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Thanks for this! It's really helpful. Still surprisingly difficult to get injury info etc. for the minors.
Will there be an e-book version?
Good point--I just overlooked Pittsburgh.
I know it sounds crazy on the surface, but couldn't the Reds put together a package around Stephenson and Cozart for Tulo? The Rox would want more, of course, so add whomever you want from the minors (Winker? Lorenzen?) They'd still need a LF and while I don't think they could come up with enough to get Cargo too, why not at least one or the other (meaning Tulo or Cargo)?
I just think the Reds are headed for some dark years after this year no matter what, especially with the Cubs and Cards so well positioned. They have a realistic shot in '15, and they won't see another for a long time. They should be doing everything they can for this year. Agree? Disagree? Thoughts?
Exciting about Garrett, although I have never felt that Stephenson's left arm had much potential. :)
Regarding Price to the Reds, who gets bumped from the rotation, Leake? I'm not convinced SP is the biggest need the Reds have. It seems like their problem is scoring runs more than preventing them.
Would LOVE to see Eric Davis' swing broken down here. He went from looking like he was about to fall asleep to just exploding through the zone in a way you had to see to believe.
Is there a date on that Teheran note? Sounds like it came from a year ago. See danugglasforearm note above.
Read it daily, and will miss it. Thanks for the great work, see you in '14!
Ditto the above. Love these updates. Take the break as needed of course, but I read these daily.
I know he's had a limited body of work that would show up in your data, but I was a bit surprised not to see Julio Teheran on here, good or bad. As he worked his way up, a lot of scouts thought his changeup was among the best in the minors. Now, he seems to almost never throw it. Any idea why he's not using it?
Really appreciate the consistency of these reports each morning.
What a terrific name for a column.
I know how annoying it must be to get the "where's my guy" posts after an article, but hard for me to believe the Reds getting Choo didn't really crack the list, other than as a side note. I understand the defensive questions, but they won the Central last year, and adding ~.100 in OBP in front of Votto is going to help that offense enormously. Not that it really matters, but it may also give Votto enough RBI's to win another MVP award.
Billy Hamilton listed as OF on AFL roster...
Smiths reference noted. And appreciated.
Play of the year. Awesome.
Another sign of how fast he is--Eric Davis shown laughing in the dugout. You may recall E.D. had 80 SB's in 132 games in 1986 (in the Bigs, no less.) He was caught just 11 times. When Eric Davis laughs at how fast you are, you are fast.
B-Ham wins over another skeptic! Exciting stuff all the way around.
Great stuff. Been waiting for a thorough update on him. Thank you.
What a great article. It's going to be a blast seeing how he develops. If he is still as raw as you say, the development he seems to have shown to date bodes well.
Unfortunately, I've been the GORBM before, which I suppose makes me the GORBY. I smell a new award for fan idiocy...#GORBY, anyone? (@hip2hops)
"Top 5" based on what? Career WARP?
This is just great stuff. One of the best columns at BP, especially when you land on a team I care about!
So...has Teheran's stock fallen to where he is no longer viewed as a 1?
There were times I was sure E.D. was going to drop his bat he was so loose with it in his stance, but then WHAM! Just exploded through the zone.
Pete Rose, Joe Morgan, Eric Davis. Yeah, I'm a Reds fan.
Great stuff on Teheran, but it leaves unresolved the matter of his fastball. KLaw recently described it as "lacking life." Is that accurate in the eyes of scouts? Has he historically had more life on his fastball than he has this year? Is that something he needs to/is likely to get back?
Do the Reds have the prospects to trade for David Wright? Am I crazy? I suppose Rolen's got a no-trade clause, but he's such an injury risk now, wouldn't something like Hamilton/Frazier/Rolen/Prospect TBNL make some sense for both teams?
In reading your intro, in fairness, I suppose I should trim that to just, "...what about Chris Owings?"
Love these articles. At the risk (one I relish) of tapping your already depleted sanity reserves, what about Zack Cozart and Chris Owings?
He's a bust!
The guy I think the Reds could get for LF in a below-value deal is Matt Kemp. Kemp/Stubbs/Bruce would be an outstanding defensive OF, and while leadoff would still be a problem, the upgrade in LF over Gomes would more than make up for it, both offensively and defensively.
It's no secret that the Dodgers aren't too keen on Kemp anymore. He'd likely see a boost in production at GAP. Plus, the Dodgers could use some arms. This one could happen.
I'll throw one out there--Leake/Heisey/Alonso/Frazier for Kemp/Broxton. Do that and work out some way to land Stephen Drew(trade Volquez for him?)to bat leadoff and play SS and you've got a perennial contender.
Copy that, Richard. I don't understand the low SLG for Dunn?
Am I missing something, or do specific defensive metrics (not just as a component of WARP) not show up anywhere on BP? I find it a little unconvincing when you refer to metrics that aren't readily available. In the case of Kemp, for example, my recollection is that at least some of the better-known methods have ranked him favorably. Not moreso than Cameron, perhaps, but you can't tell from this article.
KG, I'm sure you tire of random questions about minor leaguers, but it's really hard to find information on these guys beyond the very surface-level stuff. Specifically, I'm wondering how Angel Salome's catching has progressed--will he get shot to catch w/the Brewers next year? Also, what injury did Willin Rosario suffer? (I've tried asking this in chat format too, but to no avail.) Thanks!
Will, can you give us some sense of what exactly therapy to break up scarring involves? Ultrasound? Thanks.
No need to add anything to that other than thank you, Jay.
Rickey was an amazing player, no question. But, as someone who was in high school in SW Ohio in the mid/late-80's, it's still exciting to see Eric Davis show up so prominently on the speed/power scores. If Will is right that staying healthy is a skill, perhaps that's the one that Rickey most mastered, and what really separated him from a guy who won't be remembered nearly as long in Eric Davis.
I have to agree here, Joe. I've listened to and mostly supported your refusal to rush to judgment on PED's, but if the All-Star game is a celebration of the game itself as well as its best players, it seems absurd to honor someone who almost certainly and knowingly cheated. The issue as to whether the PED's have helped his performance is of very little consequence in this context. The drug(s) were very clearly and publicly banned, and Manny knew beyond a reasonable doubt that he was taking them. Missing an All-Star game is a far cry from an outsized penalty given the crime.
"...greater access to information via scoreboards..." We wish we had that in Seattle. Instead, we are routinely updated on the favorite foods of our players, but good luck if you'd like to know someone's OPS. What a colossal waste of space that scoreboard is here. AAAAAAARGH!
At the end of the day, what's the practical diference between fatigue and a minor injury? Either way, the remedy is almost always largely comprised of rest. If he's still capable of hitting 92+, this is not like to be a major injury.
As a Reds fan, I have felt from the start that there ware an awful lot of rosey projections around this Cubs team. Harden, Bradley, Z, and Soto are all big question marks imo.
Just not sure they belong on the same stage with the Truckers.
Will, I don't expect you to know this, but you've got some loyal readers who are friends of mine at hulu.com. Please use their site and not NBC's to post the appropriate links--much more user friendly!
I see this article from the demented perspective of a Reds fan, which is to say it's a veiled tribute to Eric Davis!
Any word on Ohlendorf, who apparently is now in the Bucs' rotation? His numbers are encouraging this spring, but I have no idea on context. He was once highly regarded in the Yanks' system, no?
Having grown up in Dayton and longing for a minor league team throughout my twenties, I moved away in \'98. Two years later, voila! Thanks, guys, really.
On a serious note, it\'s really cool to see the franchise having such success. Many of us always felt the city would support a minor league team, and I\'m glad to see it happening. Now, if somebody can just talk the parent club into signing Adam Dunn again, everything will be fine!
\"Arizona is one of the best parks in the majors for left-handed hitters, second only to Coors Field; for home runs specifically\" So, can anyone point me to a good source for this data? I can find park factors, but not left/righty breakdowns. Thanks.
And right on cue, Buster Olney shows up to suggest that what the Mets really need is a sports psychologist to help David Wright perform better in the clutch. Oh my.
Ooh--comments! Have I missed something, or have we gone essentially an entire season without any update on Franklin Morales? We all know he\'s having a rough go in Colorado, but anything beyond what the stats tell us is horribly overdue for a prospect you were so high on in the Annual.