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Prospectus Hit List for June 23



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for June 20 Hit List for June 25
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Jokes + Sports = Jorts. Come get in our jorts!

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day 7-Day
1

47

30

42.5

41.2

40.4

.555

.535

53.2%

30.0%

83.2%

0.0%

18.8%

More surprising: 1) Lyle Overbay hitting a pinch-hit homer in Colorado, or 2) that all three of his homers haven’t come in Colorado, or 3) that Lyle Overbay is on the roster of a first place team?
2

40

36

42.4

40.4

40.0

.535

.555

3.3%

31.1%

34.4%

4.5%

12.0%

In two of their three games against Kansas City, the Mariners used a clean-up hitter with a .522 OPS, and in the third they batted him fifth. They won all three of course. #LoMoPower
3

42

35

43.0

42.7

41.2

.548

.528

38.3%

48.9%

87.2%

0.9%

9.3%

Complaining about Dee Gordon batting leadoff despite his lousy on-base percentage when he’s on a team with Clayton Kershaw seems like complaining about the Sistine Chapel because the rest room isn’t clean.
4

39

35

41.7

41.3

41.2

.551

.532

68.0%

6.7%

74.7%

3.0%

6.1%

Putting Ryan Zimmerman in left field was supposed to work great because he wouldn't be expected to throw much, but he heard ‘hit.’
5

39

35

33.7

33.8

35.1

.478

.498

31.1%

12.1%

43.2%

-7.3%

5.8%

Masahiro Tanaka finally had a clunker: seven innings, six hits, three runs, one walk, and six strikeouts. Hold this comment up to your ear and you can hear catcalls.
6

39

35

38.0

37.3

37.0

.511

.531

16.7%

12.0%

28.7%

4.0%

5.5%

J.J. Hardy hit his first homer of the season yesterday putting him just 17 behind Troy Tulowitzki for the most by a shortstop. Watch your rear view, Tulo, J.J.’s a-comin!
7

37

37

37.5

36.4

36.9

.499

.479

5.3%

15.8%

21.1%

1.1%

4.5%

The Reds are 8-7 in Johnny Cueto’s starts because, despite his baseball-leading 1.86 ERA, Cueto does a lousy job of scoring runs for himself.
8

41

33

41.4

45.8

45.8

.588

.607

24.1%

62.0%

86.1%

2.4%

4.4%

Perhaps the best thing about Mike Trout is how good he is.
9

34

40

34.1

33.4

33.9

.458

.438

3.6%

2.2%

5.8%

-2.3%

3.5%

When Ryan Howard plays and doesn't strike out the Phillies are 8-7. The All-Star break is coming up.
10

40

32

36.7

38.4

37.4

.530

.549

72.7%

8.1%

80.8%

5.6%

3.3%

It's not Matt Sussman's day for the Hit List, so we'll just raid his Twitter feed: "TWO WEEKS AGO: Oh crap the Tigers lead is down to 2.5 games TODAY: Oh sweet, the Tigers lead is up to 2.5 games."
11

35

41

36.1

36.7

36.9

.476

.496

7.7%

7.1%

14.8%

2.9%

2.1%

Koji Uehara has given up five runs this season and all of them have come on solo homers. (This has been an Official Effectively Wild Fun Fact™.)
12

47

29

52.2

50.9

50.7

.661

.678

72.4%

24.9%

97.3%

-0.8%

1.7%

Down by one with two outs in the 10th inning the A’s sent reliever Sean Doolittle to bat. ‘Hitters pitching? Screw that,’ says Billy Beane.
13

35

41

37.8

35.7

35.5

.474

.454

2.6%

1.7%

4.3%

0.7%

1.2%

The Mets got 17 hits in their 11-5 win, improving their record to 1-1 in games in which they got 17 hits this season.
14

31

46

34.0

38.8

38.7

.463

.483

1.2%

1.1%

2.3%

0.7%

0.2%

The last five Rays in yesterday’s lineup are hitting .190, .245, .208, .208, .148 so you shouldn’t be surprised the five runs Tampa scored yesterday were scored by other people.
15

31

42

35.5

36.8

36.5

.479

.459

0.2%

0.8%

0.9%

-0.3%

-0.2%

At this point batting order for the Cubs should be a performance art project. Like, today we’ll try to spell a naughty word with the first letter of the player’s last names.
16

32

44

29.9

27.5

27.4

.384

.366

0.0%

0.3%

0.3%

-0.1%

-0.3%

Padres Fire Byrnes. Get it?
17

36

38

35.3

35.3

35.2

.479

.499

4.4%

5.7%

10.1%

0.9%

-0.7%

The Twins finished off Chicago for their first ever four-game sweep at Target Field, a fact that is equal parts happy and very, very sad.
18

33

44

32.5

34.3

36.0

.441

.461

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

-0.3%

-0.8%

Prospect Carlos Correa suffered a serious ankle injury which is even worse for the Astros than winning 20 games in a row.
19

32

47

32.6

33.9

34.1

.420

.400

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

-0.3%

-1.1%

The Diamondbacks' grand experiment, trying to win with bad pitching and bad hitting, is inching toward a conclusion.
20

45

30

43.6

44.0

43.5

.581

.562

61.5%

31.7%

93.2%

1.4%

-1.3%

The Giants went 17-12 in Spring Training so we probably should’ve seen this coming.
21

37

38

35.5

38.2

39.2

.500

.480

3.7%

13.3%

17.0%

1.4%

-1.7%

Hold on because the Pirates lead baseball in holds and I’m not talking about cup holders!
22

35

41

35.0

34.7

34.4

.457

.477

1.6%

1.4%

3.1%

-1.5%

-1.9%

The White Sox aren’t very interesting on nights Jose Abreu doesn’t homer, giving the White Sox a league-low 24 percent Interesting Percentage.
23

39

36

39.1

35.3

35.7

.497

.517

13.3%

11.2%

24.5%

-4.4%

-2.1%

Sal Perez has grounded into 13 double plays this season, or one per every 17.9 plate appearances. That might not be the worst ratio in baseball, but it’s close enough my stomach can’t take any more research.
24

35

40

32.6

30.1

31.3

.430

.450

0.2%

3.0%

3.1%

-0.4%

-3.7%

Whether or not Adrian Beltre makes the Hall of Fame there needs to be a bust of him in the main gallery with a mechanical hand that smacks you when you rub his head.
25

41

35

41.1

43.9

43.9

.559

.539

37.5%

32.5%

70.1%

1.9%

-4.8%

The Cardinals have the second fewest wild pitches this season because Yadier Molina is slipping.
26

37

38

37.6

34.8

34.2

.479

.459

2.1%

1.7%

3.8%

-1.4%

-5.2%

Rumor says the Marlins plan to bolster their roster at the trade deadline so, Marlins fans, when players take the field with stakes tied to their arms and legs on August 1, try not to look disappointed.
27

37

39

35.3

35.3

35.7

.472

.492

7.9%

8.0%

15.9%

-3.5%

-8.2%

Nick Swisher’s OPS by month (.615, .646, .432) very disappointingly doesn’t make the phone number 1-800-Dude-Bro.
28

34

41

37.3

38.5

36.1

.481

.462

0.2%

1.8%

2.0%

-1.5%

-9.2%

The epitaph for the 2014 Rockies probably won’t be a GIF of Corey Dickerson falling down and getting tagged out trying to turn a triple into a little league home run. But it should be.
29

42

35

41.1

39.6

39.6

.527

.547

43.2%

12.0%

55.3%

-2.7%

-17.5%

Losing Brett Lawrie to a broken finger was tough but the Blue Jays showed their camaraderie by all getting “<.300 OBP” tattoos.
30

38

37

35.8

36.2

37.5

.492

.472

23.6%

12.3%

36.0%

-4.4%

-19.3%

When a pitcher who strikes out nine and walks one in six innings loses to a pitcher who struck out three and walked three in 5.1 innings, that’s called baseball. Or Braves baseball if you’re from the Atlanta area.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
lonechicken

What's the old adage? "Don't worry, Adrian Beltre's still only... Holy crap! He's 35 years old now?!?"

Jun 23, 2014 09:52 AM
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