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Prospectus Hit List for September 23



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for September 20 Hit List for September 24
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Hitlisting Bad: The Final Season

RkTm WLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

95

62

97.3

96.8

95.8

.613

.632

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Felix Doubront: Seven innings, two runs, and he's not going to make the playoff rotation. It's good to be the king.
2

93

63

91.8

91.4

89.1

.585

.605

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

AL West champs! I just hope they don’t stiff Ron Washington out of a playoff share.
3

92

63

93.2

91.9

88.3

.589

.570

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Braves have struck out the most of any major league team. They are behind Houston and tied with Minnesota though, but like I said, the most of any major league team.
4

91

65

95.6

88.5

88.2

.582

.563

78.3%

21.7%

100.0%

0.0%

0.1%

Yadier Molina was charged with an error which just proves that it was YOU who made the error, my friend. YOU.
5

91

65

95.9

103.3

102.1

.629

.647

99.9%

0.1%

100.0%

0.0%

0.1%

It seems like Miguel Cabrera is breaking down which is weird because he wasn't supposed to do that until after signing a massive contract extension.
6

90

66

85.0

89.9

87.5

.565

.545

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Dodgers have a losing record in September. [shakes fist] Puuuuuuuuuuiiiiiiig!!!
7

89

67

83.0

85.8

86.9

.552

.533

5.4%

94.5%

99.9%

0.1%

-0.1%

The two Wild Card system has worked great in the AL but under the old system Pittsburgh’s series with Cincinnati would have been huge. Now it’s just playing for homefield in a one game playoff.
8

89

67

91.6

91.9

92.0

.584

.565

16.3%

83.6%

99.9%

0.9%

2.9%

Bronson Arroyo: three strikeouts, two walks, two homers in six innings, and continued defiance of the laws governing human hamstrings.
9

86

70

84.7

82.6

82.8

.538

.558

0.1%

72.7%

72.8%

13.8%

18.4%

Cleveland is finishing up with Houston, the White Sox, and Minnesota because the schedule makers think the lack of a challenge is, in itself, a challenge.
10

86

69

82.1

91.1

91.6

.566

.585

0.0%

90.1%

90.1%

9.3%

19.0%

As another season of Joe Maddon jokes winds to a close, here's to yet another season of ridiculous shifts, too-smart pitching changes, and wild animals in the locker room. Salud!
11

84

71

85.2

84.5

84.4

.545

.565

0.0%

35.0%

35.0%

-21.1%

-25.1%

Absentmindedly contemplating his failing team Ron Washington stepped through the elevator doors and plummeted three stories when the elevator wasn’t there because that’s the way things are going now in Texas.
12

84

72

81.5

82.5

80.5

.526

.506

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

-1.0%

-2.9%

Jayson Werth's three seasons in Washington by OPS: .718; .827; .927. If he keeps up that trend his contract just might be Werth it.
13

82

73

83.1

76.6

77.9

.515

.535

0.0%

1.5%

1.5%

0.1%

-2.8%

Everyone who made fun of the idea of the Royals making the playoffs step forward or write a comment pointing out that everyone who said that is totally right oh hey look what I did.
14

82

74

76.8

68.8

70.6

.478

.498

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

-1.4%

-4.1%

The Yankees retired Mariano Rivera's number, which begs the question, "Can you retire a retired number?".
15

81

74

81.7

78.4

79.6

.517

.537

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

-0.8%

-5.5%

It looks like this won't be the Orioles year, said everybody always.
16

79

76

78.4

75.9

75.7

.498

.478

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

In between weekend games, the Diamondbacks went to their neighborhood pool to recuperate. They got soooo maaad!
17

76

79

78.1

79.3

78.0

.502

.522

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Imagine if, instead of signing Josh Hamilton, the Angels had just eaten the money. They'd be so sick!
18

72

84

70.9

75.5

76.2

.472

.452

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

How classless of the Giants to beat the Yankees on Mariano Rivera's and Andy Pettitte's last day in Yankee Stadium. Next thing you know, they'll go swimming in the Diamondback's pool.
19

72

83

66.8

67.6

68.3

.443

.423

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Andrew Cashner threw seven innings allowing no earned runs or walks and struck out seven. He got the loss because he didn’t pitch well you see.
20

71

84

64.3

64.7

66.3

.429

.410

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Phillies officially hired Ryne Sandberg as manager, avoiding wasting time on things like figuring out if he was the best candidate. Said a team source, "We just want to move, it doesn't matter which direction it's in."
21

71

86

74.3

73.8

70.7

.461

.442

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Rockies reportedly don't want to trade their best players this off-season but they'll trade a lesser player for your best player.
22

71

84

70.6

68.5

67.7

.448

.428

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Philadelphia lost the day Ryne Sandberg replaced Charlie Manual and they lost last night when Sandberg was named permanent manager. So why is this a Mets comment? huh huh... duh.
23

71

84

72.7

70.8

72.8

.463

.483

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Nothing says 'it's your fault' like a complete game loss.
24

69

86

70.9

73.1

75.1

.465

.445

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Norichika Aoki has been a pleasant surprise, even though he is slugging every bit like his player page picture that shows him choking up on the bat to the point where you wonder why he doesn’t just use a smaller bat.
25

68

88

64.4

69.1

68.9

.433

.453

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Did you know: In small print on the back of Mariners tickets, it says, “When the game is twice delayed by a swarm of bees the holder is entitled to a naked sprint across the field during the sixth inning or later.” Hope you all redeemed your ticket stubs!
26

65

91

70.4

73.6

74.0

.454

.434

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

How irrelevant are the Cubs? Their loss to Atlanta was too late to officially put the Braves into the playoffs. Thanks for nothing, guys.
27

65

90

60.9

64.7

65.0

.412

.432

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Hey, on the plus side, at least the Twins won’t lose to the Yankees in the playoffs [ducks flying fruit]
28

61

94

65.1

63.7

64.0

.409

.429

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Normally you can't laugh at someone's name, but since the White Sox are so terrible that somehow makes me feel better about laughing about reliever Donnie Veal.
29

57

99

61.2

57.9

58.8

.377

.358

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Rumors say owner Jeffrey Loria has been interfering with NOTHING NOTHING AT ALL GO MARLINS!
30

51

105

56.1

51.0

53.8

.340

.358

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

There will come a time when employing Phillip Humber to get batters out will be a bad idea. That time will be last year.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


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