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Prospectus Hit List for September 9



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for September 6 Hit List for September 10
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Introducing into your life the concept of Rog-J Davis.

RkTm WLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

47

96

51.1

45.6

47.7

.335

.353

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

"We regret to inform you that your application to relocate to the National League Central has been [ ] ACCEPTED [X] REJECTED"
2

53

88

56.9

52.1

52.8

.381

.362

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Justin Ruggiano batted cleanup, just to see if anyone was paying attention. It didn't work. (The paying attention thing. Ruggiano had three hits.)
3

57

85

61.2

60.6

60.1

.421

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If Adam Dunn isn't having fun crushing long home runs, he could just give that skill to any one of us and we'd put it to good use.
4

60

82

65.0

67.7

67.5

.458

.438

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Scott Baker made his first start of this injury-riddled year and threw five shutout innings. It was literally all anybody in Chicago was talking about. Certainly not football.
5

61

80

60.1

63.3

63.1

.439

.459

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

This weekend was the first time they were swept at home in a really long time nearly two weeks. This has been another edition of Interesting Baseball For Fruit Flies.
6

62

80

64.2

66.8

68.4

.460

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Nobody tell Scooter Gennett what the Brewers' record is. It's only going to break his heart.
7

64

77

65.6

64.3

63.7

.457

.437

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

A 5-inning, one-run outing by Daisuke Matsuzaka lowered his ERA all the way down to 8.00.
8

64

79

63.0

67.6

68.3

.460

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Yusmeiro Petit almost pitched a perfect game against the Diamondbacks, who he pitched for in 2009 when he lost a no-hitter in the eighth against the Pirates. So look for Petit to sign with Pittsburgh and finally throw a perfect game against the Giants.
9

65

77

60.8

61.7

62.1

.439

.420

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

A sweep of Colorado in September is known in San Diego as a "cry for help."
10

65

78

60.7

64.5

64.0

.444

.464

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

And with Kendrys Morales' 20th home run, the Mariners finally have three guys who hit at least 20 homers, for the first time since 2007.
11

66

78

69.8

69.2

66.1

.471

.451

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Since 2010, Matt Belisle has pitched in 295 games, more than any other pitcher in baseball, and is therefore the best pitcher.
12

66

77

58.7

58.6

60.6

.426

.407

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The sweep of Atlanta was no doubt assisted by those inspiring notes Michael Young left behind in the clubhouse.
13

67

76

67.8

65.0

66.9

.466

.486

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Consider if Rajai Davis spelled his first name Rog-J Davis. He sounds ... noticeably slower.
14

67

75

69.6

71.1

70.4

.489

.509

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

There have been seven games this year in which Mike Trout hasn't reached base. If we're not counting ROEs, then nine. Either way, just once since July 1.
15

72

70

71.0

69.6

69.5

.497

.477

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

-0.1%

-2.0%

Eric Chavez couldn't be more unpopular in San Francisco if he invented a laser that only destroyed trolleys.
16

73

69

69.6

71.3

70.0

.500

.480

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

-0.1%

-2.5%

Stephen Strasburg tripled his career balk count in one start, which would be funnier had his career total before yesterday been like 50.
17

75

68

75.3

68.4

69.2

.503

.523

0.1%

1.7%

1.8%

0.3%

1.0%

James Shields gave up 14 hits on Friday against the Tigers, tying a career worst last year against the Tigers.
18

76

66

75.2

73.5

75.2

.528

.548

1.0%

19.6%

20.5%

-11.9%

6.0%

Jason Giambi recorded his 2,000th hit while all the other dads were out mowing the lawn. Doesn't seem fair.
19

76

67

71.3

64.1

65.7

.484

.504

0.0%

6.9%

6.9%

1.7%

-0.1%

In the four-game series against Boston, they were 0-3 when scoring eight or more runs, and 1-0 when scoring four or fewer.
20

76

66

75.7

73.7

74.7

.528

.548

0.1%

10.5%

10.6%

-6.6%

0.9%

Pinch-runners are all the rage this month. Not in Baltimore: Chris Dickerson was doubled off on a foulout to end the game. Baltimore doesn't need pinch-runners. Cal Ripken never pinch-ran.
21

78

64

75.2

83.1

83.6

.563

.583

0.7%

67.2%

67.9%

10.9%

-9.3%

Pinch-hitter, one pitch seen, groundout to catcher, right field defensive replacement. Delmon Young's box score appearances are proof you don't always need video highlights, but your imagination.
22

81

61

79.3

78.8

77.7

.558

.577

38.6%

55.1%

93.7%

4.0%

-2.7%

A renegade genie appears in Arlington. He grants the team one wish: a guaranteed playoff spot, or no more spiders forever. Choose wisely.
23

81

61

75.6

78.3

79.5

.554

.534

18.8%

80.9%

99.7%

-0.1%

0.1%

It's probably for the best that they wait for Win #82 until Yuengling figures out how to make a champagne.
24

82

62

83.6

85.2

85.5

.584

.565

27.9%

71.9%

99.8%

0.2%

4.2%

Jay Bruce joins an elite group of left-handers who have homered off Clayton Kershaw this year. Bruce is elite, right? Because that's the group.
25

82

61

88.0

94.4

94.0

.627

.645

99.0%

0.7%

99.7%

-0.1%

-0.0%

They've scored 27 runs in their last seven games, 16 of them in one game. Which means that in the other six games aw, you folks are good at math.
26

83

60

87.2

81.7

81.5

.583

.563

53.3%

46.6%

99.9%

0.1%

0.2%

Pretty cold of St. Louis to win their 82nd game as part of a sweep of Pittsburgh.
27

83

59

78.9

81.6

79.6

.569

.549

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.1%

Hopefully, one day, Yasiel Puig runs directly to third base out of the batters box so we can debate if he's playing the game "the right way."
28

83

60

81.2

80.8

78.9

.566

.586

61.4%

37.7%

99.0%

1.8%

3.7%

Kevin Kouzmanoff led the team in home runs in 2010. It has no relevance today, but just needed to make sure you knew that.
29

85

57

86.0

84.8

81.6

.594

.575

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

On Sunday, their only two hits were Evan Gattis home runs. The last time that happened to the Braves, they were no-hit.
30

87

58

88.8

88.6

87.9

.607

.626

99.3%

0.7%

100.0%

0.0%

0.7%

Xander Bogaerts finally hit his first home run, but the pressing question remains: why not two?

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


3 comments have been left for this article.
TGisriel

Actually, Cal Ripken's first major league appearance was as a pinch runner.

Sep 09, 2013 10:02 AM
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+1

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jdeich

The Houston comment is funnier if the other box is checked.

Sep 09, 2013 10:34 AM
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0

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BP staff member Matt Sussman

haha he pinch ran like several times #firesussman

Sep 09, 2013 14:07 PM
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