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Prospectus Hit List for July 20



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for July 17
Hit List updates are published Monday and Thursday through the 2017 season. Data is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Now with 30 percent more trade-related puns.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

66

29

66.6

67.9

67.4

.705

.701

99.8%

0.2%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

They need to up the difficulty, at least to Heroic or something.
2

63

32

63.1

65.9

64.8

.676

.680

99.9%

0.1%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Adam Wainwright is gonna be the one who eventually gets to preside over the funeral for Carlos Beltran’s bat, right?
3

57

37

57.2

60.0

57.7

.617

.612

99.7%

0.1%

99.8%

0.1%

1.8%

If there was ever a surefire way to reverse a bullpen jinx it’s to trade for a reliever named “Doolittle.”
4

48

45

55.9

59.2

58.4

.595

.600

22.2%

44.0%

66.2%

-2.6%

-1.3%

“The Homerun Derby ruined Aaron Judge’s swing” is the most nonsensical theory to come out of New York since Pizzagate.
5

54

40

57.4

56.0

54.9

.591

.586

0.1%

86.0%

86.1%

-1.4%

-7.3%

Listen, 2017 has been downright bizarre, but nothing has been stranger than the Diamondbacks winning a trade.
6

48

45

53.2

57.3

55.9

.576

.581

84.2%

4.6%

88.8%

-1.8%

-6.4%

The last time a group of talented performers was this dedicated to avoiding a top billing, Nathan Lane and Matthew Broderick were running the show.
7

54

42

55.1

52.9

52.1

.558

.563

60.7%

27.5%

88.2%

1.9%

1.5%

The Red Sox aren’t even mad that the Yankees beat them to Todd Frazier. They’re actually laughing. It’s funny to them, but they’re not mad, no sir.
8

51

45

49.6

53.1

52.9

.538

.543

16.4%

42.6%

59.0%

-7.2%

7.6%

What is it with Rays outfielders and hips? Shakira thinks they need to take it easy.
9

49

45

49.8

53.0

52.9

.544

.539

61.7%

7.8%

69.5%

4.5%

29.9%

Fortunately for the Cubs, Kris Bryant’s injury is more Pinky and the Sprain than Breaking Bad. Listen, I have to do this twice a week ...
10

56

41

53.5

50.4

49.9

.541

.536

0.1%

81.5%

81.6%

6.5%

5.4%

Pretty impressive showing by Nolan Arenado, hitting three homers yesterday. That’s why he’s known as the poor man’s Scooter Gennett.
11

52

45

52.8

49.1

48.1

.520

.515

21.1%

9.9%

31.0%

-5.7%

-22.2%

“[Zach] Davies stops a run from scoring” reads the MLB.com video title that seems to give him just a little too much credit for doing his job.
12

46

48

48.8

49.7

50.6

.519

.514

11.6%

6.2%

17.8%

-3.9%

-3.8%

Sisyphus thinks the Cardinals’ quest to reach .500 is dragging on a bit too long.
13

48

48

48.1

47.2

47.8

.498

.503

0.0%

27.3%

27.3%

5.1%

13.8%

Smart of the Mariners to go on a hot streak right before the trade deadline so that the fall hurts jussssssst a little bit more.
14

43

50

45.3

45.9

45.1

.482

.487

1.6%

2.6%

4.1%

-5.1%

0.2%

*Looks at the Astros* Well, it’s not the stupidest thing anyone’s ever done with J.D. Martinez.
15

45

49

48.0

43.6

43.6

.479

.484

0.0%

14.6%

14.7%

-3.0%

-11.6%

Joe Ross had Tommy John surgery yesterday. He’s still having a better week than Tyson Ross.
16

47

50

46.4

43.7

45.4

.470

.475

0.0%

6.0%

6.0%

0.8%

-1.7%

The Angels are just 2-3 since the All-Star Game. Guess getting C.J. Cron back wasn’t all it was cracked up to be.
17

47

48

45.2

43.8

44.3

.475

.470

5.4%

3.9%

9.4%

1.4%

3.5%

The Pirates have won five of six since the break. We’re only days away from them having the confidence to sail to King’s Landing and brag about their number of hands.
18

46

47

42.2

40.6

42.0

.459

.464

4.7%

7.1%

11.8%

3.4%

-4.4%

If J.D. Drew hit a $75 million grand slam in the 2007 ALCS, did Alex Gordon hit a $72 million sac fly yesterday?
19

42

51

42.8

43.9

44.9

.467

.462

0.1%

1.4%

1.5%

-0.8%

-4.7%

So I guess Giancarlo Stanton stole Aaron Judge’s swing Monstars style at the Homerun Derby?
20

43

52

40.1

43.8

45.9

.455

.460

0.0%

3.9%

3.9%

1.6%

1.3%

I don’t understand how the A’s can re-sign Chris Carter when he never really left in the first place?
21

48

46

41.0

40.1

40.4

.451

.456

9.5%

13.9%

23.4%

6.6%

5.6%

Basing your decision to retire on how you perform against the Dodgers is certainly stacking the chips in favor of retirement. We’ll miss you, Bartolo.
22

45

48

42.1

41.4

40.0

.453

.448

0.1%

1.5%

1.6%

-1.0%

-0.3%

Congrats to R.A. Dickey on throwing 2,000 career MLB innings, or as Dusty Baker would call it, a full season’s worth of innings.
23

42

50

41.8

40.3

40.7

.448

.443

0.2%

1.3%

1.5%

0.1%

-1.7%

Gonna be strange if the Mets deal Curtis Granderson in the coming days. Baseball just won’t be the same without half of New York being incredibly disappointed in him at all times.
24

43

51

39.4

40.8

41.5

.438

.443

0.3%

3.1%

3.4%

-0.3%

-3.0%

It’s tough to see Aaron Sanchez continue to suffer from blister issues, especially since he voluntarily got Chopped last offseason.
25

38

54

41.5

40.4

40.6

.436

.441

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

-0.9%

By trading Todd to another northern team, at least the White Sox helped us avoid more “Down Goes Frazier” puns. For the time being at least ...
26

45

49

39.9

36.7

38.5

.426

.431

0.3%

2.8%

3.0%

0.5%

-0.6%

If you want Baltimore to look elite, all you have to do is get them to play the Rangers. Someone go tell Joe Flacco.
27

40

54

40.3

40.7

41.7

.433

.428

0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

-0.6%

If Zack Cozart has a career year in a walk-off season but no one trades for him does he make a sound?
28

32

61

37.6

36.8

37.4

.386

.382

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

They need to lower the difficulty, at least to Normal or something.
29

40

54

32.5

35.1

36.7

.384

.379

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

If the Padres don’t lower their asking price for reliever Brad, they might end up literally overplaying their Hand.
30

37

59

37.0

34.6

35.2

.374

.370

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Pablo Sandoval is gonna be the 2018 World Series MVP, isn’t he?

Ben Carsley is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Ben's other articles. You can contact Ben by clicking here


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