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It's well established that he can't throw to first. He's not playing a clever game. It's a phobia or something.
Thanks, but actually I was thinking of first base pickoffs. Is his rate with Lester on the mound increased? It's sort of a minimal empirical hurdle to accept the author's claim, which is very unusual on its face.
The numbers on Ross catching runners with Lester on the mound?
You forgot <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=19985">Rod Carew</a></span>, 1969. If the umpire hadn't blown the call on the eighth, he'd have the single season record. Ibid <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Billy+Martin">Billy Martin</a></span>.
Sano will be in right. Pecota isn't up to speed on that?
Frequently in extra innings the power hitters are out of the game because of a sub for defense or pinch running.
Also returning from <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=23954">Tommy John</a></span> surgery, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Miguel+Sano">Miguel Sano</a></span> in his major league debut for the Twins.
Fidrych is the one. Criteria might be flawed...? But also a really fine article with an interesting question. Thanks.
I'm not clear why the divisor was IP instead of BF. Perhaps that difference is not a difference.
Guys, you have included a mistake. The error did not spoil the no hitter. It was a no hitter. What you meant to say is that the error spoiled the perfect game for the first time since the Uribe error.
Correction. Error didn't spoil a no-no, it spoiled a perfecto.
Ben Revere was thrown out at home on attempted inside the park homers on two occasions while he was a Twin. Does he hold the record for most times thrown out trying to stretch a triple without having a home run? I wouldn't be surprised.
Also, the accounting on the Hardy for Gomez trade is off. If all of Hardy's upside counts against Smith, then he gets credit for all of it when he brought him in.
Probably, but this argument lacks a denominator.
The accounting on the Santana trade is a little inaccurate since he was in his last contract year. But the parallel to Liriano and other trades by other teams is striking.
You have the causality backward. The obstinacy is in the management, not the players. Ortiz is "obstinate"? Ask the Red Sox fans who love Papi. That Smith couldn't figure out the value of his own players to other teams was his great failing and there is no excuse for it. To give away talent because you are unable to get along with your players is very foolish, to say the least.
Hit List Factor: it says that it's the average of four columns (actual, W1, W2, W3). Is that a mistake? If not, why is the O's number smaller than all four columns?
Would it have been worth republishing with an altered filename so that it would appear to be a new podcast? Maybe not. Different types of order.
Maybe it's just me, but as a subscriber to the podcast through iTunes, thought you should know that the ep 132 came a second time as 133 instead of what I'm listening to here. I thought you accidentally sent 132 again, but now I come here and 133 is available as itself.
Lonnie Smith's baserunning blunder? Or the greatest defensive play in Series history without touching the ball? Gagne and Knoblauch did it and it happened to save the game and the Series.
I hope this column is discontinued for next season.
I can't believe BP is covering this.
I would propose three umps on the field and one in the press box.
Why are you taking out information that we enjoyed? Personally, I thought the Elo numbers were most interesting, because as a chess player I know how to read that number. It happened to capture peaks and valleys in each team's proficiency in a way that your authoritarian method completely fails at. So you trained us for years to understand what your numbers meant and now you want to try to impose your view of what's valuable or interesting. No history. Fewer numbers to index. Opaque methodology. A complete failure. You get an F.
evo34 makes the salient point. No control group = empty conclusion. Plus, I think it would be very interesting to look at season long results before and after a concussion. Are there long term implications?
Small sample sizes don't bother you? So let's have a look... You also believe that Gardner's OBP will be .176 this year? At least you're consistent.
Delmon's bloop hit was with a full count, accounting for Mauer scoring from first on a short hit.
Steve, you are clueless about the quality of the Twins offense. Do the reading before the writing. Thanks.
I think it's possible to account for the throws to first as a cause in making it easier to steal. The runner gets a look at the pitcher's move to first, so after a pickoff attempt he can steal on it. Yes, that's speculation, but it fits the data.
I don't think it's true that the runner would be able to indulge in a big lead. He can still be picked off (that's no ball), and in fact the pitchers would probably stop throwing over the first time just to be on the safe side.
The saving in time could be rather large, and I think the fans would enjoy the tension of the situation.
I'm with you on this objection. Something is off.
One straightforward method to evaluate GMs is just on revenue growth. This method penalizes them for their success in that regard.
I think there's something squishy about what exactly we're taking the measure of. If profit is the goal, measure that and forget about wins. If efficient use of payroll for competitive advantage is the sine qua non, this method is inferior to the previous. If efficient use of available payroll is more fair, put in a factor for revenue pct used.
This method is neither fish nor fowl.