Quantcast

Prospectus Hit List for May 6



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for May 2 Hit List for May 9
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

'This Hit List is stupid.' -Adam LaRoche

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLF AHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

21

6

22.6

23.2

23.0

.706

.701

92.1%

6.0%

98.0%

0.8%

2.6%

The Cubs are 20-6. Their expected record based on runs scored and allowed is 22-4. Not enough snakes and clowns in the locker room, Joe Maddon!
2

19

9

19.6

20.3

19.5

.624

.619

47.3%

38.5%

85.8%

-1.7%

9.5%

Way to make Scott Boras' head explode: Daniel Murphy is out-hitting Bryce Harper. Therefore Harper should sign an extension for less than three years, $37.5 million.
3

17

10

18.3

17.7

16.1

.605

.600

48.8%

37.1%

85.9%

-1.8%

0.4%

Sure the Mets rotation is better than their bullpen, but how much better would you be at your job if you had Noah Syndergaard on your side?
4

17

11

17.6

18.3

17.3

.577

.582

64.9%

7.9%

72.8%

2.4%

17.3%

Felix Hernandez's average fastball has dropped eight miles-per-hour since 2007. His hair is still 100 mph worth of awesome though.
5

17

11

16.6

16.8

16.6

.572

.577

50.5%

21.3%

71.8%

7.2%

17.2%

Travis Shaw is a career .256/.319/.395 hitter in 158 Triple-A games. In the majors, he's hit .280/.341/.491. This proves once and for all my theory that Germans love David Hasselhoff.
6

19

10

17.1

17.6

17.3

.569

.574

43.5%

28.4%

72.0%

-3.9%

-0.5%

First place and with the best record in the American League. I bet Adam LaRoche is sitting at home muttering, 'kids are stupid' over and over.
7

13

12

14.5

14.1

14.7

.563

.568

44.5%

27.6%

72.1%

4.1%

-0.5%

Two of the Indians five leading hitters by WARP are Rajai Davis and Marlon Byrd. If they can only get Jeff Francoeur they'll complete the set!
8

14

14

15.2

17.1

16.2

.569

.564

66.8%

10.0%

76.8%

2.4%

-2.6%

It's a shame Vin Scully isn't doing games on the road. Teams can't give him gifts lauding him for having the same range as Derek Jeter during their final seasons.
9

15

14

18.9

19.5

19.1

.566

.561

3.4%

26.6%

30.0%

0.9%

-7.0%

You have to admire the Cardinals for not playing Jeremy Hazelbaker all the time. It's like saving the best bite of a sundae. It's willful denial of something wonderful for no other reason than puritan ideals.
10

15

15

16.6

16.0

16.3

.531

.535

16.9%

22.0%

38.9%

3.2%

8.1%

Brett Cecil hates being booed. Blue Jays fans hate bad pitching. Our sport is getting too partisan!
11

12

14

11.8

14.2

14.7

.528

.533

21.2%

22.8%

44.0%

-3.4%

-8.6%

Kevin Cash is Joe Maddon without a sense of humor, so maybe actually better than Joe Maddon.
12

16

11

15.0

15.5

15.1

.521

.526

7.4%

12.5%

19.9%

1.0%

-1.8%

The Orioles are the only major-league team yet to hit a triple. Yes, the Braves have no triples either, but I said, 'major-league team.'
13

15

15

15.0

15.9

15.8

.519

.514

21.2%

16.3%

37.5%

-4.7%

-3.6%

Tim Lincecum is having a pitching showcase today, though he'll also feature homemade snacks as well as local arts and crafts.
14

15

13

14.3

14.7

14.3

.516

.511

4.3%

27.7%

32.0%

-0.7%

-6.0%

The Cubs swept Pittsburgh, dropping them to six games back in just three days. As a Washington Capitals fan, I just thought I'd point that out.
15

14

13

13.9

13.7

13.3

.501

.506

8.0%

15.9%

23.9%

-4.7%

1.8%

The black ink on Justin Verlander's Baseball-Reference page has moved from strikeouts, ERA, and wins, to earned runs. Just three years and $84 million left, Tigers fans. After this year, of course.
16

15

12

13.2

14.6

14.8

.503

.498

3.3%

18.4%

21.7%

3.3%

10.0%

The Marlins are suing a season ticket holder. Apparently they don't know fans are supposed to attend their games.
17

14

14

14.2

15.2

15.4

.495

.490

6.3%

5.7%

12.0%

2.1%

6.7%

What's more surprising, that the Rockies don't lead baseball in runs score, or that they don't lead baseball in runs allowed?
18

15

14

14.6

12.3

12.6

.473

.478

10.9%

7.2%

18.1%

-2.5%

-4.1%

Now that Adrian Beltre has re-signed, they need to make sure Elvis Andrus will be around. [checks his contract] Done!
19

10

19

11.9

12.2

11.5

.469

.474

13.2%

9.5%

22.7%

-3.0%

-6.1%

One regular Astros starter has an ERA under 4.00. If you guessed Scott Feldman you are A) a very sad and mean person, and B) right.
20

14

13

11.9

11.6

11.7

.461

.466

3.5%

8.1%

11.6%

0.4%

-2.6%

According to our Playoff Odds Report, the Royals have an 11.2 percent chance of making the playoffs, or, to put that in a way Royals fans will understand, yay you're going to the playoffs!!!
21

13

15

12.9

11.3

11.0

.451

.456

4.9%

4.1%

9.0%

0.1%

-3.9%

Angels hitters have struck out the fewest times of any team in baseball, a rate that far exceeds their front office's player personnel record. Remember, Sussman is the funny guy, I'm the unnecessarily mean guy.
22

9

17

9.8

10.2

10.5

.449

.454

4.0%

6.4%

10.5%

-1.8%

-8.6%

The mere fact that a 40-year-old DH going on the DL will actually hurt the team about sums up where the Yankees are right now.
23

13

16

12.5

11.5

11.7

.447

.452

6.1%

4.1%

10.2%

0.6%

-4.8%

Billy Butler's contract.
24

12

18

12.1

13.0

14.7

.456

.451

3.5%

2.9%

6.4%

-1.0%

-10.1%

Rule 437B.2 of the baseball rulebook says if you attempt to take a selfie with a player who has fallen into the stands, any and all rules against cannibalism pertaining to you are immediately and permanently suspended.
25

16

13

11.2

11.6

12.3

.433

.428

0.6%

4.7%

5.3%

-1.0%

1.0%

The Phillies have three good starters and a winning record. This season must be the 1,000,001st simulation out of 1,000,000.
26

12

17

11.8

10.5

10.6

.427

.422

2.1%

2.1%

4.2%

1.5%

2.2%

MLB.com's dating site is up and a great way to meet eligible singles if you're not so busy, say, between the hours of 7pm and 10pm.
27

8

20

9.7

10.5

10.2

.416

.420

0.5%

2.0%

2.5%

0.4%

-2.9%

Byung-ho Park is slugging .595. He parked .714 last season in Korea last season. Oh, in Korea they say he Parked.
28

12

17

9.7

7.8

9.2

.395

.390

0.1%

1.9%

1.9%

0.5%

-1.5%

You are at a party. You meet an attractive person. You talk to them. You smile. They smile. Things are going well. Your friend comes over and tells the story about the time you fart-pooped in chemistry class. Your friend is the Reds bullpen.
29

11

17

10.0

7.7

7.5

.395

.390

0.2%

2.1%

2.3%

-0.6%

-1.4%

The Brewers should trade Ryan Braun. You should take a shower. Neither will happen, but both should.
30

7

20

7.7

7.2

9.0

.351

.346

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.1%

The Braves are considering changing their manager, which is like a hoarder thinking, 'Ya know I really should dust this end table.'