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How do knuckleballs act with respect to the 2 spin categories?
One thing that Victor Martinez is doing this year that he's had issues with in the past is to hit LHP. How has zone distance tracked for him vs LHP?
The Worldly Philosophers was given to me to read by my father as well. An excellent read. I still became an engineer rather than an economist.
Fielding ranges overlap to a certain extent--maybe not for sharply hit balls, but they certainly do for slower ones. So being next to a great fielder could reduce your own fielding stats. If the great fielder has more range than average, then your own range would effectively decrease as more of the balls hit between you would be collected by the great fielder.
As I understand it, the exact use of the fielding stats won't be known and will be one component of the voting. If I were to do it, I'd use some sort of agglomeration of the statistical fielding metrics for that component of the voting.
Jon Garland was one who never got injured....until he did.
Breakout rates for many batters seem really low. 2% for Dominic Brown?
There also seems to be quite a few batters with 250 PA. Was this an attempt to truncate high PA for players not expected to be full time players?
Was there any attempt to incorporate injury data into the Pecotas? I think that it would be a difficult thing to do, but in the case of Tommy John procedures it might work: there are good data out there as to who got the operation, when they got it, and there seems to be some evidence of a season-long increase in walk rates as they pitch and recover more.
The rules of the voting remain the same as they were written on the first ballot in 1931: ....Keep in mind that all players are eligible for MVP, including pitchers and designated hitters.
Seems doubtful they mentioned designated hitters in 1931.
One shouldn't forget Bobby Doerr, the oldest living Baseball Hall of Famer, who turned 93 this past April and lives in the small town of Junction City, Oregon.
Mookie Wilson always seemed to fit.
My daughter is a musician who travels and performs in many different states each year. Thus ends up with a return for each of the them that have state tax. A similar situation but at a much lower income level (and I end up doing her taxes).
How about adding Kevin Goldstein's star ratings for each? It adds more context to the list (just like the grades for John Sickels' list.
Upside is based on the players comparibles. Wieters' comparibles are the not so stellar group of Kurt Suzuki, Donnie Scott, Eddie Taubensee, and Gerald Laird, so it looks to be an issue with the comparibles.
Upside doesn't compare a player with how much he can improve. This is from the glossary:
"UPSIDE is determined by evaluating the performance of a player's PECOTA comparables. If a comparable player turned in a performance better than league average, including both his batting and fielding performance, then twice the number of runs he contributed above average is counted toward his UPSIDE. If the player was worse than league average, or he dropped out of the database, the performance is counted as zero."
You have confused the break even point to make the decision on sending the runner (you give 73.2%) with the measured success rate. If a 3B coach had perfect knowledge of the odds, and followed the 73.2% rule for each runner, then his overall success rate would be much higher than 73.2%. You average in all the runners with higher chances when you calculate the success rate.
The positive coefficient on the (SO/PA)^2 term does mean that at some point additional SO/PA increases SIERA. This is when the first derivitive of SIERA wrt (SO/PA) is equal to zero, which is at a SO/PA of (18.055-9.561(GB-FB-PU)/PA)/(2*10.169). This looks like an outrageous strikeout rate, so it probably isn't an issue.
There is no inflection point. The inflection point would be where the second derivitive of SIERA with respect to (SO/PA) equals zero. But the second derivitive of SIERA with respect to (SO/PA) is a constant (2*10.169). [This assumes that SO is independent of the other parameters, which isn't quite true--in the extreme, a pitcher who strikes every batter wouldn't have any BB, GB, or FB. But I suspect that this effect is small.]
Give a team 4 of these robots, plus several 4 era robot relievers. What would you have? A team that wouldn't have to worry at all about defence! Fill your roster with good hit/no field players and move your fences in. I think that team would win a lot of games.
Doesn't come down to the team wanting much more in the way of incentives in Pineiro's contract than in Garland's?
What things should parents be on the look-out to avoid as far as preventing baseball related injuries? And how does it change with age?
For something like this, the players union should have been asked to supply some of the members of the panel.
Seems like a good method to check to see if players have or haven't made adjustments or improvements over time, and where those improvements came (with your future expansion into pitch type). I think that if you translate this into an "aging" curve, you could identify why certain prospects fail to blossem into stars and why some fail. I'm sure there are other reasons besides the ones you are examining here, but I would expect at least some of them would.
This article, and several other recent articles, revolve around various aspects of physics in baseball. There is an excellent site with baseball physics here:
Lots of good stuff
I would think the chance for a balk would increase with pickoff attempts
I think a good topic would be to write an opinion piece about something baseball related.
As a metallurist, I found the link to Damascus Steel more interesting than the baseball content--but that's neither here nor there.
I was left wondering a basic question--how are AAA All-Stars selected? And has it changed over the years? It seems to me that the context of the selection would matter.
How about putting Nick Adenhart's Pecota card into the public area of the web site? And the comments about him from the 2009 book?
How does Travis Denker fit into the scheme of things? Is he one of the ten candidates for the last two spots?
I like to use the search feature of the site for articles that contain information about specific players. And I like how I can list specific authors and time periods. But it doesn\'t search for exact phrases (or maybe I just don\'t know how to do it). For example, currently a search for a phrase like \"Ramon Ramirez\" gives results for Ramon and Ramirez. Without the phrase search, it is quite tedious (in this example) to sift through all of the Manny Ramirez articles to find what I\'m looking for.
Any idea on how well Casey Janssen, John Smoltz, and Jorge Posada are progressing?
Do Anibal Sanchez and Matt Capps look like they are coming off their injurys okay?