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How are you getting Ichiro's per-WARP number at 5.1? 144.125/51.6 = 2.8, no?
It looks like you may have calculated his posting fee at $131 million, rather than $13.1 million.
Believe it or not, that photo is from 1992. I really only started following the Braves as a kid in '91, and I remember seeing this version a goodly bit.
Some Braves stuff:
Rally - He was red, not purple:
Homer - Nowadays, he is essentially a knockoff Mr. Met, but when he first debuted, he was a gloriously un-PC walking version of the screaming Indian logo:
I don't really care about all the consternation over dilution; the main reason I don't like the "everyone everywhere with 42" is that when I am watching a game or highlights, I like to be able to know or figure out which player I am watching. Having unnamed jerseys with the same number is to defeat the entire purpose of having numbers. This isn't like a Bob Feller patch; it makes watching the game (marginally) more inconvenient.
Have to agree; there are legions of failed prospects who would have killed to have Todd Walker's career.
Granted, I do get his inclusion, since a cromulent player can still be a disappointment.
Waaaay too early to be putting Maybin on this list. PECOTA projects him as a 2 win player with under 500 PA this year, and he will be just 24 this year. Thus far, I'd say his path has been pretty typical for a guy of the "raw with super tools" skillset.
So what's the story behind Elbert's (un)retirement?
Cheslor Cuthbert is already 17. He will turn 18 in November (DOB: 11/16/1992). If he was still just 16, that would have made him 15 when he sign on July 2 last year.
Michael Harrington, not Matt. I'm sure Matt would love to still be close enough to baseball to be suspended, but alas.
If the question is genetics vs. environment, brothers don't tell you much of anything since they have both similar genetics and similar environments.
The only reason Nick Johnson isn't an extremely valuable player is that he gets injured every other week. A healthy Nick Johnson would be one hell of a thing.
So did Grace. Hernandez probably would have made a great third baseman, if only he threw righty.
I'd be interested in seeing what the list looks like for starters. I think you'd see much more congregation around "average" if you got rid of the relievers; for instance, all the 80 guys are RPs, and I'd imagine that the vast majority of the 70 guys would be as well.
Of course, you are right. 200-300 AAA ABs probably wouldn't have hurt. This is what I meant to get at: I don't see how the lack of those at-bats bridges the gap between where Gordon is today and his superstar projections, which is essentially the criticism being leveled here.
For what it is worth, some teams (the Braves, for one) tend to skip their top prospects over AAA entirely, feeling that level doesn't really offer too much.
No, that 576 does not include the AFL. He made his professional debut in the 2005 AFL, getting 62 PA and posting a line of .260/.403/.460.
I don't buy that he was rushed (or rather, that the rushing was the cause of his problems; he obviously ascended quickly); He was awesome in AA, with the only possible point of concern being a slightly elevated K% at 19.6%. The quotes from the FOTs in this article reek of post hoc analysis: "He hasn't been as good as we thought, ergo it's because he was rushed."
For comparison, look at Matt Wieters this year, who came into the season with a pretty analogous track record to the pre-2007 Gordon. When the Orioles sent him to AAA to start the year, the general consensus was that he should be starting in the MLB and the Orioles only optioned him to delay his service clock. Players of this caliber only get to be "rushed" after the fact. Would 200-300 PA in AAA made some kind of huge difference for Gordon? I find that unlikely.
He struggled his rookie year, was a slightly above average hitter last year, and got injured/sucked for less than 100 ABs this year. Not everyone tears the world apart immediately like Ryan Braun, and think the rumors of Gordon's demise have been greatly exaggerated. The last two paragraphs of the article are the most on point, me thinks.
I find Scott Beerer fascinating; I've been following him and think it would be awesome if he made the majors.
Adam Milligan homered in 4 straight (5 total HR) in the Sally League. What say you of him, KG?
"His obvious need is to lay off of those pitches outside of the zone and force more pitchers to throw in the strike zone against him, where he can do some damage, or, at worst, end up taking walks to make up for those singles he is not picking up."
While I agree that Davis would benefit from layoff the crap, there is more to fixing his problems than just swinging at fewer balls. His in-the-strike-zone contact percentage is just 62.8%, by far the worst in the majors and waaay down from his 79.1% of last year. Even when he gets strikes, he's just flat out missing.
Joke. Mariners the last three Mariner first round picks are now "closer" prospects.
Would you say that there has been any substantial doubt that Ackley would be able to play the OF, or is it more of a comfort to actually see him out there.
P.S. Is Kris Medlen ever gonna make one of these Ten Packs? The kid has been absurd this season, and his last start was his best yet.
The comment on White has me wondering; are there any good examples of college pitchers who succeed with a split and then successfully transitioned to the Majors? Anecdotally, it seems that a number of pitchers who rely on it developed the pitch later on, after they had turned pro. A priori, it would seem like a pretty big risk factor for college guys still growing/developing.
Tim Hudson maybe? I don't really know what his arsenal was like at Auburn.
Escobar jumps up and down in the on deck circle before every at bat, presumably to warm up/get loose.
Because the record of minor league affiliates is a terrible indicator of organizational strength.
Viciedo (or rather his agent) was just sneaky. He had come to the states before the draft, so he was eligible to be selected, but none of the teams knew he was here. Thus he became a non-drafted free agent.
*insert gripe about my favorite team\'s prospect being low/left off*
\"would you really trade the kind of upside that Westmoreland has for a guy like Lowrie?\"