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Prospectus Hit List for August 21



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for August 20 Hit List for August 22
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

I'm gonna say.... the Mariners

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div% Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

71

55

72.8

72.5

72.8

.574

.554

20.1%

73.3%

93.4%

-2.2%

-0.9%

J.J. Hoover gave up a grand slam in the eighth inning. Hoover is also the name of a vacuum cleaner. So I guess you could say Hoover ... forgot to empty his bag!
2

72

53

77.4

74.2

72.9

.593

.574

29.3%

67.0%

96.3%

-1.6%

-0.7%

Yadier Molina is simply slugging .913 since returning from the disabled list. Kids everywhere are imitating Molina in their backyards, hurting their knee.
3

74

51

68.6

70.0

71.2

.568

.548

50.5%

48.1%

98.6%

-0.3%

-0.0%

Nine wins until a winning record. It's HAPPENING. [buys bottled water by the pallet]
4

71

54

69.9

69.4

66.9

.554

.574

28.3%

46.8%

75.1%

-5.4%

-3.8%

All the leaves are brown (all the leaves are brown) and the Sonny Gray (and the Sonny Gray).
5

74

54

74.7

73.9

72.8

.577

.596

46.9%

43.1%

90.0%

-2.2%

-6.0%

If Ryan Dempster appeals his suspension of throwing at A-Rod and pitches during the appeal, I sure hope no batter intentionally hits a home run off him.
6

72

52

68.3

73.9

73.8

.581

.600

50.5%

42.8%

93.3%

2.7%

14.1%

Based on his catching gear, Jose Molina is trying desperately to ensure baby blue makes a fashion comeback. And it will. Jose Molina will make this happen.
7

68

58

66.8

65.6

66.5

.529

.549

2.8%

24.5%

27.3%

6.0%

7.2%

Oh by the way Asdrubal Cabrera was dropped to batting sixth regularly, it seems. If this was an office he'd be working in the basement by now.
8

73

53

70.7

70.1

69.2

.562

.581

71.7%

20.1%

91.8%

1.4%

2.4%

Travis Blackley has now pitched for the entire AL West except for the Angels. At least for now. The night is young.
9

67

58

66.6

64.3

64.9

.526

.545

2.0%

12.1%

14.1%

-3.3%

-10.4%

Another loss, sure, but not another one-run loss!
10

65

59

63.9

61.3

61.9

.508

.488

2.3%

9.7%

12.0%

3.9%

3.5%

Paul Goldschmidt hit his third grand slam of the year. The Diamondbacks never hit more than three grand slams as a team in any year between 2002 and 2010.
11

66

59

62.3

56.0

57.3

.483

.503

0.6%

6.6%

7.2%

2.4%

2.2%

Wow, Robinson Cano had a six-hit game! Strike that, it was two games of a double-header. *Kind of* impressive, then.
12

64

60

64.7

58.2

59.3

.496

.516

0.2%

2.3%

2.5%

-1.1%

-5.1%

The slump is back on. Quick, try to remember all those Dayton Moore jokes you deleted two weeks ago.
13

73

52

78.3

84.3

83.3

.638

.656

97.0%

1.8%

98.7%

-0.4%

-0.6%

Miguel Cabrera struck out with two on, two out and his team down three in the bottom of the ninth. Every other team's fan-fiction finally came true!
14

61

64

59.0

59.7

59.9

.479

.459

0.0%

1.1%

1.1%

0.5%

-1.3%

Ooh, they converted Dan Haren back into a starter. Interesting idea.
15

73

52

68.3

71.2

69.4

.564

.544

97.7%

0.7%

98.4%

-0.4%

-0.5%

The melodrama surrounding Yasiel Puig is a little too much for other baseball teams, but not nearly enough for a Los Angeles baseball team.
16

58

66

59.5

58.6

57.8

.471

.452

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

0.0%

Travis d'Arnaud is basically French for "Travis of Arnold," which is my new favorite historical figure.
17

59

68

61.9

62.5

60.0

.479

.459

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Jorge De La Rosa won his 13th game and leads the Rockies in wins. I had naturally assumed it was still Jason Jennings.
18

55

70

51.0

50.1

52.3

.417

.397

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Three runs on three hits -- all singles. It is entirely possible the Phillies baserunners found secret tunnels.
19

56

69

54.5

58.3

59.0

.456

.436

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

What was your favorite Jeff Francoeur memory in San Francisco? Mine was that one base hit. (I am assuming there was at one, at least.)
20

58

67

53.6

57.2

56.9

.451

.471

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

Many baseballs have been hit Raul Ibaņez's way. But beware! None have ever returned.
21

56

70

53.6

55.2

55.6

.437

.418

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

They still have a winning record at home, so they could sell this team as a contender if they ask Padres fans to burn their radio, TV and cell phones.
22

57

69

58.7

56.2

58.6

.457

.477

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If Jose Bautista is out of commission for a couple weeks, their playoff chances are in trouble.
23

55

69

54.4

56.6

56.5

.449

.469

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Better now than never, but Justin Morneau finally has his first four-hit game of the season.
24

55

71

56.9

59.4

60.5

.460

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Every position player at at least one hit yesterday, none of them for extra bases. Small ball is alive and well.
25

48

76

49.9

45.3

46.1

.382

.363

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

On the bright side, Jeff Mathis is still employed as a major league catcher.
26

41

84

43.7

38.9

41.4

.330

.348

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In his seventh start, Jarred Cosart gave up a career worst three runs.
27

54

71

57.9

60.4

61.1

.467

.447

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Who's ready for more Brian Bogusevic playing time!?
28

50

74

54.1

54.2

53.8

.428

.447

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

John Danks finally had a start where he didn't allow runs. It's only August, though. Plenty of season left.
29

76

49

77.2

77.5

74.7

.611

.592

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.1%

Jason Heyward keeps robbing people of hits when in Citi Field, and the police look the other way.
30

55

70

58.2

61.5

60.0

.470

.490

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

J.B. Shuck's two career homers are off Matt Garza and Danny Salazar. He has great splits against pitchers with "Z" in them.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


5 comments have been left for this article.
APer930

If the Mamas and the Papas were to read the hit list... probably Oakland fans anyways

Aug 21, 2013 07:54 AM
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+2

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Michael

Hopefully Sonny Gray won't be for a walk.

Aug 21, 2013 09:17 AM
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rweiler

Francoeur threw out a runner at the plate for the Giants, pretty much his one remaining baseball skill.

Aug 21, 2013 10:05 AM
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mhmckay

Love the California Dreamin' reference
(Mike, from Escalon, CA)

Aug 22, 2013 18:13 PM
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+1

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Nathan Aderhold

"Travis of Arnold" is pretty cool, but my favorite historical figure is still "David of Jesus."

Aug 30, 2013 13:54 PM
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0

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