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Prospectus Hit List for July 23



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for July 21 Hit List for July 24
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It's never too late to say you're sorry (that you posted the Hit List late).

RkTmWLW1W2 W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

61

38

65.5

62.8

63.1

.637

.656

62.1%

37.4%

99.5%

-0.2%

-0.0%

Despite the best record, the A’s are 24th in attendance. Wouldn’t it be funny if one day they closed off the stadium’s bottom bowl and opened the top by ‘mistake’?
2

59

40

58.3

62.3

61.4

.609

.628

37.0%

61.7%

98.6%

-0.6%

-0.6%

How hard is baseball? Sometimes Mike Trout strikes out against Bud Norris. It's that hard.
3

56

46

56.3

57.9

56.0

.554

.535

53.7%

33.8%

87.5%

-3.3%

-3.0%

Over the last four seasons Carl Crawford has been paid $77 million and been worth four wins.
4

55

43

57.4

56.1

55.5

.571

.552

78.9%

11.1%

89.9%

2.5%

9.7%

Do you think Ryan Zimmerman and Jordan Zimermann ever try to take each other’s tests?
5

53

47

56.9

56.0

55.4

.553

.573

0.9%

39.1%

40.0%

-7.7%

-5.9%

Sure you could focus on his .299 on-base percentage, or you could be positive and hey Willie Bloomquist, leadoff hitter, stole his first base since 2012 yay!
6

54

46

51.3

54.6

54.8

.537

.517

44.5%

19.4%

63.9%

-4.4%

-2.0%

How the Cardinals don’t have t-shirts that say ‘My leadoff hitter is a Carpenter’ I’ll never know. Actually, never mind, I probably know.
7

56

44

54.9

55.1

54.2

.547

.527

46.3%

37.8%

84.1%

4.3%

13.6%

Rumor has the Giants interested in Bartolo Colon though any deal is on hold as seismologists are studying the potential ramifications of Colon and Pablo Sandoval on the same field.
8

48

53

49.3

54.0

54.0

.508

.528

6.6%

3.0%

9.5%

1.4%

4.7%

Joe Maddon said the Rays have to take it one day at a time, and sure it’s no small wonder there have been growing pains because this season has been too close for comfort, but they have family ties and no silver spoons in the clubhouse, so this is a different world now and those are the facts of life.
9

55

42

52.8

54.2

53.1

.554

.574

84.3%

6.1%

90.4%

-1.4%

-3.3%

People looking for positive signs from Justin Verlander might want to start investing heavily in pitcher wins.
10

53

47

50.6

52.2

53.0

.522

.502

16.3%

21.0%

37.3%

6.4%

12.0%

After posting a 6.39 ERA for the Angels, Ernesto Frieri has put up a 6.63 ERA for the Pirates so I guess the scenery around Pittsburgh looks pretty similar.
11

56

45

52.3

52.0

51.7

.525

.505

31.2%

27.0%

58.2%

5.2%

7.0%

Brewers catchers have added the second most strikes of any tandem in baseball. What I’m saying: the Jonathan Lucroy for MVP bus is loading.
12

52

49

51.8

51.3

51.5

.511

.531

18.7%

8.1%

26.9%

1.2%

-6.3%

Apparently Manager John Gibbons was taken in by Dioner Navaro’s new self-help book, “How to win baseball games by batting lousy players in the cleanup spot.”
13

55

44

52.2

51.5

51.5

.531

.551

53.2%

10.7%

63.9%

2.8%

4.9%

The Orioles are 54-44 so if they win their next 45 straight I’ll be able to make a sweet Ivory Soap joke.
14

51

49

51.9

50.7

50.9

.511

.491

8.1%

16.4%

24.5%

-3.8%

-24.2%

Billy Hamilton is on pace to steal 25 more bases and get caught nine more times this season which means he projects to fall down stealing nine more times because how else?
15

54

46

51.9

50.8

50.7

.518

.498

20.4%

31.1%

51.5%

-7.3%

-11.5%

Among bad names for pitchers, Mike Minor is only exceeded by Bob Walk, Homer Bailey, and Jeff Crappypitcher.
16

51

49

50.6

49.7

49.7

.503

.523

10.6%

16.2%

26.8%

4.1%

10.8%

The Indians have received the most innings out of their bullpen, so that explains Terry Francona’s “The one who dies with the most blown-out relievers wins” bumper sticker.
17

47

53

47.6

49.3

49.2

.483

.503

3.2%

2.7%

5.8%

-1.5%

2.5%

Jake Peavy just can’t get any runs. It’s to the point where he can drink the water anywhere he travels with impunity.
18

47

53

51.4

49.2

48.6

.490

.470

0.6%

1.3%

1.9%

0.1%

-1.6%

Curtis Granderson struck out four times in five at-bats which is both so bad and yet imperfect and thus probably the most Mets thing ever.
19

49

50

49.5

46.3

47.7

.486

.506

4.0%

5.4%

9.4%

1.9%

-8.1%

Three hits last night for Mike Moustakas means he’s… [looks at season stats] you know what? Let’s just enjoy the moment.
20

41

57

45.4

47.7

47.4

.463

.443

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

0.0%

Anthony Rizzo hit two homers because he’s a Chicago Cub and someone told him that’s what they do. Wait until he learns the truth!
21

51

48

46.2

45.7

47.0

.480

.500

18.4%

7.5%

25.8%

1.2%

2.6%

The Yankees have received the fewest intentional walks this season so John Sterling hasn’t been able to use his “IT IS HIGH, IT IS WIDE, IT IS… ANOTHER BALL” intentional walk call much.
22

48

53

47.4

46.5

46.6

.467

.487

0.8%

1.5%

2.3%

-0.8%

0.1%

A home run and a strikeout but no walk? Adam Dunn is just mocking me.
23

45

54

46.2

46.4

46.2

.464

.484

0.4%

0.5%

0.9%

-0.4%

-1.5%

The Twins are 1-4 since the All-Star Game because the Home Run Derby ruins everything it touches.
24

47

52

46.8

45.8

45.4

.467

.447

0.2%

0.8%

1.0%

0.3%

0.2%

This season the Marlins are 9-8 when Giancarlo Stanton homers once and 1-2 when he homers twice. When he homers three times the Marlins didn’t even bother to play a game.
25

40

60

44.3

46.1

44.3

.434

.414

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

Last night the Rockies used relievers Bettis, Brown, Brothers, Belisle, and Masset whose first name I really wanted to be Bob but no the Rockies can’t even give me this one small thing.
26

42

58

40.9

42.1

44.3

.423

.443

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

Not signing first overall pick Brady Aiken is a clever way to improve future draft position. We’re on to you, Astros!
27

44

57

43.7

44.0

43.9

.435

.415

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.0%

0.0%

How long before Paul Goldschmidt looks at his team’s record, looks at its front office, and refuses to engage in all gritty activities?
28

43

57

43.4

42.3

43.0

.429

.410

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.2%

How hard do you think opposing GMs laugh when Ruben Amaro tells them some Phillie is “off limits?”
29

43

56

42.9

39.1

39.3

.415

.395

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

After trading Chase Headley, the Padres started Chris Nelson at third base and he went 0-for-4, so, great, he’ll fit right in.
30

40

60

39.0

36.6

38.4

.385

.404

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

When the only run you score is on a J.P. Arencibia homer, well that leaves me without jokes.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


4 comments have been left for this article.
R.A.Wagman

I was on the toilet when I read the Red Sox comment. Oh, the irony...

Jul 23, 2014 14:17 PM
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+1

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newsense

How about Grant Ball Four as a bad name for a pitcher?

Jul 24, 2014 08:24 AM
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+1

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BP staff member Matt Kory

That is a good (bad!) one!

Jul 24, 2014 22:47 PM
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0

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lonechicken

Inspired writeup. Re: Rockies... Reminds me of the year the Braves had a rotation of Maddux, Millwood, Moss, Marquis, and (argh) Glavine.

Jul 24, 2014 11:25 AM
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0

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