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Prospectus Hit List for September 17



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for September 15 Hit List for September 19
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Don't sleep on this Hit List!

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff% 1-Day7-Day
1

81

69

87.6

83.3

82.9

.558

.578

0.0%

36.3%

36.3%

17.0%

-11.5%

All things considered, Endy Chavez is having a breakout season. For Endy Chavez.
2

79

72

75.6

75.6

74.9

.505

.485

1.5%

26.9%

28.4%

1.8%

9.3%

Quietly, Milwaukee made a nice little pickup with Gerardo Parra. Noisily, Milwaukee fell down the stairs down the stretch Chevy Chase-as-Gerald Ford-style.
3

77

73

75.7

75.8

74.6

.505

.525

0.1%

4.0%

4.0%

1.2%

-2.0%

Jason Giambi doesn't need a retirement tour. Just an open field to stand and gaze toward the mountains.
4

80

70

79.2

82.3

82.7

.540

.520

10.8%

63.5%

74.3%

1.0%

18.2%

You don't know who John Holdzkom is, but he's the feel-good reliever story of the month. Make up your own cool story while you're at it. John Holdzkom was discovered, let's say, at Walgreen's.
5

83

68

82.6

84.7

83.8

.553

.533

11.1%

87.6%

98.7%

0.5%

0.1%

Maybe if Sergio Romo asks people nicely, the opposing batters won't swing?
6

70

80

68.7

64.0

64.8

.446

.426

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Just so we're clear, it's a "Maddux" if the guy throws a complete game under 100 pitches, and a "Cashner" if he did it with a beard.
7

74

78

77.2

83.3

83.4

.523

.543

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Why did Jose Molina help present Derek Jeter with a "framed" jers... oh I get it!
8

69

82

68.7

66.9

68.2

.452

.432

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

It's best to keep Ryan Howard next season, because they already put a downpayment on a giant cake that says "CONGRATULATIONS RYAN ON YOUR 350TH HOME RUN." And they don't want the money to go to waste!
9

58

92

59.0

56.8

59.3

.388

.408

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Adrian Beltre has the second-best OPS+ of his career, which means from now on he will perform well if surrounded by sadness.
10

73

79

75.4

69.9

69.8

.474

.454

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.2%

"We had joy, we had fun, we had Curtis Granderson..."
11

64

87

68.4

67.6

67.6

.443

.463

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Kennys Vargas almosts hads as cycles buts couldn'ts hits as doubles.
12

94

57

91.6

93.6

92.7

.616

.634

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

By the time Mike Trout evolves into a Triple Crown-winner, they'll just end up giving the MVP to the guy with the highest WAR.
13

86

65

85.1

90.3

88.0

.578

.559

88.9%

11.1%

100.0%

0.0%

0.1%

Prediction: Clayton Kershaw will win the NL Cy Young. And possibly the AL Cy Young. And the previous three AL Cy Youngs. And a regional Emmy.
14

87

63

89.2

89.2

88.2

.589

.570

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.1%

They clinched the division! Now for Phase Two: Quebec secedes from Canada and becomes annexed into America's capital.
15

62

89

64.1

63.4

63.1

.418

.399

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Unlike the game RISK, the Diamondbacks are never again going to start a campaign in Australia.
16

91

60

87.7

85.5

85.6

.579

.599

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

They're AL East champions, but can the average Oriole fan name a single player? You can, if you legally change Steve Pearce's name to Boog Powell.
17

66

85

66.1

67.7

68.8

.445

.464

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Questions this offseason: do you keep Rusney Castillo in Triple-A for another year to defend Pawtucket's Triple-A title?
18

69

82

66.2

67.1

66.8

.446

.465

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Perhaps Robin Ventura makes so many pitching changes because he know every trip will most certainly not end in a headlock.
19

67

84

66.6

72.3

72.7

.461

.441

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

One more near-no-hitter by Jake Arrieta and the next one's half off!
20

71

81

73.7

69.3

70.1

.467

.447

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

You can't jinx a no-hitter, so it's pointless to think you can do anything that will let the Reds get a hit in the first few innings.
21

60

91

66.7

68.6

64.9

.431

.411

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

I wonder how many more tickets the Rockies would have sold if they billed it as "featuring 20-game winner Tyler Matzek*" and then in smaller print "* - including all career minor league games." At least eight more tickets.
22

67

84

65.7

67.7

70.0

.448

.468

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Through all the losses, Orbit is quickly asserting himself as one of the top mascots, meaning in 2017 they can trade him at the deadline for a bullpen arm.
23

73

77

72.2

72.4

71.4

.482

.462

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-1.9%

Brad Penny is still pitching in the majors. As in, he is still in a game that is going on between pitches.
24

76

74

71.0

69.8

70.6

.479

.499

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.6%

This is going to be super-awkward when it's the Yankees' turn to give Derek Jeter a gift and they totally space.
25

77

73

77.7

77.5

77.1

.515

.535

0.0%

0.6%

0.6%

-0.6%

-2.0%

Helping someone clinch the division is like helping someone move. In a couple years they owe you to return the favor.
26

83

68

76.6

79.5

79.0

.526

.506

87.7%

10.1%

97.9%

-1.2%

-1.2%

Out of habit, Mike Matheny calls for Allen Craig to pinch-hit, and Pete Kozma contemplates just grabbing a bat and seeing who stops him.
27

83

67

92.6

91.3

91.4

.597

.616

0.0%

96.9%

96.9%

-1.6%

0.8%

Somehow, Josh Reddick leads the team in triples with five, two more than Coco Crisp, who missed three months of the season due to a super secret space mission.
28

84

67

81.3

82.6

81.7

.546

.566

85.5%

11.7%

97.2%

-1.7%

12.2%

J.D. Martinez has eight home runs in the ninth inning, or as many as David Wright has on the season.
29

75

76

74.8

74.2

74.0

.493

.473

0.0%

0.8%

0.8%

-2.0%

-24.5%

Their new field, SunTrust Park, is going to be a big win for regional banking but a large affront to faithful moon worshippers.
30

82

68

77.2

71.3

71.5

.503

.523

14.4%

50.4%

64.8%

-14.1%

3.0%

Kelvin Herrera was finally used in the sixth inning. Ned Yost's permit paperwork must have finally been notarized.