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Prospectus Hit List for May 16



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for May 14 Hit List for May 19
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Seven a.m., waking up in the morning. Gotta be fresh, gotta go Hit List.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC% Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

24

12

22.8

22.6

21.8

.592

.611

85.9%

6.2%

92.1%

0.5%

0.8%

The last time Justin Verlander gave up five runs in an inning, prior to Wednesday vs. Baltimore, was last May against Texas. Nelson Cruz hit a home run in that one too. (But not off Verlander.)
2

27

15

24.6

23.9

24.1

.565

.545

47.5%

38.1%

85.6%

2.0%

9.9%

Pitch: A remake of "The Fly" where Michael Morse and Hunter Pence get stuck in the same Telepod.
3

22

20

21.3

21.7

21.7

.561

.541

44.0%

38.8%

82.8%

0.2%

-2.0%

On his off day, Vin Scully narrates squirrels running through his backyard. How does he know so much about that squirrel's parents?
4

25

16

28.1

28.7

28.1

.592

.611

43.1%

30.4%

73.5%

-0.6%

14.7%

Boy are the A's going to be disappointed when they learn the recently acquired Kyle Blanks isn't the Tae Bo guy.
5

22

18

23.3

25.4

24.9

.569

.589

39.9%

30.6%

70.4%

1.9%

18.2%

"In WAR there are no winners. Only strikeouts." — Mike Trout's yearbook quote, probably
6

21

19

20.0

20.5

20.6

.533

.513

53.1%

16.2%

69.3%

-1.4%

-5.6%

Tanner Roark is much more cool and social than his computer nerd brother Paler.
7

26

15

22.1

22.1

21.2

.525

.505

45.7%

15.9%

61.6%

1.7%

10.0%

Rob Wooten won his first game of the year. If only there was a fit Internet term of celebration applicable here.
8

21

20

21.2

20.7

20.3

.523

.503

36.9%

15.9%

52.8%

3.4%

0.6%

At long last they have settled on a 2-hitter: Hologram Willie McGee.
9

22

17

20.3

21.8

21.5

.528

.508

35.6%

16.6%

52.2%

-0.8%

5.8%

Andrelton Simmons went 1-for-4 with a triple on Wednesday. He was the opposite of a triple shy of the cycle. The triple asked the cycle to prom.
10

21

19

18.6

19.3

19.1

.507

.527

32.6%

15.5%

48.1%

4.9%

-2.7%

Pitcher Chase Whitley, who made his debut yesterday, is now on pace to finish with more hits than Alex Rodriguez this season.
11

20

20

19.8

20.2

19.9

.520

.540

31.0%

15.9%

46.8%

-4.4%

-4.0%

David Ross can't be the everyday catcher, because on most nights he has to grade high school chemistry homework.
12

23

19

25.8

25.8

24.4

.539

.519

6.5%

21.9%

28.4%

-1.4%

-10.8%

What's wrong with Carlos Gonzalez? He only has the 10th best OPS on the team.
13

20

20

20.6

18.9

19.7

.498

.518

8.3%

19.3%

27.6%

-1.3%

-9.1%

Lloyd McClendon was thrown out of Wednesday's game, then threw his hat into the stands. By rule, he must manage the rest of the year hatless.
14

20

21

17.1

17.0

17.6

.474

.494

8.7%

17.0%

25.7%

5.5%

-1.8%

Time to just start drilling in various spots in Texas until they find a well of UCLs.
15

18

24

19.4

20.7

20.5

.503

.523

13.2%

10.9%

24.1%

-4.0%

-4.9%

Ben Zobrist is on the disabled list, but I don't see his na— ah, right there at the end.
16

21

21

21.7

20.5

19.8

.498

.518

12.5%

10.9%

23.4%

2.3%

-6.4%

Edwin Encarnacion had two homers and a double, which is equivalent to a cycle in total bases but is not called anything. Until now: Edwin Encarnacion hit for the moped.
17

18

21

20.6

21.5

21.2

.512

.492

12.8%

8.6%

21.3%

-0.4%

-2.1%

Johnny Cueto is averaging eight innings per start through his first nine starts. He has thrown more innings this year than Aroldis Chapman has thrown in any year.
18

21

18

18.5

16.6

16.6

.472

.492

10.8%

9.0%

19.8%

1.5%

-2.9%

Yes, that's Baltimore in first place. But it's the AL East, the Etch-A-Sketch of divisions, so shake it in a week and it won't come full circle, because those are hard to draw on Etch-A-Sketches.
19

20

20

20.5

19.3

19.1

.489

.509

5.7%

12.9%

18.7%

-2.3%

2.3%

Billy Butler continues to struggle at the plate but makes up for it with his defense by not playing in the field.
20

19

22

20.0

21.0

21.2

.488

.508

4.0%

9.0%

13.0%

-4.7%

-2.1%

Danny Salazar would absolutely dominate a baseball league where games only went 4 1/3 innings.
21

17

21

15.3

14.3

14.8

.443

.423

5.3%

5.6%

11.0%

1.2%

1.0%

Antonio Bastardo (second worst ERA on the team with 5.09) is tied for the team lead in wins.
22

20

22

18.1

16.4

17.8

.461

.441

1.8%

9.0%

10.7%

0.2%

7.5%

Their four-game winning streak was snapped, but like a lunar eclipse you didn't know about it although your coworker won't shut up about how beautiful it was to see it.
23

19

20

18.4

18.5

19.0

.468

.488

2.1%

6.9%

9.0%

1.5%

3.6%

What's colder than cold? Chris Colabello (.135/.182/.212 this month).
24

17

23

18.6

17.9

18.6

.472

.453

4.1%

4.4%

8.5%

-1.3%

-0.4%

Raise it! Whoops, didn't mean Mark Melancon's ERA.
25

19

21

19.3

16.4

16.6

.454

.434

4.2%

4.0%

8.2%

-1.6%

1.4%

Jacob deGrom finally recorded a base hit as a Mets pitcher. That sound you heard was Sam Miller's GIF machine crying tears of joy or perhaps sorrow.
26

20

22

20.1

19.0

19.5

.463

.483

2.2%

5.5%

7.7%

-0.7%

-5.9%

Now at 15 homers, Jose Abreu is quickly becoming Adam Dunn without the hilarious batting flaws making it hard to joke about him. Time to find out if he is afraid of something silly such as jellybeans or loneliness.
27

21

21

22.7

23.2

23.2

.475

.455

1.8%

3.0%

4.8%

-1.3%

-13.7%

Morale is down after the Jose Fernandez injury but should return to normal if they bring Arquimedes Caminero back up. YOU try frowning at that name.
28

16

27

14.8

18.5

18.9

.437

.418

0.2%

1.7%

1.9%

-0.0%

-0.6%

After a rough start, admittedly this team has certainly turned a corner and wait nope it's just more sand.
29

13

26

18.7

18.9

18.6

.450

.430

0.4%

0.4%

0.9%

-0.4%

-1.1%

Anthony Rizzo successfully bunted against the shift twice in one game, so now you know what type of hit will win the Cubs a World Series one day.
30

14

27

14.6

15.7

16.6

.396

.415

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

-0.1%

0.1%

Y'know they call their home field Minute Maid Park but it sure looks like it took more time than that to build.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
oldbopper

Rizzo has begun the attack, now if Brian McCann could only get a bunt fair before he gives up trying.

May 16, 2014 17:49 PM
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Steve1956

3years of a real real bad Dunn now! It must be a contract year. He really has cheated my Sox

May 17, 2014 11:39 AM
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