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Prospectus Hit List for April 16



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for April 14 Hit List for April 18
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

All the hits that are fit to print.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

10

4

9.4

9.7

9.8

.609

.628

44.8%

22.6%

67.4%

3.7%

21.7%

Nick Punto is always the first one to the ballpark, although he'd get there even sooner if he didn't slide headfirst into the door.
2

10

4

9.3

9.9

10.0

.598

.578

27.3%

20.1%

47.4%

-4.5%

10.2%

Scooter Gennett is becoming more popular in Milwaukee, but he'll never be as cool as his older brother Motorcycle Gennett.
3

9

4

8.4

9.1

9.2

.595

.575

33.3%

18.7%

52.0%

-4.0%

11.0%

Luis Avilan got the win despite a -.815 WPA. It's the fourth-worst WPA for a winning pitcher, and the worst since 1998.
4

9

5

8.3

8.2

7.8

.591

.571

67.1%

21.6%

88.7%

-1.8%

2.5%

No, Brian Wilson didn't shave a "42" into his beard for Jackie Robinson Day.
5

7

6

8.2

7.9

8.2

.551

.571

15.7%

20.6%

36.2%

-1.0%

-4.3%

Seven singles and no doubles. Mariners baseball, or the first time you played Tetris?
6

6

4

5.1

5.4

5.2

.538

.557

56.7%

9.4%

66.1%

-0.3%

3.4%

Snow covered the entire field of Comerica Park, which is one more thing snow has in common with Rick Porcello's pitches.
7

6

8

8.0

7.8

7.5

.534

.554

28.4%

23.0%

51.3%

-4.7%

-4.9%

Who is on the Mount Rushmore of Angels? Nobody has asked this, and therefore the rockpile remains unchiseled.
8

8

6

8.2

7.3

6.9

.524

.544

14.7%

16.4%

31.1%

3.4%

4.7%

If Melky Cabrera wanted to draw walks, he easily could, but he prefers watercoloring lakes.
9

7

7

6.4

7.1

7.3

.521

.541

34.8%

21.4%

56.2%

-3.9%

-11.7%

Softly whisper into Andrew Friedman's ear when you see him: "Joe Blanton, fifth starter."
10

8

6

7.4

7.9

7.9

.516

.536

13.9%

8.7%

22.6%

2.1%

6.0%

"You can put it on the boooooooardwalk, yes!" Man, why did I ever buy Hawkopoly?
11

8

6

7.8

7.6

7.9

.553

.533

53.7%

17.5%

71.1%

6.5%

-6.5%

Stephen Strasburg now sports an 8.61 ERA in Marlins Park. It all goes back to when as a small boy his nursery contained a terrifying statue.
12

9

5

8.1

7.2

7.2

.552

.533

52.9%

17.6%

70.5%

5.7%

5.8%

We may never see Pete Kozma in a Cardinals uniform again, but did we ever really see him in one in the first place? He could have been a ghost.
13

9

5

8.1

7.3

7.0

.552

.532

25.6%

39.3%

64.8%

5.6%

-0.6%

Just throwing this out there, but maybe the struggling Pablo Sandoval should gain weight? What I threw out there for him was Easter candy. Go on. Take it.
14

7

6

5.9

6.8

6.3

.510

.530

20.3%

17.9%

38.2%

-0.1%

4.4%

An incomplete list of healthy Yankees: Alex Rodriguez, Scott Sizemore. Actually that's the complete list of healthy infielders. Dean Anna is a hologram.
15

7

7

5.9

6.5

6.0

.476

.496

10.8%

15.8%

26.6%

6.4%

-4.5%

Prince Fielder is the first person in MLB history to hit his first home run of the year wearing a different jersey number (42) than his original one (84).
16

5

9

6.0

5.7

5.8

.476

.496

24.1%

18.0%

42.1%

-4.7%

-6.4%

Sunday wasn't John Farrell's first brush with video replay. In 2000, he was ejected from a movie theater for arguing about what really happened in "Memento."
17

6

7

6.3

5.8

6.0

.473

.493

13.2%

7.8%

21.1%

-0.9%

-6.7%

Nyjer Morgan (.348 in nine games) was optioned to Triple-A. He was asked to stuff his small sample sizes into a sack.
18

7

8

7.6

8.7

8.3

.505

.485

2.5%

9.6%

12.1%

-0.9%

-2.0%

Rosario truly makes that lineup special, so long as the team is wilin to live with his defense.
19

5

9

7.4

8.0

7.8

.504

.484

9.8%

9.4%

19.3%

-1.1%

-3.2%

Getting on base was so much easier for Billy Hamilton when the manager just told him to go to first.
20

6

7

6.2

6.0

6.2

.459

.478

4.2%

3.0%

7.2%

-1.1%

-1.0%

Act your age, Joe Mauer, and play the rest of your Twins career with a sensible mustache.
21

5

7

4.5

5.4

5.4

.455

.475

11.9%

7.2%

19.1%

1.3%

-2.4%

Now [0] Days Without A Home Run!
22

6

7

6.1

5.0

5.0

.454

.474

6.1%

7.8%

13.8%

-0.5%

1.5%

Delmon Young keeps getting audited by the IRS, because even they don't believe he keeps getting paid this much.
23

7

7

7.0

6.6

6.9

.490

.470

8.4%

10.6%

19.0%

-1.6%

-7.6%

Can Starling Marte maintain this torrid pace for a 250-strikeout season? The answer lies in the wind. (Generated by his bat.)
24

6

8

5.8

6.3

6.4

.470

.450

4.4%

15.1%

19.4%

-1.6%

1.3%

Josh Johnson really wishes Dr. James Andrews would get some new magazines, even the kids' ones.
25

6

9

7.9

7.7

8.0

.461

.441

1.4%

1.4%

2.8%

0.2%

-3.4%

It's all fun and games until one of Giancarlo Stanton's home runs strikes a manatee.
26

6

7

5.6

5.6

5.8

.460

.440

6.3%

8.2%

14.5%

-1.1%

-1.4%

If only they could clone Jonathan Papelbon, they could solve their bullpen problems by trading them all at the deadline for prospects.
27

7

7

6.7

4.8

4.8

.437

.418

5.3%

6.1%

11.5%

0.2%

0.7%

I'm Jenrry Mejia I am, Jenrry Mejia I am I am, I just pitched for the Mets next door, they just lost seven times before...
28

4

8

5.1

5.5

5.5

.435

.416

1.6%

2.0%

3.6%

-0.2%

-2.1%

The Cubs game was rained out yesterday, which consequently made Junior Lake much bigger.
29

5

9

4.3

3.6

3.6

.352

.370

0.4%

0.7%

1.0%

0.2%

0.2%

The number of batters hitting under .200 in yesterday's lineup you couldn't count them on one hand. Not even you, Extra Finger Eddie.
30

4

13

4.5

5.4

5.5

.384

.365

0.4%

3.0%

3.4%

-1.4%

-4.8%

You can't spell "character" without the letters E-R-A, and the Diamondbacks' pitchers have tons of both.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
DetroitDale

Re: the Astros comment, have we already forgotten Antonio Alfonseca?

Apr 16, 2014 11:35 AM
up_image

+1

down_image
 
Sharky

"wilin to live with his defense"? Oh no you didn't!

Apr 16, 2014 12:22 PM
up_image

+2

down_image
 
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