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Prospectus Hit List for September 10



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for September 9 Hit List for September 11
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

I am a Hit List, and you're gonna hear me roooooar.

Rk TmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

67

76

69.7

71.3

70.6

.487

.507

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Last night, Mike Trout struck out three times because sometimes he feels guilty.
2

72

71

70.7

69.0

69.0

.491

.471

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.8%

The Diamondbacks are 16-19 against last-place teams and 14-14 against first-place teams. Probably because their uniforms are terrible.
3

86

57

86.8

85.3

82.0

.595

.575

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Goofus Gattis hasn't walked twice in a game all season. Gallant McCann walked twice yesterday.
4

77

66

76.4

74.4

75.4

.530

.550

0.1%

12.6%

12.6%

2.1%

-2.3%

Is Chris Tillman an ace? No, he's a goblin. Wait, we were talking Halloween costumes, right?
5

87

58

88.8

88.6

87.9

.607

.626

99.4%

0.6%

100.0%

0.0%

1.1%

The Red Sox were off yesterday, but most of the team showed up for optional beard growth practice.
6

58

85

62.2

61.4

61.0

.424

.444

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

It's a shame that by the time the White Sox are any good again Chris Sale will be recovering from Tommy John Surgery. Not to be a downer or anything. *sips coffee* *leaps from bridge*
7

61

82

65.7

68.3

68.2

.460

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Travis Wood threw seven innings with seven Ks and no walks, lowering his ERA to 3.05 and raising his record to... 9-11? HE'S NO GOOD!
8

82

63

84.0

85.6

86.0

.582

.562

21.7%

77.4%

99.1%

-0.7%

0.9%

Bronson Arroyo has walked 27 hitters in 186 innings and through some sort of dark sorcery all of them were Joey Votto.
9

77

66

75.8

73.8

75.4

.528

.548

2.5%

24.8%

27.3%

6.7%

15.7%

The Indians scored four runs, three on solo homers and the fourth on a throwing error, because in your face thatís because.
10

66

79

70.2

69.5

66.3

.469

.449

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Rockies are close to a very odd team record: if they lose their next 587 games, they'll finish 66-666. Odd!
11

82

62

88.1

94.7

94.3

.623

.642

97.5%

1.7%

99.2%

-0.4%

-0.7%

Miguel Cabrera's attempt to become the first player to hit a homer from the clubhouse after getting ejected failed.
12

48

96

51.8

45.9

48.0

.336

.354

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Surprisingly the Astros seem to have failed just as badly without Carlos Pena and Rick Ankiel, proving yet again that clubhouse chemistry isn't quite as valuable when you stink at baseball.
13

75

69

75.7

69.1

70.0

.503

.523

0.0%

0.9%

0.9%

-0.8%

0.1%

How is Carlos Pena doing with the Royals? Picture your dog snuffles. Now put a Royals jersey on him, and give him a bat. That well.
14

84

59

80.2

83.2

81.2

.574

.555

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Dodgers are 3-4 since acquiring Michael Young.
15

53

89

57.0

52.6

53.4

.380

.362

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

"Oh great, here comes Matt to make fun of the Marlins for batting Justin Ruggiano and his .398 slugging percentage cleanup." "Yep."
16

62

80

64.2

66.8

68.4

.460

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

With the Astros now in the American League, that clears the way for the Brewers to lead the National League in getting caught stealing! Yay!
17

62

80

60.9

64.1

63.9

.442

.462

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

I've been waiting for a game with crazy low attendance that shows us the season is over, and last night I got it: 2,013 people attended last night's Twins/Angels game. Rats.
18

76

68

71.6

64.3

66.0

.482

.502

0.0%

4.7%

4.7%

-2.2%

-6.3%

If you don't look at advanced stats, traditional stats, actual results, or anything with your eyes open, CC Sabathia is having a heckuva year!
19

64

78

65.2

63.5

63.1

.450

.431

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Mets only hit last night came from someone named Zach Lutz who, research shows, is Mr. Met's alter ego.
20

83

60

81.2

80.8

78.9

.566

.586

68.5%

30.3%

98.8%

-0.2%

1.6%

Itís Bartolo Colon Dr. Pepper Blood Spinning Day, sponsored by Dr. Pepper at WhateverItísCalledNow.com Park! All fans in attendance will have their blood removed, spun, and replaced with Dr. Pepper! Theyíll also receive an honorary subpoena as well as a real one!
21

66

77

58.7

58.6

60.6

.426

.407

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Phillies are 4-3 since trading Michael Young. So THAT was the problem.
22

82

61

76.3

79.1

80.2

.555

.535

20.5%

79.1%

99.7%

0.0%

-0.2%

Backward is thing every! Team losing a not are Pirates the!
23

65

77

60.8

61.7

62.1

.439

.420

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

How mediocre are the Padres? They're even second-to-last in games played.
24

65

79

61.0

65.1

64.5

.444

.464

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Taijuan Walker struck out eight and walked only one in five innings before Mike Rizzo called to shut him down for the season.
25

65

79

63.6

68.3

69.0

.462

.442

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If first was called Stormberry and therefore didnít rhyme with worst, do you think the Giants would be a big juicy Strawberry right now instead of in last place?
26

83

60

87.2

81.7

81.5

.583

.563

57.7%

42.2%

99.9%

-0.0%

0.1%

The Cardinals are 16-15 in one-run games because they treat advanced standings the right way.
27

78

64

75.2

83.1

83.6

.563

.583

0.6%

64.7%

65.3%

-2.6%

-5.1%

In the last 16 days the Rays postseason odds have gone down 26 percentage points. There's a Joe Maddon shift joke in here somewhere but I can't quite dig it up.
28

81

62

79.7

79.1

78.1

.556

.575

31.5%

59.6%

91.1%

-2.6%

-4.2%

Yu Darvish was kind enough to let the Pirates win their 82nd game, ensuring them a winning season. He tripped a kid on the way out of the park though.
29

67

76

67.8

65.0

66.8

.466

.486

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The highest Toronto's playoff odds ever got was 30 percent (on April 1st).
30

74

69

71.2

73.1

71.7

.507

.487

0.0%

1.2%

1.2%

0.8%

-0.0%

Yesterday, eight games out of the Wild Card. Today, seven. Tomorrow, WOLRLD DOMINATION!! Or six. (But probably seven.)

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


4 comments have been left for this article.
R.A.Wagman

Not to pee on your joke, but MLB.com reports 21,826 as the attendance at last night's Angels-Twins matchup.

Sep 10, 2013 07:22 AM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

Right. The 2,013 is actually the year, not the attendance. I think that's a joke fail though.

Sep 10, 2013 11:49 AM
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0

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ceadie

Bartolo could framing your honorary subpoena and post his Colonoscopy .

Sep 10, 2013 07:46 AM
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-1

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ceadie

retry : Bartolo could framing his honorary subpoena and post his Colonoscopy .

Sep 10, 2013 07:47 AM
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-1

down_image
 
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