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It's nice to know Rick Hahn has a BP account!
I agree completely with this. Boras often gets flack for waiting and what not, but consistently, his clients get both above-market contracts and also contracts that more accurately reflect their value. He has also done extensions from time to time when the player asks him to - I think he was Weaver's agent, IIRC.
To defend Zach a bit, looking up and posting the slash lines for 40+ prospects would probably add an additional hour to producing this article. That seems like a lot when you consider that that information is available with a click of the prospect's name, assuming the database is linking to the right player.
Kuroda is on a one-year deal, per ESPN's reporting when he signed the contract, so I imagine he might get a bit of a better return than what the White Sox got for Peavy.
Moving Granderson wouldn't get much back in return, since he's injured and hasn't played this year, unless the Yankees just think he's cooked and want to move him before anyone else releases it. However, even trying to move him would probably be a tip-off that they think this way. He's 31, but as long as he can play center he's probably a valuable player and worth keeping around.
According to Ken Rosenthal, interest in Phil Hughes is comically low: https://twitter.com/Ken_Rosenthal/status/361938949003943936 - If they Yankees are willing to pay his salary, maybe they can dump him just for the sake of dumping him, but otherwise I doubt anyone is interested.
Also, I imagine that if they couldn't agree on compensation, they could probably go to arbitration, either with the league office or someone independent, kind of similar to how salary disputes work.
This was a great read, and the subtle "Community" plugs only made it better. I would eagerly read about teams No. 2 through 5, if you wanted to make this a series.
Sometimes the typos make this more enjoyable for me, because I'm secretly only about 13. Like the Lincecum comment:
He has got to come to grips to the fact that his staff isn’t what it once was.
Eh, really? Looking at the Red Sox forays into free agency in the same time span, and it doesn't really help your argument.
It's weird to see Jurrjens' name pop up as essentially a "let's see if he can stick on the roster" signing, but I guess he's always been one of those guys with more name value than actual value in my mind. Looking at his line, his last full season was 2009, and the past three years weren't especially great despite a flukey ERA in 2011.
Wilton Veras has been waiting in the wings to make a comeback for years now.
Maybe it just seems like a recent thing, but the new obsession with down-ballot choices puzzles me. Keith Law still gets flack to this day from St. Louis fans because he didn't have Adam Wainwright high enough on his ballot one year... and they weren't even complaining that he should win.
The one thing I always wondered about Nishioka was whether the broken leg permanently affected him or not. Then again, maybe it's just because I was a frustrated fantasy owner, annoyed that I hadn't lucked into a "rookie" keeper. Did the scouting reports on him change before and after the leg injury? From the interest level shown in him before, it seems like that's the case.
To be fair, it's kind of a weird and arbitrary award, so it's tough to evaluate in my mind - kind of like voting to the All-Star game. Do you reward a guy with a limited peak, who might not be a future All-Star, but who's having a great year and played 162 games? Or do you go for the guy who played half a year and put up great rate stats, but has less counting numbers?
This year, obviously Mike Trout trumps everyone else in both categories. But in other years, the field is normally more open for debate, and unlike the other awards, the pool of players for RotY is very limited. Hence, you get stuff like Todd Hollandsworth as RotY. (I just kind of picked his name out of thin air as a "bad" award winner, I can't remember who he won it against.)
I was kind of surprised that Marty Cordova was that high, but then again, I mostly remember him from his Red Sox days in my youth. Mike Trout is a monster that scoffs at petty human baubles and awards.
Jesus, this seems like a ridiculously dire stance to take, especially when the Rays are competing year in and year out on a $50M to $100M payroll, and the Orioles and Pirates have managed to come back from the dead - finally - to be competitors this year. In baseball and sports in general, no team is ever dead. The freakin' Clippers are still alive.
KG, any chance that Hultzen is just fatigued at this point...? I imagine that fatigue - whether physical or mental - might effect different prospects in different ways, so maybe he's losing command and control as he gets tired as opposed to MPH and bite on his pitches.
I think it's tough to split whether the Twins obsession with crappy futility infielders has been on Gardenhire or Twins' management. At the very least, it seems like those two are in step with one another, and the same goes for the pitching staff's reliance on guys who can't break a pane of glass with their fastball.
Also, I think Bobby Valentine is showing this year that there is some value to just being able to not wear out your welcome. Gardenhire might not be the world's best tactician, but I also haven't heard stories about him pissing off the entire clubhouse. (Then again, I'm on the East Coast and basically just read my local papers and BP, so maybe all the players do hate him and I haven't heard anything about it.)
1) Those scouting reports on Stanton and the Twins made me chuckle with delight.
2) Even anonymous scouts are crapping all over Bobby Valentine, yikes. It'll be comical in the next five days when we get the anonymous report from a source inside the Valentine household that says he doesn't put the lid down, and does not recycle.
3) This is an incredibly lazy comparison based on last name and trade history, but is Hanley essentially the Manny of shortstops? He'll play hard for his new team for a couple of years, get dealt or leave via free agency, and repeat. Obviously, he has much less of a track record than ole Manny.
That paragraph on Rendon is magical. It's something that even Kove could be proud of - It's about 97 percent Kove. If it was any more Kove, we'd all go blind reading it.
Jason, any chance that Beckham could move back to shortstop if he was in a different organization? Obviously, the White Sox are kind of set at the position, but the bat would play better at shortstop if he could still handle that position for another organization.
I think the best reaction is that of Wilin Rosario, who's catching, who essentially and immediately says, "Oh ****!"
Greene only ever got a full season of ABs once, but through 750 ABs, JPA has a slash line of 224 / 276 / 444. Green's career slash line through 1,573 AB was 252 / 286 / *drum roll* 444. That's a pretty nice spot by you.
I don't think that Arencibia and d'Arnaud are ever on the same team for that long. They both strike me as clear starting-level caliber talents, so I imagine the Jays will try to move one of them in the offseason, given that teams are always looking for catchers, or guys who can fake it.* For that reason, you still need a back-up, although I agree with Sam that this seems like a lot of cash, even for a unicorn.
* I realize that Arencibia's statistics are actually pretty poor, but those home runs will probably coerce someone into being interested in him, and hey, he improved his BA by 20 points this year! His OBP has amazingly still managed to drop despite this, and his power is done as well, but you know, homers are shiny.
Question though - What is a proper "bullpen prospect"? I think it's KG who said that there are closer-level prospects and everyone else, and the "everyone else" can be veterans or prospect starters that you convert, or even projects like turning a catcher or shortstop with a great arm into a RP.
I think it was either KLaw or KG who only had one relief pitcher - Addison Reed - in their preseason Top 100, which I think gives you an idea of the overall value of them. If I was the Jays, I would have rather just rolled the dice and given Snider 500 ABs in a single season to sink or swim, rather than moving him for a relief arm.
This looks so lonely with no comments. Let me just get one thing off my chest about this episode then... big fan. Andy and Craig were great guests, although I do wonder how often (if at all) people contact him and mistake him for the heavyset man of color from The Office: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Craig_Robinson_%28actor%29
I was also add my theory to the pile on the mattress people, based on my real-life job as a reporter. I agree with both KG and the Professor in that it sounds a lot like drugs, whether it's solely the booze or a dusting in of hillbilly heroin (Oxycodone, painkillers) as well. That would explain the white trash but mellow (i.e. not aggressively ruining the neighborhood) actions.
As far as replacing mattresses, they're not real hard to get if you're dealing with squatters or kind of rundown people - they get stolen from bad apartments, transferred to the flophouse, etc. It is odd though that you never notice the new ones going in.
Finally, if you did want to do some digging, just go to the police station. If they are getting arrested all the time, they're probably in the logs, and you can make a records request. I'm guessing it's just a bunch of warrants for missing court hearings or payments on minor offenses (suspended licenses, child support payments, misdemeanor drugs). If it was actually felony or, say, drunken driving hearings, they'd probably go away for a couple months as opposed to just a few days.
I honestly had no idea Cesar Izturis was still playing baseball. Thanks BP!
According to team defensive efficiency stats, Philly ranks 25th in the majors, and the Dodgers are ninth. That, plus the move to Chavez Ravine, probably will have at least a superficial effect on Blanton's numbers.
The defensive numbers could also explain the discrepancy between his expected and actual ERAs, and the rest of the Philly staff, but I agree with your general point Sam - Blanton probably leads the majors in K:BB ratio because he's just throwing hittable pitches as opposed to losing a guy by nibbling around the edges. It's a good thing the Twins aren't contending, because they'd probably trade Miguel Sano for him.
Josh Rutledge is getting bored of hitting Major League home runs, obviously. He considers it gauche and passe at this point.
His tools go to 11.
I love this "buy low" trade by the Pirates. Maybe Snider never does pan out, but if the cost to acquire him is only a non-closer quality relief pitcher, why not give it a try?
For the Jays, much like the Red Sox and Youkilis situation from a couple months ago, this strikes me as a bit of a sell-low. The other teams involved managed to get intriguing players because the Jays and the Red Sox didn't really have any negotiating power.
I think it helps that they've been quite content to take on the two guys that frustrated other organizations in Youkilis and Liariano (and looking back, assuming risk with Peavy, Rios and others). Also, I do think Kenny Williams has some solid people skills and he obviously must work the phones real hard. While he doesn't always acquire the best players in the world, he always seems to be involved in at least a couple deals each year.
The Pioneer Press has a quote from Terry Ryan on Pedro Hernandez that tells you everything you need to know about the Twins' pitching philosophy:
"'He has enough stuff,' Ryan said. 'He's got a fastball, slider and a change. He throws a lot of strikes, which is good, but I'm not going to say he pitches to contact. No, he doesn't do that. He pitches to get outs.'"
I like that the Twins acquire pitchers who get outs, as opposed to all of those other organizations that waste time getting pitchers who do not get outs.
What is there to say? This seems like a meager haul for Liariano, even if he is a rental, in that at-best you have a utility infielder and a No. 4 or No. 5 starter. (And the Twins already have a breeding program in place in the greater Minnesota area for this anyway, creating cyborg-human hybrids that specialize in throwing 88 to 92 with nice change-ups and meh breaking balls. Oh, you thought Brad Radke retired? Don't be so naive.)
I think it speaks to how soft the AL Central is. None of those teams strike me as world beaters, to the point that before the season, I thought the Cubs had a chance if everything broke right. Not a great chance, but a chance. All of them were basically counting on a few dependable players, then hoping that the lost and misfit toys composition of the rest of their rosters would hold up.
I think it's an appropriate haul, all things considered. Greinke is an elite or near-elite pitcher, so you're probably not going to get him unless you include a few tasty morsels, even if he is a rental. I didn't think the Brewers would be able to get an elite, "Top 10 on KG's list" sort of prospect, so I think they probably leveraged the best they could out of the Angels for Greinke.
And Ozzie doesn't seem like the easiest guy in the world to get along with either. This always smelled to me like a big publicity move for the first year that would probably flame out within three years. But hey, that would just make him like 90 percent of managers.
That's all well and good, except where you ignore the part where KG talks to scouts about these guys normally.
Eh, I'd put Bonderman more in the "no" category. I remember him being a better pitcher than he was, since his lowest ERA was 4.08 in a full year, and his highest single season WAR was 2.9, in that same 2006 season. He also had a good postseason that year, but outside of that year, he was essentially... Rick Porcello.
Well, except that according to the people KG talks to, he hasn't made a ton of progress. His numbers might be superficially better, but for example, in those five games he only struck out 23 in 31 innings while allowing 21 hits. That's OK, but if you're a scout watching the guy throw 95, then you probably are wondering, "Why isn't he better?"
I really hope that Ichiro embraces the heel role, like Hulk Hogan. You know, coming out in a Mariners' uniform, pretending like the trade was just a rumor, then tearing it off to reveal a Yankees' uniform. We need more cartoon villainy in baseball.
Side note: The wrestling analogy at the top is also fitting because tonight is the 1,000th episode of WWE/WWF Raw.
I'm kind of surprised too, just because Turner has pitched pretty poorly this year, and at least from the outside looking in, the Tigers haven't done a great job developing pitching prospects in recent years.
- Turner's AAA ERA was good, 3.16, but it took him a while to even pitch this year because of injury, and either KG or Keith Law said that the reports they were getting on him weren't that good. His K rate also fell from 7.6 to 6.1. It almost makes you worry if he's another...
- Rick Porcello. He's another guy who was a highly regarded Detroit prospect, but who's never had a full season ERA below 3.96. In another deal with Miami / Florida a couple years ago, the Tigers sent them Andrew Miller, who also never developed.
- Looking at the Tigers' SP from 2011 and 2012, minimum of 10 GS: That Verlander guy is pretty great, but he was drafted #2 overall in 2004, almost a decade ago. Scherzer came up with Arizona. Phil Coke was drafted and developed by the Yankees, and didn't stick in the rotation anyway. Brad Penny and Doug Fister were vets acquired in trades or via free agency. Drew Smyly has pitched OK in the rotation, but is probably replaced via this trade, and KG put his ceiling as a No. 4 starter before the year.
My day job is as a reporter, and it's funny to see Scioscia turn the question back on him... But then Simers' response is just so ridiculously unprofessional and stupid. That might be the real reason, and I imagine it is, but man...
The initial question he asks isn't great either, but if he did care about doing a decent job, it's easy enough to support via some follow-up statements. "Well, I'm a reporter, so I don't personally care. But a lot of people who read my column are fans, and they want to know if this game could be a turning point or critical test in the season, or if it's just Game X of 162."
That would make for a great Polish / Eastern European law firm, although it's a bit wordy for a sign.
While the hit tool might be in question, there is no doubting that Hazelbaker is a fine name. In fact, I might give a future child that as a first name, if the wife decides to veto Roughened or Callix.
This was awesome guys
The #want made me warm in pants
He's been on the disabled list since late June. He's in high-A, and before the injury, he was playing OK, nothing special. (He's on my injured reserved in a deep fantasy league.)
I posted this on another thread a couple weeks ago, but YouTube has a bunch of awesome videos of Hamilton. One that I found of an inside the park home run from last year: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2RTN3-RfgI&feature=related
That speed is just downright scary. Yes, the outfielders looked like they had problems fielding the ball because of how bad the field conditions were, but that looks like a ball that's a double, MAYBE a triple for most players. Hamilton beats the throw home pretty easily. One of the commentators has him at about 13 seconds on that one too.
Listen, there's no need to be coy. Tell us how you really feel.
Michael, I agree completely with you. The day after and before the All-Star game are pretty dead from a sports perspective, whereas the Sunday that the Futures game is actually on normally has to compete with regular season baseball, NASCAR and Wimbledon. I have no idea why they just don't have it a day after or before the game, and maybe in the next media contract, you can con FOX into broadcasting it.
I couldn't find an example of how teams treat him on-base in the first couple of clicks on YouTube, but here's him hitting an inside-the-park home run last year: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2RTN3-RfgI&feature=related
That speed is just downright scary. Yes, the outfielders looked like they had problems fielding the ball because of how bad the field conditions were, but that looks like a ball that's a double, MAYBE a triple for most players. Hamilton beats the throw home pretty easily.
Maybe Oliver Perez was hangin' out with Kobe and A-Rod in Germany this past year?
Dear Sam, I enjoyed this post. It made me smile as much as when teammates try to touch Adrian Beltre's head. (From their perspective, not his.)
It's impossible for me to think of Chase Headley without thinking of this: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hedley_Lamarr
Nava and Cody Ross don't really have much trade value, given their age and small sample size issues. I imagine the Red Sox would rather keep Nava in AAA as insurance than trade him for peanuts, and I doubt Cody Ross is in hot demand.
Kevin, does Lavarnway hit enough to be an option for the Red Sox at DH in the future? Has the defense gotten any better this year? At the end of the 2011 season, I thought the evaluation on him was that he probably couldn't stick at catcher.
He'll be less impressive if he doesn't improve from here, but since he plays shortstop, he'll still be very valuable. Sure, I think any Hall of Fame talk is moot if he moves off short, but what I think Sam was trying to point out is just how important getting an early start is to Hall of Fame chances.
It's rare for a player as young as Castro to be in the majors, never mind holding his own with a .300+ average. He's not a real sexy player from a statistics standpoint, and it sounds like he's infuriating to watch from a fan standpoint at times, but he's still incredibly valuable. He's on pace for about a 4 WARP this year, which would give him about 9 WARP for his first three years. Assuming he plays until 35 and doesn't improve or regress, that alone gives him a WARP of about 45. That puts him within spitting distance of guys like Trammell (53.6) and Larkin (60.9).
(Note: Complete sarcasm.)
What's the timetable for Marrero???
KEVIN YOUKILIS TOOK OUR JORBS!
Everyone in the world knew the Red Sox were over a barrel in terms of playing time unless one of the three (Youkilis, Gonzalez or Middlebrooks) got hurt. In similar situations, I don't think most teams have gotten good returns. I don't think either of the players the Red Sox got will help them, and the move is probably being done primarily to 1) minimize the chance things go nuclear in the Red Sox clubhouse with a complaining Youkilis and/or 2) to make sure there are no threats to Middlebrooks' confidence as "the guy" with a capable replacement just lurking there on the bench.
However, the trade doesn't give me a ton of confidence in the Red Sox front office going forward. They may have let Epstein go, but their moves since then suggest to me that he wasn't necessarily the one making panic free agent signings and rash personnel decisions in the first place. Their off-season moves (trading for Bailey and Melancon, signing Punto, moving Bard to the rotation) haven't been winners yet either.
According to the Metrowest Daily News (MA), he's rehabbing with the Roughnecks right now: http://www.metrowestdailynews.com/news/x1040016290/Neighbors-worried-about-proposed-Northborough-baseball-facility
They appear to be a college development / prep team, with teams from U13 to U18: http://www.neruffnecks.org/
Speaking as a reporter, the mutation of names is one of my daily annoyances. At least baseball doesn't have to deal with female names in player transactions - the various forms of Meg / Meghan / Megan / Magehan, Haley / Haylee / Hailey, etc.
I think as BPKevin points out, usually if a prospect isn't included, it means they didn't have a great night, or at least one that caught the eye. It doesn't necessarily mean they've bottomed out - KG normally will do an article a week, or every two weeks, about guys in deep slumps. But I also think he's said in the past that he doesn't have quotas for teams, and teams with weaker farm systems might not get a guy mentioned for days.
If you're so pessimistic about their chances regardless of the management change, why bother commenting then?
You could read and just not respond. I know it's an alien concept for you, but many of us manage to do it on many other articles :D (Comment meant in playful jest.)
I believe that in the most recent episode of the podcast, they said he was around 91 to 93, and one blog had him at 90 to 93 according to Keith Law.
Don't forget Wily Mo Pena. If PECOTA has a blind spot, it tends to be toward patient power hitters in the minors. Scouts can probably analyze that they have too much of a body issue or can't hit a breaking ball, but minor league pitchers can't exploit that enough, whereas PECOTA probably doesn't have enough data to make that call.
This, plus, teams always seem reluctant to trade their own prospects for other prospects, since they figure they have better intel on their guys vs. the other teams. (I think KG or Keith Law mentioned this in a chat at one point.) Elite / very good prospect for prospect trades seldom seem to happen, even when the guy is blocked - you're normally trading the hot prospect in a package for an established major league guy instead.
Sorry - Must have looked at the wrong games played numbers for him on BR, my bad.
However, I don't think bringing up those other players helps Canseco's cause. Strawberry and Ramirez had / have a litany of issues... and they still got more chances than Canseco. I don't think I'm going out on a limb by saying that Canseco comes off as such an insufferable prick that that is probably why his career ended early, even more so than everyone but (off the top of my head) Barry Bonds and Albert Belle. It's also probably not a coincidence that he jumped from team to team while he was a player, and not in the humorous-in-reflection way like Rickey Henderson.
Well, except that if his post-baseball career is any indication, he's not exactly a positive influence in the clubhouse, which is normally what marginal hit-only DHs need to be. Even overlooking all the steroids stuff, Canseco has done his best to become the baseball version of Mike Tyson. Deadspin had a pretty good takedown of him in 2008: http://deadspin.com/372409/chasing-jose-by-pat-jordan (warning, NSFW language)
You also left out his GP totals from those last three years: 37, 61 and 76, plus 18 at AAA in 2002. In 2002, he hit .172 in AAA in 18 games, and then began his hinterlands career.
Let's not get so crazy about Youkilis here. He is on the wrong side of 30 and hasn't been able to stay healthy the past couple of years. While I think it's unlikely that he gets Wally Pipp-ed, it wouldn't be the most insane thing ever.
But he has WACKY facial hair!!! That's so funny, like when a guy is dating two girls, and they BOTH show up at the same restaurant!
I'm sure there are, but I'm always happy for those people. It's easier for me to just smile, nod my head and ignore all of their other idiotic statements from that point on.
"Eric Chavez is like my mom’s couch pillows. They’re both good-looking, rarely used, and mostly for display."
This is a wonderful pair of sentences both in and out of context.
That's a good question, Bill! Hopefully KG and Parkes see this, and maybe they can discuss it on the podcast a bit. Personally, I've always wondered if part of the reason why some of the more hyped Angels (Wood) and Yankees prospects have faltered a bit in the past, because they've been blocked at the Major League level.
Wasn't that partially hype and circumstance though too? While it had guys like Piazza, he was a bit of a lucky, 50th-plus round pick, and the system was otherwise churning out decent-but-not-superstar players like Eric Karros and Todd Hollandsworth, IIRC. You might mean before that though, like late 1970s and 1980s, of which I'm even less familiar with.
Speaking as someone who does do this journalism thing for a living, you did well Jason.
Well, the rap on Hanley was also that he had some attitude problems in the minors, whereas with Montero I think it was more him being bored and/or injured.
I think Morris was mostly done by the early to mid-90s anyway. By that point, he was plying his trade for the St. Paul Saints.
Probably not. I mean, as the article references, they're pretty good buddies though. There are plenty of other headache / challenge trades they could have done - AJ Burnett and John Lackey (although he's out for the year) are eminently available.
I think KG or Parkes has said on the podcast that the commissioner's offices of both leagues really frown on that sort of behavior. Meaning, I think if a team submitted a bid they didn't think was in good faith, they'd probably just pocket it and/or fine the team afterward.
Since Olerud clearly isn't a Hall of Famer by JAWS or BBWAA standards, why is it such a travesty that he's off the ballot already? It's not like he acquires Schrute Bucks or an increased pension each year he survives on the ballot. Then again, I've never understood the fuss some people have about guys staying on the ballot when no one thinks they're a Hall of Famer - it's a sort of manufactured debate to me, like when there is consternation about down-ballot Cy Young and MVP finishers.
I think he played a couple games in center for the Sox. He does have a really good arm, but he's more of an OK runner than a speed guy, so I think his range would be lacking in center. Maybe league average out there, which would help his bat play, but not a plus defender like he would be in right.
They have a good chunk of young talent? Outside of Adam Jones and maybe Matt Wieters, it's safe to say all of their regulars are at or near their peak. Their pitching leaves a bit more to hope and dream on, and you have a bit in the farm (Machado), but they're still a distant fifth in the East to me, given the strength of Blue Jays farm and the three established teams ahead of them.
Uh, did you ever actually watch him? While the numbers were OK, by gods, he was like Steve Traschel out there. His motto seemed to be, "Why finish a guy at 0-2 when I still have three balls to throw?"
If Kemp has decent representation at all though, they probably point out that it isn't fair market value for him. That's about a $7 million per year discount. The $100+ million sounds nice, and there are precautionary tales like Nomar out there, but at least IMO, most truly elite players like Kemp seem to properly value their own talents.
I think the issue is defense. He had 37 errors in 2010, and 24 this year. That's not that great, even with the caveat that errors aren't everything. Pretty much every report I've read on his defense has been iffy, kind of like Montero in New York and Lavarnway for Boston.
It could "work" in the way that Florida has stumbled into a decent way of compensating players by being cheapskates. They sign up superstars (Josh Johnson, Hanley Ramirez) and let anyone else walk once they get to or through arbitration.
As a result, they always have younger players, and typically you have more volatility from younger players. That means some 70-92 seasons, but also a chance at some 92-70 seasons if you get some outlier performances. Either way, you're not spending a ton on payroll and the owners are probably pocketing plenty of revenue money.
Wow, I had never noticed that Kyle Kendrick had only managed 3.2 innings in the playoffs, all in 2007. Since then, he's managed to start 66 games for the Phillies, and as Jay mentions the Phillies have made it to the playoffs most of those years.
The only comparable guy I can think of off the top of my head is Tim Wakefield, who has had less than 10 innings pitching in the playoffs since 2007. It takes a special combination to be good enough to be a team's No. 4 or 5 throughout the year, good enough to be maintained multiple years, but of no real use on a postseason roster.
That would be my guess as well - Ortiz for a year, maybe two. If he wants a lot more or refuses to sign a short-term contract, then maybe they go with Lavarnway or someone else. Still, I wonder if they look at what the Yankees did with Montero and worry if he'll just stagnate if left at AAA for a year.
I think it would be much more likely that Ryan Lavarnway is installed as the DH, given the knocks on his defense at catcher, and because he is a beast of a human being.
Considering that he had good years at 35 and 36, then ceased being a productive player, I'm not sure that's the greatest solution.
I think that part of it is that a couple years ago, Wiki decided to focus on being more of an encyclopedia instead of a repertoire of all things knowledge. As a result, a bunch of pages were just pruned to the Most Important Details, as opposed to cataloging everything someone had done. Sports subjects can kind of be off Wiki's radar, whereas comic books, video games and other Internet popular subjects were heavily pruned.
"The food here sucks! And such small portions too!"
To add to the litany of sad injuries, I tore something in my shoulder playing air hockey. Just stretched too far, and ouch.
What are his options? We've gone from one front office using his playbook to a bunch of them, and the ones that are have more money to throw at people. He has gone after some good players - Furcal, Beltre - and been rebuffed, and his superstar 1B (Giambi) didn't want to re-sign, and Chavez became the Mr. Glass of Oakland. If we're charting the fall of Billy Beane, I think it comes down to several factors without even getting into his own performance:
1) Oakland isn't a high revenue team.
2) The Rangers have gotten more competitive.
3) While not having an optimal management team, the Angels are still competitive enough.
4) There has been a rise of a stats-and-scouting guys, a la Epstein in Boston, AA in Toronto, the TBA braintrust, etc. that have cut into Beane's advantage.
My strongest memory of Happ has nothing to do with his pitching. In every chat over at ESPN for a certain period, it felt like Keith Law was getting crap from Philly fans for claiming that Happ was a flash in the pan, and that they should sell high on him.
Mac and Charlie agree with you. I'm thinking this could be a great comeback vehicle for him, as long as there is a lot of full-frontal nudity and penetration involved.
Also, IIRC, don't the minor leagues have different schedules than the majors? From just a quick glance at that, it doesn't seem like a ton of West Coast teams played, so maybe it was a travel or off-day of some sort, or rain canceled a slew of games.
Matt Purke is still alive? From the scouting descriptions on him, I had thought his hand had been severed from his body, as if he had been dueling his father, Darth Vader.
I agree. The Mets with Alderson have been better, but I feel like they're still hamstrung by horrible ownership. They're in a huge, huge media market, and a decently-run organization probably makes money hand over fist. I realize that their lack of market value vs. the Yankees is probably due to gradual neglect over the years though.
I think to an extent, with fans and baseball people, there is still a bias toward guys who "look" like they're not trying that hard. It's a different sport, but the ESPN 30 for 30 documentary on Marcus Dupree (The Best That Never Was) covers the same sort of issue much more in-depth.
Just because a guy doesn't look like he's busting hard out there doesn't mean he's not trying. In fact, I wonder if it's a positive to a team to have a few players like Drew and Rolen on the roster, to balance out all the grinders. They do both have World Series rings, so their attitudes obviously can't be so toxic that it sinks a team.
Ah, gotcha - That would make a lot more sense. The Dodgers have wrestled away the prestigious "most dysfunctional big market team" belt away from the Mets this year.
The steals are nice, but I'm not sure why people were expecting a bounty for Bourn. He feels a lot like the CF version of Chone Figgins to me - incredible speed, but not much of a batting eye. He turns 29 in December, meaning he's probably not likely to improve from here, which means a .340 to .360 OBP with no power.
A useful player, but not one you break the bank for with prospects. I think the popular conception of his value is skewed by the steals and exciting plays he makes, vs. his actual value. I feel like the return the Astros got was fair.
I'm a Red Sox fan, but I'd view the White Sox return as worse. The Red Sox gave up a couple guys who probably wouldn't play for them because of the high bar for most of their players - Think the deals of David Murphy, Kason Gabbard, Brandon Moss and others of the past few years. Most of the guys kicked around as a second-division starter for a bit, but if they're up in Boston, some plan has gone seriously wrong.
In return for one legit prospect and three fringy guys, the Red Sox got a fringy relief prospect and a guy that projects somewhere between a #2 and #5 starter, depending on his health. It's a pitcher that will probably help them out this year, and if he pitches well, they'd probably be open to an extension.
In contrast, the White Sox seemed to be waving... Well, not the white flag, since they got a RP and a "meh" SP prospect in return. Their moves struck me more as puzzling than anything else. You'd think they would keep Jackson, since the Central is so soft that they're still in it. If anything, I thought they might try to sell one of their lethargic performers - Rios, Dunn, etc. - for pennies on the dollar just to shake the team up.
Totally agree. There isn't a real elite starting pitcher out there on the market this year, like a Sabathia or a Lee, so the Rays probably figure they can get a good ransom for Shields if someone is desperate enough.
He also doesn't really have value at 1B for the Red Sox, given that they have Gonzalez there. And if a team is trading to acquire him, it's probably as a catcher. I suppose the Red Sox could let David Ortiz walk and install him at DH to sidestep the catching issue, but I think he'd have to mash the rest of the year and during a September call-up to force the issue.
I don't think he'd be eligible for this article because he's already in the majors. But yeah, if Drew doesn't snap out of his funk soon, I imagine the Sox have already looked at playing Reddick there full-time, or doing a 60-40 or 75-25 split.
Well, I think the prognosis on him has been upgraded from utility man to solid regular, based on his ridiculous first half. But it's still just AA, a step to two-steps from the majors, depending on your perspective.
Since his numbers are so freakish for someone his size, I imagine most are erring on the side of caution when evaluating him. I can't think of any modern player that hits so well for his size. Dustin Pedroia? He slugged in the low 500s once he got to AA, and in the high 480s once he got to AAA.
The Sox also have Luis Exposito at AAA, who is a minor prospect and injury insurance.
Hey, I pull a little bit for the Royals each year because of all the writing Rob and Rany did on them on the Internet back in the day. Maybe Baltimore can come in some fans that way too.
(My second suggestion: Omar Bobbblehead Day at Camden Yards.)
It sucks that Jed Lowrie looks like he's turning into a poor man's John Valentin. I definitely wish he could stay healthy for a full season, since that bat is incredible for a SS / 2B when he is, but it just doesn't seem in the cards. Have there been any players as brittle as Lowrie who eventually stay healthier in their 30s?
Yeah. It makes it sound like he's the new Todd Walker: valuable to teams that don't overrate defense, but he'd drive a manager like LaRussa insane.
He's a fringe 2B prospect who is mashing in a park that anyone with a pulse normally mashes in.
Your "apology" came after another paragraph of snark. It's like you went to the Nancy Grace School of Grace.
The second - Being on the 40-man is no guarantee that you're on the big club in September.
I agree. I think most Red Sox fans who follow the farm system have already given up on Lars being anything but a bench player, and I don't think Navarro and Tejeda and others were ever seen as much more than bit players or B-prospects. Outside of Iglesias and maybe Kalish, I don't think there is a perception that anyone at AA or higher will be a starter for the Red Sox.
He was in part one of the series.
I guess I would just like to take this opportunity to complaining about the way in which these comments are continually portraying psychiatrists who make pat diagnoses of patients' problems without first obtaining their full medical history.
Seriously, I doubt you know Jeff Bagwell, and I certainly don't know Jeff Bagwell, so it seems silly for you to be determining what he would and wouldn't do if he was exposed to steroid users.
The murder example was meant as a facetious argument to prove the point - The absence of information can't be used to derive truth. Just because Bagwell wasn't outraged about steroid users (I mean, if he wasn't) doesn't mean that he is automatically a steroid user, anymore than being unable to prove where he was every second in New Britain in 1990 means he is a suspect in every murder there.
You are making a whole lot of guesses and conjecture based on what you think. Do you have any proof of it all beyond your instincts or feeling?
If I understand it correctly, your argument basically boils down to that because Bagwell no doubt saw other players using, he would realize that he could steroids to prolong his career and enhance his peak. You offer no concrete proof for this, such as a damning interview with Bagwell, or quotes from his past teammates.
"Invaded my house again"? Who are you, Antoine Dodson?
"Willful blindness" is knowing that something is up and not investigating it. How is using vague accusations 10+ years after the fact suddenly dispelling that? Heck, if a media member is really that concerned about it now, they could still go and investigate. There are tons of ex-players from that era; go talk and interview some specifically about Bagwell and whether they ever saw him juicing.
But, voters probably won't do that, because most of them frankly don't care enough to do so. It's easier to fill up column inches with vague accusations and speculation than to get off your rump and do some original reporting.
I'm just glad that your apparent psychology degree has allowed you to peer into what is and what isn't a proper response for a man competing against others with an unfair advantage. Thanks for the diagnosis, doctor.
Also, we don't KNOW that Bagwell didn't like, murder a guy in New Britain in 1990 - He's never denied it. Let's get Chief Wiggum in on this, because I think something went down.
I'm not sure that's true - The Yankees seem to do a pretty swell job already of maximizing their revenue, primarily because they're in the #1 media market and they almost always win a lot of games. I don't know if there is any way to prove that Jeter does have a big effect on tickets, beyond the fact that he does help them win games.
Most of the studies I've seen on revenue suggest that the only way to keep fans coming is to win games. They don't care much for who's wearing the laundry if the laundry only wins 70.
Adding to the chorus, I'm a big fan of this article. It's great to see some follow-up on the "beginning of the season" prospect lists.
According to WEEI's sports flashes throughout the day, the MRI was negative, and I think they just said he needed to rest it.
Maybe you got possessed by Mel Kiper Jr. at some point.
I think that's the case, yeah. I think at the time, some wondered if the Giants took Posey too high, since he was just projected as an average regular at the major league level.
According to the Oakland Athletics official site, he's been battling some tendinitis in his arm:
"Beane also said prized international free-agent signee Michael Ynoa has suffered from a recent bout of tendinitis, but that Ynoa will start throwing again this week."
From 7/24: http://oakland.athletics.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20100723&content_id=12549628¬ebook_id=12554310&vkey=notebook_oak&fext=.jsp&c_id=oak
You're talking about ways the everyday public might get in contact with the media - via Twitter and Facebook and all that social networking jazz. Speaking as a member of the media, albeit a much lower rung (small daily newspaper), we would never use the social networking route to make contact with someone. Why would I (for example) send DMs to columnists when I likely have their direct office line in my cubicle? I've called places like Baseball America before and gotten a scout on the phone for comment that same day.
I imagine that as an agent, Josh probably have similar access lines, and probably even better ones than I do. Twitter and all that is great if you're a fan, but it's not really necessary if you're a professional.
Ditto. I've ordered off Amazon the past three years, and each time, it was always in my hands the same week that it got into stores around me.
I agree with this. Also, hasn't the knock on Pudge been in the past that he's not the most approachable guy, and not great at handling pitchers? While I don't think that matters at all, it seems odd to me that Pudge would get pegged as a "veteran leader" signing, as opposed to some scrub like Brad Ausmus.
If you see Jenn Sterger, convince her not to.
"Are you serious? Who do you think is going to buy tickets in Pittsburgh for the next 7 years waiting for this folly? You really expect the Pirate fans to wait 25 years for a team over .500?"
I imagine that like any other bad team, once the Pirates start winning, they will sell tickets. The Rays seem to be doing much better in terms of attendance, and the same with the Angels of the 1990s.
In one edition of BP, the writer of the Yankees' chapter noted that when the market is only offering bananas, and you need oranges, you sometimes have to settle for bananas anyway since it's better than nothing.
I mangled that a bit, but recently, it seems like teams are very reluctant to even talk about guys considered top-tier prospects. LaPorta got dealt, but he's an OF and for a Cy Young-caliber rental. No executive wants to deal away the next Jeff Bagwell or Brian Giles, so I think they'd rather deal away three players with a 5% chance of stardom each than the uber-prospect with a 25 to 50% chance.
I'm always reminded of the line from "Veeck as in Wreck" when I hear about these insane contracts for middle relievers, scrappy outfielders and guys getting the mid-level exception in the NBA:
It isn’t the high price of stars that is expensive; it’s the high price of mediocrity.
I think Werth isn't really comparable because he started out as a catcher in (I believe) the Blue Jays' system. It took him a while to establish himself, and he's mostly been a capable back-up, not a guy who cratered at one point like Byrnes.