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davelamb
40 comments | 80 total rating | 2.00 average rating
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Baseball Prospectus http://bbp.cx/i/1911
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

Travis Wood -- a potential soon-to-be newcomer to Value Picks in the Rotation? I apologize, I'm at work and can't check ownership levels and lack the patience to ask this question when I get home tonight. I blame society.

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 1

Show of hands.... does anyone think Nathan is worth hanging onto in a 14 team mixed league with 4 bench spots and a DL spot, where approximately 290 guys are rostered at any one time? I'm not really hurting at any position...

Apr 22, 2011 10:32 AM on Leaving on a Jed Plane
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 3

I am contemplating some trades because I do have one new piece of information I didn't have at the start of the draft: how my draft went. You draft players lacking the knowledge of how the rest of the draft is going to go. For example, I picked up Juan Pierre with the 221st pick. Juan Pierre wasn't in my plans, but his value was too great at that point of the draft, so I grabbed him. Now I'm looking to see if I can use him to get guys I targeted but missed.

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

The seven-year, $126 million contract is no longer relevant. That money isn't coming back as far as the Giants are concerned. The only relevant question is whether or not Zito is going to be good enough to merit a spot in the Giants' rotation.

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 1

I'm not sure what the point of showing how a team ranks in runs scored per game across all of MLB, unless you're playing fantasy. Apples & oranges. Good thing the Giants were ranked 4th in MLB last year in run differential. http://www.sbnation.com/mlb/2011/2/22/2008069/does-pitching-and-defense-really-win-championships

Mar 11, 2011 8:54 AM on The Giants Stand Pat
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

Yes and no. Because they have so much MLB service time, Cain and Lincecum are already fairly expensive. Young, awesome, pricey talents in the years to come.

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 14

Can you explain to me how this article "poisoned the pizza" for you? Has the baseball performance analysis you come to this site for been degraded in some way?

Feb 11, 2011 9:43 AM on Slash Lines
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 1

And with Springer's retirement, there's one fewer MLB player who's older than me (born August 1970). It's down to a few guys. Mariano Rivera, Omar Vizquel, Tim Wakefield, Arthur Rhodes, Matt Stairs, Takashi Saito. Jim Edmonds is expected to retire. Here's hoping Jamie Moyer can come back.....

Feb 01, 2011 10:24 AM on Springer Springs Eternal
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

Cuddyer only put up a .271/.336/.417 in 2010. Was his positional flexibility that much of an asset last year? Did those numbers meet or exceed replacement level for 1b, 3b, or OF? Or is he still an asset when you have one guy that can be replacement level at all those positions (and 2b)?

Jan 14, 2011 2:37 PM on Thome Sits Still
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 8

Ridiculous. When you focus only on the negative, of course it sounds bad. Let's flip it around. Huff had a great 2010 and a pretty solid career Burrell has 285 carrer home runs Jonathan Sanchez threw a no-hitter in 2009, and had a 3.09 ERA with 200+ Ks in 2010 Andres Torres had 67 extra base hits in 2010 with stellar defense Pablo Sandoval, while struggling this year, was an all-star just last season Vladimir Gurrerro is a potential future hall of famer Nelson Cruz hit 33 HR last year and had a .950 OPS in an injury shorted 2010 Colby Lewis had a great 2010 season Josh Hamilton - your 2010 AL MVP So what you have is this combination of players that are either (a) currently or (b) very recently World Series-caliber players. And these are just some of the players Bennett denigrates. I'm not sure how you can write this article and ignore the fact that with Tim Lincecum and Cliff Lee, this series had the winners of 3 of the last 4 Cy Young awards.

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 3

So you're hoping for David Bell?

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 12

For goodness sake, Christina is providing us with a very insightful analysis, and turning it around quickly when we are hungry for it and while it is still relevant. Will everyone please excuse the occasional error on these types of stories? BP is a small, decentralized operation.

Oct 28, 2010 8:41 AM on Game One Analysis
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 2

I would trust Velez to score from second on a basehit. I would also trust him to get picked off of first base. The other problem with having Velez on the roster is that Bochy would be tempted to have him play defense.

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 1

I was originally critical of Bochy here as well, but Bochy's thought process might have been: Tie Game = Burrell stays in for his bat, so no pinch runner Giants Lead = Schierholz comes in for Defense Question is, is that a defensible thought process?

Oct 12, 2010 10:05 AM on LDS Day Six Wrapup
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

Christina -- only 10 pitchers for a 5 game series? How would the Giants possibly cope? You're preaching to the choir here. I see the Phillies and the Rangers did go with only 10 pitchers on their roster. The Phillies have the benefit that their 5 game series is scheduled to take place over 8 days... their game one and game two starters could both start games 4 & 5 on 4 days rest. Hey, I'm just happy the Giants got it down to 11 pitchers. I'm still bitter about the 2003 SF-FLA NLDS ending with JT Slow er-Snow being thrown out at home trying to score from second on a base hit. Fla 7, Giants 6. 12 Giant pitchers on the roster that series.

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

Fontenot is probably on the roster because Freddy Sanchez has been dealing with an injured right shoulder.

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 2

The home plate ump was also trying to do his best Enrico Palazzo impersonation with some of those delayed emphatic strike calls.

Oct 04, 2010 12:43 PM on Closure
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 1

I'm kind of hoping that the silver lining to the Giants' loss on Saturday is that Zito watches the NLDS from the bench

Oct 04, 2010 8:22 AM on Closure
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 3

No, because I have seen the issue raised several times around the media and blogosphere, usually couched in the cowardly "Someone should be asking the question". http://deadspin.com/5620702/and-here-come-the-jose-bautista-steroid-accusations

Oct 01, 2010 9:29 AM on Achieving WARP Speed
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 1

True story... Last night I had a dream that Sabean resigned Burrell for 4 years / $64 million. I'm not joking.

Sep 27, 2010 11:47 AM on Dodgers, Padres, Giants
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 1

Honorable mention for Pat Burrell, added by the Giants in June? Am I reading correctly that he's had a 16.6 VORP?

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

Is Smoak currently too good/widely owned or not good enough for the Value Picks discussion?

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

I've got #1 waiver priority in my league. Who do I drop for Smoak -- looking for overall 5x5 production? Maybin, Gardner, Rasmus, none of the above. (I also have Cuddyer & can play him at 1b/OF)

Apr 23, 2010 12:57 PM on Smoak Monster Cometh
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

When your heart's on fire, you must realize, Smoak gets RBIs.

Apr 23, 2010 11:52 AM on Smoak Monster Cometh
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 2

I think the popular term is "Socialist"

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

Is the point of "Hot Spots" to highlight changes in BP's playing time assumptions during the month of March? If that's the case, I love the concept of you guys calling them out instead of forcing me to find them. Again, assuming this is the point of Hot Spots -- are you just going to call out changes that you find interesting, or are you going to call out all the significant changes?

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 2

The important thing to remember is that this is evaluating Sabean '97-'99. He traded for Jeff Kent before the 97 season, and Kent was good in '97 and great in '98/'99. Sabean also didn't do anything monumentally stupid during that time. Hell, even trading for J.T. Snow before the 97 season turned out well in 97 and 99.

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

I drafted Encarnacion and Beltre fairly late into my draft and thought I had good value and coverage at 3b w/help at the Utility slot. That didn't work out so well.

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 2

Christina -- I'm not sure why you focused so much of your analysis of the Brad Penny signing on Jonathan Sanchez. I don't think anyone has suggested that the Giants are thinking of Penny as anything other than a 5th starter. Penny is an $80,000 replacement for Joe Martinez, and IMHO that's the basis on which this signing should be evaluated.

Sep 01, 2009 10:09 PM on Final Answers
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 1

I can't see Brad Penny or Randy Johnson pushing Jonathan Sanchez or Barry Zito out of the Giants rotation given the way that Zito & Sanchez have been pitching in the second half.

Sep 01, 2009 10:53 AM on Thinking Big
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 4

Ditto on the comments on Bengie Molina. That "pretty decent hitter" is sporting a .280 OBP and a .243 EQA this season. That scout must see nothing but the 15 HRs.

Aug 19, 2009 10:48 AM on Midweek Update
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 10

Wait -- we haven't gotten Kevin's opinion on "Worse contract- Soriano or Zito?"

Aug 06, 2009 4:31 PM on Another Viewpoint
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 3

Jeff Kent, Ellis Burks, & Jason Schmidt were all strong trades made by Sabean. Has he made any bad trades other than the one truly famous one? It's his free agent signings that get him into trouble. That and his inability to develop position players.

Jul 28, 2009 1:59 PM on Going For It
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

Mike Krukow won 20 games in '86.

Jul 10, 2009 12:18 PM on All-Star Obscurities
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 1

Great stuff. Good point on BABIP causing the extreme performances to regress. Although it's going to be harder for Chris Young to get a BABIP bounce when he's striking out in 29% of his ABs, and harder still for Kelly Johnson and Magglio Ordonez to do it from the bench.

Jul 07, 2009 9:30 AM on Hitting Performances
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

Mr. Fox, there is a 1b job waiting for you in San Francisco..... somebody wake up Sabean.

Apr 29, 2009 9:43 AM on
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

I was at that game too. You can hardly say it was "threatening" rain..... it rained earlier that day. It's not surprising that there were no walk-up ticket sales for a 4:05 pm game on a rainy day and that some season ticket holders stayed home -- especially since many of those season ticket holders certainly went to opening day and maybe game #2 as well. Also, you don't have to pay $30 for parking. There were independent lots 2 blocks from the stadium charging $20. There are cheaper lots if you're winning to walk a little. Or go to a night game -- street parking is free after 6pm if you know where to park. The point is... there are always cheaper options if you want to go to a game.

 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

I can see it clearly... Manny to the Giants, Manny gets them the NL West, Lincecum gets them the ring. What am I missing?

Jan 28, 2009 1:51 PM on Catching Up
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 0

Clearly the BBL (Birthday Baseball League) cannot support 365 teams. I call for the contraction of February. If you want a real challenge, try February 29. Any team with Terrance Long as their third-best player is going to struggle: http://www.baseball-reference.com/friv/birthdays.cgi?month=2&day=29

Jan 08, 2009 11:47 AM on July 30, 2001
 
davelamb
(1911)
Comment rating: 1

Mountainhawk.... I don\'t want to hear it. You got your championship.

Nov 20, 2008 12:46 PM on 5,715