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Prospectus Hit List for September 20



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for September 19 Hit List for September 23
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Seven a.m., waking up to the Hit List, Gotta be fresh, gotta go downstairs

RkTmW LW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

51

102

55.8

50.7

53.4

.345

.363

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Astros pitchers have walked 592 hitters this season, the most in baseball and yet Houston is one of the most overweight cities in the country. Conspiracy? You betcha!
2

56

97

60.5

57.0

57.7

.378

.359

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Tired of not playing, the Marlins home run sculpture has asked to be traded.
3

60

92

64.0

63.0

62.8

.411

.430

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

'The Cubs have more wins than the White Sox' is probably not a thing that either will put in this season's Christmas letter..
4

64

89

69.5

72.6

72.9

.456

.436

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Every time I see Anthony Rizzo he's doing something good which must mean that six out of seven days he's utterly terrible.
5

65

87

61.7

65.1

65.3

.423

.443

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Twins pitchers are last in strikeouts while Twins hitters are second to last in strikeouts. “Oh, wait… you guys… didn’t? Ha! You know what? I just realized something!”
6

67

86

63.0

67.6

67.4

.433

.453

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Justin Smoak is having a turn-around season. Justin Smoak has two months with an OPS over .800.
7

68

84

68.6

66.3

65.7

.442

.422

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

You could ask the Mets why Eric Young was leading off, but then you could ask the Mets many many things and really who cares.
8

68

84

69.8

72.2

74.1

.467

.447

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

There are eight breweries in Milwaukee including Horny Goat Brewing so maybe change the name to the Home Brewers.
9

70

84

73.2

72.7

69.6

.463

.444

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The starter didn’t get out of the fourth and the game went 15 innings so they had to use 10 pitchers! Stupid Cardinals!
10

71

82

70.5

75.0

75.7

.477

.458

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Giants are a game and a half from going first to worst, and 163 and a half games from just staying the same.
11

70

82

71.7

69.2

70.8

.463

.483

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Oh, NOW you win.
12

71

81

65.7

66.5

67.1

.445

.425

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Padres choose your own adventure: 16 ½ games out of first and down 7-1 in the seventh inning the manager should: A) leave the pitcher in and go out for a beer; B) A, or C) A.
13

71

81

63.2

63.9

65.6

.434

.414

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Has anyone thought of moving Roy Halladay to closer?
14

74

78

76.5

77.8

76.6

.501

.521

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Looks like it's not going to happen for the Angels this season. If only they'd grown comical facial hair...
15

77

75

76.4

73.9

74.1

.496

.476

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

The Diamondbacks are the guy giving mean glances to the guy at the 7-Eleven who just fist pumped after winning a scratch-off ticket with his scratch-off ticket.
16

80

73

74.3

66.4

68.2

.472

.492

0.0%

1.0%

1.0%

-2.4%

-15.7%

Joba Chamberlain’s night: walk, single, homer, exeunt!
17

80

72

81.2

74.7

75.9

.513

.533

0.0%

4.0%

4.0%

-0.4%

-0.6%

James Shields leads baseball in quality starts with 25, which is 25 more than Wil Myers has.
18

82

71

79.2

80.6

78.9

.524

.504

0.0%

1.2%

1.2%

0.2%

-0.9%

The Nationals finally are using Winning Magic! which is a steroid.
19

81

71

80.9

78.0

79.1

.525

.545

0.0%

9.0%

9.0%

-4.8%

5.2%

Adam Jones' homer was it for the O's offense. There's an argument that it went so far it should've counted twice, but Baltimore lost by 3-1 so
20

83

70

82.0

79.8

80.4

.531

.551

0.1%

48.9%

49.0%

6.6%

26.5%

“Oh, come on, please?” “No.” “With sugar on it?” Well…” “Look, it’s the eleventh inning and here’s sugar, now please, let us score.” “Weeeell, okay.” “YAY!”
21

83

69

84.0

83.3

83.1

.548

.568

0.3%

66.8%

67.1%

9.8%

-18.9%

Yu Darvish decided to challenge the Rangers. "If I pitch badly," he thought, "they'll feel guilty and they'll have to score some runs!" Tune in tomorrow for a very special episode to see if it worked and to learn some life lessons you'll immediately forget.
22

83

69

79.8

88.4

88.9

.559

.579

0.0%

70.0%

70.0%

-8.7%

3.3%

A stupid argument for leaving the starter in no matter what: The Rays are 6-2 when their starter throws a complete game and less than that when he doesn’t.
23

87

66

89.4

89.9

89.9

.582

.562

16.7%

82.4%

99.1%

-0.2%

1.1%

Joey Votto's 10 year, $225 million contract starts next season so you can probably take a year off from sending him a gift come holiday time.
24

88

65

83.1

88.0

85.8

.564

.544

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

What's next, Dodgers? Jaywalking? Creating a public nuisance? LOITERING?
25

88

65

82.3

85.0

85.9

.558

.538

18.4%

81.3%

99.7%

0.0%

-0.2%

The Pirates lead baseball in hitting opposing batters and in getting hit by the pitch. The baseball gods have spoken.
26

89

64

93.8

86.5

86.4

.581

.561

64.9%

35.1%

100.0%

-0.0%

0.0%

The starter didn’t get out of the fourth and the game went 15 innings so they had to use 10 pitchers! Stupid Rockies!
27

89

64

94.0

101.1

100.1

.628

.646

99.9%

0.1%

100.0%

0.0%

0.1%

Prince Fielder had one RBI, two runs scored, three hits, four at-bats, five total bases, and, presumably, six of someone else's nachos during the game.
28

90

63

88.0

87.9

85.8

.575

.594

99.7%

0.3%

100.0%

0.0%

0.1%

Coco Crisp is having the best season ever for a center fielder with a terrible arm and an OPS in the mid-7s. And for that he should be saluted.
29

90

62

91.1

89.9

86.4

.588

.568

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

When told about the Dodgers playoff-clinching celebration in Arizona, the Braves clutched their pearls and well-I-never’d off to the parlor room to recuperate.
30

93

61

95.3

95.4

94.4

.614

.633

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Things as likely as John Lackey pitching the Red Sox into the playoffs: Crystal Pepsi II!, anything involving Steve Guttenberg, curried beef blowpops (“These really do blow!”) and you getting to this part of the comment.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
Schere

exuent is third person plural: "they exit."

Sep 20, 2013 07:48 AM
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+1

down_image
 
BP staff member Matt Kory

I looked it up last night to see if I was using it correctly and Google gives this for the definition: "used as a stage direction in a printed play to indicate that a group of characters leave the stage."

Sep 20, 2013 08:47 AM
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0

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