threw Baines a strike off the team.) Quantity forces, or allows, the opposition to play the game, whereas isolation of talent encourages the talent to fester without leveled competition instead of develop... or at least that is my belief. Evidence? How could you know? Is the return of the Rangers minor league as a source of talent an illusion based on the big names they got from Atlanta or is it a demonstration of the wisdom of the old Dodgers method of bringing up cadres of young talent in groups, or just happy coincidence?

Jun 06, 2009 2:13 PM on Super Deals
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

Didn't Bob Montgomery (and others?) used to wear an insert of some kind in their soft caps and under their catchers' masks before the hard hat or hockey mask was mandated? I always thought some kind of goggles (smaller than Jason's goalie mask) would be more protection than a hard hat for pitchers. Is there data on where on the head the pitchers are being struck? Like a crash-test dummy skull with a bull's eye or something?

 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 3

RazorRamon33 "If Dusty doesn't prefer veterans why did I have to watch Neifi Perez come to the plate over 600 times in 2005." Pretty brown eyes? "Stats don't show a guy's guts," Baker said. "They can't tell you the human side, help you recognize fear, or figure out who is having a good day or a bad day. I look at the numbers all the time, but people who play fantasy games don't have to look a guy in the eye or try to help restore his confidence. No not pretty eyes. It is the confidence building part. Looking Perez in the eyes and knowing that if he could just lead off some more days he would get that bat back in gear. The young kid who is hitting almost league average doesn't need that, especially after getting a collar- he needs rest to let that cold streak blow by him; it is the salty vet who has lost a step each way on D and who stops for prune juice on the way to first who needs the manager. Besides, if some phenom gets the MVP everyone credits the kid. But, if Neifi Perez had hit .400 with twenty home runs Baker would be called a genius.... or a chemist or Satan's "Broker of Used Baseball Souls."

Mar 11, 2009 3:32 PM on Spring Dust-Up
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

That isn't Nolasco's picture, it is Santana at an exhibition. Speaking of Santana, how is his arm? Okay, just kidding. My real question is about the 'lack of money leaving the bullpen thin' thing. Is that true? or is that just an excuse trotted out by the last three ownership groups' GMs? Isn't one of the themes of BP that bullpens are to be had on the cheap for those that know where to look?

Mar 09, 2009 8:06 PM on Florida Marlins
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

Andrew, I like the Blake DeWitt idea and the Brewer solutions, both, but I wonder if the Yankees and Dodgers might agree more easily on after Casey Blake instead... more of a one season solution, and makes it even easier to deal Swisher.

 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

It may not be any better, but I\'ll bet it cuts down the manager\'s and bullpen coach\'s Rolaid\'s bill. At least when your consistent guy blows one you don\'t have to wonder if it was because you wore blue socks or quit smoking or changed sunflower seeds brand, you can vow revenge against your GM and ownership for handing you that s.o.b. and know it wasn\'t the stars after all.

Mar 03, 2009 4:19 PM on Adventures in Pitching
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: -3

The real solution is to let Florida buy half of Yankee stadium and YES network and move the Marlins to NY. Then Yankee fans, like the Marlins owner, could be accommodated every day of the season for a reasonable price. Half could watch the NL Yankees and half could watch the AL Yankees. Long Islanders could watch the Mets.

 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

I was saddened to read in the contributors\'s bios that Kevin lives with a wife who hates baseball, her two children, and etc. Time constraints, eh?

Feb 23, 2009 3:31 PM on August 22-30, 2001
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

This is confusing. Cruz can be signed by anyone at the cost of a draft pick. -Except Arizona can sign him, since they lost him, and not lose a draft pick. Cruz can always accept a trade. So the problem isn\'t the sign and trade, the problem is the sign and got stuck with Cruz. The D\'backs want to be able to sign Cruz to a ten-day option to trade him, but not be on the hook for millions if it doesn\'t work out. I don\'t see anything wrong with a player allowing himself to be traded, allowing the teams to pretend that players are free agents when the only way they can change teams is to sign for less and beg for transfers is a bad thing.

Feb 18, 2009 4:20 PM on Changing the Game?
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: -2

The only thing worse than government financed stadiums (stadia?... probably but sounds effete) is local politicians who can\'t stay bought. What is the country coming to when whatever payoffs the Marlins had in place suddenly don\'t count for anything with the board? Same thing happened in DC. The council met several times with a deal done only to unravel it. Instead of a free agent Loria should buy another moving van. Miami would be a great place for a AA team.

Feb 15, 2009 6:44 PM on August 15-21, 2001
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: -1

I\'ve already forgot the answer: Why don\'t the Angels want Jake Peavy? and/or Adrian Gonzalez? If they\'re talking \'fire sale\' down south, why can\'t the Angels buy? I can see thinking Dunn and Abreu are not for you (not that I would agree, but see ) but what is it that the Cubs have that locks them into Peavy? Not pictures of the x2bMrs. Moores? Haven\'t the Cubs dealt the rumored Padre-bound players?

 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 4

\"basically does no penalties = no rules?\" Absolutely. These players are rewarded immensely for mere fractions of differences in their play. If you are not willing to make your own mother at least shed a tear you aren\'t professional enough to play for money. When Gaylord Perry was pitching that was part of his effort- to get away with as much skulduggery as he could, to get as many outs as he could before he got caught or lit up. P.E.Ds are not as entertaining as Perry was, but if MLB wants them gone, then let them put up some penalties. \"No penalties\" means the rule is BS from the PR department. Professionalism isn\'t about sport, it is about winning.

 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

Horse acne is easier to hide.

 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

Manny to the Yanks for the major league minimum?

Jan 28, 2009 12:26 PM on Catching Up
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

I had exactly the same reaction! It seems like a perfect fit. Could Vladie G be moving to 1B? Morales seems more like a distraction than a prospect at this point.

Jan 25, 2009 3:23 PM on Comings and Goings
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: -1

Keith Olbermann is intentionally iconoclastic and outspoken. That may have been pure schtick over at Bristol\'s cable venture, probably some of it still is in Secaucus- whether over Monica or Scooter or Dick Trickle. That is the point. It is only the irritation of doubt that disturbs settled paths of thought which allows education or new information to enter our heads. You have to subject what you know that is so to the outrageous accusations of idiots and crazy people in order to test it fully if you are ever going to find out what isn\'t so that you already know. (Or something like that- John Dewey and Mark Twain said it better and more quotably.) Olbermann is a good choice to stir up the muck where brains are supposed to be. I might never think of giving him an invite to a quiet dinner, but he\'ll probably be stimulating... just like his name has been in this comment thread.

Jan 23, 2009 7:07 PM on Andy Pratt
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 1

The only thing I don\'t see addressed is the \"throw day\" question. As I understand it, starting pitchers throw on one of their days between starts. If Harang had already thrown Dusty looks like a total tool, but if the question is between having a veteran \"innings eater\" (past the \"injury nexus\"?) throw during a live game in lieu of in the bull-pen versus having a youngster on a strict pitch count (per season or per game) take an extra turn, the Baker decision looks better. Of course Cueto got plenty of abuse, so I don\'t guess that is much of a defense, but then again, I am not a big Baker fan either.

 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

Did Upton hit better because he didn\'t have to play defense so much, and can Pie be a better player wasting his glove in left field? Is that part of not asking players too much on the defensive side?

Jan 20, 2009 10:09 AM on Cubby Quartet
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

Christina, That was an excellent article. I really enjoy your ability to explain how such trades can benefit each team, especially when neither team is looking for the \'final piece of the puzzle\'. Kenny Williams has made some comments about things like that-- how \"winning a trade\" can be a misleading concept. Maybe one day you could do a Bob Woodward style \" year in the life\" of an organization/GM by following Williams and his staff \'off the record\' for a set duration, then off to best-seller land?

 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

Game One is Wednesday 10-22. As they say: Check your local listings for the time in your area.

Oct 21, 2008 9:25 AM on Rays versus Phillies
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 0

Hendersons vice Henerdons Henerdons? No previews eh?

Sep 18, 2008 9:58 AM on Down to the Wire
 
joel3green
(19524)
Comment rating: 1

Todd Cruz (ss) and Julio Cruz (2b) for Seattle in 83. Seattle also had a pair of Henerdons in the outfield, and a potential battery of Nelsons. [ Early days of automation, maybe they ran out of last name spaces on the database.]

Sep 18, 2008 9:56 AM on Down to the Wire