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Prospectus Hit List for August 14



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for August 10
Hit List updates are published Monday and Thursday through the 2017 season. Data is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Dodgers ... Dracarys.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

83

34

80.4

82.7

82.0

.701

.697

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Drogon thinks the Dodgers are overpowered.
2

72

45

73.0

76.0

74.9

.632

.637

99.9%

0.1%

100.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

Everyone gave the Astros a tough time for not really upgrading at the deadline, but they’re eating crow now that Houston has snagged ... uh ... Tyler Clippard?
3

70

46

70.0

72.7

70.5

.610

.606

99.9%

0.0%

100.0%

-0.0%

0.1%

Bryce Harper should return this season, so there’s good news about Wounded Knee for a change.
4

61

55

69.1

74.3

73.6

.599

.604

22.1%

62.2%

84.3%

-2.9%

-4.9%

Yesterday marked the one-year anniversary of Aaron Judge’s ascension to the big leagues, or put another way, the one-year anniversary of puns no longer being funny.
5

63

52

68.6

72.6

71.3

.599

.604

93.7%

3.7%

97.4%

0.3%

2.0%

“Memories of 2015 pop up for Carrasco” reads the Indians.com headline that proves he was smart to go with baseball over football.
6

65

52

69.7

69.3

68.9

.583

.578

0.0%

89.8%

89.8%

-1.7%

-2.1%

Andrew Chafin broke his tooth but kept on pitching on Saturday, proving that the DBacks are serious about their pursuit of the crown.
7

67

50

68.0

64.9

64.3

.564

.569

76.4%

21.0%

97.4%

1.1%

7.0%

Rafael Devers already seems to understand what so many veterans don’t; if you want to be loved in Boston, you just need to dominate immediately and consistently upon arrival. It’s not rocket science!
8

61

55

62.4

66.5

66.5

.553

.548

63.1%

9.6%

72.7%

7.5%

-4.4%

Sure, it might look like the Cubs only have a one-game lead in their division, but 10 of their next 13 games are against the Reds or Phillies, so ...
9

61

57

64.8

66.1

66.9

.548

.543

29.8%

14.2%

44.0%

-6.3%

24.5%

It makes sense that the Cardinals would go on a tear because once-vanquished powers of evil resurfacing is all the rage right now.
10

65

52

62.6

59.1

58.7

.524

.519

0.0%

78.3%

78.3%

-1.6%

-7.5%

The Rockies got swept by the Marlins and Nolan Arenado was hit on the hand, but otherwise it was a pretty successful weekend.
11

59

60

58.4

62.3

63.4

.511

.516

1.1%

21.7%

22.8%

-3.4%

-17.1%

If the Rays go 2-7 during a long homestand but no one is there to see them fail, do the losses really count? Yes! Yes they do.
12

61

58

59.1

56.4

57.6

.492

.497

0.0%

22.3%

22.4%

4.0%

14.9%

Andrew Heaney’s rehab is ahead of schedule while Alex Meyer hit a snag. It’s the Law of Conservation of Angels Starters.
13

59

60

58.4

57.9

58.4

.491

.496

0.0%

13.0%

13.0%

-5.3%

-9.7%

It should be illegal to beat the Mariners when they wear their cream-and-blue alternate uniforms. They’re as fresh as the bottom half of the M’s rotation.
14

56

60

59.0

56.0

56.4

.490

.495

0.0%

9.3%

9.3%

-2.7%

3.4%

Between the on-deck circle kerfuffle and his most recent antics on the basepaths, it appears as though Adrian Beltre’s GPS is broken?
15

61

59

61.4

57.7

57.1

.494

.489

5.4%

3.4%

8.8%

1.8%

-11.4%

What better way to add some OBP points to your team than by adding a literal (Neil) Walker?
16

59

58

56.4

54.3

55.1

.480

.485

2.8%

15.3%

18.1%

3.7%

-14.0%

Guam is having a better month than the Royals. They’re 4-10 in August so far.
17

56

60

56.3

56.3

57.2

.487

.482

0.1%

3.6%

3.6%

1.4%

1.0%

Well, at least we know the Marlins will get some favorably coverage in The Players’ Tribune.
18

59

57

53.1

52.3

52.7

.468

.473

3.4%

20.5%

24.0%

6.0%

17.8%

The surging Twins are now two games above .500 and just 4.5 games out of first place. If only they had another mid-rotation starter and a decent closer ...
19

53

64

55.0

54.6

53.5

.462

.467

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

-0.1%

-1.6%

The last time there were this many rumors about Justin Verlander an iPhone was involved.
20

58

60

54.2

51.8

53.3

.460

.465

0.3%

6.6%

6.9%

-1.4%

1.1%

“O’s plan to activate Santander this week” reads the Orioles.com headline that lets us know of some exciting banking news.
21

58

60

54.9

53.2

52.6

.464

.459

1.6%

0.8%

2.5%

-1.2%

0.0%

At this point we should just get updates when Pirates outfielders *aren’t* injured.
22

56

61

50.6

51.9

53.3

.452

.457

0.1%

3.8%

3.9%

0.7%

1.4%

“Unconventional runs back Rowley’s MLB debut,” reads the BlueJays.com headline. Congrats Meg!
23

52

66

49.2

53.8

54.7

.444

.449

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.3%

Seesaws think Sean Manaea is having an up-and-down sophomore season. The southpaws recorded just one out against the O’s on Saturday.
24

53

62

52.2

49.1

49.1

.442

.437

0.0%

0.3%

0.3%

0.2%

0.2%

“Ohhh we thought you said you wanted the only Met *not* to be traded” - Sandy Alderson to Asdrubal Cabrera, presumably.
25

52

63

51.5

49.5

49.2

.439

.434

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.3%

Nothing says “2017 Braves” like having the backup you have to play ahead of your struggling top prospect hurt his knee just running onto the field. Get well soon, Johan Camargo.
26

49

69

50.3

50.7

51.9

.428

.423

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The last time a Romano struggled this much “Everybody Loves Raymond” was cancelled.
27

45

70

49.2

46.6

48.0

.410

.415

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

At a time when teams are valuing late-inning relievers more than ever, it’s interesting to see the White Sox buck conventional wisdom by trading every non-starter on their roster.
28

51

66

42.6

46.7

47.6

.402

.397

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Despite their 51-66 record, the Padres extended manager Andy Green’s contract through 2021 in a deal that Jeff Fisher called “undeserved.”
29

43

72

47.2

47.1

47.4

.401

.397

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If you thought Ryan Howard: First Baseman was bad, you’ll love Rhys Hoskins: Outfielder!
30

47

72

48.3

44.0

45.3

.388

.383

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Nothing says “2017 Giants” like having Joe Panik get hit in the face with a throw to home and having that throw carom off his domepiece and into the catcher’s glove.

Ben Carsley is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Ben's other articles. You can contact Ben by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
anderson721

Cardinals comment alone made the subscription worth it.

Aug 14, 2017 10:16 AM
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anderson721

Cardinals comment alone made the subscription worth it.

Aug 14, 2017 10:16 AM
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