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3 little league at bats definetly proves its true. And to add to the evidence I once bowled in the five spot on my league team (equivalent to the cleanup spot) and had trouble breaking 100. It's got to be true.
I wouldn't say that pitchers choose not to hit. Instead, the demands of pitching don't give them the time needed to develop into a good hitter. Plus, at best, they are swinging the bat in live action once every 5 games. Without consistent repetition, its hard to become a decent hitter.
Even as a big baseball fan, having someone sitting behind you who constantly talks about the details of the game can be annoying. And I can just imagine the amount of 2nd guessing that would be going on with Joe and the rest of the BP'ers. Hey, its America and you can talk about whatever you like, but I completely understand where that lady who complained to Joe is coming from.
One of the things about baseball that my wife and I enjoy is the spacing and pace. You can sit in the stands and talk about other stuff, yet still be watching and involved in the game. Or if you are at home, have the TV or radio on while working around the house.
I'm a big Indians fan, but I have no problem saying Detroit will in front by the end of the season. The Tribes pitching won't stay as good as it was in April, and the injury bug is already starting to hit the usual suspects on offense. My hope is that play around .500 the rest of the season and at least make it interesting.
Really? That is very surprising to me, because I had the same thought at ScottyB. Is there some research available on that subject?
As I was reading the article, I was all ready to post some comment like 'Must be real hard spending your spring in Arizona watching baseball while some of us are sitting behind a desk watching the snow fall. Stop your complaining.'
Then I got to the last paragraph. Excellent article.
This article brings back memories as we had tickets for the Saturday game that got snowed out. We exchanged for a game about 3 weeks later and it was still cold enough that we had out winter jackets on.
I think the only real solution is to shorten the season, by playing more double headers and getting rid of some of the off days during the playoffs. But we all know that won't happen.
Ahh, Major League, As a long time Tribe fine, I remember watching that movie and thinking how great it would be to have a 'real' playoff team to watch. Of course, in a few years we did have a good team, with Lofton, Belle and Mesa doing their best Willi Mays Hayes, Sorona and Wild Thing impressions. But all of Uekers lines in that movie are memorable.
You may be on to something. I love to go hiking/camping, but sometimes it feels like I spend more time thinking about were to go next, what equipment to but, etc, then I spend actually doing the activity.
The other aspect is that going to a game (or going hiking) takes a lot of work, time and money. So that's why we spend so much time on these meta-activities, because they can be done anywhere, they are usually cheap, and can be done in small chunks of time.
I still remember snagging Junior my first year in a fantasy baseball league. Went on to win that year with an outfield that also had Jay Buhner, Manny Rameriz, and Albert Belle. Ah, those innocent 90's, before all the steroid stuff came out.
TangoTiger - forgive me if you have answered this question somewhere else, I'm not that familiar with your work:
What is your over all opinion of the percentile forecasts? Are they
1) Useful and potentially possible to calculate accuratly, once all the bugs are worked out?
or 2) Useful, but probably impossible to calculate
or 3) Not worth doing
Also, this is probably the best series of discussions in a long time. I was on the fence about subscribing next year, but articles like this keep me coming back.
Maybe I missed something in the article, but are these stats/charts just for 2010, or for some larger time span? If its just for 2010, do other seasons have distributions that look similiar?
With all the stats at our disposal, its easy to think we know more then we really do or can explain anything. Most likely its just random chance that the Cards have a better record against good oponents then bad.
I've often wondered the same thing. What percentage of the time does PECOTA correctly predict individual players stats? The definition of what is 'correct' can be flexible (within 5%, 20%, etc). Does it predict some stats better then others? Does it do a better job with certain positions or player types? That info would be a lot more interesting then looking at league wide averages.
This is a very good interview, which surpised me because I am not a big fan of Burn's documentories. His films seem very repetitive and focus too much on one narrow area, considering how long they are. I never did finish watching the Baseball series because their was just too much stuff about the Yankees, most of which I already knew. I would rather see more time spent on teams and players that are less well known. His recent national park series had the same problem, too much info about Yosemite, and not nearly enough time spent on less popular parks.
Thats a good point about the owners. A manager can only innovate if supported by the owner. If a manager tries something wild, like pitching his closer in the 5th inning, and it doesn't work the first time, he's not likely to try again, unless the owner encourages him.
While you might not get equal value after trading a star, its not futile as the articles sub-title suggests. Many teams can not afford to keep a star when their contract is up. So why wouldn't that club try and get as many prospects as possible?
If only the Tribe didn't have to play the first two months of the season. They would be a contender every year.
I think baseball actually has more discreet events then football and is more suited to replay. In lasts night game, once the runner steps on 1st, nothing more is going to happen, regarless if he is safe or out. On the fair/foul situation, umpires could error on the side of leting play continue (fair ball), and if replay shows it was foul, its easy to reset everything.
I don't think the point is that every pitcher needs to throw 360 feet, but that each should throw as far as they can using 80-90% effort. For most pro pitchers, thats probably farther then the limits typically used today.
Lets hope the 'Puckett Rule' ends with Puckett. Unless a player has a very high peak (like Koufax), their is no way they should be inducted based on what they might have done. A bunch of posts back someone mentioned Albert Belle. I'm a huge Indians fan and Belle got robbed of an MVP award, but their is no way he should be in the hall. He simply did not play long enough and build up the stats to be considered one of the elite baseball players of all time.
Sure it is, they are both small samples that are too small to draw any real conclusions from.
I think it would be terrible to have uniform dimensions. Baseball is the only major team sport where each home field is unique. Why would you want to loose that?
Whoops, replace 'Zimmerman' with 'Strasburg' in that last reply.
Of course its up to zimmerman to decide. That doesn't mean other people can't comment on the situation and give their opinions.
I was wondering the same thing. The column seems like one big over-reaction. Zimmer even says ‘his leverage will never be higher’ which is one of Sheehan’s points. And It does matter what Zimmerman, the local columnist, talk-radio hosts and internet writers think because they are all part of the baseball community. You can’t dismiss them an unimportant just because you don’t agree.
You sound like a little child, whining because the other kid got something and you didn’t. The only mistake BP made is announcing the free upgrade to everyone. If they had just sent an email to the fantasy subscribers you would never had know.
From a business prospective what they are doing is smart. They are trying to make some disgruntled customers happy by giving them something for free. Plus they probably figure some of those fantasy subscribers will get hooked on the other content and pay for a full subscription next year.