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Prospectus Hit List for June 27



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for June 25 Hit List for June 30
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Partyin', partyin' (Yeah) Partyin', partyin' (Yeah) Fun, fun, fun, fun

Rk TmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

44

33

43.7

47.5

47.4

.593

.612

32.1%

59.9%

92.1%

2.3%

12.3%

Ernesto Frieri has given up seven more runs this year than he did in 2012, proving the only way to keep your closers from spoiling is to freeze them.
2

33

48

33.2

34.3

34.6

.417

.398

0.0%

0.3%

0.3%

0.2%

-0.4%

Ender Inciarte batted leadoff the past three games, meaning the Diamondbacks are trying make a lineup with an Ender at the beginning.
3

40

38

37.3

37.7

38.8

.493

.473

25.2%

11.2%

36.4%

-4.9%

-5.7%

Evan Gattis' lawyers are sifting through hundreds of documents trying to find a loophole where he can DH in the National League full time.
4

41

36

39.6

39.0

38.7

.514

.534

16.4%

11.8%

28.1%

-2.1%

1.9%

Nelson Cruz has eight grand slams in 87 career PAs with the bases loaded. That's decent.
5

36

43

36.0

37.2

37.3

.464

.484

5.5%

4.7%

10.2%

-1.0%

-6.2%

In June, Brock Holt leads the Sox in hits, doubles, stolen bases and number of times you think of Arrested Development when you hear his name.
6

36

44

36.2

35.7

35.6

.448

.468

0.7%

1.0%

1.7%

-0.3%

-4.7%

The White Sox lost 7-0 last night, but could have won 8-7 with eight Jose Abreu home runs.
7

33

44

37.2

38.2

38.1

.476

.456

0.1%

0.5%

0.6%

0.1%

-1.1%

If it weren't for your fantasy baseball league, you wouldn't know the name of the Cubs closer. Turns out it's not Rod Beck anymore.
8

40

38

40.2

39.3

39.9

.511

.491

7.5%

21.0%

28.5%

4.3%

8.1%

Bullpen rules: Jumbo Diaz and Jonathan Broxton sit down first, then everybody else finds a soft spot on the ground
9

38

40

36.8

36.9

37.0

.477

.497

6.6%

10.1%

16.7%

0.2%

-10.1%

George Kottaras has an OPS+ of 343, so why isn't he getting more consideration for the Microscopic Sample Size All-Star Game? What do you mean that's not a thing?
10

35

44

38.5

39.6

37.5

.472

.452

0.0%

1.1%

1.1%

-0.5%

-5.0%

The Rockies have the best home OPS in baseball by over 100 points, because it's still the 90s and your Kato Kaelin jokes are still fresh and relevant.
11

43

32

39.7

41.7

40.5

.550

.569

82.4%

6.2%

88.6%

3.8%

22.5%

Rick Porcello threw his first shutout, induced three double plays for the first time since 2011, and can finally throw away his Infield Defense Burn Book.
12

34

46

34.0

35.8

37.3

.441

.461

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

0.1%

-0.4%

Jose Altuve has an MLB-best 32 multi-hit games this season, the most ever by someone who uses a 10-inch plastic bat.
13

40

38

40.5

36.6

37.3

.495

.515

7.7%

11.8%

19.5%

-0.4%

-18.1%

Billy Butler has as many home runs as Alcides Escobar, and Escobar has more grand slams.
14

45

36

45.3

44.9

43.3

.551

.531

50.8%

39.6%

90.5%

1.4%

2.0%

Hyun-Jin Ryu has as many doubles this month as Andre Ethier. But Ethier has allowed fewer walks.
15

39

40

39.6

37.0

36.3

.481

.461

2.8%

1.8%

4.6%

-0.3%

-1.0%

Extra-inning games are great opportunities for the Marlins to just write fake names into the box score as late-inning replacements and see who notices.
16

49

32

45.0

44.4

43.6

.562

.542

55.8%

28.1%

83.8%

3.5%

8.4%

Wily Peralta throws pretty hard for someone who spends all his time building robots to destroy Mega Man.
17

36

41

36.0

36.6

36.7

.472

.492

2.6%

3.1%

5.7%

-2.0%

-1.4%

Target Field: Home Of the 2014 All-Star Game, and all other games Sam Fuld leads off.™
18

40

37

34.8

35.1

36.4

.475

.495

24.6%

12.5%

37.1%

-2.5%

-11.3%

Of course the MLB scheduled the Yankees an off day on Derek Jeter's birthday. But no national holiday? Get it together.
19

36

43

39.6

38.1

38.2

.481

.461

3.3%

1.3%

4.6%

-0.3%

1.1%

Daisuke Matsuzaka got another hit. RIP Mets Pitchers Hitting Jokes, 2014-2014. Tragic, but still tragically hilarious.
20

48

30

52.6

51.0

50.5

.648

.666

64.6%

32.8%

97.3%

0.2%

0.2%

Brad Mills won his first game of the year on Wednesday, meaning the A's are literally paying a dollar per win on him.
21

36

42

36.1

35.2

35.7

.458

.438

3.1%

1.5%

4.6%

1.0%

-2.1%

Now that Jimmy Rollins is the Phillies Hit King, he has already begun abuse of power by decreeing mandatory extra-inning games against the Marlins. Have mercy, lord Rollins.
22

40

39

38.3

40.3

41.5

.506

.486

4.6%

16.1%

20.6%

2.9%

5.4%

First, Francisco Liriano, now Vance Worley. Pittsburgh has effectively cornered the post-Johan Santana ex-Twins pitcher market.
23

34

45

32.2

28.9

29.0

.393

.374

0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

0.0%

-0.1%

[inspiring montage of Padres players taking extra batting practice, trying to record a base hit the next game]
24

42

37

45.5

43.0

42.4

.547

.567

3.3%

33.6%

36.9%

-2.2%

15.4%

"Willie Bloomquist Pinch Hitting For Endy Chavez" sounds like a rather legitimate indie band name.
25

46

33

44.6

45.8

44.9

.568

.549

49.1%

39.5%

88.6%

-2.0%

-4.0%

So when Tim Lincecum becomes a free agent, we can rule out San Diego as a possible destination.
26

43

37

43.7

46.5

46.5

.562

.542

32.0%

32.0%

64.0%

-4.8%

-5.7%

Pete Kozma cleared waivers and was optioned to a giant meadow where he can field baseballs all day and never have to touch a bat.
27

32

48

35.1

40.4

40.3

.462

.482

0.5%

0.7%

1.2%

0.2%

-0.4%

Attendance is going to skyrocket if MLB scouts looking at David Price have to pay for tickets.
28

35

43

32.6

29.8

31.1

.412

.431

0.0%

0.9%

0.9%

-0.8%

-4.5%

Carlos Peña's first home run of the season landed in a bucket of Texas brisket. But then again, how many home runs in Texas don't?
29

45

36

44.2

42.4

42.3

.537

.557

53.0%

10.8%

63.7%

4.6%

4.8%

Adam Lind has an OPS of .925 and is still, like, the 17th best DH in the league.
30

41

37

43.3

42.6

42.5

.543

.523

65.6%

5.9%

71.5%

-0.7%

0.1%

Bryce Harper could be activated next week, but first he needs to appear in a few more minor-league commercials.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
Llarry

I *am* in a fantasy baseball league, and I can't tell you who the Cubs' closer is. Then again, I punted saves back in '09 and the damned things still haven't come back down. Match that hang time, Ray Guy!

Jun 27, 2014 13:43 PM
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+3

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CardinalAl

My favorite article every week. The brevity and sarcasism makes it must reading.

Jun 28, 2014 17:14 PM
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