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Prospectus Hit List for July 13



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for July 10 Hit List for July 17
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

We'll never forgive the Marlins for their Dinger Machine negligence.

Rk TmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

45

47

43.6

41.0

42.4

.467

.472

0.0%

7.8%

7.8%

0.3%

-1.8%

Congrats to Mike Trout on being responsible for the second-most-anticipated return to television this week.
2

53

36

55.1

54.0

53.0

.604

.599

1.5%

91.9%

93.4%

0.6%

-1.8%

It must be tough for Paul Goldschmidt, what with every up-and-coming first base prospect being labeled The Next Paul Goldschmidt.
3

42

45

39.2

39.2

37.4

.453

.448

0.4%

1.5%

1.9%

-0.4%

-0.2%

“For Inciarte, All-Star Game was toast to 1st half” reads the Braves.com headline with a very firm grasp on what the All-Star Game is for.
4

42

46

36.4

33.7

35.7

.420

.425

0.5%

3.2%

3.7%

0.5%

1.0%

There are 40-year-old gas grills with more effective starters than the Orioles. They entered the break with the worst team ERA (5.07) in baseball, and the second-worst (5.75) among SP.
5

50

39

51.3

50.0

48.8

.562

.567

58.9%

27.8%

86.7%

-0.5%

-3.6%

Dave Dombrowski said the Red Sox won’t look to add starting pitching help at the deadline, so consider them the front-runners for Sonny Gray and/or Jose Quintana.
6

38

49

40.3

39.7

39.4

.452

.457

0.2%

0.8%

1.1%

0.3%

-0.5%

One imagines the White Sox will bump “The Graduation Song” by Vitamin C throughout their clubhouse between now and Jul 31.
7

43

45

44.0

46.8

46.9

.513

.508

32.1%

7.5%

39.6%

-1.1%

-19.0%

The Cubs playing the “no one believed in us” card when they’re 10 games over .500 by August 15th is gonna be miserable.
8

39

49

40.3

40.2

40.4

.454

.449

0.6%

0.1%

0.8%

-0.0%

0.4%

Joey Votto’s “levels of choking up” explainer makes no sense. Why do you have to choke up to walk?
9

47

40

51.3

54.9

53.8

.595

.600

90.9%

4.3%

95.2%

0.2%

5.0%

Brad Mills brought a Terry Francona cut-out to the All-Star Game. The Boston Globe described the cut-out as “uninspiring” and “two-dimensional.”
10

52

39

49.7

46.5

46.6

.535

.530

0.3%

75.9%

76.2%

0.5%

-1.2%

The Rockies are off to their best start in franchise history and are still 9.5 games behind the Dodgers, so that says quite a bit about Rockies franchise history.
11

39

48

40.4

40.8

40.5

.462

.467

1.0%

3.0%

3.9%

-0.4%

-0.3%

Apparently Michael Fulmer works as a plumber in the offseason. I wonder what he thinks about all that sewage in Detroit’s bullpen.
12

60

29

59.7

61.7

60.9

.681

.685

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If the Astros have the Athletics’ first half in the second half they’d still probably make the playoffs.
13

44

43

40.8

38.6

40.3

.470

.475

3.8%

12.4%

16.2%

-0.9%

-8.8%

Sal Perez is to exhibition games what Kenny McCormick is to South Park.
14

61

29

62.1

62.9

62.6

.691

.686

98.2%

1.8%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

You know the look your dog gives you when he knows he’s been a not great boy? That’s the look the Dodgers are giving Rob Manfred after his 10-day DL comments.
15

41

46

41.6

43.4

43.8

.488

.483

1.7%

4.6%

6.2%

0.4%

2.5%

What the hell is the point of having a giant dinger machine if you don’t turn it on during the Home Run Derby????
16

50

41

50.0

46.4

45.8

.528

.523

46.4%

6.8%

53.2%

0.1%

12.0%

Travis Shaw hit .299/.367/.570 in the first half. He’s the most successful Brewer from Boston since the guy who started Sam Adams.
17

45

43

38.1

37.4

37.3

.449

.454

4.1%

13.7%

17.8%

-0.3%

-2.7%

“Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are so big,” you exclaim while Miguel Sano is off to the side fighting Godzilla and Mothra at the same time.
18

45

41

52.4

55.2

54.4

.602

.606

26.4%

41.1%

67.5%

0.5%

-6.4%

My favorite part of the Home Run Derby was when Aaron Judge crushed Justin Bour’s skull in his hands as Ellaria Sand looked on, horrified.
19

39

47

38.3

37.3

37.4

.442

.437

0.6%

2.5%

3.2%

0.1%

-1.2%

How many days away are we from people interpreting Amed Rosario saying he’s “100% ready” for the majors as a sign he’s a malcontent? I’ll say five.
20

39

50

35.8

39.9

42.0

.440

.445

0.0%

2.5%

2.5%

0.5%

-0.1%

Yonder Alonso is so locked in right now he even stole a base in the All-Star Game. Joe Girardi is gonna love this guy.
21

29

58

33.8

32.5

32.9

.368

.364

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

A truly productive break for the Phillies. When was the last time this team went four-plus days in between losses?
22

42

47

41.8

40.1

40.3

.462

.457

4.5%

1.4%

5.9%

-0.2%

1.9%

“J-Hay, baseball magnet, can’t explain HBPs,” says Pirates.com. Lose the magnet, idiot.
23

38

50

30.5

33.0

34.6

.387

.382

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

Death, taxes and the Padres shipping off a good reliever who’ll only be mediocre for his new team at the trade deadline. You can’t fight fate, Brad Hand.
24

43

47

44.6

44.4

44.8

.491

.496

0.0%

13.5%

13.5%

-0.9%

-0.6%

You’ve got to be impressed with what Robinson Cano did in the All-Star Game. I mean, a Mariners player not getting injured ... can you believe it?
25

34

56

34.8

32.3

32.8

.372

.367

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

Everyone keeps saying Madison Bumgarner has made his last rehab start but he’s slated to take on the Padres on Saturday, so ...
26

43

45

45.4

46.4

47.4

.517

.512

16.4%

5.2%

21.5%

-0.3%

7.1%

Did you see that Nelson Cruz/Joe West picture? Yadier Molina truly is amazing at framing.
27

47

43

46.6

49.9

49.9

.537

.542

13.2%

38.2%

51.4%

0.7%

13.3%

In earning Futures Game MVP honors, Brent Honeywell proved he’s exactly the type of talented young arm the Rays love to squander.
28

43

45

46.9

42.3

42.8

.497

.502

0.0%

26.2%

26.2%

0.8%

5.1%

The Rangers realllllllly need bullpen help. Look for top prospects like Lewis Brinson to get moved at the deadline in order to bolster the ... oh. Oh no.
29

41

47

37.4

38.9

39.8

.446

.451

1.0%

5.4%

6.4%

-0.7%

0.4%

With Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette rocketing up our prospect rankings it’s nice to see that nepotism is still a viable path to success in this world.
30

52

36

52.6

55.0

52.8

.604

.599

97.3%

0.7%

98.0%

0.3%

-0.6%

A+ cleats, a 29% probability catch, a hit off Chris Sale and the best hair on the planet. Not a bad All-Star Game for Mr. Harper.