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Prospectus Hit List for April 23



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for April 21 Hit List for April 25
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

I got a Hit List, you would hardly recognize me I'm so glad.

RkTmW LW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

15

6

12.7

13.7

13.6

.572

.553

33.6%

21.5%

55.1%

-5.2%

7.7%

Carlos Gomez can ride out his suspension learning how to place the bat in a pristine velvet bat bag before starting his home run trot.
2

13

7

13.3

13.7

13.3

.595

.614

39.7%

25.3%

65.0%

-3.0%

-2.3%

With so many walks, Jed Lowrie should give some of those bases on balls to needy children. Children with bad plate discipline.
3

10

7

8.6

9.7

9.5

.547

.567

60.8%

9.4%

70.2%

2.6%

4.1%

J.D. Martinez's Tigers jersey says "J.D. Martinez" on the back, because of Victor Martinez. But did they need to also put his SSN and bank account numbers on the back too?
4

13

7

13.1

14.4

14.1

.591

.572

35.8%

19.6%

55.4%

-2.3%

3.4%

Alex Wood struck out 11 batters, which isn't a record, not even for a guy named Wood, and wasn't even the best pitcher in the game.
5

13

8

10.1

10.7

10.3

.513

.533

22.0%

22.5%

44.5%

3.8%

17.9%

Pitch: a beer holder for Rangers fans called Kevin Kooziemanoff. Downside: shelf life is probably until April. Everything else is a positive.
6

12

8

9.7

10.1

9.6

.520

.540

28.7%

20.6%

49.3%

2.1%

11.0%

The irony is that with Ivan Nova's injury, James Andrews' fantasy baseball team is officially toast.
7

12

9

11.3

10.4

9.3

.555

.536

70.0%

17.7%

87.7%

-2.2%

-1.0%

The biggest distraction of all on this team is Juan Uribe constantly grumbling about the weather.
8

10

9

9.5

9.3

9.2

.494

.514

15.3%

8.9%

24.3%

1.6%

5.2%

At long last, the Royals scored eight runs in a game. The Twins have already done this five times.
9

11

9

11.1

10.0

9.6

.509

.529

11.8%

15.2%

27.0%

-2.0%

-4.1%

Their entire run production was on 3-run home runs yesterday. And nobody believed me when I said Earl Weaver haunts Rogers Centre.
10

12

9

12.0

11.3

11.3

.548

.528

45.6%

19.0%

64.6%

3.3%

-5.9%

Allen Craig is struggling, but no more so than the creeping dread that hunts your typical man named Allen.
11

10

10

9.1

7.0

7.3

.440

.420

5.2%

6.5%

11.7%

-1.1%

0.3%

Kyle Farnsworth: the Jeff Francoeur of closers? Discuss.
12

10

10

8.7

8.4

9.5

.460

.441

5.3%

6.9%

12.2%

-2.3%

-2.3%

Slap a bullpen on this team, give 'em a few more pitchers and bats, and throw in a time machine and this team could be FIERCE.
13

11

10

10.7

9.4

9.1

.512

.492

20.4%

34.8%

55.2%

-1.6%

-9.7%

With 15 runs in their last eight games, in San Francisco they call this a "power surge." Or perhaps a "really neat trolley ride."
14

10

10

10.6

12.1

12.4

.556

.575

34.2%

22.2%

56.4%

3.8%

0.2%

If David Price is dealt this year, they better get someone who can throw a complete game, or nine relievers.
15

9

10

9.8

9.4

9.5

.471

.491

3.9%

3.0%

6.9%

-0.3%

-0.3%

It's April, but what other chance are we going to discuss a Chris Colabello Triple Crown push?
16

10

10

11.9

11.6

11.1

.551

.571

33.4%

23.9%

57.4%

6.4%

6.0%

If Albert Pujols' career was dead, then he is back to life and in his "second boss" form. Your basic spells and broadswords are worthless.
17

11

10

10.3

9.9

10.8

.526

.506

51.7%

18.4%

70.1%

1.3%

-1.1%

Bryce Harper is now hustling to first on every ground ball, even when he's not the hitter. Lesson learned.
18

9

10

9.0

7.6

7.6

.460

.480

5.1%

8.5%

13.6%

-1.2%

-0.2%

There should be a movement to start Jonathan Schoop at shortstop called Flaherty Will Get You Nowhere.
19

12

10

13.0

14.2

13.4

.540

.520

4.7%

14.8%

19.4%

3.4%

7.4%

When they score three runs or more against the Giants, they're 1-2. When they score two runs or less, they're 2-0.
20

10

11

10.5

10.1

10.2

.480

.500

9.6%

6.5%

16.0%

-1.9%

-6.6%

Jose Abreu hit a mammoth home run to center. He may be Cuban but I sure don't see why people call him a defect.
21

10

11

11.8

11.6

12.1

.486

.466

2.0%

2.7%

4.7%

1.8%

1.9%

There is a staggering dearth of comics about how Jose Fernandez's fastball cleans up the crime-riddled streets of Miami.
22

10

11

9.5

10.2

10.6

.487

.467

4.6%

12.6%

17.2%

-1.8%

-2.2%

They're thinking of extending Alexi Amarista, by which I mean thinking of ways to make him taller.
23

9

11

11.6

11.9

11.8

.530

.510

13.2%

13.0%

26.2%

5.9%

6.9%

Aroldis Chapman could soon throw to live batters. He's already striking out dead ones.
24

9

11

8.7

8.9

9.1

.466

.486

10.4%

7.0%

17.5%

-2.2%

-3.6%

Three true outcome players are OK. But not if you're a pitcher. [glares at Danny Salazar]
25

9

12

10.4

9.3

10.2

.481

.461

6.5%

9.2%

15.7%

0.2%

-3.3%

Turns out Ike Davis performs better when surrounded by touchscreen food gas stations, as do we all.
26

7

12

8.7

9.0

8.8

.447

.427

1.1%

1.7%

2.8%

0.4%

-0.8%

You can be whatever you want to be. You can even bat Justin Ruggiano second. It's a free country, and OBP is only a number.
27

9

12

9.2

9.3

9.1

.490

.510

20.2%

17.7%

38.0%

-6.3%

-4.1%

Boston had no walks yesterday and only three three-ball counts. Even grinding patience needs a day off.
28

7

13

8.9

8.7

9.1

.459

.479

4.6%

8.7%

13.3%

-3.6%

-22.9%

Robinson Cano is having a tough April, which is a shame because he gets the entire $240 million this month then can ride into the sunset on a caffeinated unicorn.
29

7

14

6.8

6.7

7.0

.373

.392

0.2%

0.5%

0.8%

0.3%

-0.3%

The epic struggle between a baseball team and the .200 team batting average mark. A must watch battle all season.
30

5

18

5.8

6.9

6.8

.375

.356

0.2%

1.7%

1.9%

0.3%

-1.5%

Article idea: an oral history of that one time they beat the Dodgers.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


3 comments have been left for this article.
trueblue33

Orioles comment = geniusness

Apr 23, 2014 13:36 PM
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anderson721

So, I was touring a college with my kid last week and someone had scribbled the following on a message board: Cast your vote-will Izzy F#*% Flaherty this weekend?
Of course I was too slow to ask the guide if they had a lot of kids from Baltimore.

Apr 23, 2014 17:55 PM
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nickopolis

Good bits. Good bits.

Apr 24, 2014 14:59 PM
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