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Prospectus Hit List for April 2



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for September 27 Hit List for April 4
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It's been a lonnng time, a long time coming, but I knowohwhoaaoh, a Hit List gonna come.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLF Win Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

3

1

2.4

2.6

2.6

.634

.615

76.3%

15.9%

92.3%

-0.5%

-1.6%

Vin Scully described Yasiel Puig's homer by saying Puig ďgot a ball up and killed it.Ē So you know that ball is dead.
2

1

0

0.6

0.7

0.7

.644

.625

62.3%

13.0%

75.3%

0.1%

4.1%

Health is a skill, and looking at Wilson Ramosís player page, itís one he doesnít possess. But Wilson Ramos was abducted and held hostage, so is luck a skill?
3

1

0

0.6

0.6

0.6

.626

.644

53.3%

9.9%

63.1%

1.5%

4.4%

Did you guys know Ian Kinsler is on the Tigers now? Itís almost like the Hit List hibernates for six months and players switch teams while weíre gone! Ha ha ha! I need some herbal tea.
4

1

0

1.0

0.5

0.5

.648

.630

50.9%

14.0%

65.0%

-0.3%

5.2%

The season is 11 days old and the Cardinals have no wins and only one run. Panic!
5

1

1

1.5

1.7

1.7

.651

.669

40.6%

25.3%

66.0%

-4.6%

-0.5%

Some stats take a long time to stabilize. On Opening Day 31,042 Rays fans came through the gates. Last night, Game Two generated 11,113. Attendance stabilized!
6

0

2

0.2

0.2

0.3

.317

.335

36.3%

18.0%

54.2%

-5.9%

-9.5%

It took Mike Trout three pitches to homer. So, question, what the heck was he doing on the first two?
7

0

1

0.3

0.9

0.9

.536

.556

28.4%

24.7%

53.1%

1.4%

-0.7%

Jonny Gomesí Technicolor dream jacket, selfies with the President, not a bad start to the season. Other than that whole losing a baseball game thing.
8

0

1

0.0

0.1

0.1

.295

.312

25.4%

17.0%

42.3%

-1.6%

-3.9%

The over/under on Jim Johnsonís ERA is set at 2.90 which means his current 54.00 is over that.
9

2

0

1.8

1.8

1.7

.705

.721

20.2%

16.5%

36.7%

2.2%

6.3%

Robinson Cano signed with Seattle because of the money, sure, but now heís finally free to grow a super sweet beard. Donít think the Players Association hasnít put a value on that.
10

1

1

1.2

1.4

1.4

.562

.542

20.1%

15.8%

35.9%

5.2%

-0.7%

Good news! Only three Braves starters were injured in the making of this comment!
11

1

0

1.0

0.9

0.9

.708

.724

18.5%

8.4%

26.9%

-1.2%

1.2%

Everyone in the Indians lineup had either a hit or a walk though nobody had more than two. Sharing is nice, but baseball works best when you string it together.
12

0

1

0.0

0.5

0.5

.375

.356

18.0%

12.3%

30.3%

1.2%

-4.5%

Billy Hamilton struck out four times. Afterward he claimed he was doing it to honor Shin-Soo Chooís memory. ďPour four outs for my homie,Ē he said.
13

1

1

0.8

0.9

0.9

.478

.498

17.4%

15.3%

32.7%

4.6%

1.1%

The Rangers beat Philadelphia on Opening Day meaning Ian Kinslerís wish for the Rangers to go 0-162 didnít survive the first game. Sad KinslerÖ
14

1

1

0.8

0.6

0.6

.435

.415

14.4%

12.8%

27.2%

-2.0%

1.2%

We're all so proud of you, Ryan Braun! So, so very proud!
15

0

1

0.1

0.2

0.2

.331

.349

14.3%

19.6%

33.9%

1.3%

2.0%

What do you say about a team that spent a billion dollars during the offseason and then loses on Opening Day to the team with the lowest payroll in baseball? Seriously, I want to know.
16

0

1

0.4

0.4

0.4

.383

.403

14.0%

7.9%

21.8%

0.2%

-3.2%

The Royals blew a 3-1 lead because, hype or no, you gotta remember where you come from, Royals fans. Remember your roots!
17

1

1

1.0

0.6

0.6

.469

.449

14.0%

38.4%

52.4%

-2.3%

0.4%

After months of watching football and prepping for the NHL and NBA playoffs, individual games start to take on a massive importance. Last night the Giants blew a four run lead and lost in Arizona. But itís okay. Itís baseball. There are 160 more.
18

1

0

1.0

0.5

0.5

.616

.597

12.9%

10.2%

23.1%

-1.0%

0.8%

If Andrew McCutchen wins the MVP again heíll be the first Mc to win back-to-back MVPs, or McVPs if you insist.
19

1

0

0.7

0.9

0.9

.680

.698

10.7%

5.6%

16.2%

-0.2%

0.8%

After one game Jose Abreu is hitting .500/.500/.750 and for now at least is the best Abreu ever.
20

1

1

0.5

0.3

0.3

.382

.401

10.1%

17.1%

27.3%

0.5%

1.5%

It took all of one inning for Jose Reyes to injure his hamstring. Heís due back from the DL in late April so Jays fans can look forward to another exciting inning around then.
21

1

1

1.2

1.1

1.1

.511

.491

8.8%

9.9%

18.7%

-1.5%

0.4%

If the Phillies are going to win, theyíre going to need Ryan Howard to ha ha just kidding theyíre not going to win.
22

1

0

0.7

0.1

0.1

.479

.499

6.5%

11.1%

17.6%

1.0%

1.1%

Free Agent Update Now: Nelson Cruz homered and doubled, scoring two runs and, considering what Baltimore is paying him, pretty much paying for himself.
23

0

1

0.4

0.3

0.3

.363

.345

6.4%

7.0%

13.4%

-0.1%

-2.0%

Are we at the point where adding Kyle Farnsworth is legally considered giving up? Asking for a friend.
24

1

1

1.2

1.4

1.5

.569

.550

5.7%

23.2%

28.8%

-1.6%

2.8%

The Padres' second hitter is batting .750 but their third is hitting .000. Thatís non-optimal lineup construction!
25

0

1

0.0

0.5

0.5

.351

.333

3.8%

3.3%

7.1%

0.1%

-1.8%

The Cubs: proving that bad beer plus bad baseball equals a good time.
26

0

1

0.3

0.1

0.1

.274

.290

3.6%

2.7%

6.3%

0.3%

-1.0%

Adding Phil Hughes to the Twins rotation is like putting a flaming band-aid on a person who has been trampled by an elephant. And then tearing it off quickly.
27

2

0

1.8

1.6

1.5

.643

.625

2.4%

3.4%

5.8%

1.0%

1.0%

The Marlins are in first place! The Marlins are 2-0! The Marlins are perfect!
28

0

2

0.2

0.4

0.5

.312

.295

2.0%

10.5%

12.6%

2.3%

-2.2%

Troy Tulowitzki was in the midst of an amazing jump throw when he got a telegram from Derek Jeterís lawyer. It read, ďThe jump throw is the exclusive property of Derek Jeter Stop. So stop Stop.Ē Tulowitzki finished anyway.
29

1

3

1.6

1.8

1.7

.432

.412

2.0%

10.2%

12.2%

-0.7%

-3.1%

The Bacon Insider, a burger with bacon mixed into it, sponsors the Diamondbacks. There are parallels. Like the Diamondbacks, itís delicious, but after experiencing it, the rest of your day is spent lying on the ground or sitting on a toilet..
30

1

0

0.9

0.8

0.8

.632

.650

0.8%

1.1%

1.9%

0.3%

0.4%

Scott Feldman is a real major-league pitcher so all the fainting spells in the stands last night make sense. It should really say something on the back of the tickets though.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


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