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palehose
28 comments | 16 total rating | 0.57 average rating
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Baseball Prospectus http://bbp.cx/i/17638
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 0

I voted for the Dodger offer before I read the comments. I now think the proposed Met offer is just as good if not better. Pawlecki has the potential to be an All Star.

 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 3

Derek Jeter's announcement is a preemptive strike. If he had not announced he would be retiring after this year his every at bat and fielding play would lead to speculation about what his future would be. In addition if he has a good season, not likely by his standards, the Yankees would be faced with pressure about what they would do to sign their star for 2015 when he would be forty-one. Jeter's decision not to play any position besides short stop predicated this move by him. If nothing else Jeter is about control, of his image and brand and his performance on the field. By announcing now he controls the story arc and the outcome for his final season. If he also makes the play offs it will be the perfect end to what has been a near perfect career.

 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 2

The Yankees have no choice. Their fans look at the Yankees like tourist look at a Broadway show. No marque names no attendance. They had a scrappy team that contended last year into September and stadium attendance was down and TV ratings declined precipitously. The prices the Yankees charge have changed the customer base from core baseball fans to people looking for an entertainment experience. The bad news for MLB is that they will be driving up the prices for A level free agents for the rest of this decade. It will likely take at least that long for them to up grade their player development system so they can more efficiently acquire talent.

Jan 22, 2014 9:57 PM on Yankees Sign Tanaka
 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 0

After all the legal procedural hoop dee doo and drug testing protocols we are left with the fact that those responsible for the integrity of the game looked the other way and let baseball debase itself so they could make money as fans filled the seats to watch the unprecedented home run contests that substituted for baseball games in the 1990's and early aughts. Some of the players who violated the rules were caught and paid a price but not a single person in management, whether on the field or in the front office, has been held accountable. And the commissioner, who was heavily criticized by Congress, smiled with McGuire and Sosa and helped the owners count the money and put some of it in his pocket. Now at any cost to ethical behavior MLB focused on an unlikeable, but important symbolic player to redeem itself and the legacy of Bud Selig. Instead of being in the weeds about processes and testing, as fans, we should be demanding to know how did you let this happen to our game. How did you let them debase 60, 61 and 714?

 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 0

This is the problem with the entire process. Horowitz is employed by MLB and the players union. If one party is corrupt than he is part of that party. Horowitz found Bosch more credible than A-Rod. Bosch is bought and paid for by MLB. So is Horowitz. The players union is complacent regarding its members rights because the money in MLB is real good. That is why A-Rod sued the union as well as MLB. Arbitration has been problematic in many endeavors and is being considered for regulation in finance, for example, because of its possible inequities.

 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 0

Given the 60 Minute interview MLB has a very liberal view of what confidentiality means.

 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 4

According to the NY Times the proceedings of the arbitration hearing are confidential. It would seem unless a judge rules otherwise we will never know the details of the arbitrator's thinking. Of course there are always leaks but you have to be suspicious regarding the motivation and veracity of the leakers. A-Rod is not a sympathetic character but if I was a player I would be concerned about how this arbitration process works and would question my union regarding whether this process serves the best interests of the players. The process seems to give MLB immunity from every principle regarding ethical and legal behavior in gathering evidence and gives the players no legitimate right to appeal decisions that on the surface look capricious and biased.

 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 0

A-Rod was suspended for 162 games. I don't believe you need to prove bribery to get a stay of the suspension in court. If evidence is acquired illegally that evidence cannot be used in a criminal case. I don't see how it would be different in an arbitration.

 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 3

I would think the way MLB gathered evidence against A-Rod could demonstrate malice and impugn the integrity of the arbitrator who is employed by both MLB and the players association. According to a detailed article in New York magazine MLB coerced and intimidated potential witnesses and purchased with cash stolen materials. In addition MLB did not file with the IRS the appropriate documents for using $125,000 in cash to purchase the stolen materials. MLB acted like it was a legal authority when in fact it has no legal authority what so ever in interviewing or gathering evidence. They do not represent any public authority. In addition, it is illegal to be in possession of stolen goods for any reason.

 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 1

The Yankees near term future is dependent on signing Tanaka and his being able to perform at the major league level. Without him heading their staff at a high perfomance level they don't match up with the other contenders.

Dec 26, 2013 5:48 AM on Tanaka Time
 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 0

Ichiro is going to be dumped on somebody. The Yankees can't afford a $6 million fourth outfielder and stay under the luxury tax ceiling.

Dec 23, 2013 1:05 PM on Rangers Choose Choo
 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 0

The mystery about Jacob Ellsbury is the 2011 season. How, in a seven year career, can a player hit half his lifetime home runs of 65 in one season. Talk about red flags.

Dec 22, 2013 11:02 AM on Rangers Choose Choo
 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 2

The White Sox used Thornton as a set up guy not a LOOGY because of his velocity. His splits are the reason he bombed out when they tried him as a closer. But when I guy throws 100 mph it is tempting to leave him in there. Of course he no longer has that velocity. He will do better for the Yankees as a LOOGY than Boone Logan.

Dec 18, 2013 9:13 AM on Musical Closers
 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 1

The White Sox definitely are of the we'll find a closer somewhere school, which as Boston showed last year, works if you have the pitching depth. You just run them out until someone works. High priced closers are a waste of resources unless they are incredibly consistent and durable. Besides Mariano Rivera there are very few. Reed blew eight saves in 2013 which would not be acceptable for a closer on a contender. The one year Santos was the closer he was awesome. But he did not have a strong pedigree and the White Sox fell in love with Nelson Molina's command. He's been hurt too and time is running out for him to salvage this trade for the White Sox.

Dec 17, 2013 2:45 PM on The Only Reed
 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 1

Don't see why you wouldn't try to use Davidson at third and Prado in left or vice versa before trading prospects for Trumbo, who has no upside and will be playing out of position. You can play Davidson out of position and keep Skaggs and Eaton. Trumbo isn't a premier player that you need grab if offered to you. Reed had a very ordinary 83% save conversion rate, declining speed on his fast ball and the habit of making bad pitches in favorable counts. Heard this morning that the D-Backs signed Valverde to a minor league deal. Probably doesn't hurt but also indicates they aren't totally confident in their bullpen even with this trade.

Dec 17, 2013 9:36 AM on The Only Reed
 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 4

Don't see how the White Sox lose in this trade. In the land of closers Reed is ordinary and will become expensive in another year. Few teams have a hard time finding pitchers to close games. Look at the journey Boston took just in 2013. A third baseman who can hit for power is rare and worth a gamble. An OPS of .750 would justify this trade and Davidson projects to a possible .850.

Dec 17, 2013 5:53 AM on The Only Reed
 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 0

I wouldn't be too concerned about make up without knowing the specifics. Remember these prospects are literally kids in their late teens and early twenties. Most of us have been there.

 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 0

The White Sox catching situation is so bad they would likely consider Murphy a big upgrade. I saw him in September and I think defensively he could cut it. All he has to hit is .240 to .250. Flowers hit .190. Plus Murphy would take most of his ABs from the left side which is a line up emphasis of the White Sox. The White Sox are loaded with middle infielders. Ramirez is affordable and could play second in 2014 and move to short in 2015 if Jeter retires. He is controlled through 2016. Murphy could be part of a package that could bring him to teh Yankees.

 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 2

The Yankees have depth at catcher with McCann signed for five years blocking Romine, Cervelli, Murphy and Sanchez. Only one can be the back up. A team that needs catching help is the White Sox. This is an arranged marriage waiting to happen.

 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 0

I wish there could be a reference number to things like the split stats. In other words what is the overall MLB median or top quartile for these numbers? In grade or splits how does Cano compare with a replacement player? Some reference like that would help to better understand how Cano compares in each category. These stats are not new any longer but they don't have that quick recognition that we can relate to when some one says that a player is a .300 hitter for example.

Dec 13, 2013 12:57 PM on Robinson Cano
 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: -1

I will admit that if the Mets season doesn't pan out but Colon continues to perform they could trade him to a contender in July or even next winter. It's just that it's a roster spot being taken up by a player with no long term prospects. The Mets have little chance of seriously contending in 2014 in particular. If they take a chance with someone like Torres maybe they discover a low cost asset that would be controllable for several years. And I wouldn't discount the drug issue. As we've seen with Ryan Braun and others performance dependency is hard to shake with so much money at stake.

Dec 13, 2013 3:58 AM on How Great Thou Bart
 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: -1

I am a White Sox fan but I live in New York. The Mets always seem to be a conundrum. Why commit $20 million to a 40 year old pitcher with drug abuse history? Given the Mets redevelopment progress wouldn't it have been more prudent to give Torres a chance and then bring up one of the prospects in the summer? New York fans are notably impatient but they are also baseball savvy. I don't think that many would think this deal sensible. Torres experience illustrates what happens once you get pigeonholed as a certain type of performer. It is so difficult to break out of your classification. You have to get lucky and get an extended shot because a club has no alternative or develop a knuckle ball like R.A. Dickey and change the narrative.

Dec 12, 2013 5:47 AM on How Great Thou Bart
 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 0

White Sox haven't had a player like Eaton since Podsednick in 2005. And by all accounts Eaton is a superior fielder. White Sox desperately need to diversify their offense and improve their outfield defense. I was also hoping Davidson was part of this trade for the White Sox. Ah well. Santiago is a game pitcher and will help the Angels either in their rotation or out of the bullpen. Don't understand the D'Backs love of Trumbo in the outfield. He's a low OBP hitter and his outfield skills are minimal to say the least. Can't speak to his character but if that trait was so important how would you explain some of the teams that have won championships.

 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 4

On another post I advocated getting the baseball writers out of the voting because they have no unique qualification to be gatekeepers. They may had in the 1930s but they no longer do. My position is the fans, by the nature of their emotional and financial support, and the players, by the nature of their abilities, are in the best position to decide who should be in the Hall of Fame. I recommended a process to allow them to vote on who should be enshrined. More importantly Colin Wyers has provided a complete and irrefutable indictment of the current process and why all baseball fans should be outraged by how the 2013 election was conducted. If a player gets voted in and later it is determined that they were guilty of some malfeasance the player can be deaccessioned. It is patently unfair to deny some one based on unsubstantiated rumors. Even baseball players are innocent until proven guilty.

 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 0

It is naive to think that when the writers vote for a player they too are not influenced by popularity or their own prejudices. Plus you have the situation of writers acting as judge and jury with certain players based on unsubstantiated rumors, i.e. Jeff Bagwell and possibly soon Mike Piazza. This unfairly deprives the fans of these players of the satisfaction of seeing their favorite get HOF recognition. The fans are what make baseball and other professional sports viable. The Hall of Fame in Cooperstown would be an empty shell without the fans buying its tickets and souvenirs. Making them part of the process would enhance baseball's popularity and give the fans some equity for their loyal support, making the process better just for that reason.

 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 0

The process is indeed broken. The people who legitimately can elect Hall of Famers are the fans and/or the players/managers/coaches. Voting for candidates compromises the sports writers objectivity and plays into biases formed over years of covering certain players. A process should be set up whereby the fans screen an eligibility list with a super majority vote of 75%, the players/managers/coaches give their concurrence with their own super majority vote and a committee of 12 baseball experts, equally chosen by the Commissioner and the head of the players union, votes on induction. Induction would be by super majority. All other eligibility requirements could remain as they are today and the Commissioner could retain his authority to override the process for extraordinary circumstances as was done for Roberto Clemente. This process would create drama and off season enthusiasm from media coverage throughout the process. The results of the entire process could be broadcast on the MLB Network in an awards show format.

 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: -9

What is the point of this article? A north sider finds the Cell superior in almost all categories and then says that despite that he loves the decrepit Wrigley Field more. Why waste the space? Hopefully your coverage won't reflect the same bias. My experience with Chicago media would tell me otherwise. Suburban, upper class beats urban, blue collar every time.

Apr 16, 2012 5:25 AM on Wrigley vs. the Cell
 
palehose
(17638)
Comment rating: 0

The game winning RBI could have been improved by adding a weight for the inning during which the rbi occurred. Less weight for early innings, more weight for later innings.