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Prospectus Hit List for August 14



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for August 13 Hit List for August 15
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It's the Hit List to ignition, hot and fresh out the kitchen

RkTmW LW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

73

47

74.5

75.4

72.7

.616

.597

99.9%

0.0%

99.9%

-0.1%

-0.1%

They are going to waltz away with a division championship and they were somehow shut out 12 times, more than the Astros.
2

70

48

64.7

65.3

66.8

.565

.546

46.1%

52.5%

98.6%

-0.3%

-0.9%

A confused Andrew Lambo, in his first game, asks if all baseball games are as weird as the one last night. They respond "yes." Andrew Lambo quits baseball and goes to law school.
3

72

49

71.2

70.0

69.0

.583

.602

77.4%

18.6%

96.0%

1.8%

0.0%

The lack of Shane Victorino blunders in the field has been appalling this year. Children's laughter is at an all-time low and nobody logs onto the Internet anymore.
4

69

49

74.5

80.8

79.8

.644

.662

97.9%

1.4%

99.3%

0.1%

0.5%

Max Scherzer has two losses in the last calendar year, and in both losses he didn't allow more than four runs.
5

68

50

74.0

71.6

70.1

.601

.582

31.4%

65.6%

97.0%

0.3%

-2.1%

Adam Wainwright gave up two home runs at home, doubling his total allowed a Busch Stadium to four. This is commonplace for pitchers, but they're usually called up in July.
6

69

50

64.5

67.3

66.0

.560

.541

98.4%

0.6%

98.9%

0.0%

4.3%

Now they're winning shortened games. They're on pace to win the World Series in one inning.
7

66

51

63.8

69.4

69.1

.573

.593

18.9%

60.3%

79.2%

-4.1%

-13.7%

Rays are 1-2 all time when Ben Zobrist hits two home runs. So cut that out, Ben.
8

69

51

65.3

66.3

65.9

.555

.575

63.8%

25.5%

89.4%

-1.6%

16.0%

Texas's eight-game winning streak ends at the hands of the Brewers. Just like in the Mexican-American War.
9

67

51

66.2

66.1

63.9

.558

.577

36.1%

42.8%

78.9%

-1.2%

3.9%

Don't worry. They'll be back to normal once they claim Adam Rosales off waivers in a few days.
10

67

52

68.1

68.2

68.7

.571

.552

22.5%

71.8%

94.3%

0.8%

2.9%

For the first time in eight starts, Homer Bailey doesn't register a decision. He was sick of deciding, anyway.
11

65

54

63.5

61.0

61.4

.527

.547

3.3%

21.1%

24.5%

-2.5%

4.4%

Did Chris Dav— yes he did.
12

62

55

62.1

55.3

55.8

.502

.522

0.7%

6.8%

7.6%

-1.0%

4.4%

That's Mr. Used-To-Be-Second-Place Kansas City Royals to you.
13

64

56

62.9

61.8

62.7

.524

.544

1.3%

18.7%

20.1%

6.1%

-18.6%

The recently released Mark Reynolds is trying to figure out whether to include his strikeout record on his resume or not. Yes, they're strikeouts, but there's a lot of them!
14

61

57

59.8

57.5

57.7

.500

.480

1.6%

6.9%

8.5%

-0.2%

-3.2%

You can't spell "transcendent" without "Paul Goldschmidt," because Goldschmidt is transcendent in late-inning games and you also loaned your only dictionary to him.
15

61

57

57.2

51.1

52.3

.469

.489

0.4%

4.6%

5.0%

2.4%

3.1%

Alfonso Soriano hit two home runs as a Yankee for the first time since 2003, when he was teammates with Robin Ventura.
16

58

60

56.6

56.1

56.2

.481

.461

0.1%

2.3%

2.4%

-0.1%

0.1%

Tanner Roark has two wins in three career appearances as a reliever. But let me back up for a minute: Tanner Roark is the name of a pitcher on the Nationals baseball team.
17

55

63

51.5

55.3

54.6

.459

.478

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

Erasmo Ramirez (4-0, 7.06 ERA) is the first Mariners starter with run support since probably 1650, when baseball didn't exist and Seattle was overrun by intelligent seals, but seals that got on base.
18

54

63

55.4

54.8

54.2

.467

.447

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.3%

-0.1%

For Matt Harvey, complete game losses take a bit of skill, but weather helps.
19

53

64

52.1

53.1

53.2

.452

.472

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Here's a complete list of players in yesterday's lineup that had a batting average higher than .265: Joe Mauer.
20

53

65

56.5

59.5

58.5

.482

.502

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

Mark Trumbo has eight homers against the Yankees in 22 career games, and seven against the A's in 46 games.
21

54

65

55.4

53.4

55.4

.458

.478

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.1%

Brett Lawrie saw seven pitches in four plate appearances against Boston and I don't think he understands how games against Boston work.
22

56

65

59.2

59.5

56.9

.478

.459

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.2%

Not a good start for Jeff Manship but the Rockies brought him to the team not for his pitching, but his jeffmanship.
23

54

65

51.3

51.8

52.1

.439

.420

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.2%

For the first time in 14 games, they enjoyed a four-run inning. At least I am assuming they enjoyed it; I know I would.
24

52

66

51.0

54.5

55.4

.451

.431

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.3%

Joaquin Arias got his first career four-hit game, so do you all want to chip in for a present? I was thinking a gift card, or a candle.
25

53

66

49.4

48.8

50.7

.424

.405

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

Hitting .333 with runners in scoring position yesterday is good! No, let's not bring up how many such opportunities they had.
26

52

67

54.8

57.9

58.3

.468

.449

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Last night snapped a three-game winning streak in 11-inning games for them. That's probably a thing, right?
27

52

67

54.2

56.0

56.7

.460

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Scooter Gennett hit two home runs, so he needs a nickname more befitting than "Scooter." How about "Steve?"
28

46

72

50.2

50.8

50.6

.419

.438

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Alexei Ramirez had three errors, leading to two unearned runs but he also had two hits and the team won so lay off him.
29

45

73

46.7

42.6

43.5

.377

.358

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

They're not supposed to win 1-0 games in extra innings! Seriously, look at their contracts.
30

38

80

41.1

35.8

38.1

.324

.342

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

From here on out, let's grade each game on a scale of 1 to 5 smiley faces.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


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