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Prospectus Hit List for August 13



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for August 12 Hit List for August 14
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Featuring the best DIamondbacks comment of the year, or at least one of the top 15

RkTm WLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

37

80

40.5

35.1

37.5

.321

.338

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

It may be a poor approach to winning games, but make no bones about it, at least the 'DON'T GET NO-HIT' motivational plaque in the clubhouse is working.
2

44

73

46.1

41.9

42.8

.373

.355

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Giancarlo Stanton has a .299 road slugging percentage. Woof. Although somehow he's slugging .611 at Marlins freaking Park.
3

45

72

49.6

50.3

50.1

.417

.436

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

What an impressive complete game victory by Chris Sale. Quick, trade everyone back!
4

51

67

53.3

55.4

56.0

.457

.437

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Outside of fantasy baseball owners and maybe the Brewers pitching coach, who even knows the name of their closer?
5

52

66

54.5

57.4

57.8

.470

.450

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

Ernie Banks said "let's play two." This year's Cubs say "let's just play one and get home safely."
6

52

65

50.8

54.0

55.0

.452

.433

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.4%

They're still a ton of one-run losses away from the No. 1 overall draft pick, but it's within reach.
7

53

63

51.9

52.9

52.9

.454

.474

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

0.0%

Andrew Albers can do anything! (Except strike out three batters in a game.)
8

53

65

49.1

48.7

50.4

.426

.407

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.1%

Roy Halladay is beginning rehab starts in the minor leagues and can save this season yet, as soon as he locates a working time machine.
9

53

65

50.5

51.2

51.4

.437

.417

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.4%

Congratulations to Jeff Decker on his first career home ru' wait, his name's Jaff? No it isn't. It's gotta be Jeff Decker.
10

53

64

56.7

59.7

58.7

.487

.507

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

0.0%

Garrett Richards will remember his first complete game as a loss, unless he uses his imagination--the most powerful weapon one has.
11

54

62

55.1

54.3

53.6

.468

.448

0.0%

0.3%

0.3%

0.0%

-0.2%

John Buck had 11 home runs in his first 150 at bats, then three in his next 200.
12

54

64

55.1

53.2

55.2

.461

.481

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

J.A. Happ threw seven innings of one-run ball, his longest outing of the season. He got one run of support. More like J.A. Hapless if you ask me.
13

54

63

50.9

54.5

53.9

.456

.476

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Despite an incredible 2.28 ERA, Felix Hernandez has won only one game a month this year. (Note: I made this one up.)
14

56

64

58.9

59.1

56.4

.480

.460

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

0.1%

-0.0%

Jhoulys Chacin has allowed five homers in 23 starts, two of them to Norichika Aoki, who has six homers on the year.
15

57

60

55.8

55.6

55.7

.479

.459

0.0%

2.5%

2.5%

-0.7%

-1.2%

Dan Haren's ERA is below 5.00 for the second time this year. [plays koolandthegang_celebrate.mp3]
16

60

57

55.8

49.7

51.0

.463

.483

0.1%

2.5%

2.6%

0.3%

-0.1%

David Robertson got the save tonight. After the debacle this weekend, could this possibly be Mariano Rivera's last season in pinstripes?
17

60

57

59.2

56.6

56.8

.497

.477

1.4%

7.3%

8.7%

0.4%

-2.4%

"I don't believe what I just saw," Kirk Gibson muttered to himself as Wil Nieves, of all people, hit a go-ahead home run. "We have a pool in right field!"
18

62

54

61.7

55.2

55.7

.506

.526

0.7%

7.8%

8.6%

1.6%

4.3%

That's Mr. The Second Place Kansas City Royals to you.
19

63

56

62.1

61.1

62.0

.521

.541

0.9%

13.0%

13.9%

-4.2%

-29.7%

Yesterday was the first time they only got two hits off a pitcher not named Matt Moore. But the pitcher was Andrew Albers. It could be they're allergic to alliteration.
20

65

53

63.1

60.8

61.3

.530

.550

4.9%

22.1%

26.9%

-6.7%

11.1%

Scott Feldman was relieved by Brian Matusz, who was replaced by Tommy Hunter. The Orioles have 35 starting pitchers.
21

66

52

67.4

67.6

68.1

.570

.550

18.7%

74.9%

93.6%

0.6%

4.3%

Feels good for Ryan Ludwick to be back. But it doesn't feel good that he ruined his perfect 1.000 on-base percentage for the season.
22

66

50

63.4

69.1

68.8

.576

.596

25.8%

57.6%

83.3%

2.8%

-10.7%

The Wesley Wright acquisition is a solid one, in that this is finally a relief pitcher that isn't injured.
23

67

50

65.8

65.7

63.7

.560

.580

35.8%

44.3%

80.1%

3.3%

3.2%

Ryan Cook's line from yesterday: 2/3 innings, no hits, no runs, an error, a blown save and a win. Sometimes these weird statistics balance out.
24

67

50

73.3

70.8

69.3

.599

.580

27.0%

69.7%

96.7%

-0.5%

-2.3%

Batting average with bases empty: .240. Batting average with runners in scoring position: .334. Batting average on off days: .000.
25

68

50

63.7

66.8

65.4

.559

.540

98.5%

0.4%

98.9%

0.3%

3.0%

Nick Punto homered, but only because Yasiel Puig was holding Punto in the air as he swung.
26

69

50

65.2

65.9

65.5

.558

.578

64.2%

26.8%

91.0%

2.4%

20.3%

Yu Darvish keeps flirting with no-hitters against Houston and is getting nowhere, which means he's stuck in the friend zone.
27

69

48

74.0

80.3

79.4

.647

.665

98.3%

0.9%

99.2%

-0.2%

1.3%

After winning 12 in a row, they have lost three of four and are probably the worst team in baseball right now. In a day this will probably change.
28

70

47

64.3

65.2

66.6

.568

.549

54.3%

44.6%

98.9%

-0.2%

-0.4%

Mark Melancon has a sparkling 0.83 ERA and just needs 20 1/3 more scoreless innings to match Fernando Rodney's 0.60 ERA from last year.
29

71

49

70.5

69.1

68.3

.581

.600

69.2%

25.0%

94.2%

0.6%

0.4%

Xander Bogaerts isn't ready for the major leagues--at least not until broadcasters can say his name. (This is why Nomar Garciaparra wasn't called up until he was 36.)
30

72

47

73.7

74.5

71.9

.613

.594

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.1%

0.1%

Now is the time to forge a "Chris Johnson wins batting title" betting slip.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


4 comments have been left for this article.
NYYanks826

Dan Haren, while listening to the koolandthegang_celebrate.mp3: "I will".

Aug 13, 2013 08:59 AM
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+2

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Drakos

Well Jaff is pronounced Jeff. So that's something.

Aug 13, 2013 11:47 AM
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+1

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BP staff member Matt Sussman

OH COME ON

Aug 13, 2013 13:11 PM
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0

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bradnash

What do the Dodgers have to do to crack the top 10?

Aug 13, 2013 17:19 PM
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0

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