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Prospectus Hit List for July 7



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for July 2 Hit List for July 9
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Hey now, you're an all-star, get your game on, go play! (Sung to the tune of Barenaked Ladies' One Week.)

RkTmWLW1W2W3 HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

55

33

58.4

57.0

57.1

.646

.664

67.7%

31.3%

99.0%

0.5%

0.1%

Jeff Samardzija will fit right into the Oakland team with his shaggy hair. Jason Hammel will need to spend probably, like, two months in the minors to fix that crew cut.
2

51

36

50.8

54.7

54.1

.605

.624

29.5%

66.8%

96.2%

1.1%

5.2%

Mike Trout won't be in the Home Run Derby after learning that trying to rob his own home runs is counterproductive.
3

51

40

52.6

52.6

50.4

.567

.548

66.8%

24.4%

91.2%

2.6%

-0.5%

How would Yasiel Puig handle the Home Run Derby? Does he tether the bat to his wrist after the flip for easy retrieval, or bring like 60 bats?
4

48

39

50.4

49.4

49.2

.566

.546

64.1%

16.3%

80.4%

2.3%

7.8%

Tyler Clippard won his sixth game as a reliever yesterday, earning him a selection to the 1985 All-Star Game.
5

48

40

51.5

49.4

48.3

.560

.580

2.8%

48.3%

51.1%

-4.0%

7.2%

Oh man, so many Mariners All-Star snubs! Tons of them. Too many to name. [googles "who plays for the Mariners now"]
6

48

37

45.0

46.9

45.8

.546

.566

80.1%

6.1%

86.2%

-1.4%

0.5%

Rick Porcello throws two shutouts, gets a Final Vote appearance. Ten minutes later, he gives up three runs without recording an out. Democracy is cruel.
7

47

42

46.5

49.8

49.8

.542

.522

29.0%

22.3%

51.3%

-8.5%

-2.8%

Pitchers with at least 35 innings and a WHIP under 0.60 in the first half: Pat Neshek, JJ Putz in 2007, Jeff Zimmerman in 1999. Each an All-Star.
8

49

39

47.8

48.2

47.3

.542

.522

33.2%

41.5%

74.7%

5.3%

-1.2%

The team is finally starting to hit after discovering a baseball bat in the dugout. "Maybe we can try to use that to hit the baseball?" the team asked themselves.
9

52

37

47.9

46.4

46.0

.540

.520

47.4%

23.9%

71.2%

-5.2%

-12.2%

The Brewers have four All-Stars, none of whom is the team leader in home runs (Khris Davis), RBIs (Ryan Braun), or stolen bases (Jean Segura). It must be four Lyle Overbays.
10

48

40

46.5

46.1

45.2

.528

.548

36.1%

8.9%

45.0%

5.0%

20.9%

Second in baseball in dingers mashed, and they win a game on a David Lough triple. You're not allowed to have it all.
11

49

39

45.5

45.4

45.7

.527

.507

34.7%

29.0%

63.8%

-5.5%

13.8%

The Upton brothers have combined for 23 three-strikeout games, or as many as all Nationals hitters have.
12

47

43

47.8

46.7

46.8

.523

.543

35.0%

7.3%

42.2%

-5.4%

-10.6%

One Blue Jay hit a home run in this weekend's four-game series and it was [opens envelope which reads "Steve Tolleson"] okay someone is pranking me.
13

47

41

43.9

45.8

46.6

.521

.501

11.7%

20.4%

32.1%

4.0%

12.1%

Tony Watson is an All-Star, because All-Star relievers are determined at random by baseball gods through a game of Russian roulette.
14

45

42

45.3

44.7

44.9

.517

.497

11.8%

18.9%

30.7%

4.5%

-14.0%

Ramon Santiago had his first homer on the season taken away by fan interference. Couldn't that guy have ruined a Jay Bruce homer or something?
15

45

42

44.9

40.9

41.9

.496

.516

10.4%

11.4%

21.8%

-2.8%

-3.3%

So, how about Raul Ibanez for the Home Run Derby?
16

41

50

42.4

48.0

48.1

.493

.513

4.6%

1.8%

6.4%

1.5%

4.0%

They've won 10 of their last 12 games, or as many games as they won in April.
17

43

45

44.4

42.6

42.2

.489

.469

0.8%

1.8%

2.6%

0.9%

0.5%

The official Final Vote hashtag for Casey McGehee is #VoteHitsMcGehee. Now even the Marlins are beating me to the joke. Times are changing.
18

43

44

42.1

41.5

41.8

.484

.504

7.8%

8.5%

16.3%

2.9%

2.7%

Corey Kluber may be the finest pitcher to come out of Stetson University and yet the hat he chooses to wear is a dumb baseball one.
19

38

48

41.5

42.0

41.9

.475

.455

0.1%

0.6%

0.7%

-0.3%

0.3%

We laugh, but just wait until the Cubs win the 2019 World Series with a team of nothing but shortstops.
20

39

49

43.7

41.8

41.7

.472

.452

0.3%

0.5%

0.8%

0.0%

-2.0%

Civics lesson: it is illegal in 17 states to start a false Bobby Abreu trade rumor.
21

44

43

40.0

39.2

40.4

.470

.490

21.8%

5.8%

27.5%

4.2%

-10.4%

Call it a trade to replace his spot in the rotation, but Brandon McCarthy isn't half the man CC Sabathia is.
22

39

48

39.8

40.9

40.5

.460

.480

0.6%

0.9%

1.5%

-0.2%

-3.8%

Chris Parmelee is the first player this year to play both first base and center field in a game, but the first in 20 years to do it on a dare.
23

42

47

41.3

39.8

40.0

.458

.478

1.2%

1.5%

2.7%

0.7%

-1.2%

Chris Sale would have made the All-Star team, but he didn't make weight.
24

37

52

41.2

42.8

41.2

.452

.432

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.7%

The Rockies lead the NL in doubles. Ah yes, that's what Coors Field is known for: doubles.
25

39

49

38.8

40.5

40.7

.452

.472

2.5%

1.4%

4.0%

-1.6%

-9.5%

The Red Sox have seen more pitches than any team in baseball. You could call them pitch snobs. They all have blogs where they write extensive pitch reviews. They prefer independent pitches.
26

37

51

37.7

37.1

37.8

.425

.406

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

-0.1%

-1.0%

The Phillies drew one walk yesterday, and it was A.J. Burnett.
27

37

53

37.4

37.8

37.8

.417

.397

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.3%

The Diamondbacks' poor pitching has doomed them in the first half, so as a result they are trading those same pitchers to contenders.
28

36

54

35.6

37.8

40.4

.416

.435

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.4%

Jose Altuve is on pace to steal over 60 bases with more than 200 hits and fewer than 80 runs.
29

39

49

37.3

34.2

34.6

.412

.393

0.0%

0.2%

0.3%

-0.0%

0.2%

Really tired of the Padres always stealing the headlines on the Fourth of July weekend with bombshells like this Seth Smith extension. Consider our families.
30

38

50

36.2

33.9

35.3

.407

.427

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.2%

-1.3%

<---- Should we change this to Round Rock's logo?

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
BayCityM

cleveland

Jul 08, 2014 17:45 PM
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