Quantcast

Prospectus Hit List for July 14



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for July 11 Hit List for July 21
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Read slowly; it's a long four days until the next Hit List.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div% Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

57

37

56.0

59.7

58.8

.616

.635

41.6%

57.3%

98.9%

0.0%

2.7%

Mike Trout has 73 RBIs, so in addition to doing the things that matter well, he’s also doing the things that don’t matter well.
2

51

44

54.3

53.6

52.6

.557

.576

0.8%

44.2%

45.0%

-6.5%

-6.1%

The Mariners have seen 1,697 fewer pitches than the Red Sox because, according to Seattle’s team doctors, their eyes are closed.
3

59

36

63.1

61.1

61.2

.643

.661

57.7%

42.0%

99.7%

0.5%

0.7%

The A closer is a white bearded and slightly downcast Koji Uehara.
4

52

43

50.7

51.4

50.7

.535

.515

31.4%

38.3%

69.7%

0.8%

-5.0%

Madison Bumgarner went 2-for-3 with a homer and four RBIs. He’s usually a pitcher, you know.
5

52

43

48.9

48.8

49.0

.523

.503

34.5%

29.0%

63.5%

2.3%

-0.3%

Considering his slash line of .162/.241/.231, there is a mathematical case to be made that Dan Uggla could hit better for the Braves if they cut him.
6

51

44

50.8

49.4

49.4

.528

.508

22.6%

27.8%

50.5%

5.0%

19.7%

The Reds hope Joey Votto will be back at some point this season. It can’t take that long to get dry cleaning, can it?
7

53

43

49.8

49.6

49.1

.525

.505

25.3%

25.9%

51.2%

5.0%

-20.1%

Lyle Overbay is hitting as well as Derek Jeter and he probably won’t have a job next year either so where are all his cool presents?
8

54

43

54.3

55.4

53.4

.560

.540

68.6%

22.2%

90.8%

2.3%

-0.4%

Ten strikeouts and no walks in six innings for Hyun-Jin Ryu, though if you run that line through the de-Padrification machine it’s actually five strikeouts and seven walks in two innings. Not good, Ryu!
9

52

44

49.7

52.4

52.4

.538

.518

43.9%

20.5%

64.3%

-10.3%

13.0%

The Cardinals have grounded into 91 double plays, the most in the National League and proof that they’re doing their part to level the playing field.
10

49

46

47.3

49.1

50.0

.514

.494

8.2%

17.3%

25.5%

-5.1%

-6.6%

The Pirates are three games above .500 but with a negative-two run differential, so right about now three teams are rummaging through their pockets wondering where they put that win.
11

51

42

53.6

52.5

52.1

.562

.543

64.1%

16.2%

80.3%

1.7%

-0.1%

Notably Ryan Zimmerman hit a homer and ran around the bases without committing even one throwing error.
12

48

46

47.4

44.4

46.0

.494

.514

4.4%

14.4%

18.8%

4.4%

-3.0%

The Royals should just cut Mike Moustakas already so he can get about the inevitable business of making the All-Star team with the A’s.
13

47

47

46.2

45.7

45.9

.491

.511

4.3%

11.7%

16.1%

2.7%

-0.2%

Two hits including a homer for Yan Gomes gives me the opportunity to point out that “Yan Gomes” anagrams to “Yams Gone.”
14

52

42

49.9

48.8

48.0

.528

.548

50.7%

8.2%

58.9%

7.6%

13.9%

Chris Davis reportedly turned down a $100 million contract extension this past offseason yet has been worth 0.0 WARP this season, proving a hundred million birds in hand is worth two hundred million birds in many fecally-encrusted bushes.
15

49

47

50.0

49.2

49.7

.515

.535

26.8%

7.2%

33.9%

-5.0%

-8.3%

The Blue Jays are privately concerned about the strain slugger Jose Bautista is putting on his right pointer finger by following absolutely everyone ever on twitter.
16

47

47

42.9

42.7

44.1

.470

.490

16.6%

4.9%

21.6%

-4.6%

-6.0%

Now that the deadline is coming the Yankees can finally address their problems at shortstop, second base, third base, right field, the bench, the bullpen, and four out of five rotation spots. Playoffs here we come!
17

53

38

50.7

52.0

51.0

.568

.587

90.1%

4.3%

94.3%

-1.5%

8.2%

It’s been a rough season for Justin Verlander but at least his practical joke of hitting .069/.069/.069 is landing perfectly.
18

44

50

45.3

44.9

44.6

.476

.496

0.8%

1.8%

2.6%

1.0%

1.1%

Phil Hughes has given up nine home runs and 11 walks in 121 innings so far this season. Know how many of those walks came directly before homers? All of ‘em say Twins fans.
19

45

50

49.7

47.5

47.2

.498

.478

1.0%

1.8%

2.7%

-0.3%

1.9%

The Mets scored nine runs, or six if you’re a Mets fan standing on a subway reading this upside down on somebody's phone.
20

45

51

45.6

44.3

44.5

.467

.487

0.5%

1.5%

2.0%

-0.5%

-0.7%

Adam Dunn has a 76 point difference between his BABIP and batting average, which tells us that either Dunn strikes out a lot or he places too strong a premium on patriotic numbers.
21

43

52

43.2

44.4

44.5

.461

.481

2.3%

1.4%

3.7%

1.5%

-0.2%

Clay Buchholz’ complete game, 12-strikeout, no-walk performance could be the breakthrough we need to learn about alien abductions.
22

44

53

45.6

50.8

50.8

.493

.513

3.5%

1.0%

4.6%

0.5%

-1.9%

Some of David Price’s teammates taped “has a” in between the names on his name plate then Andrew Friedman came in and taped “that you probably can’t afford so go ahead and ask but it better be a stronger offer than that or you can just forget it” on the end.
23

44

50

45.0

43.0

42.7

.464

.445

0.3%

0.5%

0.8%

-0.9%

-1.8%

Giancarlo Stanton is struggling, 4-for-his-past-33, so, sure, your dumb team can probably trade its third best prospect and a middle reliever for him right now.
24

42

53

42.3

40.8

41.5

.438

.419

0.1%

0.2%

0.4%

-0.3%

0.3%

Batting the pitcher first gets him out of the way so the rest of the lineup can score more runs must be the reason for batting Grady Sizemore leadoff.
25

40

54

43.6

45.5

45.4

.464

.444

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

-0.1%

-0.5%

Sure the Cubs are still terrible, but Starlin Castro and Anthony Rizzo are back to being promising-young-players status, so pop the corks! Season successful!
26

41

54

40.9

37.4

37.4

.412

.393

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.2%

The Padres go into the break hitting .214/.273/.334 as a team. That means a guy with a .280 on-base percentage can tell his teammates they’re dragging him down.
27

40

56

40.4

41.1

41.0

.423

.404

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.0%

Vidal Nunio had a 5.42 ERA for the Yankees and now has a 3.00 ERA for Arizona because the bad things always happen to the Yankees.
28

40

56

38.6

40.2

42.5

.420

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

0.0%

It’s like someone looked up and saw the number by “wins” getting close to the number by “loses” and yelled STOP IT.
29

40

55

43.1

44.8

42.9

.446

.426

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

-0.2%

-0.0%

Trading Troy Tulowitzki might be a bad thing to do for the Rockies franchise but it is a great thing to do if you love alliteration!
30

38

57

36.7

34.8

36.6

.384

.404

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.1%

The Rangers lead baseball in getting caught stealing and are only two behind the leader for grounding into the most double plays. Achieving that level of inefficiency is… I mean, you gotta want it.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


6 comments have been left for this article.
lonechicken

Has Ryu ever faced anyone named Ken? I'd be satisfied if there's footage of him tipping his cap to Bob Saget in the stands.

Jul 14, 2014 10:07 AM
up_image

+6

down_image
 
gweedoh565

Using Play-Index:

-6 PA vs. Michael McKENry
-3 PA vs. Howie KENdrick
-2 PA vs. Ian KENnedy

Bonus points:
-3 PA vs. Guillermo Quiroz
-8 PA vs. Gregor Blanco
-3 PA vs. Cliff Lee
-17 PA vs. Zangeif (12 for 15, 12 spinning piledrivers, 2 BB)

Jul 14, 2014 10:32 AM
up_image

+5

down_image
 
Schere

wait, why are the bushes fecally-encrusted?

Jul 14, 2014 11:42 AM
up_image

+1

down_image
 
BP staff member Matt Kory

Lots of birds

Jul 14, 2014 14:31 PM
up_image

+1

down_image
 
Schere

Trading Troy Tulowitzki to the Twins Triggers Total Triumph

Jul 14, 2014 11:46 AM
up_image

+3

down_image
 
BP staff member Matt Kory

Tperfect!

Jul 14, 2014 14:32 PM
up_image

+2

down_image
 
Sorry, fantasy subscribers cannot comment on exclusive premium content.
<< Previous Article
Fantasy Article Closer to Me: Week 16 (07/14)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (07/11)
Next Column >>
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (07/23)
Next Article >>
Premium Article What You Need to Know:... (07/14)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Analyzing the Competitive...
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, Aug...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: August 28, 2014
Eyewitness Accounts: August 28, 2014
Premium Article Skewed Left: A Three-Hour Tour
Premium Article Moonshot: On Regressing Defense
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Pain Don't ...

MORE FROM JULY 14, 2014 11:07 AM
Premium Article Notes About Baseball, 7/14
Pebble Hunting: How to Gamble on the Home Ru...
Fantasy Article The Buyer's Guide: Howie Kendrick
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of July 11-13
Premium Article What You Need to Know: Round Up The Usual We...
Fantasy Article Closer to Me: Week 16
Fantasy Article Interleague Report: Week 16

MORE BY MATTHEW KORY
2014-08-01 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, August 1
2014-07-28 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, July 28
2014-07-23 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, July 23
2014-07-14 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, July 14
2014-07-09 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, July 9
2014-07-02 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, July 2
2014-06-25 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, June 25
More...

MORE THE PROSPECTUS HIT LIST
2014-07-28 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, July 28
2014-07-25 - The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, July 25
2014-07-23 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, July 23
2014-07-14 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, July 14
2014-07-11 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, July 11
2014-07-09 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, July 9
2014-07-07 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, July 7
More...