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Prospectus Hit List for May 12



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for May 9 Hit List for May 14
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It's Monday, Monday, read a Hit List on Monday

Rk TmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

19

17

21.2

22.6

22.1

.565

.584

34.2%

28.8%

63.0%

4.8%

7.1%

Some may call it a slump but Raul Ibaņez is more fittingly mired in a 3-for-30 mid-life crisis.
2

15

25

13.7

17.1

17.5

.437

.417

0.3%

1.8%

2.1%

0.1%

0.7%

Only two teams have fewer wins. Yet only two other teams have more saves.
3

21

15

19.2

21.5

21.0

.542

.522

38.5%

16.5%

54.9%

2.9%

11.1%

Could Aaron Harang be the All-Star starter? Because through it all, everybody needs a good chuckle.
4

20

15

17.3

14.6

14.5

.473

.493

12.1%

10.9%

23.0%

-3.7%

6.4%

"You can have Chris Davis, Manny Machado and Matt Wieters, but not all healthy at once." That fortune teller lady's a jerk.
5

19

18

18.1

19.1

18.9

.525

.545

34.7%

17.2%

51.9%

5.6%

7.8%

David Ortiz is the first person to ruin two no-hitters in the same game. (Source: your uncle)
6

19

20

19.6

18.5

18.7

.471

.491

3.7%

5.7%

9.5%

-1.5%

-0.9%

Pitchers have finally figured out Paul Konerko. "Wait until he gets old," just like scouts prophesied 15 years ago.
7

12

24

16.2

16.1

16.0

.436

.417

0.6%

0.4%

0.9%

-0.3%

-1.7%

Once again Jeff Samardzija did not get selected in the NFL Draft. There's just no way off this team.
8

17

19

19.2

19.4

19.5

.512

.492

15.3%

8.2%

23.5%

2.2%

-2.4%

Aroldis Chapman is back on the active roster so everybody start your backswing ... now.
9

18

20

17.6

18.7

19.0

.485

.505

6.5%

10.8%

17.2%

3.2%

4.5%

With John Axford out as closer, the Indians are going to take a long hard look before installing someone with facial hair at the position.
10

23

17

25.2

25.4

24.3

.550

.530

9.9%

27.4%

37.2%

-2.2%

13.6%

They're first in the league in hitting with runners on scoring position, and also with the bases empty, because all their hitters are able to detect ghost runners.
11

21

12

20.4

20.8

20.1

.587

.606

81.3%

6.9%

88.2%

-1.9%

-0.5%

Joba Chamberlain's beard has grown large enough such that its citizens are demanding their own Meijer.
12

12

26

12.7

13.4

14.2

.382

.401

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.1%

Chris Carter can't strike out if he doesn't play, and even some scouts doubted this.
13

18

19

18.5

17.1

16.8

.481

.501

5.6%

10.7%

16.3%

2.7%

1.6%

Alcides Escobar has more grand slams than the entire American League West.
14

20

19

20.2

20.1

19.9

.558

.538

45.9%

35.7%

81.5%

-2.3%

-6.4%

Clayton Kershaw threw a curveball for a home run, so anything is possible. Even your idea for a mail-order tacos business.
15

20

18

20.6

21.6

21.7

.499

.479

5.5%

6.4%

11.9%

-0.5%

4.0%

17-5 at home, 3-13 on the road. The Marlins are just more comfortable playing baseball in quiet nights at home.
16

24

14

20.5

20.5

19.8

.524

.504

42.7%

14.3%

56.9%

2.8%

-4.8%

Carlos Gomez didn't intentionally dye his goatee pink for Mother's Day; he was painting then flipped the brush away.
17

17

19

17.1

16.6

17.0

.463

.483

2.9%

5.7%

8.6%

2.2%

0.1%

With Josmil Pinto's clutch game-tying single in the eighth inning, that's not the first time a Pinto has undone the city of Detroit.
18

19

17

16.8

17.1

17.1

.506

.526

30.2%

17.0%

47.2%

-2.5%

-1.9%

That was possibly Derek Jeter's final time in Milwaukee, assuming he is not dealt to their playoff-contending team at the deadline.
19

17

19

17.1

14.7

15.3

.451

.431

2.6%

3.3%

5.9%

1.0%

-6.7%

Being dead last in the majors with four ninth-inning runs, perhaps their own offense should be the closer.
20

23

15

25.6

26.2

25.4

.589

.608

46.1%

26.9%

73.0%

5.2%

8.5%

When Derek Norris and Nick Punto combine for nine RBIs, it's time to replace the pitching machine with a human.
21

17

19

14.8

14.1

14.5

.449

.430

5.9%

6.3%

12.3%

-1.0%

-8.1%

The bullpen pitchers' mothers all love them but quietly dropped them from their fantasy teams because this isn't a keeper league.
22

16

21

17.2

16.5

17.1

.471

.452

4.8%

4.6%

9.4%

-2.4%

2.3%

It's always impressive when Neil Walker can reach first base given how he walks.
23

18

21

16.5

15.5

16.7

.452

.432

1.2%

5.2%

6.4%

0.8%

-1.0%

At least the Padres did the Madres' dishes yesterday.
24

19

18

18.6

16.8

17.4

.493

.513

11.4%

18.7%

30.1%

-2.8%

2.7%

Dustin Ackley's two home runs yesterday doubled Robinson Cano's season total.
25

24

14

22.0

20.7

20.8

.558

.538

42.8%

37.3%

80.1%

1.5%

2.8%

Pablo Sandoval is finally back as cleanup hitter, although have you seen his room?
26

19

19

20.9

20.6

20.1

.532

.512

36.6%

14.0%

50.6%

2.2%

1.2%

If one more different batter starts for them in the 2-hole, a Billy Joel song can be written about it.
27

16

22

17.9

19.4

19.1

.508

.528

12.7%

12.3%

25.0%

-4.4%

-22.1%

Once again Erik Bedard is holding together a pitching rotation, not unlike a bundle of twine you find at your local general store.
28

19

19

16.1

16.2

17.1

.475

.495

8.4%

17.4%

25.8%

-3.2%

-13.6%

Calling Yu Darvish the Phil Mickelson of no-hitters makes sense. He's having trouble getting his first, should have multiple once he's done, and is actually right-handed.
29

18

20

20.1

19.0

18.2

.502

.522

10.3%

11.0%

21.2%

-3.9%

0.5%

Despite leading the AL in home runs the Jays only have more intentional walks than the Astros. Then again Canadians are not feared.
30

19

18

18.2

18.9

19.2

.531

.511

47.5%

18.6%

66.2%

-4.7%

-4.5%

"Now batting, the designated hitter, Scott Hairston," the announcer proclaimed, doing his best not to add a question mark.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


8 comments have been left for this article.
APJ74137
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Can we all just agree that the Rays are not really all they were cracked up to be? Why do they keep getting ranked in the Top 10 despite consistently anemic results? I admit that they are pretty talented, but Archer et al. have not lived up to expectations thus far. Their offense is pretty wretched. They are not the 8th best team in the Majors right now. They should be 19th this week, after the Rangers and Royals.

May 12, 2014 07:37 AM
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-8

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gweedoh565

"Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams."

May 12, 2014 09:29 AM
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trueblue33

You've been waiting for months to be able to use that Twins line. Admit it!!!

May 12, 2014 10:23 AM
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peabodydg

excellent writing, consistently way funny

May 12, 2014 10:38 AM
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BP staff member Matt Sussman

Ignore the Mets joke, they scored four runs "batting ninth" and way way more than that in the ninth inning.

May 12, 2014 11:22 AM
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sandriola

I love seeing Meijer make the Hit List.

May 12, 2014 21:24 PM
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CalWhite

"Canadian are not feared?" Just for that, I am sending Rob Ford down to work for BP...

May 13, 2014 08:16 AM
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ncsaint

Rebecca Black finally breaks out of her slump. A 'Lose Yourself' hit-list headline can't be far behind.

May 13, 2014 20:37 PM
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