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Prospectus Hit List for August 27



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for August 26 Hit List for August 28
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

A Hit List a day keeps Scott Proctor away.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff% 1-Day7-Day
1

74

55

70.1

76.2

76.4

.575

.594

30.4%

57.5%

87.9%

-3.3%

-2.7%

Jeremy Hellickson has made it through at least five innings once in his last six starts. Is this where we stump for Jamey Wright to be moved into the rotation, or do we just cry?
2

71

59

69.3

67.9

68.9

.533

.553

2.2%

31.5%

33.7%

-3.0%

12.4%

Justin Masterson has 15 HBPs, most by any Cleveland pitcher since 1906, and he needs nine more to tie the franchise record for a season. Time to make a lengthy enemies list.
3

74

58

75.9

75.9

76.0

.571

.552

13.3%

81.4%

94.7%

-2.1%

-0.9%

Mike Leake's ERA this month is 6.44. It's almost to say that 2.59 ERA the first four months was fool's gold.
4

69

62

64.7

57.8

59.3

.479

.499

0.4%

5.4%

5.8%

-2.0%

0.9%

Is age-reducing potion on the banned substances list? Because it may be time to ask Alfonso Soriano for a urine test.
5

70

59

69.6

67.3

68.1

.533

.553

2.7%

15.6%

18.3%

-1.1%

0.9%

Not to jinx anything, but this is the first month (so far) where they haven't used more than five different starting pitchers. Now everybody find a block of wood and knock it.
6

77

54

83.2

89.6

88.7

.646

.664

97.8%

1.5%

99.3%

-0.4%

0.2%

We've run out of words to describe Miguel Cabrera. From now on, either charades, hieroglyphics or semaphore will be permitted to describe him. In time, perhaps pronouns will be acceptable.
7

76

54

71.0

72.0

73.0

.561

.542

33.3%

65.7%

99.0%

-0.2%

0.1%

Only six more wins to a winning record, which means there are six more pieces of fabric remaining on the clubhouse cardboard cutout of Sid Bream.
8

60

71

54.4

53.9

55.8

.428

.408

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Another win going according to plan: strong outing by Cliff Lee, bases-clearing triple by Cody Asche.
9

58

71

59.7

58.8

58.4

.455

.435

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

So this means Matt Harvey throws a no-hitter in two years, right?
10

44

86

47.3

42.4

44.7

.343

.361

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

First career win for David Martinez, first career save for Jordan Lyles, and well first career everything for everyone.
11

59

72

55.8

57.9

58.1

.440

.421

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

But soft! What light through Yonder Alonso breaks?
12

59

71

54.4

57.7

57.5

.440

.459

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Free Aaron Harang! (Or best offer) (Seriously the trade deadline is in a few days get your offers in)
13

58

73

55.8

60.0

61.1

.448

.428

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

All of you who had yesterday's daily Giants run scored by way of "Joaquin Arias pinch-hit double," congratulations, here's the deed to my house. Now to take care of this gambling problem.
14

59

73

60.6

58.9

61.0

.454

.473

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Maybe next year R.A. Dickey can win a Cy Young by inventing a new pitch: the knuckle-cutter.
15

57

72

56.1

58.2

58.6

.445

.465

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Seriously though, Brian Dozier is third on the team in total bases.
16

57

73

58.8

61.6

62.8

.462

.442

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Ryan Braun is in a terrible slump, going hitless this month, but he hasn't struck out either with a .000 BABIP, so it could be pure bad luck.
17

49

80

51.4

47.3

48.0

.379

.361

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Here is a list of 20-year-olds who averaged over a strikeout per inning (minimum 150 innings): Dwight Gooden, Rick Ankiel, Jose Fernandez.
18

62

71

65.1

65.2

61.9

.478

.458

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Todd Helton hit another home run to stay just one career homer behind Miguel Cabrera, who is 10 years younger than him.
19

55

76

59.6

61.9

62.3

.456

.436

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

They came here to kick butt and bat Starlin Castro leadoff (.276 OBP), and they've already batted Starlin Castro leadoff (.276 OBP).
20

54

76

57.2

57.0

56.7

.432

.452

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If Hawk Harrelson is silent, either the other team just hit a crucial home run, or you are watching Mel Brooks' "Silent Movie," both of which are favorable outcomes.
21

78

52

79.3

79.3

76.7

.603

.583

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Are you worried? If they go on a 13-game losing streak, at worst they are tied with the Nationals when they play them in a three-game series. NOW are you worried?
22

58

71

61.2

64.6

63.3

.479

.499

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

They could conceivably still make the playoffs if they fire everybody and replace them with the Oakland A's.
23

77

55

78.5

77.6

76.9

.587

.606

66.5%

28.8%

95.3%

0.1%

3.0%

Streagob Rednax is Xander Bogaerts backwards, and if you can fool him into saying this, he'll disappear back to his home planet of Aruba.
24

77

54

81.5

77.8

76.8

.598

.578

53.4%

46.1%

99.5%

0.1%

1.5%

Allen Craig is so clutch, drivers ed teachers in St. Louis are telling teenagers to "ease up on the craig a little." The kids are all terribly confused.
25

66

64

67.9

60.7

62.0

.494

.514

0.0%

0.5%

0.5%

0.2%

-3.0%

An 0-for-4 in his return to Kauffman Stadium? Well you can consider the Wil Myers trade officially won.
26

77

54

72.0

74.9

73.0

.567

.547

99.5%

0.3%

99.8%

0.3%

1.0%

Take away his pitching numbers and Zack Greinke still has more bWAR than Yoenis Cespedes.
27

65

65

62.7

63.2

63.1

.488

.468

0.0%

2.1%

2.1%

0.4%

1.5%

Jayson Werth has a 1.141 OPS since the All-Star Break, which is why he is lobbying for a second-half All-Star game, to be played in mid-October in Nationals Park.
28

67

63

67.0

64.5

64.8

.506

.486

0.5%

4.4%

4.9%

1.5%

-3.1%

Tony Campana has been on the team for about 20 minutes and is already fourth on the team with five stolen bases.
29

76

55

74.1

73.9

72.9

.567

.586

79.2%

14.1%

93.2%

2.5%

2.9%

Joe Nathan, Joakim Soria, Neal Cotts ... the Rangers basically graverobbed the AL Central for dead relief pitchers and turned them into alive relief pitchers who are effective. Last I heard, necromancy was frowned upon in Texas.
30

73

57

71.5

71.1

69.0

.547

.567

20.8%

45.2%

66.0%

7.0%

-14.5%

Daric Barton is back! Remember Daric Barton? Lanky first baseman, about yay high? Played for the Oakland A's? Well anyway Daric Barton is back with the Oakland A's.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


5 comments have been left for this article.
jsutka

broken?

Aug 27, 2013 05:53 AM
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0

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APer930

Here's hoping Fernandez has a better pitching career than Ankiel.

Aug 27, 2013 07:06 AM
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+1

down_image
 
cdmyers

The Padres comment wins ye olde internet

Aug 27, 2013 08:06 AM
up_image

+1

down_image
 
jsdspud

I liked the comment on the Pirates

Aug 27, 2013 09:47 AM
up_image

+2

down_image
 
Justice

O.K. Ken Harrelson annoys you. Why wish ill on the White Sox?

Aug 27, 2013 15:06 PM
up_image

-3

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