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19.9 million - under 20 to appear closer to the team number than reality. Also realistic given the agents ability to use any free agent as a comparable. Bonus guess of the giants coming in at 15 million, for mostly the same reasons.
The thing I have never seen mentioned about Bay and the sox is the tact the papi is out of contract after 2010. My belief is that bay is a stopgap outfielder until the kids are ready then Bay can move to DH more pemanently.