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"So you're telling me there's a chance?"
I concur. I've played in a variety of leagues. My favorite was an AL-only with rules somewhat similar to those used in rotisserie laid out by Okrent and company (namely the 25 man roster filled out at auction and the 15 player reserve roster drafted afterwards).
A lofty ground ball rate is high one? A low one?
"Going forward, if it proves to be a pleasing experience for you, I want to offer up a stream of scouting article whenever I have the opportunity to see talent in person."
Lots more of these please. Legit scouting reports aren't all that common, even (especially?) on the internet.
What Timber said... Seems a majority here dig the other type of delivery, but for us meat and potato types we'd much rather read your direct thoughts on players you've observed.
Well said, I really like Carty's work in this series and really like the tier rankings showing up in the PFM CSV file. Wish the outfield rankings were apart of that prior to my draft this past Sunday.
Pat Listach? Or will there be a separate sort of list for players who peaked their rookie season?
There were enough of a certain kind of Cubs fan where the man had to go into hiding, and a public ceremony to detonate the ball from the Bartman incident seems to suggest more than just a tiny percentage of Cubs fans assigned blamed somewhere other than Gonzalez' fielding and Cubs' pitching.
I think he earned a lot of respect by not cashing in on and turning down the promotional offers he got from people in Florida.
I think real blame for the Braves' defeat should be assigned to Lonnie Smith for not scoring from first on a double because he fell for the decoy play at second in a game seven that ended 1-0 in extra innings. If Smith looks at his third base coach instead of the opposing infielders, the earlier Ron Gant incident is irrelevant and the Braves likely win it all in 1991.
I don't think the reaction some have is because it's non-sabermetric. The people that aren't fans of this story seem like they'd be very interested in reading about Parks' insights on players he'll be observing this spring given his scouting background. Count me among that lot.
Sort of parallels the BP podcast, which Parks and his co-host wisely split into baseball focused and general interest halves, whereas that tends to all run together here.
I skimmed this one as well.
That someone else will surely do what another person is presented with is not a compulsion to act and doesn't absolve them from a share of blame or credit from the consequences of their actions. Further, relying on ESPN as a moral compass seems a very bad idea. No one need pretend Quinn and Fainaru-Wada didn't come out on the wrong end of a choice they made simply because they're investigative reporters.
Well said, Peter. I too do not agree that because Quinn and Fainaru-Wada are within the bounds of what their profession considers ethical, that they should be absolved of the part they played in damaging Braun's reputation. Quinn and Fainaru-Wada could have chosen not to publish the information provided to them by sources not willing to go on record, who would not do so because they were breaking a confidentiality agreement. They chose otherwise, and that fact stands regardless of what ESPN's internal policies are.
They certainly owe Braun an apology. I'm not holding my breath that anyone in print media will share this view or take Quinn and Fainaru-Wada to task.
I'm curious as to why Ramirez didn't wait 100 games and then "retire" last season.
Everyone makes typos, but Boston's "rapid fan base" made me chuckle.
Here, here. There's a smile to be had when a ground ball rolls through the hole created by a middle infielder moving to cover second. I don't see why the expected runs matrix has to rob one of enjoying watching the successful execution of a hit and run. It's a text based table, not an evil spell.
Mr. Leitch's problem isn't exposure to quantitative analysis.
...or the 2002 post-season in which the Twins reached the ALCS. Prior threw 116.2 innings of 3.32 ball that season.
I always wonder what would have happened had the Twins taken Mark Prior. How far would the club have gone in the 2003 playoffs with the 2003 versions of Johan Santana and Prior? The club would have had an adequate backstop in A.J. Peirzynski in 2003 in either case, as Mauer didn't debut until 2004.
Improperly prepared fugu at a sushi restaurant?
Early days, and although not an incredibly reliable source, the Fox Sports Net gun only had Nathan at 89 MPH on the high fastball he fanned Jeter on to end his appearance against the Yankees. Hopefully his velocity recovers as the season goes on.
A decent number of Nishioka's whiffs have been looking. I'd delay judgement on his ability to make contact until he gets a little better feel for MLB strike zones.
Christina, best of fortune in your new gig. Your take on transactions was my favorite feature at BP, and it will be missed. Looking forward to reading your output over at the Sweet Spot.
You link to Selig's propping up of the Doubleday myth, but John Thorn who has a new book out that takes said myth on was appointed MLB's official historian this month.
Also, didn't the documentary Baseball Discovered, which traces the earliest known reference to baseball back to a personal journal in England premiere on MLB.com? It's currently hosted there.
Maybe Selig is unaware of these things, or doesn't care, but it doesn't seem as if if MLB under Selig is going to lengths to keep propping up the Doubleday myth, Selig's quote via Posnanski via Deadspin aside.
I was pulling for Swarzak. Might not have the stuff to succeed at the Major League level, and hasn't impressed this spring, but also doesn't have anything left to prove at Triple-A. Hopefully he's the first reliever recalled during the season.
Or they've since heard the second highest bid was $4.5M and are horribly embarrassed.
Antony very may have. Since you bring it up, what would you guess a possible motivation to do so would be? After convincing the taxpayers that a new ballpark was needed to provide the revenues to remain competitive, wouldn't the Twins want their fans knowing they'd flashed more cash? Especially in an off season without other particularly notable acquisitions? Maybe to keep expectations lower for Nishioka?
Do you have confirmation on that $5.29M figure as the Twins' bid? Twins AGM Rob Antony in a recent interview at the blog Twinkie Town was asked twice about the figure and insisted it was less than $5M, and closer to $4.7M.
We in Minnesota nominate Adam Johnson.
Nick Punto wasn't offered arbitration. I consider the off-season a success already.
Does "the pond" also apply to the Pacific, in addition to the Atlantic?
I too have had sustained success waiting it out, and like Chris, nabbed Napoli when he was cut loose earlier this week. Tuesday's DL'ing of Mathis was fantastic (for me, obviously not Mathis).
Yahoo keeps track of how many moves each team makes in a league. I haven't kept detailed numbers, but the churn and burners tend to be towards the bottom of the standings each year. That could of course be because they have fewer players worth hanging on to, but I much prefer to stick with the team I drafted for the first month or two, upgrading where others have cast off players for the sin of a bad couple weeks.
This. The outfield dimensions in both distance and wall height are very, very similar to those at the Metrodome. The average temperature in Minneapolis in April, May and September will be under the climate controlled 68 degrees the Dome stayed at. As to what wind effects there may be, we'll have to see, but speculation two weeks into the park's existence seems premature.
Do old daydreams really reside in caves?
I don't want that to read too harsh. My point is, if I were in a room with Adam Lind, Jason Bay and Mike Jacobs, I wouldn't ask Lind if he thought he'd be the new Bay or the new Jacobs.
Isn't this something everyone does at some level?
Wasn't it also Heyward's first big league swing, with the homer being hit of a 2-0 pitch?
Steven, if you're at the ballpark, and someone yells out something they wouldn't have the guts to say to a player face to face, do you call them a coward, face to face? Or is that reserved for blog entries?
McLouth has been hitting 7th and 8th during his prolonged slump this Spring. How much of a chance is there he loses at bats in some sort of a platoon and gets dropped out of the leadoff spot in the batting order?
What's great is I'm sure the Twins will cite Rauch's experience as a closer as the reason for giving him the gig, though they're the same organization that promoted Guardado and Nathan to the role for the first time and received a slew of 40-save seasons. Not that there's a massive difference between Guerrier and Rauch, but I've got a chuckle tucked away in advance.
Dukes was sent to Washington for Glenn Gibson, who had some upside, but not enough for Goldstein to place him among the Nationals' top ten prospects back in 2007, and it's not like the Nationals had a stacked farm system at the time (far, far from it).
The Nationals are really the second team to have cut bait on Dukes and his tools and potential. His problems were larger when the Rays decided to move on without him, but racism isn't what jumps to mind.
From SI: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/baseball/mlb/03/17/dukes.nationals.ap/index.html#ixzz0iVE9hDHG
"I don't know what to say. It felt a little funny," Dukes said told The Associated Press as he packed his car at the team hotel Wednesday afternoon. "I guess I wasn't expecting it. ... That's part of baseball. No big deal, no hard feelings. Just part of the game."
Dukes isn't crying foul, at least not in public. The Nationals brass are being quoted as saying its down to performance. Dukes has hit .150/.261/.250 in 23 PA so far this spring and the club was up against a cut deadline that would require them to pay Dukes around another $70,000 if they kept him another day. Small change, sure.
There was the Jim Bowden tweet that read, "After latest incident, credit Nats for making the right decision. They told him zero tolerance and followed their word." Said tweet has since been deleted. Bowden is kind of a clown, but surely still has contacts within the organization. How much weight you want to give to an undisclosed incident is up to you.
Christina, I'm normally a big fan, but I am left wondering why, "...the other thing that can't be avoided as far as what's in play here is the race angle."
What, other than speculation, leads you to believe it may be in play?
Given the demographics of BP readers and SABR members, I think Sausage Factory is a great name for a statistical analysis column.
The jerks at Barnes & Noble's website show a ship date of the 22nd for my pre-order. :(
Dougie Baseball listed as a four corners player?
Wang Chung soundtrack FTW.
Everyone else that neglected to specify a currency should have their numbers correctly interpreted in yen.
Soccer has the Club World Cup in which the winners from champions leagues of different continents play each other. It's hosted like the regular World Cup, travelling from place to place. Could be a great way to help spread the gospel of baseball, although as only the U.S. and Japan's club champions are involved, it reminds me more of a club version of the Ashes from cricket, pitting the U.K. and Australia against each other. But those are national teams.
Seems half Club World Cup, half Ashes to me, which is breaking new ground.
The Ashes don't do home and away in the same year, but one of the two countries hosts all games within a given year and the countries rotate hosting the competition. Could be a good plan to emulate as it'd cut down on the travel concerns players would voice. Host it in Japan for two years, then in the States for two years, or every other, whatever.
Blylevin is the color man on Twins television broadcasts and regularly evaluates starting pitchers by wins and little else. I call it karmic justice. I feel bad for having typed that.
It's too bad Outman isn't the greatest of starters with that surname.
And Young's 90th percentile PECOTA forecast is .317/.361/.485. Where on Earth are you getting .380 OBP upside from? Young has never been a patient hitter.
Young has put up a .732 OPS in his last 1,304 plate appearances. His defense in left field is sub par. He's far from a lock to start.
Gomez is an excellent defender in center. Span put up a strong OBP last season, which is something the Twins dearly need from their leadoff hitter and in their line-up in general, has looked good the first couple games this season, and is a much better defender than Young.
It's Cuddyer and Young that are the similar players, combined with Kubel at DH. The Twins plan on rotating their five outfielders among four positions until the problem sorts itself out. I don't see where this is a crime. The shine is coming off Young with each passing season.
The Metrodome is 27 years old and has different gates for the upper and lower decks. People with upper deck tickets have never been allowed in the lower deck. This isn't just a function of new stadiums.
I think any time, even obsessively watching twitter, is time better spent than watching Dollhouse...
"The Yankees have the distinction of being the only franchise in professional sports with expectations so high that if they don't win it all they consider their season a failure."
Chelsea fired Avram Grant for finishing second in the European Champions League and second in the English Premier League last season. They recently axed his replacement, Luiz Scolari (and the season is still ongoing) for the even greater sin of finding themselves in third place.
Late fliers on busts. Morales, Anthony Reyes, etc...
Shandler thinks he's going to hit for a decent average. Davis had a .351 BABIP last season when he hit .285 in roughly half an MLB season. I think PECOTA is right and Shandler is wrong.
"What are they doing for him that they're not doing for the others, or is Nathan's ability to stay healthy the biggest part of his success?"
The answer is Gardenhire's use of Nathan in only save or extra inning situations, almost exclusively. When the going in the bullpen has gotten tough and his options limited, Gardenhire has ridden middle relievers to the point of burnout (Guerrier) and injury (Neshek).
Waiting around for official save opportunities has spared Nathan this same fate.
A sign of hope - the World Cup didn't receive the participation it nows does in its infancy.
I've done some googling in my spare time, there look to be decent youth organizations in Australia. Hopefully those kids were watching.
I don\'t think there\'s any city better to visit in March than Minneapolis... er, wait.
No Dan Cortes of Burker King commercials fame references?
I did not preorder. Is the on sale date synonymous with the date it hits bookstores?
\"The word on the street was that they had a powerful anabolic effect, but that it came from a completely different mechanism.\"
Yeah, who are you? Nick Carter, Master Detective? Still, another excellent article.
They got Hank Steinbrenner?
(I kid... I kid...)
Well, he\'s awesome, so not many takers there. My favorite out of all of this, was the press harping on AC Milan when they said they would replace Kaka with a lesser player if the sale went through. Pretty much anyone brought in would be a lesser player. I guess they could get Messi from Barca and make a lateral move.
The one thing I like about the transfer system is that teams don\'t need to be a good fit for each other in order to exchange talent.
This will result in a win of over 9000 internets.
I\'m optimistic. A few snowouts in April could mean doubleheaders in June.
Ugh. More Punto. He\'s fine and all, and it\'s not like the free agents available at short are anything to get excited about. I\'m just so sick and tired of hearing Gardenhire say things along the lines of, \"Punto can do things for us.\" I\'d certainly hope that\'s the case for every player rostered. It\'s a little Jeteresque. I don\'t dislike the guy as a person or player, but while on a much smaller and local scale, the overstatement grates on you (especially when the likes of Jason Bartlett get demoted and eventually run out of town over claims that he doesn\'t take charge of the infield on pop flies).
It\'s not a major decision, and it won\'t shape the Twins\' next two seasons, but it\'s obvious Gardenhire has his guys, and Punto is one of \'em.
I\'d like to be a Maddux guy, but the extra 9\" outside found in his personal strikezone during those peak years won\'t let me. He was the epitome of class, however. Have to tip my hat to him.
I\'m pleased to see other readers feel the same way I do. Tazawa should be free to do what he wishes with his professional career (they\'re often fleeting). The Japanese don\'t own him. Neither do the SWPL segment of baseball fans stateside voicing objections.
Always interesting to hear about things on the other side of the Pacific. Thanks Mike!
Nay to Gardenhire as the 2nd best manager in the American League. Using Brian Bass over the likes of Jose Mijares in high leverage situations prior to the last couple weeks, leaving Livan Hernandez in the rotation far too long, batting Carlos Gomez leadoff for a couple months too many... there were a lot of changes Gardenhire was very slow in making that undoubtedly cost the Twins a win here and there, and if the Twins have to go play a 163rd game in Chicago, that\'s on Gardenhire.