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Prospectus Hit List for September 6



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for September 5 Hit List for September 9
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Yesterday was Thursday, Thursday. Today i-is Friday, Friday (Hit Listin')

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff% 1-Day7-Day
1

77

62

74.0

81.7

82.2

.566

.586

1.7%

72.6%

74.3%

-4.6%

-12.4%

Since the All-Star break the team leader in triples is catcher Jose Lobaton.
2

80

60

78.9

78.1

76.5

.560

.579

41.2%

53.7%

94.9%

-1.9%

11.5%

Nate Freiman does the little things that don't show up in the box score: he was announced as a pinch-hitter, then pulled back for another pinch-hitter who knocked in a run. Correction ... that did show up in the box score.
3

75

65

70.6

63.5

64.8

.489

.509

0.0%

10.1%

10.1%

-0.5%

6.0%

Alex Rodriguez and Lyle Overbay pulled off a successful double steal and they still lost? What more does a team have to do?
4

80

60

84.1

78.7

78.6

.574

.554

27.8%

71.7%

99.5%

-0.4%

0.1%

Left-handed specialist Randy Choate has a .295 opposing on-base percentage against lefties and a .270 opposing on-base percentage against righties.
5

79

62

81.8

83.0

83.1

.580

.560

14.6%

83.3%

97.9%

-0.1%

3.5%

Without having a plate appearance, Billy Hamilton has two stolen bases in his career, equaling Cecil Fielder's career total.
6

47

93

50.4

45.2

47.2

.339

.357

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Their starting lineup included a Crowe and a Peacock. But if you ask me, this season for the Astros has been for the birds.
7

63

77

58.9

63.0

62.2

.441

.461

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

41-year-old Raul Ibanez has 26 home runs this season. On his 30th birthday he had 28 career home runs.
8

61

77

59.9

62.2

62.2

.444

.464

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The second-oldest player on the roster is Doug Bernier, and you don't know Doug Bernier. You didn't even go to his high school. You weren't in his English class. You just don't know him.
9

60

79

62.6

64.9

66.5

.457

.437

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Ryan Braun is reportedly calling Brewers season-ticket holders one-by-one to apologize for using PEDs. "Hello, is this Mr. and Mrs. Seli-- uh, sorry, I have the wrong number."
10

63

75

65.4

63.8

63.3

.463

.443

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Not understanding the frustration over Daisuke Matsuzaka in the rotation, 2.11 is a terrific -- oh, that's his WHIP.
11

63

77

57.0

55.9

57.9

.417

.398

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Darin Ruf has the second-most at bats on the team since the All-Star break, but only because he asked nicely.
12

62

78

61.2

65.9

66.6

.457

.437

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Pablo Sandoval followed up a three-homer night with a three-base hit, which explains those tremors last night.
13

83

56

77.8

80.7

78.5

.575

.556

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.3%

Finally, one of their acquisitions didn't work out. Haha, just kidding, put all your money on an Edinson Volquez no-hitter next week.
14

52

86

55.6

50.9

51.7

.381

.362

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Give Arquimedes Caminero a mound to stand on, and he can move the earth. Or at the very least, the home run sculpture.
15

85

54

84.8

84.6

81.6

.604

.585

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Their magic number is 10 and they have two regulars hittin' under .200. How? Magic, of course.
16

64

76

65.1

63.0

65.1

.459

.479

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

R.A. Dickey and Mark Buehrle each has 11 wins as a starter. Nobody else has more than three.
17

56

83

60.1

60.0

59.4

.424

.443

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Adam Dunn might retire after this season, which should give headline writers plenty of time to pun his name in a headline against the completion of his career.
18

59

80

63.6

66.6

66.4

.460

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Would you even be able to sell the Cubs to Mark Cuban on Shark Tank? He'd be out before you even got to Welington Castillo's defensive stats.
19

66

75

68.8

68.4

65.5

.476

.457

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

With Kansas City's 13-inning game, Colorado is the only team who hasn't played a game longer than 12 innings this year. All other teams have played at least a 14-inning one.
20

65

74

67.5

69.2

68.4

.486

.506

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Total Runs Over Unspectacular Talent. That's right, it's time to stop calling it "WAR" and start calling it "TROUT."
21

62

77

58.8

59.6

60.1

.433

.413

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Maybe for the last game in Petco Park, let a bunch of stray dogs onto the field during the game and see what happens. After the game, win or lose, everybody adopts a dog and goes home happy.
22

81

59

85.5

92.4

92.0

.627

.645

99.3%

0.4%

99.7%

0.1%

0.4%

Tigers bullpen on Wednesday: 22 batters faced, 11 runs allowed, 58 frowns. The frown total is not even close to the record in the live ball era.
23

81

58

76.1

78.4

79.2

.566

.546

57.6%

42.3%

99.9%

0.1%

2.1%

Sure, Win No. 82 is right around the corner for them. What they *don't* know is Win No. 82 is tied to a fishing line being operated by Francisco Cabrera.
24

71

68

69.8

68.3

68.3

.499

.479

0.0%

0.7%

0.7%

0.1%

-2.6%

Martin Prado is such a team player. He gets the entire team involved, which explains the 26 GIDPs.
25

80

59

78.3

77.7

76.5

.562

.582

58.8%

36.0%

94.8%

0.2%

-2.2%

When nobody's looking, Nolan Ryan still wanders out to the mound and throws 90 mph fastballs then headlocks a straw dummy.
26

71

68

67.9

69.4

68.5

.498

.478

0.0%

2.0%

2.0%

0.3%

-3.3%

They're due for a big winning streak, probably around Thanksgiving.
27

85

57

86.8

86.4

85.7

.605

.624

98.0%

1.9%

99.9%

0.3%

2.8%

Quintin Berry has now stolen 22 bases without ever being caught. Invisibility cloaks rule but I thought MLB banned them?
28

73

67

75.0

67.5

67.9

.506

.526

0.1%

1.1%

1.1%

0.4%

-0.4%

Greg Holland gave up his second run since the beginning of July. Time to start looking for another closer.
29

74

65

72.5

71.0

72.7

.522

.542

0.7%

15.5%

16.1%

2.8%

-1.1%

The 2013 Indians' live chicken, so far, has been a better good luck charm than the 2011 Red Sox's dead chicken.
30

74

65

73.8

71.3

72.6

.525

.545

0.2%

8.8%

9.0%

3.3%

-4.7%

Not only did they win, but game traffic tied up the traffic to the Baltimore Ravens game. Double win.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


4 comments have been left for this article.
6pence

Re O's win: How could game traffic tie up traffic to the Ravens-Bronco's game--which was played in Denver?

Sep 06, 2013 06:41 AM
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+1

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BP staff member Matt Sussman

There was just that much traffic across the interstate! Or I'm an idiot -- you get to pick.

Sep 06, 2013 08:03 AM
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+3

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aurelian

haha exactly what I was going to comment about. There was a big thing about the fact that the superbowl champs had to play their opening game on the road, and its all the Os' fault.

Sep 06, 2013 15:20 PM
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0

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surfdent48

There's sure something wrong with the computer generated "adjusted hit list factor" to have the Rays (77 wins) ahead of the Braves (85 wins).

Sep 06, 2013 07:05 AM
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-3

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