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Prospectus Hit List for August 12



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for August 9 Hit List for August 13
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Welcome to the Hit List week. You gotta do it 'til you're through it so you better get to it.

RkTmWLW1 W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

69

47

73.9

80.1

79.2

.651

.669

98.7%

0.7%

99.4%

-0.2%

1.9%

If you're trapped in a well, Miguel Cabrera will hit a ninth inning home run to save the day, although this will not help you leave the well.
2

72

46

73.6

74.3

71.6

.618

.599

99.9%

0.0%

99.9%

-0.0%

0.0%

Prior to their 14-game winning streak, their previous 14 wins came over the span of 29 games.
3

67

50

73.3

70.8

69.3

.599

.580

29.5%

67.8%

97.2%

1.5%

-1.9%

Allen Craig only seems to hit well with runners on base, which is yet another reason hallucinations can be valuable in baseball.
4

71

49

70.5

69.2

68.3

.581

.600

66.8%

26.8%

93.6%

-2.5%

-2.2%

By 2018 we will all be living comfortably inside of Mike Napoli's facial hair.
5

66

50

63.4

69.1

68.9

.576

.596

25.9%

54.6%

80.6%

-6.0%

-12.7%

A successful hidden ball trick AND batting the pitcher eighth in the same weekend? Ah, to be young again.
6

65

52

66.6

67.1

67.7

.569

.550

16.2%

76.7%

93.0%

1.9%

3.6%

Yesterday they got five hits, allowed 11 hits, and won in 13 innings. Math is weird.
7

67

50

63.0

66.4

65.1

.559

.539

98.0%

0.7%

98.7%

0.3%

3.9%

Juan Uribe feels embarrassed to be victim of the hidden ball trick, but he'll be back on his feet as soon as he gets someone to fall for the "your shoelace is untied" thing.
8

70

47

64.3

65.2

66.6

.569

.549

54.3%

44.8%

99.1%

-0.3%

-0.1%

Of course a team called the Pirates are going to play poorly in Colorado. Do you realize how high that state is above sea level?
9

66

50

64.9

65.0

63.1

.558

.578

36.3%

40.5%

76.8%

2.3%

-0.4%

Josh Reddick's five homers in two games is the best anyone has done in Canada since the first company that produced those winter hats with the earflaps.
10

68

50

64.6

64.9

64.7

.555

.575

63.7%

24.9%

88.6%

0.5%

25.7%

They've won 12 of 13 and haven't lost a series since being swept at Cleveland, because baseball humor changes from week to week.
11

63

55

61.9

61.2

62.1

.526

.546

0.9%

17.2%

18.1%

0.6%

-32.7%

After a six-game skid, they're back to their regular winning ways: coming down from a five-run deficit to inexplicably win.
12

65

52

62.7

60.5

61.0

.533

.552

7.1%

26.5%

33.6%

4.1%

19.2%

Manny Machado has hit four doubles since July 1 and still leads the league in doubles by five.
13

53

63

56.3

59.3

58.3

.489

.509

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

-0.0%

-0.2%

Mike Trout is among the worst fielding outfielders according to defensive runs saved. Bad metrics! Bad!
14

55

64

57.2

57.7

55.3

.473

.453

0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

-0.0%

-0.2%

Their sweep of Pittsburgh was the fifth time they won three in a row, but the first since May.
15

52

65

54.3

56.9

57.2

.471

.451

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.1%

Junior Lake leads the National League in most hits since the All-Star Break.
16

59

57

58.6

55.9

56.0

.495

.475

1.9%

6.4%

8.3%

-3.3%

-2.8%

Aaron Hill has nine multi-hit games in his last 13 games, but no cycles, so he's slipping.
17

57

60

55.8

55.6

55.7

.479

.459

0.1%

3.1%

3.2%

0.3%

-1.6%

Stephen Strasburg's first career shutout was also the first time he even pitched into the ninth inning. And it only took 99 pitches.
18

51

67

53.3

55.4

56.0

.457

.437

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

They had an impressive offensive outburst, with 10 runs on Friday, 10 runs on Saturday, and then on Sunday against Felix Hernandez, [SCENE MISSING].
19

61

54

60.7

54.5

55.2

.503

.523

0.4%

6.5%

6.9%

1.0%

4.1%

The acquisition of Jamey Carroll really solidifies, once and for all, that the Royals have the best bullpen.
20

54

63

50.9

54.5

53.9

.456

.476

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

Ken Griffey, Jr. was inducted into the Mariners Hall of Fame, and somehow his plaque does not have a backwards hat.
21

52

65

50.8

54.0

55.0

.452

.433

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.4%

Just figure out how to properly dispose of Barry Zito and they will win next year's World Series.
22

54

61

54.9

53.7

52.9

.468

.449

0.0%

0.3%

0.3%

0.0%

0.2%

13 walks and a .500 batting average in his last 10 games is mighty good for whoever this Ike Davis body double is they found in Triple-A.
23

54

63

55.0

52.9

54.8

.463

.483

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.0%

It's actually rather impressive to draw 11 walks and still lose. No jokes necessary; that's admirable.
24

52

63

51.1

51.8

51.9

.450

.469

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Brian Duensing won both games of Friday's doubleheader. If this was Opening Day we could say Brian Duensing would be on pace for 324 wins.
25

53

64

51.3

51.6

51.6

.443

.424

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.2%

-0.6%

Ian Kennedy comes back and wins 20 games for San Diego next year, right? Asking for a friend who wants to double down on his "Padres make the playoffs" prediction.
26

44

72

48.7

49.4

49.1

.412

.431

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

So is that everyone? Did they trade away everybody noticeable? Nope, there's Adam Dunn. And that old guy.
27

59

57

55.2

49.1

50.5

.461

.481

0.2%

2.1%

2.3%

0.3%

-2.6%

In 10 different full seasons, Mariano Rivera allowed three or fewer home runs. In two appearances against the Tigers this weekend he allowed three home runs.
28

52

65

48.2

47.9

49.5

.422

.403

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

The Phillies saw 99 pitches yesterday. Darin Ruf saw 21 of them, but he struck out three times.
29

44

72

46.1

41.5

42.3

.375

.356

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Other than being hitless in his last 42 at bats, Justin Ruggiano feels terrific.
30

37

79

40.2

35.2

37.5

.323

.341

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

They're trying really really really hard.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
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1 comment has been left for this article.
DetroitDale

Re: The Yankees comment, but the Yankees won both those games where Mariano gave up those homers. Curiouser and Curiouser

Aug 12, 2013 09:46 AM
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