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I wish they would just ditch the whole All-Star game thing entirely. While they're at it, I wish they'd ditch the whole thing about voting on "is Joe Shlabotink truly a HALL-OF-FAMER?"
Give the players 2 or 3 days off, then get back to playing games that count, and just let the "Hall of Fame" be a museum, which is what it is.
Agreed re: everything said here - my comment re: wondering whether anyone looks back at the "sits" versus the "considers" wasn't an accountability thing, like "Is Greg any good at this?" or whatever. I'm sure Greg's "considers" have outperformed Greg's sits in the aggregate, I was just wondering if anyone ever looked back at it to see how much the difference has been, which doesn't really have anything to do with Rubby, I guess I was just so happy for Rubby that I felt compelled to note his @ COL line in my comment.
RE: Bethancourt, you left out the best part.
After Bethancourt lobbed the slow-ball in for a strike on the 2-1 pitch to Smith, Sanchez called for the heater on 2-2. Bethancourt shook Sanchez off and threw an even slower slow-ball, and that's the one that "hit" Smith in the shin-guard.
Epilogue = When <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=36286">Andy Green</a></span> went out to pull Bethancourt after the Smith <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=HBP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('HBP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">HBP</span></a>, the announcers felt the need to explain that Green was doing so not as punishment for Bethancourt's boldness in throwing consecutive slow-balls, but rather because Bethancourt was approaching 30 pitches in the inning, and Green didn't want to risk injuring him.
Whoops, sorry, I didn't realize he was in with the 2B's
Rendon's horrible, but is he really worse than <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=102040">Colin Moran</a></span>?
Has anyone ever gone back to look at how the "sits" did? <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=E" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('E'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">E</span></a>.g., Rubby was a "sit" last week, and on Monday he went into COL and 7.1 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=IP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('IP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">IP</span></a>, W, 4 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=H" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('H'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">H</span></a>, 1 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ER" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ER'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ER</span></a>, 1 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BB</span></a>, 6 K. I would have been bummed if I'd decided to "sit" that.
Like, maybe they could look at the collective performance of the "sits" versus the collective performance of the worse half of the "considers" to see if there's much of a difference. I'm wondering if the better rule might be to never "sit" a 2-start pitcher, notwithstanding his rank outside the top 60.
Then <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Bryan+Price">Bryan Price</a></span>, who had just visited Finnegan (who was over 100 pitches) and had relievers ready in the bullpen, was all like, "uhhh?"
FWIW, in 2010 Altuve was a "two-star" prospect, 11th best prospect in the HOU system, per <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/author/kevin_goldstein">Kevin Goldstein</a>:
"...people bought tickets to see the Braves host the Mets... Why?"
Many of us played baseball growing up, some through Little League, some through high school, some in college, etc. Many who didn't play still collected baseball cards and played Strat-O-Matic and watched baseball on TV.
People say baseball is boring and I can't say they're wrong - I must concede that it's 3 hours of guys standing around doing nothing, sprinkled with around 10 minutes of so-called "action." But for some reason, and maybe this is just a character flaw on my part, when it's the best players in the world playing it, I can watch a whole game and enjoy it, regardless of the score of the game or the team's position in the standings.
For people like me, watching an MLB game (or a minor-league game for that matter) is a treat whether the teams involved are contenders or in last place, because in either case, these are the best baseball players in the world. When I see a shortstop make a throw to 1B from short left field to get the runner by a half-step, to me that's an impressive sight, i.e., it doesn't occur to me to say, "Oh, wait, this team is in last place and its ownership is fraudulent, greedy and indifferent, so I can't possibly appreciate the skill that shortstop just demonstrated."
I live in a college town, and the college baseball team is a traditional power. I haven't watched a single game and have no desire to do so. First, the "ding" of the aluminum bat is just hideous (I understand they have no choice but to use aluminum bats, but still, yuck), but more importantly, the overall skill level just isn't impressive. Don't get me wrong - in a major college program, the average player is wayyyy better than I ever was, and better than 99.99% of the people in the world at baseball. But at an MLB (or minor-league) game, the average player is better than 99.99999% of the people in the world, and the difference is huge when it comes to whether I would enjoy watching a game. (I know those are goofy made-up numbers, sorry, just insert whatever the numbers actually are.)
Pro players aren't perfect by any means - every last one will tell you they "play the game the right way," yet ALL of them do things you're taught in little league not to do: jog to first base instead of sprinting, watch a called third strike go by then whine about how it was 2 inches off the plate, watch a pipe-shot first pitch go by then wave at a 2nd-pitch slider in the dirt, etc. Things like that diminish my enjoyment of a game, but only temporarily, until the next instance of an impressive display of skill, which are generally bountiful at a pro game.
If you enjoy craft beer festivals with live music or Italian films or whatever then that's cool, go with that. I'm not even saying I don't enjoy those things. But if I decide to buy a ticket to an MLB game, it's because I enjoy watching the baseball skill level on display, and it's perceptible even if the game is between the 29th and 30th team in the standings. As long as the players are skilled and making an effort, I'm sure I'll be satisfied. I mean, does anyone at the beer festival wonder why someone would buy a ticket to drink the 30th best beer in the world or hear the 30th best band in the world?
2018 ETA seems a little too conservative for DeLeon, who's 23 years old and made 16 starts in AA last year. I can see 2018 as a reasonable ETA for Holmes, who's 19 years old and hasn't pitched above Low-A. It seems like DeLeon's ETA would come sooner than Holmes'.
Good use of sarcasm by you - weak reading comprehension by me
Is the draft barely a sentient being?
"Yelich spelled backwards is 'Chiley,'...
No, it is not. Yelich spelled backwards is "Hciley"
I don't know if this falls under "that's odd" or "not surprising," but for whatever reason, kids LOVE Johnny Weir. It's not like a "want to marry him" kind of love, but more akin to what they used to feel about Dora the Explorer or the Wiggles back when they were 3 or 4 or whatever.
If that sounds like I'm trying to insult him (like "he's a cartoon character"), I swear that's not my intent. I mean it as a complement, though I don't know the reason for it. Maybe it's the fancy outfits and hair-do's, I don't know. I'm wondering if it's more like they just perceive a sense of truth/honesty from him.
Yes, I'm paranoid - but am I paranoid ENOUGH?
Cespedes career <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=OPS" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('OPS'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">OPS</span></a>+ = 122
Duda career OPS+ = 123
That joke worked better back when <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68156">Maikel Franco</a></span>'s name appeared as "Maikel Nola" on the "Top 10 Talents 25 And Under" list
Did <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70943">Aaron Nola</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68156">Maikel Franco</a></span> finally tie the knot?
I don't know what Cashman would say, but I'd say the same thing I'd say about anyone else who walks on a field: just because someone can run fast, jump high, throw/kick a ball well, etc., doesn't mean he or she is a good person. Admire the person's skill level if you like, but let that be the extent of your admiration.
Isn't is against the rules to run up to two feet away from the catcher before throwing the pitch?
When has "too trite" ever stopped anybody around here?
JUST KIDDING! Please, save your down-votes for the truly evil/nasty comments! This one isn't worth the effort!
Just pay him $200,000 per <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=RBI" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('RBI'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">RBI</span></a>
Perhaps, after having a chance to observe Swanson up close in Hillsboro, ARZ concluded that he wasn't as good as <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=104766">Isan Diaz</a></span> or <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=102784">Jamie Westbrook</a></span>.
"...focusing on an often-overlooked part of baseball: the equipment."
Another often-overlooked part is anatomy. For example, one time I saw a photo of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Pedro+Martinez">Pedro Martinez</a></span>' very long fingers and wondered if that helped him get movement on the fastball.
I also wonder about the difference in length between the index finger and middle finger. I think almost everyone's middle finger is longer than his or her index finger, but how much longer? I wonder if the trait of having a middle finger which is only slightly longer (as opposed to much longer) than one's index finger is a common one among pitchers with low walk rates.
Maybe nobody's researched it - I mean, there's nothing you can do about it so what would be the point? But still, I find it interesting because if you think about it, the middle and index fingers are the last point of contact a pitcher has with the fastball so it would stand to reason that their lengths and relative lengths would factor heavily into a pitcher's ability to move and control the pitch.
I think careytc was being ironic in criticizing the Randy predictions. Or maybe you were also being ironic in taking careytc to task for criticizing the Randy predictions?
Yeah, Paulsen too, you would think
I would have figured the Doober had made this list
Yours is better, more efficiently written, etc
I think the author was making a joke based on the notion that everyone penciled in Arrieta's start as a win for CHC, based on his impressive recent run of success. So, it was like the series was tied 1-1 before they even played Game 2, and by winning Game 2, NYM took a 2-1 lead in the series.
In that case, wouldn't CHC have been better served by losing to PIT on Sunday 9/27?
They were already mathematically eliminated from winning the division, so their incentive to beat PIT on 9/27 was to pursue home-field advantage in the wild-card game by finishing with a better record than PIT (which didn't seem likely on 9/27, 5 games back with 8 left to play). Losing to PIT, however, would have increased the chances that PIT would tie STL, forcing an extra PIT/STL game to determine the division winner, and burning Cole/Wacha in the process.
If STL and PIT had finished the regular season in a tie for 1st place, would they have played a 1-game "playoff" to determine the winner of the division, the loser of which would have to play CHC the next day in the 1-game "wildcard?"
I didn't say they would or should "attempt to play kingmaker." Unless I'm interpreting the rules incorrectly (which maybe I am), had STL and PIT finished the season in a tie for 1st place, they would have to play another game to determine the winner of the division, which would burn Cole or Wacha for the wild-card game to be played the following day.
Unless I'm wrong about that scenario, then it would have been in CHC's best interest for STL and PIT to finish the season in a tie for 1st place, and thus CHC losing to PIT last Sunday night would have increased the chances of PIT and STL finishing the season in a tie for 1st place.
I don't know what "Scoresheet models" are - how do they factor in to the analysis of whether the Cubs would have been better off had they lost to PIT on Sunday night?
Shouldn't the Cubs have lost on purpose last night versus PIT? They were already locked into a wild card spot, and losing to PIT would have pushed PIT closer to a tie with STL for the division. That would force a one-game playoff for the division, the winner of which gets to face a rested Arrieta in the wild card game. What am I missing?
Who is Bradley? Is he a one-name guy, like Prince or Cher or whatever?
Appel's 4 K's must not have been in competition.
Open stance, then steps in the bucket, watches strike one go right down the pipe, then flails (while stepping in the bucket) at sliders down and away... painful to watch
Maybe he just stands there on the mound and holds the ball and refuses to throw it?
Sounds like Appel doesn't have "The Will To Win"
Gary Burbank whatevs, all I know is it's been over 10 years since anyone's made a Pondo Sinatra reference here.
Castro got traded to the Mets back in July 2015. But yeah, Torres will do just fine, especially since he has 2016 NL MVP and team leader <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=66268">Arismendy Alcantara</a></span> there to guide him.
It all started going bad for MIL when they let <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=28100">Billy Jo Robidoux</a></span> get away in 1989.
He lives in North Hollywood, on Radford.
Does he have sheets for <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45379">Kendrys Morales</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45606">Stephen Drew</a></span>?
What do you expect for $40/year?
(JOKING! save your down-votes for serious comments!)
The third part, i.e., Rounds 5 through 7, was posted on February 5 (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=25493), with rounds 8 through 10 coming soon
They traded Shields for Myers, then traded Myers for Souza. That Shields is a SP and Souza is an OF is part of the joke.
Etz chaim he, Dude... as the ex used to say
they're not BOO-ing, they're saying MOOO-kie
Hellickson? I know, woof, but still, is he a lot woofier than those $1 guys?
Where would Kang slot in, if at all?
"...provided in his Retrospective Player Valuation article from November 20th."
Link = "file not found"
"Sleeper" = 2009 Everth Cabrera. He wasn't even mentioned in the 2009 BP book, not even as a "Line Out" entry. He went on to get 438 PA and 25 SB that year.
Are you surprised at my tears, sir?
This is nit-picky, but is Radhames Liz really "rotation spending?" I mean, it's possible he wins a spot in the rotation, but is that something PIT is really counting on?
I like hot stove news as much as the next person, but in any case of an intriguing recent transaction, I couldn't tell you who got the "scoop" and I really don't care. Am I supposed to know/care? Or maybe it's just one of those things that unless you're a reporter, you can't really appreciate how important it is to get the "scoop?"
Nevermind, I just read Chris Mellen on twitter saying that doing AL East before NL West has something to do with logistics.
Did I miss the NL West?
Good call, my bad - I did like the original "Bad News Bears". "Bull Durham", on the other hand, was awful.
Take it easy with the down-votes there, Costner fans! I mean, I loved "Waterworld"
There's no such thing as a "good baseball movie" and "Bull Durham" and "Field of Dreams" are among the worst. "Eight Men Out" was the best "baseball movie" I've seen, and it was not "good" but barely watchable.
Juan Herrera - anywhere close?
Yeah, that makes sense, thanks... *slinks back under rock of stupid question asking*
When Bret Sayre says, "Blandino should be the first Red taken in dynasty drafts this winter," is he assuming Stephenson and Winker were taken in dynasty drafts last winter?
Last May I saw the Reese McGuire Show in Greenville SC - 5 assists in the first 5 innings, 2 of which were CS. On the 2nd CS, which was the third out of the inning, he started walking back to the dugout before his throw even reached 2nd base.
Funny, he doesn't look like a "Fulenchek".
Randy's got Panda going to COL because he's not sure if Arenado's glove is good enough to stick at 3B.
I mean, smell?
Does his whiff rate stink?
Was Jesmuel Valentin anywhere close to Top 10?
Hang the DJ, hang the DJ, hang the DJ
(am I too late on that one? played out already?)
If I remember correctly, 3 of those HR came in 2 AB.
After that, you might want to order a liter of cola.
Only 6,312 people have even know who Pavement is.
I don't think Brad Pitt is a bad actor or anything, but "Moneyball" would have been much more watchable with Billy Bob Thornton in the lead role.
What does "RIP my mentions" mean?
It sounds like he's on the fence.
"Dramatis Personae"... and "Top Commenters," apparently.
"It instills a sense of urgency in the reader."
That, and memories of listening to The Smiths back in college.
And the nominees for the 2014 Michael Jackson Award For Excellence In Child Safety are:
MIL = Logan Schafer, ATL = Jordan Schafer
Speaking of typos, whoever managed the Tout spreadsheet gave you Shawn Kemp for $21. Maybe he can cover Tracy McGrady if the situation arises.
Is 2B a competition in Coors?
Earl Oakes -1
Lemahieu versus Rutledge in COL?
I can't wait to to see the looks on the other owners' faces when I bid $1 on Earl Oakes.
Or for a 10-team NL only with $280 to spend?
... or my name ain't Nathan Arizona!
"Polanco is the meatball tool player, albeit of the quick hands and easy pocenter."
I read somewhere on here that Hamilton's run is a 9, but since 9 doesn't exist, they just call it 8.
If I hadn't been honest in my business dealings - well, of course, you can't always be honest, not with the sharks swimming around this town - but you're a writer, you don't think about those things - if I'd been totally honest, I wouldn't be within a mile of this pool - unless I was cleaning it. But that's no reason for you not to be! Honest, I mean. Not cleaning the pool.
If space is dust, then what is dirty?
How close was Shlabotnik?
Those are funny, but it makes me wonder... do you think you can do better? Let's see it!
In the meantime, I'll be trying to come up with some snarky put-down responses to whatever trade scenarios you propose - hopefully I can find a few out there on the internet somewhere.
How do you keep score? I get "Rotisserie 5X5" but do minor league stats count? If not, then how can you justify taking anyone over Boegarts, Hamilton, Abreu, Guerrero or anyone else with rookie status who figures to be on an Opening Day 2014 MLB roster?
He was, however, born before "The Big Lebowski" was released, so he's not THAT young.
What do you want for $35/year?
JOKE!! No need to down-vote, I was just joking! I love BP!
If the contract messes with Kershaw's head and thus diminishes his effectiveness... I'm hoping it doesn't and I don't think it will, but if it does, then the cases will be analogous.
I love watching Kershaw pitch and hope he does well, and he's certainly done more at this stage in his career than Zito had through 2006. I only look to Zito in that we can't say we've never seen a relatively effective pitcher sign a big contract and almost immediately become a relatively ineffective pitcher.
There's a pretty big mental component to pitching (just ask Rick Ankiel) and Zito has acknowledged that the contract and ensuing scrutiny messed with his head. I don't for one second think Kershaw will take a "well I made my money now I can just phone it in and not try anymore" attitude - I certainly don't think Zito did - but there is a psychological element to a major event like a contract of this size. Maybe it was the opposite attitude, "they gave me this big contract and now I have to try really hard and show them I deserve it" or whatever, I have no idea.
Whatever the case may be, I hope Kershaw keeps on trucking because it's fun to watch, but if he suffers a dramatic and sudden decrease in effectiveness after having signed the big contract, it wouldn't be the first time that happened.
Zito WAR over 7 years prior to signing big contract = 31
Zito WAR over 7 years after signing big contract = 3
Kershaw WAR over 6 years prior to signing big contract = 32
Kershaw WAR over 7 years after signing big contract = ???
Whoops! By "...optimism scouts had in you...," I meant the royal "you," the editorial or whatever.
That makes sense - I just thought it was odd that he went from ranked #7 in the system last year (with a 6 overall future potential grade) to off the list this year.
I would have guessed that an 879 OPS, even in a hitter-friendly league, would be enough to maintain any optimism scouts had in you a year ago. Maybe the 132 whiffs made the 25 HR less impressive... maybe they see him as Billy Ashley revisited?
Please change my head shot.
I'm with you - I haven't read Castenada but I've read some Hunter S. Thompson so I've got some familiarity with mental stupor literature - it just seems to me that THIS particular piece is centered on a joke that relates to Brian Kenny. Maybe I'm wrong about that, i.e., maybe the meeting could just as well have been with Bob Balaban, i.e., the fact that it was with Brian Kenny is beside the point, I don't know.
If the humor of the piece somehow derives from some aspect of Brian Kenny's persona or whatever, then I'd love to get some explanation of that. If not, then okay, fine, the humor of the piece is just the fact that it's a mental stupor experience and leave it at that.
What is it about? I know who Brian Kenny is but I haven't seen his show on MLB Network. I've seen ads for it, in which he argues with Harold Reynolds (Brian likes BP, statistical analysis, etc., Harold does not), but that's about the extent of my knowledge of Brian Kenny.
Oh, I also remember a few years ago he got into it with Floyd Mayweather Jr in an on-air interview, but I don't remember what the touchy subject was - maybe suggesting that Floyd was ducking a Pacquiao fight?
Anyways, I'm not being fatuous or obstinate (or whatever the right word is) here - I honestly do not get the joke of this piece and I would be grateful if someone would explain it to me as if I were a 3-year old.
My guess is that, since Brian Kenny supports/advocates the work of BP and statistical analysis generally, that means the author likes him? If that's the case then I'd still need some help with what the joke is.
Or maybe Brian Kenny has a certain manner of speaking when hosting his show, and that manner of speaking is mimicked in the prose of the article?
Does this mean we don't get any Padres Top-10 Prospects?
I'm with you on the plot, I just don't get the joke. I'm sure there is one, a good one, I just don't know what it is.
I know who Brian Kenny is but I haven't watched his MLB Network show yet (not intentionally avoiding it, just haven't caught it yet) so I'm guessing maybe you need to be familiar with his personality and tendencies on that show to get the joke of this column?
I've seen ads for his show in which he and Harold Reynolds argue - Brian likes BP and statistical analysis, Harold does not - is that part of the joke?
I don't get it. That doesn't mean it isn't funny, because I'm sure it is, but I don't get it. Can someone explain it to me like I'm a 3-year old?
Word on Morton, but he was actually #99 in 2013 in the ESPN player rater.
I'll go with perennial heartbreaker Wily Peralta (#127) last year as a riser candidate, Jake Arrieta (#167) as a darker horse candidate, with Josh Johnson (#326) as the powerball ticket.
I met Eva Marie Saint a few years ago (very nice lady) and asked her about "NXNW" - she said she kept a book of "ROT" monogrammed matches.
He struck the guy out before he walked him.
Thanks for another great article, Josh.
Am I correct in assuming that, while players are W-2 employees of their teams for purposes of compensation for playing baseball, they are independent contractors for purposes of compensation for baseball cards, gloves, cleats, etc.? If so, is it common practice for a player to form a corporation or LLC to enter into such transactions, rather than report that income (and deduct the expense necessary to generate it) on a 1040 Schedule C? If so, are you involved in that process, or is your role limited to negotiating the actual terms rather than forming a business entity?
Your wife owes money to Jackie Treehorn, that means YOU owe money to Jackie Treehorn.
Knox Harrington, the video artist?
The ringer cannot look empty
She kidnapped herself! Well, sure, man, look at it! You know, young trophy wife, in the parlance of our times, you know... she uh, uh, owes money all over town, including to known pornographers, ha, and that's cool, that's, that's cool... I, I'm saying, she needs money, man, and uh, you know, of course, they're gonna say they didn't get it, uh, uh... because she wants more, man... she's gotta feed the monkey, I, I mean, uh, hasn't that ever occurred to you, man? Sir?
But it does seriously contribute something to any kind of conversation.
I disagree about the bananas - often you don't even have to go to the store to get them, they're already right there in your kitchen. Val Pascucci, Craig Wilson, Tyler Moore, etc... there are hundreds of examples over the years of guys who could have produced as well as or better than the overpaid free agents their teams acquired to play their positions.
It seems like teams would rather label their own low-cost internal solution as a "4A guy" or a "bench guy," never giving him a shot at seeing what he can do with 500 AB, and view some overpriced free agent as a "proven guy" because he had one 3 WAR season 5 years ago. Pay the "proven guy" $10MM and watch him produce a 0.9 WAR, or some other level far less than your "bench guy" could have provided with consistent AB's.
Tyler Moore is a very good RHH. He scuffled last year but he'll rake if given a steady supply of ABs.
How might it behoove the client to tell the press about offers the agent has received? When Nolasco's agent tells Yahoo Sports that he's received multiple 4-year contract offers for his client's services, how does that benefit Nolasco?
I speak out of ignorance, obviously, but it seems to me that no good can come of the publication of that information. For example, a GM who was considering extending a longer offer might now decide against it.
Do agents have any measure of a duty of confidentiality to their clients?
It wouldn't be the first hat I've eaten
If Aramis manages to limp into the batter's box 350 times next year, I'll eat my hat [reaches for salt, wonders if maybe mustard might go well with hat, etc]...
Now I know how Joan of Arc felt
Aramis' healthy 2011-2012 doesn't count in 2014. In 2013 he became a shot horse, and shot horses don't ever get un-shot.
Wong to 2B, Carpenter to 3B, Freese to bench
Here's my stupid "what if"...
You hit a gapper that the LF cuts off deep in the alley, you round first and are headed for second when the LF makes a throw to the 2B who is straddling second base. Instead of sliding, you keep on trucking and attempt to round second as if you were going for a triple the whole time.
The 2B catches the throw from the LF (which beats you to the bag) and turns to apply the tag (he assumes you're sliding), and you collide with the 2B and the ball comes loose. While the SS corrals the loose ball, you get up, stand on second and brush the dirt off your uniform.
The other team's manager screams WTF but you say, "shoot, I was going for a triple the whole time and your 2B obstructed me." Maybe you don't get the obstruction call (because the 2B was in the act of "fielding a ball" when the collision happened), but at least you're safe at second.
Marte and I have been going steady for 2 years now.
I hear they're looking for an Ephemera Archivist. I don't know if it's true or not - just something I heard somewhere.
That's fine, think it over, take your time, kick the idea around, etc.
Any chance they might bring back the "Ephemera" section this year?
What do you expect for $35 a year?
JOKING!! It's just a joke, please don't sprain something in your rush to mouse-click the down-vote button. I swear, I love BP - "yay BP!"
Whenever I read the words "Houston Astros", the first image that comes to mind is Bob Watson on the empty-Astrodome dugout steps, shouting "Let the kids play!"
Ok then, thanks!
What was your source for $$ earned?
Buster Olney: Chemistry :: Hawk Harrelson : Will To Win
Sorry, I know they're supposed to indicate where the ball went, but I'm not sure on the details.
For example, do the green dots indicate where the ground ball stopped rolling? If so, one of Pedro's ground balls seems to have rolled to the wall. I wouldn't think that would be possible, unless the RF and CF both fainted or something. Maybe that hit was what I would think of as a line-drive, but qualifies as a ground ball under the spray-chart definition of the term?
What do the colored dots indicate?
And let's not forget Pedro. The 32 HR isn't much of a surprise, the ASG was a bit of a surprise, but the stellar defense - did anyone see that coming?
The "strongly put" Laroche thing was just an attempt at comedy. (Is this thing on?)
But really though, Laroche is the one guy who comes to mind whenever I read a "there's no such thing as clutch hitting" article. It seems like he only homers when his team is up or down by 6 runs.
I guess I should just forget about all that, relax and enjoy FP Santangelo talk about how the best way to judge a pitcher is by the number of Wins he accumulates, because, you know, winning is what the game is really all about.
Adam Laroche is a useless oaf. Tyler Moore would be the 2012 Paul Goldschmidt by now if they'd given him regular at-bats this year.
Okay, so I whiffed on that one. But still - 6 IP, 2 ER, would have beat Waino in his own back yard but for a rare BS by Melancon... I still think Morton's looking like an asset ROS.
Give me double-or-nothing on him finishing the week with 1 win, 12 K's and and ERA under 3.
Bold prediction: Charlie Morton marches on a road of bones this week, picking up 2 wins while piling up 20 K's with an ERA under 2.
They could still trade Cutch - he just has to clear waivers or something, right?
"I battled out there, did my best to give my team a chance to win" is another doozy, recently spoken by John Lannan, after a mediocre pitching performance in a game he gave away via sheer baserunning laziness.
With two outs and Lannan on first, Chase Utley hit a shot to right center that seemed destined for the seats. Lannan jogged toward second, admiring the flight of the ball, until it hit the outfield fence. He then started running hard, only to be thrown out at home on a bang-bang play.
I'll concede that Lannan's no speedster, but still, if he had started running as fast as he could AT THE CRACK OF THE BAT, which is what you are supposed to do when there are two outs, he would have scored without a throw. Instead, his "I'll just jog because that ball's surely going over the fence" act would cost his team at least one run, which ended up being being a crucial factor in his team losing the game.
But hey, John, that's okay, you say you "battled out there?" You did everything you could to give your team a chance to win? I guess that's all anyone can ask, right?
"I always played the game the right way..." always makes me cringe. Playing the game "the right way" means running out every ground ball and pop-up every time. The number of players who do that is surely much smaller than the number of players who claim to have "played the game the right way."
What's her take on that running/slapping style of hitting? I hate it. I don't care how small or fast you are - keep your weight back, let the ball get there and then smoke it:
Thank you Agent007, for noticing that my Hall of Fame "they're not even famous" post was a joke (a fact evidently lost on, or immaterial to, the "negative" raters), and posting a quality reply joke, e.g., "sure, everyone knows who Manny Machado is, his fame knows no bounds, etc."
Indeed - these guys aren't even famous. Sure, anyone who reads BP knows who Stanton is, but if you were to look at the general population, I'd guess that 99% of the people in the U.S. have no idea who he is. You could say the same of any pro athlete.
They should call it the Hall of Statistical Achievement or the Hall of Baseball Excellence or something. That would be a more accurate name, and would also be a way around the whole steroid thing.
Juan Perez looks like he's a better player than Gary Brown, and he's probably available in most NL-only leagues.
Two nights ago, Nolasco hit Aoki in the elbow with a pitch. The catcher (Brantly) pointed out to the umpire his contention that they pitch was actually a strike, i.e., that the ball was crossing the inside corner of the plate when it made contact with Aoki's elbow. I don't know if it did cross the plate, but even if it missed, it couldn't have missed by more than a couple of inches.
If it's possible for the difference between a strike and a HBP to be a matter of a couple of inches (or in the June 10 Aoki/Nolasco case, maybe even zero inches?), I would disagree with increasing the punishment for an HBP beyond awarding the batter first base.
(whoops, sorry for the double-post there)
Actions have consequences.
Actions have consequences.
Tony Sanchez on Cole = best quote ever
I find college baseball hard to watch. I feel silly about this, but I admit that a lot of it has to do with the "DING" sound of ball hit by an aluminum bat. I know it's not their fault, i.e., I know it's cost-prohibitive for colleges to use wooden bats, but still, I just can't past that awful sound.
Plus the skill level of the players generally makes it hard for me to watch. I applaud them for making it as far as they have - to play baseball at the college level means you're better than 90% (I have no idea, but some high number anyway) of the baseball players in the world, and that's something to be proud of. But the difference in overall player skill level between a good college team and any pro team, even Low-A, is significant and for me, puts college baseball on the "unwatchable" side of the ledger.
In the Florida play, it sure looks like the pitcher is standing on the mound when the tag is made. Isn't that a balk or something?
They're a virtual Locke for 82 wins.
More Kaitlin Cochran:
Hosmer might also do well to study Amber Garza's swing:
Kaitlin Cochran = the Ted Williams of softball:
Slowey's "lat" (whatever that is) injury doesn't give you pause? I read somewhere it was only precautionary when they pulled him from his last start, but still, is a "lat" something that might be easily re-aggravated?
I try to refrain from telling "Kids Say The Darndest Things" stories, but there's one I just can't resist telling.
Led Zep "Kashmir" comes on the radio in the minivan and I crank it up, play air drums on the steering wheel, sing along, rockin' out, etc. A pathetic scene, to say the least. Anyways, the song ends and there's a conspicuous silence in the back of the minivan. I turn and ask, "Did you like that song?"
After a couple seconds, my 5-yr-old daughter says, "It makes me stare at something... so yeah, I guess I liked it."
I always wondered about the whole "official scorekeeper conferring the win" thing where the SP doesn't go 5 innings. From what I've heard, the OS gives the W to the relief pitcher who was most effective. What if the SP goes 3 innings and the 2 RP's each go 3 innings and give up the same number of H, BB, R, etc.? Has that ever happened, where a RP who was given a W by an OS posted a line arguably inferior to the line posted by a RP teammate in the same game?
I've never seen a strike called where a catcher caught a low pitch with his palm up.
My bold prediction for 2013 was that BJ Upton's K total would eclipse his batting average (something like 215 K's to .208 BA or so), but now that doesn't even really look "bold" at all.
When you square up a Locke pitch, you're walking right into an ambush.
It prevents us from assuming incorrectly that he's talking about a hockey player in New York.
Wilton did not disappoint.
The crying shame is that this guy isn't posting anymore, chronicling the success of his "high velocity throwpitches":
There are hundreds of great posts - my personal favorite is
CYBORG HANSON TOMMY @CyborgHanson48 17 Apr 11
NOT ALL ALPHANUMERIC CHARACTER "K" OUTCOMES CREATED EQUAL, EVIDENCE: NINNY WHIFFSWINGS OF HUMANS WRIGHT DAVID AND REYES JOSE
Am I the only one who thinks the ubiquitous rope-necklace thing looks silly?
Wally Joyner is Domonic Brown's hitting angel:
So the June 9, 2014 Hit List should be coming out any day now?
BJ Upton can whiff on a fastball just as proficiently as he whiffs on off-speed pitches.
With OPS in the low 700's and nightmarish defense, Delmon Young will not be an upgrade over anyone.
Never has a pitcher more thoroughly owned another team than Kerry Wood vs. the Astros on 5/6/98.
I watched that game on WGN, and the Astros simply had no chance at all. The 20 K's was impressive, but the distance between bat and ball on the whiff-swings was consistently stunning. I swear, on one of Operation Shutdown's whiff-swings, it looked like there was a good three feet of space between the bat and the ball.
Khalil Greene's promising career as a power-hitting good-glove shortstop was sadly done in by social anxiety disorder.
Like closers, wooly is born and not made.
Jean Segura comes up to the plate:
But if he keeps it pronounced JEEN, then he can use the Smiths' song "Jeane" (don't worry, it's up-tempo and rockin) as his walk-up music:
I don't know what happiness means
But I look in your eyes and I know
That it isn't there
If only BJ Upton had the will to whiff less often.
But does Lucroy possess the will to catch strikes?
All of those GIF's look like strikes to me. I just hope Wolfman finds the answers he's looking for re: Helton Guys.
Can someone talk me off the ledge re: Matt Cain?
I've never been to an independent league game. What are the stadiums like? What's the players' salary range?
The Bench-Householder high-5 looks about as smooth/naturalistic as when a pro golf player high-5's his caddie after making a big putt.
Might Yelich get his chance soon, with Pierre (.191, .225, .221) "blocking" him in LF for the Marlins?
Everybody probably already saw this but if not, then check this out, it's great re: Taveras... see the 1:09 mark for the "Minor League Guy" graphic:
I don't have sound on my computer, but I was watching this game when it originally aired. I remember at some point after the "Minor League Guy" chuckles, the announcer reported that they received a call from the front office, saying something to the effect of "Minor League Guy's name is Oscar Taveras, and in the next few years we will likely be calling him Major League Guy, and watching him make All-Star teams and sell tickets for us, etc."
What's Christian Yelich's status? I read something on 4/3 about a "bruised heel," but 2 weeks seems like a long time for something like that.
I don't know why I think this, but I think Fujikawa's theme song (or whatever you call the music they play when he comes into the game from the bullpen) should be "Bodhisattva" by Steely Dan. Maybe it's because his name is 4 syllables with the stress (at least in the Americanized pronunciation) on the 3rd syllable, and the 2nd syllable is an "ee" sound and the 4th syllable is an "ah" sound?
Batters are idiots. If you get hit by a pitch, take your base and don't whine about it.
(Re-post of what I posted in 4/12 "What You Need to Know)...
I'd love to take piece of plywood, draw a 24" diameter (i.e., my uneducated guess as to the average distance between the edge of home plate and a batter's body) circle on it, lean it against a wall, put Carlos Quentin or any other aggrieved batter on a hill 60'6" away from the wall, give him 10 baseballs, let him have 10 throws and see how many times you (the royal "you," the editorial) are able to hit the circle. You miss the circle, that means you just hit a batter.
The way many batters crowd the plate, I'd guess that the distance between a strike and a hit batter is often less than 24", but still.
My solution to the problem is 10-game suspensions for anyone on the batter's team who leaves the dugout or on-deck circle. Any batter who charges the mound will and should get pounced on by the catcher and all the infielders, with no one around to help him. That will stop these idiot batters from charging the mound, problem solved.
Next case = idiot batters whining about called third strikes. Earth to idiot hitters: it DOES NOT MATTER that the pitch didn't cross the plate, was 2" off the outside edge of the plate, etc. You've been taught since Little League to protect the plate when you have two strikes, swing at anything close, etc. 2" off the outside edge of the plate falls squarely within the realm of "anything close."
I'd love to take piece of plywood, draw a 24" diameter (i.e., my uneducated guess as to the average distance between the edge of home plate and a batter's body) circle on it, lean it against a wall, put Carlos Quentin or any other aggrieved batter on a hill 60'6" away from the wall, give him 10 baseballs, let him have 10 throws and see how many times he's able to hit the circle.
The way many batters crowd the plate, I'd guess that the distance between a strike and a hit batter is often less than 24", but still.
My post wasn't a complaint - I was just being facetious, acknowledging the comedic value of inserting one humdinger into a list of otherwise routine events.
A got put on the disabled list...
B will report to Double-A Springfeld...
C went after an opponent with a bat...
D will be designated for assignment...
"...going after an opponent in the dugout with a bat."
More, please... Which dugout? Did he use a bat in going after an opponent, or did he go after an opponent, and "the dugout with a bat" (as opposed to the dugout with no bats) describes the location of the event? If the former, did he actually swing the bat at the opponent, or did he just brandish it, or did he just happen to be carrying it with him?
If telling this story would require more verbosity than "Notes and Rumors" allows, I'd understand. I could just google "Soler dugout bat opponent" or whatever, but this sounds like the kind of story for which BP's take would be fun to read.
Doesn't it seem like that the umpires don't go with that definition? For example, in the top left photo above, the top of Castillo's helmet appears to be right on the line described in the official rules. But if a pitch were to cross the plate at that height, everyone would be stunned if the umpire called it a strike.
This isn't germane to the Fujikawa game described herein, but just a general strike zone question...
What is the top side of the strike zone? The batter's armpits? The top of his stomach?
And don't say "That joke is lost on me because I don't know what 'West Side Story' is... I wasn't even born yet when it was made," because I wasn't even born yet either!!
Jets = NL-only or AL-only
Sharks = Mixed-league
True, and I'm not trying to be a wet blanket or anything - I mean, if Gattis is only owned in 18% of CBS leagues, then "available as a free agent in most fantasy formats" is clearly an accurate description.
I guess we can surmise that CBS' "availability" figures are based on all leagues, including mixed.
All of these but Henderson were drafted in my 10-team NL-only league.
I wish "endgame target" (or even "beyond endgame target," i.e., players likely to go undrafted in most leagues, e.g., Everth Cabrera in 2009 who went on to steal 25 bases) was the universally accepted definition of "sleeper." If I see one more article talking about "sleepers" like Freddie Freeman or Todd Frazier I'm going to go completely Heche.
Your mistakes are better than our accuracies, if we had your hands we'd cut ours off, etc.
What do you expect for $34.95 a year?
P.S. - No need to mash the negative-rating button, it was just a joke!! Long live BP, etc.!!
Exactly, that's what I'm saying, I'd be whining to MLB about it.
I'm not Joe Captain-of-Industry or anything (I'm more on The Dude side of the ledger), I just think the WBC is piffle or poppycock or whatever.
Negative 19? Harsh!! It was just a joke...
I thought I read somewhere that MLB teams were not allowed to prevent players from participating. Maybe I'm just remembering it wrong.
Playing in the WBC = cleaning Jeff Kent's pickup truck in that it is an activity other than the one for which Ramirez is being paid a salary to perform.
I'm not saying that playing in the WBC is more hazardous than playing in a Dodgers' ST game - I was just being facetious with the Jeff Kent's pickup truck thing. It does not matter that Ramirez was "engaging in exactly what he would have been doing had he been in Dodgers camp."
If I'm Dodgers management, if Ramirez is anywhere other than in my camp when he gets hurt, no matter what the nature of the activity, then my reaction is WTF, you're cashing your paychecks, you're supposed to be in our camp, etc. That reaction would be the same whether he was injured in a WBC game or while butterfly-watching in Cape Cod.
If he's injured while engaging in the activity I'm paying him to perform, then that's just a risk in my business. If he's injured during the off-season doing an activity that isn't prohibited per contractual agreement, that's also a risk I can accept. If he's injured after the contractually stipulated report-to-camp date and it happens anywhere but in camp, then my reaction is WTF, I'm paying you to be in my camp, etc.
I don't think it's a silly criticism at all. Obviously an MLB Spring Training camp is not a "protective formaldehyde tank," but that's beside the point.
Had Hanley been injured in Dodgers camp, it would have happened in a place where he is contractually obligated to be, presumably during an activity his contractually obligated to perform. The Dodgers pay him $$$ to be in Dodgers' camp and play in Dodgers' ST games. In this respect, the WBC is no different than the back of Jeff Kent's pickup truck.
Is your biggest rival the Templv Owls?
Where is Wojciechowski University?
That magazine sure nailed it. When I took Cabrera for $1 at the end of our 2009 draft, I'm sure nobody else in the room even noticed - I barely even noticed myself.
That's true - Cabrera was Rule 5 - but still, he wasn't even mentioned anywhere in the 2009 BP book, and I'll bet he went undrafted in half of the 12-team NL-only leagues out there.
"Heck, there aren’t really sleepers in your 12-team NL-only leagues, either."
I disagree, and would submit "a player who might very well go undrafted in a 12-team NL-only or AL-only league" is a good definition of "sleeper."
For example, at the very end of my 2009 (12-team NL-only) draft, $1 player garbage time, I needed a shortstop. There was some guy I'd never heard of, and who wasn't even mentioned in the 2009 BP book, named Everth Cabrera, who qualified at shortstop. He ended up with 25 SB that year, well worth the $1 investment.
Another good example would be the 2012 Matt Carpenter. He did get a mention in the 2012 BP book, but still, I picked him up during the $1 end-of-draft garbage-time in our draft, and I would think he probably went undrafted in many leagues. All I knew about him was what I read in BP, which was that he drew a lot of walks in AAA.
2009 was in the internet era, and surely 2012 was, so I'm not buying TINSTAAS theory. Who are the 2013 sleepers? I'm going with Nats OF Corey Brown, if he even makes the team.
Right, that's what I was referring to with my "no washing your pick-up-truck" joke.
I'm not talking about "once the season ends." I'm talking about Feb 26 (or whenever the contractually-obligated reporting date is) through the last game of the season or post-season.
From what I've read they all have a "no jumping out of airplanes" clause (or in Jeff Kent's case, no washing your pick-up truck) governing their off-season activities, but I would think I'd be okay with my players playing in a winter WBC, as long as my pitchers weren't throwing 150 pitches a game or whatever.
So yes, the big difference is the timing.
Rosenthal doesn't even address the key issue, i.e., the obligation of the players to do the job for which they are being paid.
And his last non-single-sentence paragraph is idiotic:
"So really, the U.S. loses on every level when its stars decline to participate. The reluctance of aces such as Justin Verlander, Clayton Kershaw and David Price is understandable, given the fragile nature of pitching. But position players such as Buster Posey and Prince Fielder? And youngsters such as Mike Trout and Bryce Harper? C’mon."
"Fragile nature?" Buster Posey's re-constructed knee is comparatively "durable?"
I'm not dismissing "international reputation" generally, I just wonder if having my players in the WBC is a major factor therein. Ichiro was a Mariner and they surely benefited in many ways from his international stardom, but what role did the WBC play in that? If Ichiro eschewed this year's WBC, would the Yankees see a discernible drop in their brand's international presence?
As to having players in camp, I disagree as to its value. Sure, they don't have to learn a playbook, but if there wasn't any value in it, players would just "get ready" at home and report to the stadium on Opening Day. If I were an owner, I'd want my coaches and trainers calling the shots in my players' preparations and conditioning. I'm paying them salaries, and being in camp is part of the job description as far as I can tell. But I'm not an owner, so WDIK?
I wouldn't think that marketing opportunity would confer enough of a benefit to outweigh the negatives of not having my players in my camp getting ready to help my team win games, but that's just my perception.
Or maybe I'm just reading it wrong - if so, mybadmang.
I don't mean to speak for batts40, but I'm thinking he's saying the same thing I said and that ryancarey said earlier today.
In the box in the article above, referred to as "biggest gainers," containing info for Matt Adams, Ian Stewart, etc., the values (positive numbers) in the "Difference" column equal the dollars in the LABR column less the values in the CBS column, i.e., Diff = LABR - CBS.
In the other box in the article above, referred to as "five players who saw their value decrease," containing info for Steve Lombardozzi, Carl Crawford, etc., the values (negative numbers) in the "Difference" column equal the dollars in the CBS column less the values in the LABR column, i.e., Diff = CBS - LABR.
Thus we get back to my original hypothesis (which prompted the response "Where?") that perhaps the column headings are wrong.
My comment above, I think, says the same thing that ryancarey posted 30 minutes after me, to which you replied, "Thank you - sent the fix request in."
I was just referring to the quote in the article re: "manufactured exhibition." Whether MLB can be defined as "manufactured" is beside the point, which is that MLB players leaving their teams' camps to play in the WBC is repulsive to me. But hey, that's just my perception, everybody's got their tastes and preferences, etc.
My guess is that Apple sends the programmer to the conference to make the programmer a more productive and valuable employee.
Roger that - I would be much more inclined to watch it if no MLB players participated. If a Futures Game type team played in it, I'd be all over it.
Are the column headings in the "increase" and "decrease" boxes correct? It seems like in the "increase" box, Diff = LABR - CBS, and in the "decrease" box, Diff = CBS - LABR.
I didn't go to math school, so I'm probably just reading this wrong.
"Belittling the tournament because it's an 'exhibition' and 'manufactured' is shooting the sport in the foot. So let's stop."
I hate the WBC because it makes me sick. Imagine if you were paying a guy $500,000 or $5MM or $17MM to be in training camp starting on February 25 so he can prepare (pursuant to instructions from the coaches and trainers you're paying) to help your team in its first game on April 1 and the 161 games after that. How would you feel if he said, "Thanks for the money, I'll take it, but instead of being in camp getting ready to help your team, I'm going off to play in a manufactured exhibition." I wouldn't think you were being minor or petty if you were not happy about it.
For me there's no such thing as a bad MLB game (or even a Low-A game) that's played on grass, and there's no such thing as a good game that's played on artificial turf. Thus, the only candidates for Worst Game Of The Year are those played in Tampa Bay and Toronto.
Oh, okay. Yes, that is funny then.
Can someone please explain this joke to me:
"...and tweets with ridiculous autocorrect ('cot for choice,' never forget)..."
I'm not saying it's not funny - I just don't get it because I don't know what it's referring to.
I read somewhere that the kid beat himself up about it and apologized to Stanton, whereupon Stanton said something like "It's okay bro, it happens, that's baseball."
No, you should think about it and remember it fondly. It shows Segura's a good kid, and you had the good fortune to observe that in person. Plus, he had the good fortune to meet an esteemed Baseball Prospectus writer, so everybody wins.
Forsythe = "super utility", playing everywhere, even OF in a pinch. Gyorko = every day 2B.
"He probably thought I was an Angels employee. It was so darling, how he assumed I had any value whatsoever."
Perhaps - or maybe it just shows that his mama raised him right. You don't walk into a room of two people and introduce yourself to one of them and ignore the other one, no matter what you think about the "value" of either person.
Amazon sent me an e-mail yesterday saying the 2013 book has shipped. I thought I remembered somebody here saying somewhere that they'll put the top 101 up here on the web site once the book ships.
I remember that - he was no 1981 Mickey Klutts, but yes, a very good card.
I also remember whenever Garcia came up, we would pronounce it "Damn Asshole" Garcia. Not that we had anything against or even knew anything about the guy, we were just 10-12 year old boys.
I'm not saying I agree with Pedro's "Ramon is our ace" proclamation - I'm just saying that I wouldn't compare Ramon, whose career was stellar compared to the careers of 90% of the pitchers who ever stood on a mound, to a guy whose "career line spans three games."
I loved it when, after the Red Sox signed Ramon, Pedro would tell anyone who would listen that he had become the #2 starter because Ramon was the team's new ace.
Word!! Great article, and I totally agree.
(1) RE: "What would happen if you attempted to throw a ball into a 24-inch-by-21-inch space from 60.5 feet away?" It blows my mind whenever hitters get offended by pitchers throwing inside. I'm not saying pitchers never intentionally drill hitters - sure, it happens all the time. But the way many hitters crowd the plate, the difference between a strike over the inside corner and a HBP in the ribs can be less than 12 inches. Do these sensitive hitters think they could hit a 12-inch-diameter target from 60.5 feet away with any consistency?
(2) It also blows my mind when hitters whine about called strike threes. Did these guys not play Little League? "Protect the plate" means don't let the ump punch you out - with 2 strikes on you, you have to swing at anything close, even if it's just to foul it off. Anyone who ever played has heard this a hundred times, and yet we still see major league players whine about called strike threes. So what if the pitch missed the plate? Okay, the ump made the wrong call - but you've been taught not to let that happen, haven't you?
(3) It seems like way too often you see this - an OF loses a routine fly ball in the sun or whatever, and it pops out of his glove and to the ground. However, the batter was jogging out of the box, surely thinking, "Why should I run full speed on this one? It's a routine fly ball, surely the guy is going to catch it...," and he ends up on first base when he could have made second base standing up had he hustled right out of the box.
Again, I totally agree with the article and I enjoy watching and marvel at the skill displayed by pro ballplayers at the MLB level - hell, I marvel at the skill displayed at the Low-A level - but the above-listed phenomena have always puzzled me and I guess they always will.
Ramon Martinez had a pretty good career. Sure, it pales in comparison to Pedro's (most do), but surely not at a Henry Mathewsonian level.
Are you kidding me? You only have the brown mustard here? Everyone prefers the yellow mustard, don't they?
I see Evans > Crosby as an enormous upgrade, but I guess I just have some inexplicable affection for Nick Evans, much like my inexplicable Craig Wilson affection.
MIL should send the Dodgers a bag of balls for Nick Evans, and then go with a Nick Evans / Taylor Green platoon.
"Closer void"? Grilli will have them saying "Hanra-who?"
Pirates = Tabata vs. Snider, and the Pirates WILL "contend" until at least mid-July.
Padres 2B = Gyorko vs Forsythe?
I'd be enthused about Captain Kirk in CF if I was a Mets fan.
"John Mozeliak is much more likely to stay in-house for a replacement, as he has promising young options in right-handers Joe Kelly, Shelby Miller, and Trevor Rosenthal."
Any chance two of those 3 beat out Lance Lynn, or would it have to be a total meltdown by (or injury to) Lynn for that to happen?
After-kick = cue the Pedro comp.
Guided by Rose:
Or even Kim Batiste.
Ronny Cedeno, a lousy hitter? No way - I saw him hit a home run (over the fence) one time for the Pirates.
He's Scott Brosius
And he knows just what it
Takes to make Scott Brosis
Less Delmon Young, more Delwyn (Strasburg-killer) Young.
Thank you for not including Kris Medlen.
Does anyone know of a good place to post an invitation to join a league, like a "Rotisserie Want Ads" web site? We had a couple of teams drop out of our league and I'd like to replace them, but so far I haven't gotten any response from a listing I put on Craigslist.
Thanks for that - I've monkeyed around in Baseball Reference quite a bit, but I never noticed a "clutch" category in the splits. Good thing it wasn't a snake or it would have bit me. Also, I agree with your caveats re: statistical significance, i.e., whether there's anything there to bolster the anecdotal. An observation that "Johnny Grubb kills the Red Sox" is easy enough to prove, but my observation that "Adam Laroche only homers when the game is out of reach" might not be.
I know it's well settled that "clutch" (or the lack thereof) is a myth, but still, I was wondering if BP or anyone else has ever compiled data re: home runs hit at various score differences in the games. It's probably just a fluke, but it seems like any time I ever saw Adam Laroche homer, it was when his team was up or down by 6 or more runs.
Jansen will surely supplant League before the ASB.
I only just recently subscribed to cable. Did MLB Network cover the winter meetings, and if so, was the coverage good?
Also, someone above described the network as "failing." Is that just a reference to "failing" to produce watchable off-season content, or "failing" in that they'll probably shut the whole thing down?
I've liked what little I've seen of MLB Network's in-season programming on TV at friends' houses. Sure, Millar is god-awful (just as he was a god-awful player), but most of the guys are watchable, and it's a thousand times better than "Baseball Tonight".
Let's not forget Rich Dauer.
What do you expect for $34.95 a year?
Isn't COL set at MI with Rutledge and Story?
They'll all be laughing out the other sides of their mouths once Jedd Gyorko starts raking the Padres to the top of the NL West.
Don Mattingly scuffled to a .610 OPS in 40 plate appearances against Bud Black, and Bruce Bochy never even faced him.
Mark it Matt Carpenter
On May 17, 2001, Klesko hit the hardest-hit ball I have ever seen.
Armando Benitez was pitching for the Mets, trailing 15 to 2 in the top of the 8th at Shea Stadium, with a 2-and-1 count on Klesko. He uncorked a 98-mph fastball around neck-high. Why Klesko would be looking for something up there is a mystery, but for whatever reason he was locked in on it before it even left Benitez's hand. Klesko turned on it and swung from his heels with everything he had, somehow keeping the bat level and squaring it up, and you could almost hear his whispered "oof" at contact.
Todd Zeile was playing first, holding on baserunner Mike Colangelo. The ball screamed over Zeile's head and was one-hopping the fence before Zeile even reacted by ducking/flailing, a purely self-defense reaction which wouldn't have made a difference. If the ball was a few feet lower it would have exploded his face before he even had a chance to flinch.
"With that in mind, a first baseman capable of hitting left-handed pitching at a high level would probably be a sufficient upgrade."
Mark it NRI Craig Wilson: 917 career OPS vs. LHP, only 36 years old.
And let's not forget Billy Jo Robidoux.
"That idea is ridiculous upon its face. UPON IT'S FACE, SIR!"
"It's" = "it is"
- Grammar Park Ranger
So, were Lawrie and Farrell right to be upset? The short answer is “yes.”
Lawrie and Farrell should remember what their little league coaches tried to teach them - protect the plate when you have two strikes, if it's anywhere close then swing at it, etc. If you get caught looking at strike three, then it's your own fault, even if the pitch didn't cross the plate. An inch or two is close enough.
Whither Gregor Blanco, i.e., Bruce Bochy's favorite player?
(Please forgive me if you've heard that one a few thousand times already)
No, not THAT mother-scratcher!! Bill PAR-ker!!
Oh yeah, no, you did, but uhh, you know, you spent most of your time, uhh, occupying various, uhhh, administration buildings, uhh...
"Bad Lieutenant" *** SPOILER WARNING***
"...as Keitel (his character's name is never revealed)..."
In the credits he's referred to as LT, which isn't a name per se, but it's still great however you look at it.
"I've always wondered if Strawberry has seen the movie, as Keitel... rampages against him..."
If I remember correctly, it's Kal Daniels' down-by-1-run game-ending GIDP with Strawberry on deck that prompts Keitel to rampage, shoot his car radio and start crying. When he realizes he's at stopped at a red light and pedestrians are staring at him, lights up the roof and wails away.
It's true that he focuses his gambling hopes on Strawberry carrying the Dodgers to victory, but even as he loses Games 4, 5 and 6, he deludes himself into thinking it's all in service of Game 7, even telling his worried bookie, "It couldn't have gone aaannny uuutther wayeee..." He even goes so far as to claim (falsely, of course) to have been in attendance at Game 6 and to have looked into Strawberries "eyeeez" in order to come to that conclusion.
By the time we get to Game 7, the culmination of events in the story have already left LT resigned to his fate. He watches the game in a bar and leaves quietly after Strawberry whiffs to end it. He has the money in the shoebox to pay the bookies and keep living, but has decided instead to give the money to the low-life scumbag nun-rapers and let the mob guys kill him, thereby maybe earning his salvation, who knows?
Anyways, I wouldn't be disturbed by it if I were Strawberry. Kal Daniels, on the other hand...
Baseball players can't fight. The so-called "basebrawl" is merely a ninny slap-fest in which none of the participants have the will or the skill to throw a proper punch.
"You know, just you're ordinary home run."
Grammar Park Ranger alert...
Narveson looked sharp against ATL today.
I'd love to play in any league in which James McDonald, Mike Minor or Homer Bailey go for $1.
Todd Helton won't hit one HR.
He's a head case.
PECOTA's not too pleased with Jason Heyward.
Whoever thinks "makeup" is an asset for Kyle Parker will be sorely disappointed.
2011 = Charlie Morton's Big Breakthrough Year
Oh, and another thing that should get you a 3-game suspension - throwing the bat. When you buy a ticket to a ball game, you assume the risk of getting hit by a baseball, but you should NOT have to assume the risk of getting hit by a BAT.
"...play the game like it supposed to be played."
This is the worst cliche ever - just saying it should get you a 3-game suspension.
Everyone claims to "play the game like it's supposed to be played," but NOBODY really does play the game like it's supposed to be played. If you played the game like it's supposed to be played, you would sprint down the first-base line every time you put the ball in play, even if you hit a come-backer to the pitcher or a pop-up to the first baseman.
I could be wrong - maybe there's some player who never once jogged out of the batter's box after putting a ball in play, but I doubt it.
I think the Reds' GM busts a gut laughing at that offer.
What if Hanley does a Robert Horry to Valentine's Danny Ainge?
I thought this was going to be about Delwyn Young, who drank Stephen Strasburg's milkshake.
I'm thinking Strasburg will just pitch around him if at all possible.
I don't think Strasburg is up at night tossing and turning. I don't think any pitchers are up at night tossing and turning about Pujols or any other hitters. I do, however, think that when pitchers toe the rubber, they have some idea of who has been drinking their milkshake, and that it's on their mind to some extent when they see such a hitter step into the box.
Good point, credit is merited on both counts. I didn't see the "foxtracker", or whatever that little box is called (the one that shows you where the computer says the pitch crossed the plate), but I'm thinking it probably indicated that the ball was well below the bottom line of the little box.
Sometimes a guy just has your number - I think somebody here at BP did a column about it recently. Anyways, for whatever reasons, Delwyn clearly has Strasburg's number. It will be interesting to see how Strasburg reacts if they meet again in September, especially if Delwyn comes up with men on base and pitching around him isn't an option.
Delwyn drank Strasburg's milkshake.
They were all still buzzing from the home run Delwyn hit.
He feasts on Strasburg, so he should probably hold off on retirement until after the Pirates' 3-game series with the Nationals in September.
Delwyn Young won't mind that, given that Strasburg will be having Delwyn Young nightmares for quite a while.
Delwyn Young OWNS Strasburg.
RE: "This month, he’s turned that ratio on it’s head..."
Dude, this is Smokey. Look, I don't wanna be a hard-on about this, and I know it wasn't your fault, but I just thought it was fair to tell you that "It's" = "It is", and "Its" = the possessive of "It"... So, like I say, just thought, you know, fair warning. Tell Walter. I'm sorry.
I don't think he means right now. I think he means, like, 20 years from now. Who knows, maybe he'll still have a mid-90's fastball at age 40? Or maybe he'll lose a lot of velocity over the years, and have to "re-invent himself" or whatever as a "crafty/guile" pitcher.
Mark it - Tajh Boyd will beat out Kyle Parker for the starting QB job at Clemson.
Whoops - I just saw that you covered it in yesterday's update. Thanks!!
Any idea re: ERD for Ryan Hanigan?
Any information re: Scotty Olsen, in terms of the severity of his injury, prospects for recovery, expected return date, etc.?
Indeed, but by "status," I was referring specifically to the nature of the injury that landed him on the DL, the expected duration thereof, prospects for recovery, etc.
What's the status on Scotty Olsen?
Okay then - I just changed the "Minimum $$" setting to negative-10, and now I see Leake and Mejia. Sorry for the previous posts, please disregard, etc.
Hmm... I think I just answered my own (dumb) question. I just re-ran a dummy PFM using Holds as the only category, and Mejia came up at a value of $13. I guess now I can conclude that, in my "Bookmark This Page" PFM, with my league's basic 5X5 categories, Mejia's and Leake's projected value must be less than $0.01?
Sorry to follow up one dumb question with another - thanks for your help!!
Hmm, maybe I'm doing something wrong. I ran the PFM a few days ago (before the announcement that Leake and Mejia had made their respective NL teams) after entering my league's keepers and salaries. Neither Mejia nor Leake showed up at all in the PFM.
I did do the "Bookmark This Page" thing so I wouldn't have to re-enter my league's keepers, and re-ran the PFM, and neither Leake nor Mejia are showing up. Maybe I need to start from scratch (i.e., re-enter my league's keepers and salaries) to make Leake and Mejia show up in the PFM?
Whither Jennry Mejia? Mike Leake?
Whither Jeff Baker, starting 2B?
Has anyone studied warm-up pitches or practice pitches or whatever?
A pitcher might only pitch 50 innings in a season, but if he throws 20,000 practice pitches on his off-days, then over the course of the season his arm would have been worked harder than a guy who pitched 200 innings in games but didn't throw very much at all on his off-days.
Who the f--- are the Kenutsens?
And let's also not forget... let's NOT forget, Dude... that keeping wildlife, uhhh... an amphibious rodent, for... uhhh, you know, domestic... within the city... that ain't legal either.
Walter, this isn't a guy who built the railroads here... this is a guy...
The Chinaman is not the issue here, Dude! I'm talking about drawing a line in the sand, Dude. Across this line you do not - also, Dude, "Chinaman" is NOT the preferred nomenclature, uhh... "Asian-American," please.
I tried Atheism for a while, but I got tired of all the fundamentalism and dogma.
Zork was a pretty good game.
Man, you needn't travel far / to feel completely alive / on Strawberry Philadelphia Drive
"You're not wrong, Walter..."