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Prospectus Hit List for May 5



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for May 2 Hit List for May 7
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Have you ever heard of baseball? Then this is the Hit List for you!

RkTmWL W1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

10

21

9.8

10.7

11.2

.378

.397

0.1%

0.2%

0.2%

-0.1%

-0.1%

Chris Carter has struck out 37 times in 93 at-bats but that’s okay because [looks at other stats] [talks about weather].
2

11

23

11.0

13.0

13.4

.418

.399

0.1%

1.3%

1.4%

-0.8%

-0.2%

The Diamondbacks lead baseball with nine triples, which is probably where they should focus their energies going forward.
3

14

18

12.2

11.0

12.0

.435

.415

1.1%

6.4%

7.5%

1.3%

-3.1%

The Padres have scored 84 runs or as it’s also known, not nearly enough.
4

15

14

13.3

12.3

13.1

.472

.452

9.9%

10.5%

20.4%

2.9%

1.7%

Not sure if Ben Revere’s homerless streak of 1,509 plate appearances is more amazing or PECOTA projecting Revere to hit three homers during the rest of the season.
5

16

14

13.3

13.9

13.6

.501

.521

30.0%

19.1%

49.1%

-1.7%

-8.9%

CC Sabathia’s average fastball velocity was almost 92 mph yesterday, so everyone blaming his velocity should try something else like have you noticed his weight loss?
6

14

16

13.5

12.4

12.1

.459

.479

5.2%

9.5%

14.7%

-3.6%

-8.6%

Leadoff hitter Nori Aoki had three (of the Royals' five) walks yesterday. Aoki has 14 percent of the Royals' walks this season.
7

13

18

13.6

14.4

14.5

.466

.486

5.1%

7.6%

12.7%

-2.4%

-4.5%

George Kottaras, expected to be DFA’d when Yan Gomes comes off paternity leave, homered twice last night. The only logical thing for the Indians to do is keep Gomes on paternity leave through means I can’t discuss further on a family website.
8

11

18

13.8

13.7

13.6

.453

.433

1.4%

1.2%

2.7%

-0.4%

0.6%

The Cubs lead baseball in Monday ERA so this whole 100th anniversary of Wrigley Field hasn’t been a total disaster.
9

12

19

13.8

13.1

13.8

.460

.440

3.6%

3.5%

7.1%

-1.1%

-2.0%

Last season on this date, the Pirates had five more wins and six fewer losses, all with a run differential swing of -15 runs.
10

15

14

13.9

11.6

11.4

.465

.485

7.7%

8.9%

16.6%

-5.2%

-0.2%

The Orioles have 66 walks, fewer than half as many as the league-leading A’s, but it’s okay because Baltimore is a car-dependent city.
11

14

15

14.3

12.8

13.0

.483

.503

11.3%

16.0%

27.4%

5.4%

8.9%

Robinson Cano’s slash line is .Mariners/.Second/.Baseman.
12

17

14

14.6

14.5

14.6

.495

.515

17.3%

22.1%

39.4%

5.4%

-3.9%

No Rangers pitchers were injured in the writing of this comment whoops sorry spoke too soon.
13

14

15

14.7

13.8

13.8

.466

.486

3.1%

5.4%

8.5%

0.9%

-3.2%

Sure, Twins pitching has struck out 170 hitters, last in baseball and 122 fewer than the league-leading Nationals, but conversely they’re only 10th-worst in walks!
14

16

14

14.8

12.4

13.0

.464

.444

5.8%

6.8%

12.6%

1.9%

-0.8%

Dillon Gee held the Rockies to one run, something that had only happened twice this season and never in Colorado.
15

15

17

15.3

16.8

16.7

.522

.542

26.5%

20.6%

47.1%

3.9%

5.5%

Will Myers' inside-the-park home run reminded me of Yasiel Puig because Myers didn’t run hard to first but he was still really good and baseball didn’t explode.
16

15

17

15.3

16.5

16.2

.519

.539

26.2%

17.9%

44.1%

-6.0%

-1.0%

Boston lost to the A’s in extra innings, but don’t worry Red Sox fans, one of these days your team will get over the hump!
17

14

17

15.5

15.5

14.6

.495

.515

9.6%

11.1%

20.7%

4.1%

0.1%

Jose Bautista has walked 33 times this season, 0.56 of a mile, meaning, had he stolen your shoes at the start of the season, he’d have roughly 25 more walks to go before he could judge you.
18

15

17

15.6

14.9

15.2

.468

.488

3.8%

6.6%

10.4%

0.3%

-5.6%

Adam Dunn has a .409 on-base percentage, making that time the White Sox tried to change him into a slap hitter funny rather than sad.
19

17

9

15.8

16.2

15.6

.585

.604

82.7%

6.0%

88.7%

2.6%

15.5%

Everyone who had Ian Kinsler outhomering Prince Fielder this season was crazy, but at least so far, not wrong.
20

17

13

16.2

17.9

18.0

.539

.519

27.2%

16.6%

43.8%

-6.6%

-26.3%

Andrelton Simmons' triple-to-strikeout ratio is 3:5 which is great because it means I don’t have to make a Braves attendance joke.
21

18

14

17.0

17.4

16.9

.570

.551

57.1%

30.8%

87.9%

-1.3%

3.7%

What is more surprising: that Dee Gordon leads baseball with 19 stolen bases or that Dee Gordon has been on base more than 19 times?
22

17

14

17.1

17.3

17.7

.554

.534

54.1%

16.5%

70.7%

-1.7%

6.9%

The Nationals have turned 52 single plays twice, or 26 double plays once.
23

21

11

17.3

17.9

17.5

.536

.516

46.1%

15.6%

61.7%

-2.9%

-0.4%

Kyle Lohse went from a season high of nine strikeouts in his previous start to a season low of two strikeouts last night. Of course he didn’t win either game because baseball.
24

16

16

17.4

17.9

17.7

.538

.518

32.5%

16.9%

49.4%

5.2%

-6.4%

Carlos Martinez and Trevor Rosenthal combined throw 200 mph meaning why not pitch them both simultaneously and win all the time? You’re welcome.
25

15

16

17.6

18.3

18.1

.529

.509

16.4%

9.6%

26.0%

2.3%

2.8%

Billy Hamilton has been caught stealing five times in 16 tries, presumably because he stops for dinner along the way and loses track of time.
26

15

15

17.8

18.3

17.9

.556

.575

31.4%

24.5%

55.9%

-7.7%

4.4%

Mike Trout is two strikeouts short of the league lead, which proves strikeouts don’t matter if you are Mike Trout.
27

16

15

18.0

18.9

19.4

.509

.489

3.0%

4.9%

7.9%

1.9%

5.1%

If the Marlins trade Giancarlo Stanton they’re going to need to find some bombs elsewhere, so maybe trade for one of those dogs from the airport.
28

20

11

18.3

17.1

16.8

.562

.542

36.4%

40.9%

77.3%

4.1%

14.5%

Supposedly last night’s game was just the second this season in which Michael Morse struck out three times which means either it was just the second in which Michael Morse struck out three times or there’s a massive Michael Morse-led conspiracy to alter strikeout numbers. Deny it and you’re obviously a co-conspirator!
29

19

14

19.4

19.4

18.4

.528

.508

5.3%

18.4%

23.7%

-4.7%

3.7%

Two bits of information. 1) The Rockies have scored 118 runs at home and 68 on the road. 2) They’ve played 16 games at home and 17 on the road.
30

19

12

20.9

20.9

20.2

.582

.602

39.9%

24.6%

64.5%

4.0%

1.6%

The A’s are one of two American League teams with both a winning record and a positive run differential.